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Post by jayj79 on Nov 29, 2019 1:21:01 GMT -5
This is the time of year when I really wish there was something akin to Rich Kern's "RKPI Estimator" that: 1) had up-to-date results and 2) allowed for more than one "what if" estimation (i.e. "what would the estimated R(K)PI be if Team A beat Team B and lost to Team C") so that people could speculate how the ratings for a team would look given various potential outcomes of those last couple matches (or the conference tournament)
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bluepenquin
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Post by bluepenquin on Nov 30, 2019 0:38:25 GMT -5
Here are the Futures going into Saturday:
1. Baylor 2. Texas 3. Pittsburgh 4. Stanford 5. Wisconsin 6. Kentucky 7. Washington 8. Florida 9. Nebraska 10. Marquette 11. Hawaii 12. Texas A&M 13. Minnesota 14. Penn State 15. Rice 16. Western Kentucky 17. BYU 18. Creighton 19. Missouri 20. Purdue 21. Utah 22. Cincinnati 23. Colorado State 24. UCF 25. Louisville 26. San Diego 27. UCLA 28. Stephen F. Austin 29. USC 30. Texas State 31. UCSB 32. Notre Dame 33. Georgia 34. Towson 35. Oklahoma 36. Cal Poly 37. Florida State 38. Northern Iowa 39. South Dakota 40. Michigan 41. Northern Kentucky 42. Dayton 43. Iowa State 44. Green Bay 45. South Carolina 46. Wright State 47. VCU 48. Illinois 49. Cal 50. Samford 51. Pepperdine 52. American 53. Coastal Carolina 54. Milwaukee 55. Georgia Tech 56. New Mexico State 57. James Madison 58. Washington State 59. Villanova 60. Arizona State 61. SMU 62. Ohio State 63. Wyoming 64. Florida Gulf Coast 65. Kennesaw State 66. Colorado 67. Yale 68. Colgate 69. Bowling Green 70. Denver 71. St. Johns 72. Grand Canyon 73. Tulane 74. Winthrop 75. Tennessee 76. Northern Colorado 77. LSU 78. Princeton 79. Illinois State 80. North Carolina 81. Ole Miss 82. East Tennessee State 83. Ball State 84. Weber State 85. Florida Atlantic 86. Army 87. Tulsa 88. Texas Tech 89. Troy University 90. UTSA 91. Arizona 92. Boise State 93. Marshall 94. Ohio 95. Illinois-Chicago 96. High Point 97. Kansas City 98. Miami-OH 99. Syracuse 100. Santa Clara 101. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 102. Sam Houston State 103. Iowa 104. Cornell 105. Michigan State 106. Loyola-Chicago 107. Northwestern 108. Oregon 109. Liberty 110. Fairfield 111. Saint Louis 112. UNLV 113. TCU 114. Kansas 115. Long Beach State 116. Houston 117. North Texas 118. LMU 119. Temple 120. Indiana 121. Morehead State 122. Oakland 123. Omaha 124. Wichita State 125. La Salle 126. Northern Arizona 127. UC Davis 128. South Alabama 129. Rutgers 130. UT Arlington 131. Jacksonville State 132. Navy 133. Southeast Missouri 134. Boston College 135. Maryland 136. Alabama 137. Hofstra 138. Central Michigan 139. Murray State 140. Duke 141. Saint Marys 142. UTEP 143. San Diego State 144. Northwestern State 145. Miami-FL 146. Arkansas State 147. Western Michigan 148. Albany 149. Cleveland State 150. Lipscomb 151. NC State 152. East Carolina 153. Buffalo 154. Oregon State 155. Clemson 156. Houston Baptist 157. Cal State Northridge 158. Butler 159. Louisiana-Lafayette 160. Robert Morris 161. Bradley 162. Akron 163. George Washington 164. West Virginia 165. Columbia 166. Arkansas 167. Appalachian State 168. Nevada 169. North Dakota State 170. Virginia 171. Northeastern 172. UAB 173. Sacramento State 174. Brown 175. Purdue Fort Wayne 176. Sacred Heart 177. Xavier 178. Memphis 179. Charlotte 180. UT Rio Grande Valley 181. Pacific 182. Central Arkansas 183. Utah Valley 184. DePaul 185. Loyola University Maryland 186. New Hampshire 187. Valparaiso 188. Fresno State 189. Middle Tennessee 190. Western Carolina 191. Cal Baptist 192. Kansas State 193. Montana State 194. Howard 195. Wake Forest 196. Elon 197. Mississippi State 198. UNCW 199. Southeastern Louisiana 200. Cal State Fullerton 201. Georgia State 202. Evansville 203. Florida International 204. Austin Peay 205. Hartford 206. Delaware 207. Kent State 208. UConn 209. Lehigh 210. Penn 211. Marist 212. Portland 213. Louisiana Tech 214. Campbell 215. Eastern Michigan 216. Youngstown State 217. Gonzaga 218. Idaho 219. Presbyterian 220. Virginia Tech 221. Harvard 222. San Jose State 223. Wofford 224. Georgetown 225. Fordham 226. Duquesne 227. New Mexico 228. Mercer 229. Southern Illinois 230. Stetson 231. IUPUI 232. Davidson 233. SIUE 234. Missouri State 235. Southern Utah 236. Stony Brook 237. College of Charleston 238. Auburn 239. Tennessee Tech 240. Dartmouth 241. Furman 242. Radford 243. Bryant 244. New Orleans 245. Charleston Southern 246. USF 247. Rhode Island 248. Toledo 249. Seattle 250. Long Island 251. UT Martin 252. Portland State 253. Northern Illinois 254. San Francisco 255. CSU Bakersfield 256. Bucknell 257. Georgia Southern 258. UNF 259. Central Connecticut State 260. Rider 261. Lamar 262. Air Force 263. Canisius 264. Drake 265. McNeese State 266. Indiana State 267. UC Irvine 268. UNC Asheville 269. Abilene Christian 270. Lafayette 271. North Carolina A&T 272. Quinnipiac 273. Incarnate Word 274. UNC Greensboro 275. Montana 276. Idaho State 277. Tennessee State 278. UC Riverside 279. North Dakota 280. William & Mary 281. Morgan State 282. Niagara 283. Nicholls State 284. Oral Roberts 285. Arkansas-Little Rock 286. Seton Hall 287. Chicago State 288. Holy Cross 289. Jacksonville 290. Eastern