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Post by Deleted on Sept 7, 2006 13:15:38 GMT -5
Go back 10 years. Make it simple. 1996-2005.
Pretty sure they had 64 teams in 1996. If not, they did have the same # of rounds. Some teams just got a bye.
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Post by roy on Sept 7, 2006 14:00:44 GMT -5
Go back 10 years. Make it simple. 1996-2005. Pretty sure they had 64 teams in 1996. If not, they did have the same # of rounds. Some teams just got a bye. I think 1995 would be a better year to start at. That is when the NCAA switched over from actual regional breakdown to seeding teams. Before 1995, groups of teams were always in the same bracket. I believe Florida, Nebraska, and Texas would typically be in the same bracket, while Hawaii, Pacific, UCSB, and Long Beach were in the same bracket. Usually 3 Pac 10 teams would end up on the same bracket with one Pac 10 team (usually Stanford or UCLA) being sent into a “Big 10” bracket with teams like Penn State or Ohio State always aligned with each other.
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Post by mdogg56 on Sept 7, 2006 14:01:45 GMT -5
Using IdahoBoy's formula, here are the last five years:
17.6 USC 17.6 Stanford 15.5 Nebraska 14.6 Florida 13.6 Hawaii 12.7 Washington 12.6 Minnesota 11.8 UCLA 11.6 Arizona 11.1 Wisconsin 10.8 Penn State
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Post by IdahoBoy on Sept 7, 2006 17:11:28 GMT -5
Ok, through 1996, and I threw in Tennessee just so they knew how far off they really were from Elite. | | School | Points | 1 | | Stanford | 104.5 | 2 | | Nebraska | 93 | 3 | | Florida | 84.1 | 4 | | USC | 83.6 | 5 | | Hawaii | 78.1 | 6 | | Penn State | 77.3 | 7 | | Long Beach State | 64.3 | 8 | | Wisconsin | 61.1 | 9 | | UCLA | 58.9 | 11 | | Minnesota | 56.6 | 11 | | Arizona | 50.7 | 12 | | Washington | 44.8 | 13 | | UCSB | 41.5 | 14 | | Texas A&M | 41.2 | 15 | | Ohio State | 39.2 | 16 | | Pacific | 37.3 | 17 | | Texas | 37.3 | 18 | | BYU | 37 | 19 | | Pepperdine | 36.5 | 20 | | Colorado State | 34.8 | NR | | Tennessee | 19.2 |
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Post by IdahoBoy on Sept 7, 2006 17:17:18 GMT -5
Using IdahoBoy's formula, here are the last five years: 17.6 USC 17.6 Stanford 15.5 Nebraska 14.6 Florida 13.6 Hawaii 12.7 Washington 12.6 Minnesota 11.8 UCLA 11.6 Arizona 11.1 Wisconsin 10.8 Penn State Hmm... the last five years is this according to my charts: | School | Points | 1 | Stanford | 63 | 2 | USC | 57.6 | 3 | Nebraska | 53 | 4 | Florida | 48.6 | 5 | Hawaii | 45.6 | 6 | Minnesota | 42.6 | 7 | UCLA | 39.9 | 8 | Washington | 37.8 | 9 | Arizona | 33.2 | 11 | Penn State | 31.3 | 11 | Wisconsin | 29.1 | 12 | Long Beach State | 28.3 | 13 | Pepperdine | 24 | 14 | Ohio State | 22.7 | 15 | Texas A&M | 22.2 | 16 | Pacific | 20.8 | 17 | Texas | 20.8 | 18 | Colorado State | 18.3 | 19 | Tennessee | 18.2 | 20 | UCSB | 16 | 21 | BYU | 12 |
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Post by GatorVball on Sept 7, 2006 17:31:06 GMT -5
Florida really needs to win it all one of these days. This label of best program to have never won it all needs to go. If not just for Florida, but for a female coach to win it all as well.
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Post by JT on Sept 7, 2006 18:11:45 GMT -5
Go back 10 years. Make it simple. 1996-2005. Pretty sure they had 64 teams in 1996. If not, they did have the same # of rounds. Some teams just got a bye. Same number of rounds, but not 64 teams. In 96, I'm pretty sure there were only 48 teams. We played Central Florida at home, and then went on to play (and lose) the next weekend at Long Beach. In 97, I'm almost positive there were 56 teams. We played and beat Miami of Ohio out in Provo Utah, while BYU got a first roung bye, and then beat us in the second round. And I think it went up to 64 teams in 1998. I know that by 1999, there were 64 teams in the tourney.
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Post by beachman on Sept 7, 2006 18:16:08 GMT -5
I could not put washington into "Elite" program status, yet!
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Post by IdahoBoy on Sept 7, 2006 18:17:12 GMT -5
I could not put washington into "Elite" program status, yet! They are in eligible for two more years at current rate of NCAA success.... then they become eligible.
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Post by SaltNPepper on Sept 7, 2006 18:37:18 GMT -5
I like all this number crunching, but at some point you'll have to draw the line somewhere. Just how many "Elite" programs seems like a good number for a 320 team division.
1% of the teams? 5% of the teams? 10% of the teams? 1% is too low, right? 10% is definitely to high. Maybe 5%? That would be about 16 teams. That seems too high too. The 8 for "Elite 8" doesn't really sound too bad. That would mean roughly 2.5% of the teams would be the Elite teams. Now if this was DI football with only around 100 teams, 2 or 3 Elite programs wouldn't be enough. Something like 10 to 20 seems more likely. So my 2.5% is probably just hogwash. (man it's been a long time since I used that word)
The number might fluctuate a bit from year to year as some new teams are accepted as having joined the group (I think Washington has) or other teams really have dropped away for the top tier - like maybe LBSU though it might be only a temporary drop from that status. I think what ever formula you use you will find that most people probably would feel somewhere between a half dozen and maybe 10 teams have that Elite status. And it's probably going the be the teams that usually are considered title contender each year. And teams that on a off or rebuilding year are generally still at top 25 team. And as mentioned, having won a national title sure does help, although as in Florida's case I don't think it is an absolute requirement.
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Post by StuffU on Sept 7, 2006 18:42:32 GMT -5
I think the distinction comes with the term "program" versus "team".
The more historical the formula, the more you are referring to the program.
The less the span of time that is covered, the more it seems you can refer to an elite "team".
After all, no one would consider the 97 Hawaii "team" elite. But the level of talent and success was much greater in all other years, making the "program" elite.
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Post by Wolfgang on Sept 7, 2006 19:08:02 GMT -5
Funny thing about this word "elite" -- it's very popular, understandably so.
There's an elite.com, so that can't be used. Crap!
There's a whole bunch of volleyball clubs which use the word "elite" -- Michigan, Illini, Pittsburgh, Texas, Amarillo, etc. And then's there's Club Elite.
Also, if one were to become a member of the "Elite" of college volleyball, can they then be removed if they no longer maintain their elite status? Usually, once a member, always a member (with some exceptions).
Okay, I have to stop because I've bored myself again...
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Post by gobigred on Sept 7, 2006 23:01:47 GMT -5
This entire thread was one of the most entertaining threads I've read in a long time.
I don't think you can put numbers into this, despite IB's best effort, it has to be subjective, and I think we all know deep down inside which teams are the "elite" of college volleyball. Stanford, UCLA, USC, Nebraska, Penn State, Florida, Hawaii...etc. There are probably more, but any teams thereafter would be up for debate.
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