Final Trojan Bracketology (all matches concluded)

[trojansc]

Actually, I just said St. Mary's needs to schedule more OOC games. The WCC brought their RPI down, maybe they should have played at least 2-4 more OOC games.

[southie]

#9 seems way too high for Kansas, who might not even be seeded.

[trojansc]

Dec 1, 2013 8:59:35 GMT -5 southie said:

#9 seems way too high for Kansas, who might not even be seeded.

Committee had no problem putting Kansas at # 6 last year

[southie]

Dec 1, 2013 9:27:35 GMT -5 trojansc said:

Dec 1, 2013 8:59:35 GMT -5 southie said:

#9 seems way too high for Kansas, who might not even be seeded.

Committee had no problem putting Kansas at # 6 last year

Wasn't USC the #6 seed last year (opposite #3 Texas)? I thought Kansas was the #11 seed.

Overall, your bracket is the closest i've seen to what I envision.

[trojansc]

Dec 1, 2013 9:54:19 GMT -5 southie said:

Dec 1, 2013 9:27:35 GMT -5 trojansc said:

Committee had no problem putting Kansas at # 6 last year

Wasn't USC the #6 seed last year (opposite #3 Texas)? I thought Kansas was the #11 seed.

Overall, your bracket is the closest i've seen to what I envision.

You're right, #11. But even then thats too high, wichita state handled them. I expect KU to be seeeded

[d1volley]

Dec 1, 2013 8:59:35 GMT -5 southie said:

#9 seems way too high for Kansas, who might not even be seeded.

Yeah a little high for Kansas

[trojansc]

Alright everything is finalized. Brackets pairs seedings and at-larges. Just got to work not going to make any more changes on final predictions.

I'm probably going to be most off on seeding and subregional teams that travel 400+ miles because no host nearby. (Colorado, CSU, Utah, BYU)

I don't think I'll miss more than 2 at-larges. Butler and/or Tulsa may squeak in. But strictly based on a blind resume,
Miami is better than both of them. As are Colorado, and ASU. Heres to hoping the committee breaks the RPI sole criteria trend.

If anyone in LA wants to watch the selection show I work at a sports bar on the Westside.. could put on the selection show on a TV and talk volleyball with you. PM me.

[trojansc]

Well, could I get some credit again?

I predicted all at-large bids for (100% accuracy again)

I was correct that UCLA, Tulsa, and Butler did not get in..

Miami, Arizona State, and Colorado were better teams and did get in the tournament.

Can I be the official Volleytalk Bracketologist now? Well at least for at-larges. My seeding and pairings were a little off but every team was called correctly for the second year in a row!

[deacondive]

Dec 1, 2013 22:01:42 GMT -5 jgrout said:

Merry <participle deleted> Christmas, USC fans... you got one of the single-most undeserved seeds (vis a vi Stanford) that I have ever seen. The Women of Troy have multiple bad in-conference losses and are rewarded for them by avoiding Texas and Penn State in the regionals: a fate they deserved but unjustifiably avoided.

I hope Washington delivers the worst beating the Women of Troy have taken all season in front of all their home fans.

Remember it's really easy to beat USC three times in a season...oh wait

[trojansc]

Summary of Trojan Bracketology 2013:

At-Large Bids: 32 out of 32 (100%)
Seeding: 5 out of 16 (31%)
Subregional Teams: 19 out of 48 (40%)


pretty much the same as last year, except this year I tried to make an entire bracket. Seedings are so difficult to predict, but I feel like I have a handle on how the committee determines at-large bids.

Summary of 2012 Bracketology:

At-Large Bids: 32 out of 32 (100%)
Seeding: 5 out of 16 (31%)

[stc23]

With the in-depth bios you posted for all the bubble teams, along with explaining your reasoning for including or excluding each one, I thought your analysis was quite good, and noticed last night that all of the at-large teams matched your selections. Well done!

[trojansc]

Dec 2, 2013 13:43:13 GMT -5 stc23 said:

With the in-depth bios you posted for all the bubble teams, along with explaining your reasoning for including or excluding each one, I thought your analysis was quite good, and noticed last night that all of the at-large teams matched your selections. Well done!

Thank you.

When I saw Miami got a bid early in the selection show I felt a sigh of relief but worried for Colorado and ASU.

I thought for sure that ASU might have been out when the committee elected to send Arizona to San Diego but not Arizona State. (ASU is not only closer to San Diego but within 400 miles whereas Arizona is not) I thought Arizona might be shipped to Hawai'i (Which would have been interesting) but not ASU.

I'm still not sure why the committee didn't send ASU to San Diego and U of A to Hawai'i, considering that Arizona needs to fly to San Diego anyways.

[stc23]

Dec 3, 2013 3:33:03 GMT -5 trojansc said:

I thought for sure that ASU might have been out when the committee elected to send Arizona to San Diego but not Arizona State. (ASU is not only closer to San Diego but within 400 miles whereas Arizona is not) I thought Arizona might be shipped to Hawai'i (Which would have been interesting) but not ASU.

I'm still not sure why the committee didn't send ASU to San Diego and U of A to Hawai'i, considering that Arizona needs to fly to San Diego anyways.

Arizona to Hawaii and ASU to San Diego would have resulted in the following imbalance based on the final RPI:

Hawaii (17), Arizona (24), BYU (29), Idaho St (102)
USD (14), ASU (49), UCSB (60), NMSU (91)

It looks like the committee made a real effort to keep the sub-regionals as balanced as possible this year (at least according to RPI). I believe each sub-regional includes two teams from the RPI top 32.  I figure this is the explanation for both the Arizona/ASU assignments and the fact that a quality team is being flown into State College this year.