2014 NCAA Bubble Teams

[trojansc]

This is a list (below) of all the 2014 NCAA bubble teams and their tournament resume's. There may be slight variations in Record vs. Top(25/50/100) RPI due to using some projected RPI rankings, but most of the rankings used were from 11/17. There also may be slight changes in Significant Losses (as some teams may fall to higher than 100 in RPI ranking).

Questions & Discussion

-Is Southern Methodist a pretender or contender?

-Does LSU get a pass for losing to 200+RPI Mississippi State?

-How many bids from the ACC?

-What on earth do you do with Miami(FL)? This is the same team that last year, I thought was actually shafted by the RPI and better than their ranking. I argued they were a better candidate than Tulsa, Butler, and UCLA who all three had better RPI rankings.

-How many (or should any) of the mid-major projected AQ's (Lipscomb, Western Kentucky, UALR, Ohio, Illinois State) get into the NCAA tournament if they lose their conference tournament?

-Who gets in from the B1G? Purdue looks to be the best candidate over Northwestern, Minnesota, and Michigan State. Those four teams combined only have one win over a top-25 team, and that is Northwestern over Illinois.

-Is Baylor still alive? Or will it take wins over Texas & Iowa State to come back to life? Even if they win out, do they get in?

-I don't think Creighton should even be on the bubble, but for some reason I included them.

-Do Seton Hall, Xavier, UNLV, or Virginia Tech have any chances or are they all out of consideration?

-Is CSUN's resume good enough if they win out?

-Will it really be 10 from the PAC? Could you really leave out Utah?

-Is there any west coast love? Is Pacific's resume good enough to sneak into consideration? If San Diego drops one of their last matches, are they out? Are they in even if they win out?

Note: Michigan and Southern California were not included in this list. Should either of them finish .500, they should definitely be in the NCAA tournament. This will be a much harder task for Michigan than USC.



AAC

Southern Methodist
------------------
Overall Record: 22-6
Conference Record: 11-5
Non=Conference Record: 11-1
RPI: 46
Worst Loss (by RPI): 138 San Francisco
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 25 Oklahoma 63 New Mexico 70 Arkansas
Significant Losses (100+RPI): 138 San Francisco
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 1-0
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 1-2
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 6-5
Last 10 Matches: 5-1
Remaining Matches: (UCONN, Temple, Tulsa, @ecu)
Notes: What I like about SMU is all of the teams they lost to have proven to be solid. But they haven't beat anyone besides Oklahoma. That is going to hurt them. They recently lost in 5 to UCF, which could have slipped them in...

Temple
------
Overall Record: 22-6
Conference Record: 13-3
Non=Conference Record: 9-3
RPI: 60
Worst Loss (by RPI): 184 UCONN
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 29 UCF, 46 Southern Methodist, 53 Tulsa, 84 Memphis
Significant Losses (100+RPI): 135 Boston College, 113 Northern Kentucky, 184UCONN
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 0-0
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 2-1
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 4-3
Last 10 Matches: 6-0
Remaining Matches: @tulsa, @smu, Tulane, Houston
Notes: 10 game winning streak. Losing to Boston College, Northern Kentucky, UCONN hurts though!

Tulsa
-----
Overall Record: 19-8
Conference Record: 11-5
Non=Conference Record: 8-3
RPI: 53
Worst Loss (by RPI): 128 Northern Arizona, 159 USF,
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 29 UCF, 46 Southern Methodist
Significant Losses (100+RPI): 128 Northern Arizona, 159 USF, 152 Cincinatti
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 0-1
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 2-2
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 3-5
Last 10 Matches: 6-0
Remaining Matches: (Temple, Connecticut, @smu, @ecu)


