vbfan
Sophomore
Posts: 221
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Post by vbfan on Oct 26, 2004 23:37:59 GMT -5
So, here we are only one week until election day. I mentioned earlier that a friend of mind had connections with the Kerry campaign. I talked to him today and he gave me his insight on the race.
The Kerry campaign believes that they have moved comfortably ahead in both Michigan and Pennsylvania. They believe they have small but stable leads in both Ohio and Florida. Note that they manage to sweep FL, OH, and PA the election would be over. They seem most worried about Iowa, where apparently Bush has a narrow lead, and Wisconsin which they say is tied. In a late development polls have tightened considerably in Arkansas and the campaign is sending Bill Clinton to do some last minute campaining there.
My friend characterized the overall mood of the Kerry campaign as cautiously optimistic, they see that victory is in their grasp.
I think you can tell the mood of the Bush campaign by looking at what talking points various right wing media is spouting this week. They make all sorts of claims of how dirty this election will be, and how Democrats plan to cheat and steal the election. Is is just me, or this does not exactly sound like confidence to me. If they really expected to win, they would be telling people we need to accept the results no matter what they are. They would be telling everyone that this would be a "clean" and "clear cut" election in comparison to 2000. The fact that the spin has been aimed at making people QUESTION the results tells you that they expect a result that they will WANT people to question.
Anyway Red Sox win the World Series, and John Kerry elected President, sure looks more and more likely with each passing day.
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Post by dogfan on Oct 26, 2004 23:53:27 GMT -5
that sounds like great news, crossing my fingers that it might be true
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Post by Barefoot In Kailua on Oct 26, 2004 23:56:58 GMT -5
So, here we are only one week until election day. I mentioned earlier that a friend of mind had connections with the Kerry campaign. I talked to him today and he gave me his insight on the race. The Kerry campaign believes that they have moved comfortably ahead in both Michigan and Pennsylvania. They believe they have small but stable leads in both Ohio and Florida. Note that they manage to sweep FL, OH, and PA the election would be over. They seem most worried about Iowa, where apparently Bush has a narrow lead, and Wisconsin which they say is tied. In a late development polls have tightened considerably in Arkansas and the campaign is sending Bill Clinton to do some last minute campaining there. My friend characterized the overall mood of the Kerry campaign as cautiously optimistic, they see that victory is in their grasp. I think you can tell the mood of the Bush campaign by looking at what talking points various right wing media is spouting this week. They make all sorts of claims of how dirty this election will be, and how Democrats plan to cheat and steal the election. Is is just me, or this does not exactly sound like confidence to me. If they really expected to win, they would be telling people we need to accept the results no matter what they are. They would be telling everyone that this would be a "clean" and "clear cut" election in comparison to 2000. The fact that the spin has been aimed at making people QUESTION the results tells you that they expect a result that they will WANT people to question. Anyway Red Sox win the World Series, and John Kerry elected President, sure looks more and more likely with each passing day. I know for a fact that your friend is being overly optimistic.
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Post by dogfan on Oct 27, 2004 0:01:29 GMT -5
any optimism is good at this time. I of course dont put much faith on inside information. But I can always hope it is true.
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Post by Barefoot In Kailua on Oct 27, 2004 0:13:23 GMT -5
any optimism is good at this time. I of course dont put much faith on inside information. But I can always hope it is true. I wouldn't put too much into ncaavbfan's inside information. Consider the source "the Kerry campaign."
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Post by Gorf on Oct 27, 2004 0:16:45 GMT -5
Anyway Red Sox win the World Series, and John Kerry elected President, sure looks more and more likely with each passing day. “It's the Red Sox and the Cardinals, they're going to play each other in the World Series, well, for the first time since 1967. I mean, think about what life was like back then. It was really different. We had a bad economy, an unpopular war, the President was from Texas. Thank God those days are over.” -- Jay Leno
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vbfan
Sophomore
Posts: 221
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Post by vbfan on Oct 27, 2004 0:39:32 GMT -5
I really don't care if you believe me or not. I just posted the info for anyone who might be interested. The info my friend has given me in the past has been accurate so I'm inclined to believe him. If I turn out to be wrong, I will gladly admit it. (unlike Bush who never admits it when he makes a mistake)
Like I said the actions of Bush Co do not exactly exude confidence to me, I think they know that they are in trouble.
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Post by dogfan on Oct 27, 2004 0:48:17 GMT -5
well guys , we are going to know the truth soon enough
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Post by Barefoot In Kailua on Oct 27, 2004 3:25:48 GMT -5
I really don't care if you believe me or not. I just posted the info for anyone who might be interested. The info my friend has given me in the past has been accurate so I'm inclined to believe him. If I turn out to be wrong, I will gladly admit it. (unlike Bush who never admits it when he makes a mistake) Like I said the actions of Bush Co do not exactly exude confidence to me, I think they know that they are in trouble. I believe you got the information from your "insider" friend, and I believe he thinks what he told you is accurate. However, I don't believe it will be that easy for Kerry. Most polls including Gallop AND Zogby have Bush ahead. If you are wrong, you may admit it (It's not important) but I doubt you'll do it "gladly". The race is really up for grabs but I think the mood in the Bush camp is a little more light hearted than that of the Kerry camp right now. Only a week more before we find out, can't wait.
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Post by Gorf on Oct 27, 2004 6:40:44 GMT -5
I really like that Gallop poll BiK, I hear they really run away from the accuracy department. Perhaps its more of a trot or a canter though.
The Gallup Poll normalizes their results to a level of Republican voters that is higher than the generally accepted level of Republican voters so their results have at times been question as being suspect this year.
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Post by Barefoot In Kailua on Oct 27, 2004 11:12:28 GMT -5
I really like that Gallop poll BiK, I hear they really run away from the accuracy department. Perhaps its more of a trot or a canter though. The Gallup Poll normalizes their results to a level of Republican voters that is higher than the generally accepted level of Republican voters so their results have at times been question as being suspect this year. Patience Gorf. We don't have to wait very long to find out if all your anti -Bush postings made any type of difference. ;D
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Post by Gorf on Oct 27, 2004 11:16:42 GMT -5
Its probably the emails I've sent to GWB that will hurt him more in the polls than anything I've posted here.
"George, wear that special shirt during the first debate. It will make your shoulders look more like Ahnuld's shoulder instead of making you look like a girly man."
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