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Post by huskyvolley on Nov 29, 2024 20:54:22 GMT -5
Is Washington really safe? Before the Purdue match, they are already at #42
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Post by uofaGRAD on Nov 29, 2024 20:58:14 GMT -5
I don't really see any legitimate case to leave Illinois out. They fell to #39 in RPI with the loss to Indiana though. RPI CUT LINE 30 South Dakota State (several teams) 37 UTEP 38 Ole Miss 39 Illinois 40 Rice ------------------ 41 NC State 42 Washington 44 Arizona 45 Hawaii (if on bubble) OR 48 Virginia how worried should I be about Arizona? I feel like I’m just a spam bot. is the percentage chance in like 80%? 90%? |
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trojansc
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Post by trojansc on Nov 29, 2024 21:02:00 GMT -5
Is Washington really safe? Before the Purdue match, they are already at #42 how worried should I be about Arizona? I feel like I’m just a spam bot. is the percentage chance in like 80%? 90%?  It's hard to answer still! But I'd be nervous to be ANYONE below 40 at this point. |
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Post by horns1 on Nov 29, 2024 21:09:31 GMT -5
I think if Stanford beats Louisville, Creighton will get a 1 seed. I don’t see Stanford jumping them Louisville is hosting regardless of what happens. LV already has a win over Stanford, and they don't have the loss to Miami clouding what would otherwise be a pretty similar profile. They also have H2H over Creighton, and all of their losses are to Top 5 teams. Exactly. Not sure what the posters holding out hope for Creighton are smoking. They are at best the #6 seed and may not even be that high with zero wins against RPI Top 10 teams. |
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sokhna
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Post by sokhna on Nov 29, 2024 21:20:55 GMT -5
Louisville is hosting regardless of what happens. LV already has a win over Stanford, and they don't have the loss to Miami clouding what would otherwise be a pretty similar profile. They also have H2H over Creighton, and all of their losses are to Top 5 teams. Exactly. Not sure what the posters holding out hope for Creighton are smoking. They are at best the #6 seed and may not even be that high with zero wins against RPI Top 10 teams. I am so tired of hearing Creighton in this conversation. It makes no sense. Of course, with an easy conference , they aren’t going to lose many matches. Each time they played RPI top 10 teams was their chance to prove themselves, but they flopped. The Creighton stans need to let it go. |
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Post by bruinsgold on Nov 29, 2024 21:26:46 GMT -5
Now WAIT a minute!!!!  |
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trojansc
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Post by trojansc on Nov 29, 2024 21:31:08 GMT -5
Exactly. Not sure what the posters holding out hope for Creighton are smoking. They are at best the #6 seed and may not even be that high with zero wins against RPI Top 10 teams. I am so tired of hearing Creighton in this conversation. It makes no sense. Of course, with an easy conference , they aren’t going to lose many matches. Each time they played RPI top 10 teams was their chance to prove themselves, but they flopped. The Creighton stans need to let it go. Creighton was in the conversation because they played the #2 non-conf S.O.S in the country, had a great RPI, and had a chance at an RPI top 10 win and wins over 2-4 top 16 seeds down the stretch. Kansas couldn't finish T10, USC/Mizzou lost out, Penn State took care of business down the stretch. Creighton needed breaks - got mostly none of them. There's zero reason to think Creighton has any shot at this point, but, it certainly wasn't a stretch to think they had a shot as the season was winding down. Same with Stanford, though now I also don't see how Stanford would have any case over Louisville. |
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Post by blue10 on Nov 29, 2024 21:34:10 GMT -5
I am so tired of hearing Creighton in this conversation. It makes no sense. Of course, with an easy conference , they aren’t going to lose many matches. Each time they played RPI top 10 teams was their chance to prove themselves, but they flopped. The Creighton stans need to let it go. Creighton was in the conversation because they played the #2 non-conf S.O.S in the country, had a great RPI, and had a chance at an RPI top 10 win and wins over 2-4 top 16 seeds down the stretch. Kansas couldn't finish T10, USC/Mizzou lost out, Penn State took care of business down the stretch. Creighton needed breaks - got mostly none of them. There's zero reason to think Creighton has any shot at this point, but, it certainly wasn't a stretch to think they had a shot as the season was winding down. Same with Stanford, though now I also don't see how Stanford would have any case over Louisville. even if Stanford beats Louisville tmrw ? |
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Post by widdledumpling on Nov 29, 2024 21:35:59 GMT -5
Time for me to advocate for SMU's top 2 wins being more impressive than anything Wisconsin did all season so that I can avoid having to beat Wisconsin three times in one season to get to a final four. Nobody beats Wisconsin three times in a row |
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trojansc
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Post by trojansc on Nov 29, 2024 21:38:43 GMT -5
even if Stanford beats Louisville tmrw ? Louisville already beat Stanford. Louisville won't have a loss outside the Top 5 teams. Stanford would have lost to Miami (who Louisville beat). The wins are going to be very similar. I definitely think it could be a conversation, but Louisville should get it IMO. |
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trojansc
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Post by trojansc on Nov 29, 2024 21:44:44 GMT -5
And even though it hasn't happened yet in this new format (Western Kentucky almost pulled it off back in 2017, Houston almost pulled it off last year)... T4 seeds only host regionals if they win their 2nd round match.
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Post by clob on Nov 29, 2024 21:50:44 GMT -5
trojansc, I shall eagerly await your final bracket tomorrow night.
Your insight is absolutely amazing. And much appreciated.
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Post by uofaGRAD on Nov 29, 2024 21:50:49 GMT -5
And even though it hasn't happened yet in this new format (Western Kentucky almost pulled it off back in 2017, Houston almost pulled it off last year)... T4 seeds only host regionals if they win their 2nd round match. what happens if they lose? does the #2 seed in that region get to host? |
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Post by hail2pitt on Nov 29, 2024 21:55:04 GMT -5
And even though it hasn't happened yet in this new format (Western Kentucky almost pulled it off back in 2017, Houston almost pulled it off last year)... T4 seeds only host regionals if they win their 2nd round match. what happens if they lose? does the #2 seed in that region get to host? yep highest seed entering the regional round hosts the region |
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trojansc
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Post by trojansc on Nov 29, 2024 23:05:55 GMT -5
If KPI factors in for any significant way, that could possibly hurt/help the following teams:
HELP:
Texas (7) +
Florida (17) +
Texas A&M (18) +
Oklahoma (27) +
South Carolina (28) +
Hawaii (34) +
Washington (39) +
Auburn (42) +
Arkansas State (46) +
-----------------------------
HURT:
TCU (21) -
Marquette (23) -
USC (24) -
Minnesota (31) -
LMU (32) -
Northern Iowa (36) -
NC State (53) -
Arizona (59) -
Rice (51) -
Pepperdine (69) -
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