ACC

Virginia
--------
Overall Record: 15-12
Conference Record: 8-6
Non=Conference Record: 7-6
RPI: 56
Worst Loss (by RPI): 222 Loyola-Chicago Ball State, VCU, Liberty
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 28 Alabama, 64 LIU Brooklyn, 50 Virginia Tech
Significant Losses (100+RPI): 222 Loyola-Chicago, 161 Youngstown State, 126 Ball State,  144 Liberty
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 0-5
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 2-6
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 8-8
Last 10 Matches: 3-3
Remaining Matches: GTECH, pITTSBURGH, AT BC, AT Syracuse

Virginia Tech
-------------
Overall Record: 13-14
Conference Record: 6-8
Non=Conference Record: 7-6
RPI: 50
Worst Loss (by RPI): 169 Belmont
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 9 Illinois, 22 Duke, 54 Pittsburgh(x2)
Significant Losses (100+RPI): 143 Wake Forest 169 Belmont, 107 Washington State
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 2-5
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 2-6
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 9-11
Last 10 Matches: 4-2
Remaining Matches: Wake Forest, Georgia Tech, @syracuse, bc
Notes: Tech has lost SIX five-set matches... (20 out of 27 matches were against Top-100 RPI teams, I think only Stanford has played more Top-100 RPI teams)

Pittsburgh
----------
Overall Record: 21-6
Conference Record: 9-5
Non=Conference Record: 12-1
RPI: 54
Worst Loss (by RPI): 50 Virginia Tech(x2)
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 22 Duke, 64 LIU Brooklyn
Significant Losses (100+RPI): NONE
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 1-3
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 1-6
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 5-6
Last 10 Matches: 3-3
Remaining Matches: NCSU, @uva, @louisville, @und

Miami (FL)
----------
Overall Record: 18-7
Conference Record: 11-3
Non=Conference Record: 7-4
RPI: 27
Worst Loss (by RPI):
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 54 Pittsburgh, 57 Seton Hall, 50 Virginia Tech, 56 Virginia
Significant Losses (100+RPI): NONE (maybe TCU)
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 0-4
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 1-5
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 8-6
Last 10 Matches: 5-1
Remaining Matches: Syracuse, BC, @gtech, @fsu

A-SUN

Lipscomb
--------
Overall Record: 20-7
Conference Record: 13-1
Non=Conference Record: 7-6
RPI: 32
Worst Loss (by RPI): 113 Northern Kentucky, 121 Georgia Tech
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 16 Kansas, 44 Illinois State
Significant Losses (100+RPI): 113 Northern Kentucky, 121 Georgia Tech
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 1-1
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 2-4
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 4-5
Last 10 Matches: 7-1 or 8-1
Remaining Matches: A-Sun Semis, A-Sun Championship
Notes: Lipscomb could face a few tough matches to make the NCAA's. First they may have to get by Northern Kentucky, who is the only team to beat Lipscomb in the A-Sun. They'd need to beat Stetson first. Also, FGCU has a bye before playing Jax/UNF, and FGCU was competitive against Lipscomb and is hosting the A-Sun Tournament.


BIG 10

Purdue
------
Overall Record: 21-7
Conference Record: 11-5
Non=Conference Record: 10-2
RPI: 47
Worst Loss (by RPI): 129 Saint Louis
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 33 Ohio State, 38 LSU, 43 San Diego, 51 Minnesota, 59 Northwestern, 48 Michigan, 49 Michigan State,
Significant Losses (100+RPI): 129 Saint Louis
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 0-4
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 5-5
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 8-6
Last 10 Matches: 3-3
Remaining Matches: (Rutgers, at Minny, at Mich St, at Wisc)


Northwestern
------------
Overall Record: 15-12
Conference Record: 5-11
Non=Conference Record: 10-1
RPI: 59
Worst Loss (by RPI): 111 Indiana
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 9 Illinois, 48 Michigan, 51 Minnesota, 39 Ohio, 56 Virginia, 24 Colorado
Significant Losses (100+RPI): 111 Indiana
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 1-4
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 3-9
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 7-11
Last 10 Matches: 2-4
Remaining Matches: (Mich St, Iowa, Penn State, at Marlyand)

