FINALIZED 2017 Bracketology (11/26)

[les]

Is Washington a lock at #8 or could they move up if they beat WSU and Minn loses to PSU?

[jasonr]

Nov 24, 2017 14:12:49 GMT -5 trojansc said:

Syracuse up 2-0 on Louisville. Pittsburgh probably going to win the ACC outright.

Louisville wins 15-12 in the 5th set. Louisville wins ACC title.

[trojansc]

Nov 24, 2017 15:29:19 GMT -5 jasonr said:

Nov 24, 2017 14:12:49 GMT -5 trojansc said:

Syracuse up 2-0 on Louisville. Pittsburgh probably going to win the ACC outright.

Louisville wins 15-12 in the 5th set. Louisville wins ACC title.

Only 4 AQ's left as Louisville completed the comeback! Very impressed with Syracuse' season

[badgerbreath]

When I saw Syracuse at KState in early September, they sometimes looked hapless. Good to see they turned it around.

[bluepenquin]

Nov 24, 2017 13:27:15 GMT -5 trojansc said:

Missouri desperately needs one of three things to happen or they might not make the tournament

(1) least likely, Missouri beats Florida
(2) most likely, LSU beats Tennessee (but Tennessee already beat LSU this year)
(3) toss-up, Auburn wins at Arkansas

I will be absolutely shocked if Missouri is not in the tournament.  They will be in the mid 30's in RPI and ~ 20 SOS.  

[bluepenquin]

Wichita State wins today and their RPI (figstats) drops from #9 to #15. I still have them at #17 RPI Future.

NC State win will have little impact on their RPI - sitting at #46 in RPI Futures - worse than High Point, Iowa, North Texas.

Just throwing this out there - Louisville could finish 19 or 20 (they are #23 in RPI Futures) - any chance they get a seed? I don't think so, but if we are looking for someone that no one is talking about. And they would easily have 3 drive-ins.

Florida State did it - winning their last 6 to get into the tournament. For the 1st time, RPI Futures (#40) has them higher than the current RPI (#41).

I am thinking there is a decent chance Pittsburgh doesn't go to Penn State. Pitt went their last year, and the committee tries to avoid back to back years. There are several other options for Penn State. I wouldn't be surprised to see VCU, James Madison, and a final throw in.

[Deleted]

Nov 24, 2017 15:51:01 GMT -5 bluepenquin said:

Nov 24, 2017 13:27:15 GMT -5 trojansc said:

Missouri desperately needs one of three things to happen or they might not make the tournament

(1) least likely, Missouri beats Florida
(2) most likely, LSU beats Tennessee (but Tennessee already beat LSU this year)
(3) toss-up, Auburn wins at Arkansas

I will be absolutely shocked if Missouri is not in the tournament.  They will be in the mid 30's in RPI and ~ 20 SOS.  

But they don't have any top 50 wins, if lsu loses to tenn.

[brybast]

Nov 24, 2017 16:07:24 GMT -5 @fetchin said:

Nov 24, 2017 15:51:01 GMT -5 bluepenquin said:

I will be absolutely shocked if Missouri is not in the tournament.  They will be in the mid 30's in RPI and ~ 20 SOS.  

But they don't have any top 50 wins, if lsu loses to tenn.

Auburn is currently #51 and could finish top 50 with a win at Arkansas.

[Deleted]

Nov 24, 2017 16:10:52 GMT -5 brybast said:

Nov 24, 2017 16:07:24 GMT -5 @fetchin said:

But they don't have any top 50 wins, if lsu loses to tenn.

Auburn is currently #51 and could finish top 50 with a win at Arkansas.

If they were a mid major no one would even be considering them for an at large with their lack of quality wins.

[bluepenquin]

Nov 24, 2017 16:07:24 GMT -5 @fetchin said:

Nov 24, 2017 15:51:01 GMT -5 bluepenquin said:

I will be absolutely shocked if Missouri is not in the tournament.  They will be in the mid 30's in RPI and ~ 20 SOS.  

But they don't have any top 50 wins, if lsu loses to tenn.

I understand - and I am not a bracketology expert - I would still be shocked.

How does '17 Missouri compare to the Miami team from a couple years ago that got a bid with a good RPI and weak resume?

[bluepenquin]

Nov 24, 2017 16:15:24 GMT -5 @fetchin said:

Nov 24, 2017 16:10:52 GMT -5 brybast said:

Auburn is currently #51 and could finish top 50 with a win at Arkansas.

If they were a mid major no one would even be considering them for an at large with their lack of quality wins.

I kind of agree with this - and they are not a mid major and that is why I think they are in.  Also, a mid major wouldn't have a #20 SOS.

[trojansc]

Nov 24, 2017 16:17:28 GMT -5 bluepenquin said:

Nov 24, 2017 16:07:24 GMT -5 @fetchin said:

But they don't have any top 50 wins, if lsu loses to tenn.

I understand - and I am not a bracketology expert - I would still be shocked.

How does '17 Missouri compare to the Miami team from a couple years ago that got a bid with a good RPI and weak resume?

Miami-FL (21-8, 14-4)
RPI: 28
OOC RPI: 38
Record v. Top 50: 1-6
Record v. 1-25 : 0-5
Record v. 26-50 : 1-1
Record v. 51-100: 6-2
Significant Wins: 47 Seton Hall
Significant Losses: NONE
LAST 10: 8-2



Miami had an RPI of 28, and Miami-FL was VERY glad that Seton Hall got hot out of nowhere. Seton Hall was not expected to be top 50, but they were hot late and ended up winning the Big East semifinal, which pushed them into the top 50. Seton Hall was the 2nd to last team in the NCAA (the committee acknowledged this on the broadcast).     

[trojansc]

Butler is out. No chance

[trojansc]

UGA down 2-0 to UK. Season on the line

[trojansc]

Two crucial bubble games starting in a few minutes..

Northwestern at Maryland - Must win for Maryland
LSU at Tennessee - Must win for LSU