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Post by hawaiifan89 on Nov 30, 2024 4:46:39 GMT -5
trojansc is Hawaii out if they lose this 5th set It's very possible. I'd imagine they'd be last 4 in or first 4 out. I might lean out as of now. Those losses are just so, so bad. BUT, they have a TON of wins in the 51-100 category and I don't know if that will matter. Okay heading into their semifinal match against UC Davis, The Wahine were #44 in the RPI. After the great win they are now sitting at #38 in the RPI and #34 in the un-updated KPI. These numbers look good but then again they have 5 sub-100 losses which is more than any other bubble team by far. Obviously if they win against Cal Poly they are in the NCAAs. Do we have an idea what the RPI might look like with a loss to Cal Poly in the Big West Final? Could they still get in with a loss? Thank you always for your work! |
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Post by bluepenquin on Nov 30, 2024 7:26:38 GMT -5
It's very possible. I'd imagine they'd be last 4 in or first 4 out. I might lean out as of now. Those losses are just so, so bad. BUT, they have a TON of wins in the 51-100 category and I don't know if that will matter. Okay heading into their semifinal match against UC Davis, The Wahine were #44 in the RPI. After the great win they are now sitting at #38 in the RPI and #34 in the un-updated KPI. These numbers look good but then again they have 5 sub-100 losses which is more than any other bubble team by far. Obviously if they win against Cal Poly they are in the NCAAs. Do we have an idea what the RPI might look like with a loss to Cal Poly in the Big West Final? Could they still get in with a loss? Thank you always for your work! RPI Futures says #40 - but it is amazing how some seemingly insignificant matches played today could have decent impact on the final ranking. |
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Post by bluepenquin on Nov 30, 2024 7:35:09 GMT -5
If anyone wants to believe in a miracle, Georgia Tech could still host IMO. They beat Pitt and they get up to ~20-21 in RPI. Three T25 wins + a Top 4 caliber win could push them into that #15 or #16 spot - they have a H2H win over BYU which could help them with Baylor/TCU. They also beat Florida if the committee was thinking of some asinine reason to still seed Florida. I don' think they would get to #20 or 21. |
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Post by bluepenquin on Nov 30, 2024 7:45:49 GMT -5
Here is what I would like to see - because I put a lot of value on conference balance. Since the committed doesn't put any value on conference balance - it would have to be totally random to end up like this. Projected RPI in parenthesis.
1. Pittsburgh (2)
16. TCU (16)
9. Texas (9)
8. Wisconsin (8)
4. Penn State (4)
13. Kansas (12)
12. Kentucky (9)
5. Stanford (6)
3. Louisville (3)
14. Oregon (18)
11. Purdue (14)
6. Creighton (5)
2. Nebraska (1)
15. Utah (13)
10. Arizona State (10)
7. SMU (7)
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Post by horns1 on Nov 30, 2024 8:25:58 GMT -5
It won't shock me to once again see Kentucky and Nebraska in the same regional . . .  |
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Post by bluepenquin on Nov 30, 2024 8:32:31 GMT -5
Something to follow - Ole Miss is likely to drop below Arizona and maybe Washington in RPI if they lose to Texas today.
Same for NC State.
If they look at RPI after today - Arizona and Washington are likely to be in a bit better position per RPI.
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Post by maigrey on Nov 30, 2024 8:57:56 GMT -5
Here is what I would like to see - because I put a lot of value on conference balance. Since the committed doesn't put any value on conference balance - it would have to be totally random to end up like this. Projected RPI in parenthesis. 1. Pittsburgh (2) 16. TCU (16) 9. Texas (9) 8. Wisconsin (8) 4. Penn State (4) 13. Kansas (12) 12. Kentucky (9) 5. Stanford (6) 3. Louisville (3) 14. Oregon (18) 11. Purdue (14) 6. Creighton (5) 2. Nebraska (1) 15. Utah (13) 10. Arizona State (10) 7. SMU (7) Texas AND Pitt? REBUKE! 😆 |
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Post by blue10 on Nov 30, 2024 9:21:07 GMT -5
Here is what I would like to see - because I put a lot of value on conference balance. Since the committed doesn't put any value on conference balance - it would have to be totally random to end up like this. Projected RPI in parenthesis. 1. Pittsburgh (2) 16. TCU (16) 9. Texas (9) 8. Wisconsin (8) 4. Penn State (4) 13. Kansas (12) 12. Kentucky (9) 5. Stanford (6) 3. Louisville (3) 14. Oregon (18) 11. Purdue (14) 6. Creighton (5) 2. Nebraska (1) 15. Utah (13) 10. Arizona State (10) 7. SMU (7) if that is Nebraskas regional as an award for losing last night oh my Christ |