Michigan State
--------------
Overall Record: 14-13
Conference Record: 7-9
Non=Conference Record: 7-4
RPI: 49
Worst Loss (by RPI): 64 LIU Brooklyn
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 35 Oregon State, 42 Western Kentucky, 48 Michigan, 59 Northwestern
Significant Losses (100+RPI): NONE
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 0-8
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 2-10
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 5-13
Last 10 Matches: 1-5
Remaining Matches: (at NW, Rutgers, Purdue, at Iowa)

Minnesota
---------
Overall Record: 16-11
Conference Record: 6-10
Non=Conference Record: 10-1
RPI: 51
Worst Loss (by RPI): 111 Indiana
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 15 Iowa State, 59 Northwestern, 49 Michigan State, 33 Ohio State, 53 Tulsa
Significant Losses (100+RPI): 111 Indiana
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 1-6
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 3-7
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 7-10
Last 10 Matches: 2-4
Remaining Matches: at Maryland, Purdue, at OSU, Indiana


BIG 12

Baylor
------
Overall Record: 14-14
Conference Record: 4-9
Non=Conference Record: 10-5
RPI: 58
Worst Loss (by RPI): 207 Portland
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 15 Iowa State, 18 Kansas State, 44 Illinois State
Significant Losses (100+RPI): 116 Texas Tech, 207 Portland
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 2-4
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 3-8
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 6-11
Last 10 Matches: 3-4
Remaining Matches: (Texas, at WVU, at Iowa State)


Big East

Creighton
---------
Overall Record: 22-7
Conference Record: 15-1
Non=Conference Record: 7-6
RPI: 31
Worst Loss (by RPI): 57 Seton Hall
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 26 Marquette(x2), 24 Colorado, 32 Lipscomb, 52 Xavier (x2), 
Significant Losses (100+RPI): NONE
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 2-5
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 4-5
Record vs. Top-100 RPI:10-7
Last 10 Matches: 6-0 or 7-0
Remaining Matches: Villanova, Seton Hall, B-East Semis, Championship

Xavier
------
Overall Record: 17-11
Conference Record: 10-6
Non=Conference Record: 7-5
RPI: 52
Worst Loss (by RPI): 105 Missouri
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 32 Lipscomb, 44 Illinois State, 57 Seton Hall,
Significant Losses (100+RPI): 105 Missouri
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 0-3
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 2-7
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 4-10
Last 10 Matches: 4-2 or 4-3
Remaining Matches: (St. Johns, Providence, Big East Semis, Championship)

Seton Hall
----------
Overall Record: 25-6
Conference Record: 13-3
Non=Conference Record: 12-3
RPI: 57
Worst Loss (by RPI): 74 West Virginia
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 26 Marquette, 31 Creighton, 52 Xavier,  64 LIU Brooklyn
Significant Losses (100+RPI): NONE
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 0-2
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 2-2
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 6-6
Last 10 Matches: 6-0
Remaining Matches: (at GTown, at Creighton, Big East Semis, Champs)

C-USA

Western Kentucky
----------------
Overall Record: 27-5
Conference Record: 15-1
Non=Conference Record: 12-4
RPI: 42
Worst Loss (by RPI): 66 UTSA
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 32 Lipscomb, 47 Purdue
Significant Losses (100+RPI): NONE
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 0-0
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 2-2
Record vs. Top-100 RPI:4-5
Last 10 Matches: 7-0 or 8-0 or 9-0
Remaining Matches: C-USA Qtrs, Semis, Championship)


MAC

Ohio
----
Overall Record: 23-4
Conference Record: 16-0
Non=Conference Record: 7-4
RPI: 39
Worst Loss (by RPI): 59 Northwestern
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 33 Ohio State, 52 Xavier, 50 Virginia Tech
Significant Losses (100+RPI): NONE
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 0-1
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 2-3
Record vs. Top-100 RPI:5-4
Last 10 Matches: 7-0 or 8-0
Remaining Matches: MAC Semis, Mac Championships, at Dayton


