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Post by baldyballer on Nov 5, 2006 23:10:06 GMT -5
I think Baylor can get in with 4 out of last 6 games won. Which is possible considering 3 of those opponents are ranked below them. They have played all the giants well and have two ranked opponent wins. I just like to beleive that teams like Baylor will get in over 2nd and third place teams in weaker conferences. For that reason I would also like to see whoever finishes 7th in the Pac-10, and 6th in the Big 10 go as well.
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Post by bomber on Nov 5, 2006 23:11:14 GMT -5
Michigan now has wins over San Diego, Minnesota and Iowa State -- and the Committee always likes the Wolverines. I say they're in, but it'll be interesting if they finish worse than 8-12. I don't think both the Michigans will be in....I think Michigan MUST beat MSU to have a legitimate chance for the tourney.
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Post by dontknowjack on Nov 5, 2006 23:23:31 GMT -5
#1-6 in the Big Ten will go for sure, if not more. This could be another year where 8 can sneak in, but I am thinking 7, with Northwestern, Michigan, and Mich State battling for those 2 coveted spots.
Northwestern has wins over 2 ranked (then #24 Arizona and then #24 Ohio State), plus a tough sschedule (Hawaii, Stanford, Arizona, Big Tens), and a tradition of a late push in the 2nd half of conference. Their performance in the 1st and 2nd rounds last year gives them some weight. I predict they beat Purdue and Indiana at home, get Ohio State in 5 on the road, and lose a tough match at Minnesota. PSU sweeps, as does Wisconsin. NU 10-10.
Michigan's wins over San Diego and Minnesota will be a big help (I think Iowa State will be a wash in terms of a make or break); however, odds are they can only get to 8-12, and that takes near flawless execution PLUS a win at MSU (tough rivalry), beating OSU and PSU at home (OSU is likely). I predict they lose a battle at Purdue, redeem at Indiana, get Ohio State at home, play PSU tough, but lose, lose to Michigan State away in 5, then close out with an Iowa win. That's 3 to make them 8-12 and give them committee a headache.
MSU is streaky -- looking both dominant and vulnerable in a 2 week span. However, their pre-Big Ten schedule was fluffy, and they lost, in 3, to an Arizona State team that is good, but not NCAA ready this year. So, despite a few bright spots in conference, they face the same battle. I see them beating Michigan at home, but losing to Ohio State and Penn State. They'll get Indiana away, and Iowa, but no on Purdue. So, that is 3 more wins, putting them at 9-11, again giving the committee a migrane.
My guess: 8 dance from the Big Ten, with NU, MSU, and UM getting in, a la Indy, NU, and UM in 2002 when they all had 10-10s.
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Post by volley899 on Nov 6, 2006 1:27:22 GMT -5
Who will make it from the WCC? Does San Francisco or Saint Mary's have a chance or will it come down to the end of conference play?
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Post by BearClause on Nov 6, 2006 3:27:56 GMT -5
ACC: Duke maybe: any team that might beat Duke in the ACC tourney What ACC Tourney?
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Post by dontknowjack on Nov 6, 2006 8:38:51 GMT -5
wait, have the acc and sec dropped their tourneys?
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Post by BearClause on Nov 6, 2006 10:16:17 GMT -5
wait, have the acc and sec dropped their tourneys? The ACC had its last one in 2004.
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