Kentucky 291. South Carolina Upstate 292. South Dakota State 293. Eastern Washington 294. Louisiana-Monroe 295. Southern Miss 296. UMBC 297. The Citadel 298. Providence 299. Utah State 300. Coppin State 301. Western Illinois 302. Jackson State 303. Alabama A&M 304. Chattanooga 305. North Alabama 306. George Mason 307. Prairie View A&M 308. Alabama State 309. St. Francis-Brooklyn 310. Hampton 311. Maryland Eastern Shore 312. Gardner-Webb 313. Eastern Illinois 314. Siena 315. Florida A&M 316. Belmont 317. Iona 318. Bethune-Cookman 319. North Carolina Central 320. NJIT 321. Delaware State 322. Southern 323. Manhattan College 324. Binghamton 325. Texas Southern 326. Arkansas-Pine Bluff 327. St. Francis-PA 328. Saint Peters 329. Norfolk State 330. Fairleigh Dickinson 331. Grambling State 332. Alcorn State 333. South Carolina State 334. Merrimack College 335. Mississippi Valley State
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Post by Boof1224 on Nov 30, 2019 0:44:17 GMT -5
If that’s the way the seedings went I’d love that for psu.
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Post by nakedcrayon on Nov 30, 2019 0:45:00 GMT -5
How far does TAMU go up with a win over Florida and how far do they drop with a loss?
I know it will be dependent on other results but the bubble for the 14-16th seeds seems to be becoming bigger
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Post by huskerrob on Nov 30, 2019 5:15:33 GMT -5
what happens if Denver beats Colorado St. today? How far will Denver rise and will that affect Nebraska & South Dakota greatly?
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bluepenquin
Hall of Fame
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Post by bluepenquin on Nov 30, 2019 10:43:51 GMT -5
Texas wins today - 86% chance of finishing #2 and 14% of finishing #3. Lose, and 94% chance of finishing #5 and 6% chance of finishing #4
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bluepenquin
Hall of Fame
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Post by bluepenquin on Nov 30, 2019 10:45:04 GMT -5
Pittsburgh - 28% chance of finishing #2 and 72% chance of finishing #3
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bluepenquin
Hall of Fame
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Post by bluepenquin on Nov 30, 2019 10:46:12 GMT -5
Stanford - 19% chance of finishing #3 and 81% chance of finishing #4
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bluepenquin
Hall of Fame
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Post by bluepenquin on Nov 30, 2019 10:48:42 GMT -5
Wisconsin - 97% chance of winning today and if they win:
18% chance of finishing #4 and 82% chance of finishing #5, One time they finished #3 out of 483.
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bluepenquin
Hall of Fame
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Post by bluepenquin on Nov 30, 2019 10:50:48 GMT -5
Kentucky a 92% chance of winning. If they win:
3% chance of finishing #5, 90% chance of finishing #6, and 7% chance of finishing #7
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Post by Badger13 on Nov 30, 2019 10:54:22 GMT -5
What would the ACC teams look like and their placement location for the Tournament ?
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bluepenquin
Hall of Fame
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Post by bluepenquin on Nov 30, 2019 10:57:50 GMT -5
39% chance that Kentucky, Washington, Florida, and Nebraska all win today. It that happens:
Kentucky finishing 5th (3%), 6th (84%), 7th (13%). Florida finishes 6th (13%), 7th (85%), 8th (2%). Washington finishes 7th (2%) and 8th (98%). Nebraska finishes 9th (100%)
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bluepenquin
Hall of Fame
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Post by bluepenquin on Nov 30, 2019 11:06:43 GMT -5
Marquette wins - they finish between 9th and 12 with an average of 10.5. If they lose, they will finish 12th or 13th with an average of 12.4.
Hawaii will finish between 10 and 13 with an average rank of 11.6.
Texas A&M if they win will finish between 7th and 11th with an average rank of 9.2. If they lose then they will finish between 11th and 14th with an average of 13.1.
Minnesota wins, they will finish between 9th and 13th with an avg rank of 10.7. If they lose then they will finish between 13th and 17th with an average rank of 14.2.
Penn State wins, then finish between 10th and 13th with and avg rank of 11.8. If they lose then 13th thru 17th with avg of 15.8
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Post by jayj79 on Nov 30, 2019 11:09:35 GMT -5
Wisconsin - 97% chance of winning today and if they win: 18% chance of finishing #4 and 82% chance of finishing #5, One time they finished #3 out of 483. I thought it was a Big Ten bylaw that if a team loses to Rutgers, they are ineligible for postseason play
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Post by Kingsley on Nov 30, 2019 11:12:02 GMT -5
Wisconsin - 97% chance of winning today and if they win: 18% chance of finishing #4 and 82% chance of finishing #5, One time they finished #3 out of 483. I thought it was a Big Ten bylaw that if a team loses to Rutgers, they are ineligible for postseason play If Rutgers beats Wisconsin, I will give everyone on this thread $100.
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