Missouri Valley

Illinois State
--------------
Overall Record: 22-5
Conference Record: 16-0
Non=Conference Record: 8-5
RPI: 44
Worst Loss (by RPI): 105 Missouri
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 33 Ohio State
Significant Losses (100+RPI): 105 Missouri
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 0-1
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 1-2
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 6-4
Last 10 Matches: 8-0 or 9-0
Remaining Matches: (MVC Semis, MVC Finals)


Mountain West

UNLV
----
Overall Record: 24-6
Conference Record: 12-3
Non=Conference Record: 12-3
RPI: 61
Worst Loss (by RPI): 62 Wyoming(x2)
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 12 Colorado State, 42 Western Kentucky, 57 Seton Hall, 63 New Mexico(x2)
Significant Losses (100+RPI): NONE
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 1-2
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 2-4
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 5-6
Last 10 Matches: 6-1
Remaining Matches: (at Utah State, Boise State, San Diego State)


Northeast

LIU Brooklyn
------------
Overall Record: 23-6
Conference Record: 14-0
Non=Conference Record: 9-6
RPI: 64
Worst Loss (by RPI): 99 Milwaukee
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 28 Alabama, 42 Western Kentucky, 49 Michigan State, 60 Temple
Significant Losses (100+RPI): 99 Milwaukee
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 0-1
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 3-3
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 4-5
Last 10 Matches: 7-1 or 8-1
Remaining Matches: NEC Semifinals, NEC Finals

SEC

LSU
--------------
Overall Record: 16-8
Conference Record: 11-4
Non=Conference Record: 5-4
RPI: 38
Worst Loss (by RPI): 229 Mississippi State
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 13 Kentucky, 19 Texas A&M
Significant Losses (100+RPI): 229 Mississippi State
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 2-3
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 2-6
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 8-6
Last 10 Matches: 6-1
Remaining Matches: (Missouri, Auburn, at South Carolina)

SUN BELT

Arkansas-Little Rock (UALR)
---------------------------
Overall Record: 25-4
Conference Record: 19-0
Non=Conference Record: 6-4
RPI: 41
Worst Loss (by RPI): 55 Pacific
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 28 Miami
Significant Losses (100+RPI): NONE
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 0-1
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 1-3
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 6-4
Last 10 Matches: 7-0 or 8-0 or 9-0
Remaining Matches: (Sun Belt QTRS, Semis, Championship)

Big West

Cal State Northridge
--------------------
Overall Record: 16-8
Conference Record: 7-5
Non=Conference Record: 9-3
RPI: 37
Worst Loss (by RPI): 120 UCSB, 137 UC Davis
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 30 Hawaii, 41 UALR, 42 Western Kentucky, 43 San Diego, 61 UNLV(X2)
Significant Losses (100+RPI): 120 UCSB, 137 UC Davis
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 0-4
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 4-6
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 6-6
Last 10 Matches: 3-3
Remaining Matches: (at UCR, at UC Davis, CSUF, UCI)

Hawaii
------
Overall Record: 17-6
Conference Record: 9-3
Non=Conference Record: 8-3
RPI: 30
Worst Loss (by RPI): 37 CSUN
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI):  39 Ohio, 37 Cal State Northridge, 63 New Mexico
Significant Losses (100+RPI): NONE
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 0-4
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 2-6
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 3-6
Last 10 Matches: 5-1
Remaining Matches: @ UCSB, @ cal Poly, UCR, UC Davis

PAC-12 

Arizona State
-------------
Overall Record: 17-11
Conference Record: 7-9
Non=Conference Record: 10-2
RPI: 36
Worst Loss (by RPI): 93 Louisville
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 8 Oregon, 20 USC, 24 Colorado, 30 Hawaii, 39 Ohio, 40 Utah
Significant Losses (100+RPI): 93 Louisville
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 2-6
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 6-10
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 8-11
Last 10 Matches: 2-4
Remaining Matches: (at Wazzu, @uw, UCLA, Arizona)