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Post by mr. samwich on Nov 30, 2024 9:28:03 GMT -5
I know everyone has written off Minnesota as a possible host If the Selection Committee only sees wins and losses with no consideration for the details it's an extremely flawed system. I'm not a statistician, but Pablo(10), RichKern(17) Massey(15noFriscores), evollve(14), etc. all put MN in the mix for hosting I don't understand how, given how KPI is supposed to account for close matches, that MN's number is 30+  In any case, if you look at the best win and worst loss of this group, their record in top 25 losses, etc. I do not believe that the high loss number given that MN faced more top 25s than anyone ought to be disqualifying 11/30 12am
FigStats
RPI W-L vtop 5set OppRecord SoSPct Best worst
25 loss win loss Win Loss
13 Utah BIG12 0.6610 24-5 3-5 BYU 497 -351 .6009 16 19
16 TCU BIG12 0.6450 21-7 2-6 WI 474 -330 .6030 19 108
Baylor
17 Marquette BE 0.6435 23-7 1-6 none 536 -364 .6158 15 80
18 Oregon BIG10 0.6432 22-7 2-6 Purd 503 -355 .5997 19 46
S.Cal
19 BYU BIG12 0.6422 19-9 3-6 Az.St 513 -299 .6445 12 137
Oregon
TCU
20 Baylor BIG12 0.6407 22-7 2-7 WI 472 -347 .5914 10 19
21 So Cal BIG10 0.6374 21-9 1-7 none 530 -354 .6149 18 99
22 Florida SEC 0.6368 21-6 2-3 none 419 -326 .5781 23 62
23 Texas A&M SEC0.6361 18-7 2-4 none 401 -272 .6071 11 133
24 Missouri SEC 0.6304 19-8 1-6 Tx A&M443 -301 .6027 11 133
Fla
25 Ga Tech ACC 0.6261 20-8 2-5 Stanf 475 -352 .5888 19 78
26 Minnta BIG10 0.6226 20-10 2-9 522 -359 .6078 8 46 Wash. aced 13x and 11SEs (a real clunker)
Stanford 13-15
Baylor 14-16
TCU 18-20
WI 18-20 an inch or two from a match-winning Wisc-sweeping block touch
Purdue 10-15
20-10 .667 0.6226
21- 9 .700 .033 0.6556
22- 8 .733 .066 0.6886 (yes, it's probably not a straight rpi addition)One of the 3 matchpoints won instead of lost and Minnesota is a top 16 team Two of the 3 won and Minnesota is on the edge of the top 10 The people will light torches if Minnesota gets a seed lol |
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Post by bbg95 on Nov 30, 2024 9:34:12 GMT -5
If Louisville beats Stanford tomorrow does that pretty much solidify the 3-6 in order as psu, Louisville, Creighton, Stanford? There’s no way Stanford would end up infront of Creighton unless they beat Louisville right? It depends. Stanford technically has 4 wins better than Creighton's best win. I can easily see Stanford at 5. Right. Stanford is also named "Stanford," whereas Creighton isn't. I expect Stanford to be higher for the reasons you mentioned. I think the only reason to rank Creighton higher would be Stanford's loss to Miami. That matters, but I think the extra good wins that Stanford has will matter more. |
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Post by bbg95 on Nov 30, 2024 9:39:27 GMT -5
opinion question for anyone: would yall like to see 68 teams like basketball ever? No. I don't like it in basketball either. |
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Post by cardinalvolleyball on Nov 30, 2024 9:53:31 GMT -5
Here is what I would like to see - because I put a lot of value on conference balance. Since the committed doesn't put any value on conference balance - it would have to be totally random to end up like this. Projected RPI in parenthesis. 1. Pittsburgh (2) 16. TCU (16) 9. Texas (9) 8. Wisconsin (8) 4. Penn State (4) 13. Kansas (12) 12. Kentucky (9) 5. Stanford (6) 3. Louisville (3) 14. Oregon (18) 11. Purdue (14) 6. Creighton (5) 2. Nebraska (1) 15. Utah (13) 10. Arizona State (10) 7. SMU (7) if that is Nebraskas regional as an award for losing last night oh my Christ 😂😂😂 dying |
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Post by 900sqftdad on Nov 30, 2024 9:59:44 GMT -5
#1 Pitt
#2 PSU
#3 UNL
#4 UL if a win today
#5 Creighton - 4 if UL loses
#6 Stanford if they lose
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Post by uofaGRAD on Nov 30, 2024 10:03:30 GMT -5
opinion question for anyone: would yall like to see 68 teams like basketball ever? Let's be like tennis and have 128!😁 LMAO oh hell no!🤣 |
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Post by madithekuntress on Nov 30, 2024 10:16:16 GMT -5
Let's be like tennis and have 128!😁 LMAO oh hell no!🤣  |
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