Oregon State
-------------
Overall Record: 17-10
Conference Record: 7-9
Non=Conference Record: 10-1
RPI: 35
Worst Loss (by RPI): 49 Michigan State
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 23 Long Beach State, 36 Arizona State(x2), 40 Utah, 55 Pacific, 48 Michigan
Significant Losses (100+RPI): NONE
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 1-9
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 4-10
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 6-10
Last 10 Matches: 3-3
Remaining Matches: (USC, UCLA, at Colorado, Oregon)

Utah
----
Overall Record: 16-11
Conference Record: 10-1
Non=Conference Record: 6-10
RPI: 40
Worst Loss (by RPI):
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 4 Washington, 17 UCLA, 20 USC, 32 Lipscomb, 36 Arizona State
Significant Losses (100+RPI): 107 Washington State
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 3-7
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 5-10
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 6-10
Last 10 Matches: 4-2
Remaining Matches: (at Stanford, at Cal, Oregon, Colorado)


WCC

Loyola Marymount
----------------
Overall Record: 22-5
Conference Record: 10-5
Non=Conference Record: 12-0
RPI: 34
Worst Loss (by RPI): 81 Gonzaga
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 17 UCLA, 23 Long Beach State, 45 Santa Clara, 43 San Diego, 64 LIU Brooklyn
Significant Losses (100+RPI): NONE
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 2-1
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 4-3
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 7-5
Last 10 Matches: 5-2
Remaining Matches: (SMC, Pacific, BYU)

Pacific
-------
Overall Record: 21-7
Conference Record: 10-5
Non=Conference Record: 11-2
RPI: 55
Worst Loss (by RPI): 45 Santa Clara
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI: 34 LMU, 41 UALR, 45 Santa Clara,
Significant Losses (100+RPI): NONE
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 0-3
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 3-7
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 5-7
Last 10 Matches: 5-2
Remaining Matches: (at Pepperdine, at LMU, at USF)

Santa Clara
-----------
Overall Record: 20-8
Conference Record: 10-5
Non=Conference Record: 10-3
RPI: 45
Worst Loss (by RPI): 120 UCSB, 138 San Francisco
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 22 Duke, 21 BYU, 34 LMU, 43 San Diego, 55 Pacific,
Significant Losses (100+RPI): 138 San Francisco, 120 UCSB
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 2-2
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 5-3
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 9-6
Last 10 Matches: 5-2
Remaining Matches: Pepperdine, USF, Saint Mary's

San Diego
---------
Overall Record: 16-11
Conference Record: 9-6
Non=Conference Record: 7-5
RPI: 43
Worst Loss (by RPI): 138 San Francisco, 150 Saint Mary's
Significant Wins (1-70 RPI): 21 BYU, 38 LSU, 59 Northwestern, 34 Loyola Marymount, 55 Pacific(X2)
Significant Losses (100+RPI): 138 San Francisco, 150 Saint Mary's
Record vs. Top-25 RPI: 1-4
Record vs. Top-50 RPI: 3-9
Record vs. Top-100 RPI: 7-9
Last 10 Matches: 3-4
Remaining Matches: at Gonzaga, at Portland, at Pepperdine

[trojansc]

There are some important B1G matches, and Baylor vs. Texas going on tonight, while tomrorow (and especially Friday) there will be important conference tournament matches with bubble implications.

[BeachbytheBay]

again, the committee is not prevented from characterizing top 25/50/100 matches diffently than just'tunnel visioning' RPI & compounding RPI bias

if they do so review comprehensively - the rap sheet for Hawaii top 100 Massey would be 8-6 (vs. 3-6) top 100, and will likely be 10-6 top 100 Massey by the end of the season - people looking at these RPI W/L sheets can get distorted information about a teams strength 10-6 vs. 3-6 is a massive perception difference

te rap sheet for top 100 Pacific goes from 5-7 RPI to 9-7 Massey (and could go to 11-7 Massey)

so hopefully the committee takes into account W/L profiles in an expanded perspective to more comprehensively assessing teams on the bubble because the top 100 and 'bad loss' category can be extremely inappropriate/biased by RPI

the Big West & WCC have SIX teams inside the top 100 Massey that don't show in top 100 RPI - and it makes those conference middle tier teams appear a lot worse than they are

and I'll keep pointing it out till I'm blue in the face

[elevationvb]

Last night I spoke to a relative of a player on the SMU team and was told the team has had a couple of key injuries during conference play. Their setter was injured during match point over the weekend against Central Florida. The freshman setter played the 5th set which SMU lost. I think their top hitter was also hurt early on during conference play which may explain some of the early conference losses.

[trojansc]

Nov 19, 2014 19:51:15 GMT -5 BeachbytheBay said:

so hopefully the committee takes into account W/L profiles in an expanded perspective to more comprehensively assessing teams on the bubble because the top 100 and 'bad loss' category can be extremely inappropriate/biased by RPI

You're asking for too much in an ideal world...

[jayj79]

Illinois State has two regular season matches remaining, in addition to MVC conference tournament play.
They host Missouri State and Wichita State on Fri. and Sat. nights (though I can't remember which one they play first)

[klineam]

Hopefully ACC gets six bids.

[vbprisoner]

I still am not buying Purdue as a bubble team.

Baylor is not going to be eligible unless they beat Iowa State on road, and then I still do not think they get in.

[baywatcher]

Thanks for the amazing amount of work. Very comprehensive.

[elevationvb]

Nov 20, 2014 0:37:18 GMT -5 vbprisoner said:

I still am not buying Purdue as a bubble team.

Baylor is not going to be eligible unless they beat Iowa State on road, and then I still do not think they get in.

If Baylor were even to be discussed by the committee for the tournament, it would be a travesty.

They are a bad team. They are 4-10 in conference - 1 game out of last place.  In a lousy conference this year.

They are example 1 of what is wrong with the RPI.

[PTW winner]

If Baylor Beats Iowa State that would be 3 top 25 wins. 4 top 50 wins. More than almost all the teams in the RPI range from 35-55. Most have 0 top 25 wins.
No Big 12 team has ever won 3 top 25 matches and not received a bid as far as I know.
Sooo, we will see.

[PTW winner]

With 3 starters out.

[montechello]

Nov 20, 2014 2:08:45 GMT -5 PTW winner said:

If Baylor Beats Iowa State that would be 3 top 25 wins.

Well, some top 25 wins are more top than others, and Baylor's aren't.  It's safe for the Bears to make other plans for early December.

[PTW winner]

Nov 20, 2014 2:36:23 GMT -5 montechello said:

Nov 20, 2014 2:08:45 GMT -5 PTW winner said:

If Baylor Beats Iowa State that would be 3 top 25 wins.

Well, some top 25 wins are more top than others, and Baylor's aren't.  It's safe for the Bears to make other plans for early December.

You know that makes no sense right?
In fact they would all 3 be Top 20 wins. The committee looks at Top 25 wins. And from what I looked up no Big 12 team has won 3 top 25 matches and not gotten in.
I'll admit they still may not get in, it all depends if they can win both matches and where their rpi ends up. If it's inside 50 and with 3 top 20 wins historically that would be a go. But who knows.

[goodtobeagator]

Mid majors that play conference tourneys the last weekend do a disservice to their schools. Just ask WKU about last year...they definitely got bit by the committee only holding 1 spot for the conference champ.

UALR has a similar risk, with a slightly lesser resume than WKU had last year. If they are going to lose in the sun belt tourney it would probably be better to go out round 1 than in the final. The wins they would pick up in the QF and SF would be of no RPI help and a loss at any point would be of equal penalty. Lose earlier and the committee might squeak them in as an at large and send them to Texas in round 1.