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Post by tamz on Mar 4, 2020 22:26:06 GMT -5
(inspired by the poll from the Indoor Volley threads)
It's already March and this coronavirus seems to be unstoppable.
It's calming down in China but spreading towards the rest of the world where many different countries are having outbreaks.
What is/will be the solution to the Summer Olympics being held as planned where people from all over the world will be gathered in Tokyo for a short amount of time?
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Post by cbrmatt on Mar 4, 2020 22:42:13 GMT -5
Even though the coronavirus is not nearly as bad as the media is making it out to be I have a hard time believing that the Olympics will take place as scheduled in July. Not sure what exactly is going to transpire whether it be cancelled, postponed, or moved to a new host city (probably the least likely scenario). I feel awful for the athletes. Beach volleyball is a perfect example. This sport becomes noteable and prime time for two weeks every four years and if the Olympics get cancelled, all that is gone. So many other sports experience those brief moments of popularity and that will all be gone due to a flu that causes shortness of breath and has a death rate .02% amongst healthy people that didn't have a prior major medical issue.
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Post by sonofdogman on Mar 5, 2020 0:08:45 GMT -5
I think it will go on as scheduled as of now. Too early to make a prediction about what effect the pandemic will have on the games, but I would expect some minor adjustments including additional spectator guidelines to follow for health precautions and possibly some roster changes to teams from certain things of the globe.
Agree with IOC member Dick Pound who suggests mid to late May is the timeframe when the decision can and will be made.
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Post by KAP on Mar 5, 2020 8:22:55 GMT -5
I think that now that the virus has spread out of mainland China, we will learn a lot more about it. The biggest fear was of the unknown. China is not the best with sharing information, with it's own people or the rest of the world, so now that the best doctors and researchers in the world can examine it, I don't think that it's going to be as big of a deal. It is looking more and more like a strong seasonal flu strain, not this super killer. I would be surprised if the Olympics get rescheduled, and shocked if they got canceled altogether.
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Post by ajm on Mar 5, 2020 9:00:13 GMT -5
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Post by dunninla3 on Mar 5, 2020 12:18:34 GMT -5
I think that now that the virus has spread out of mainland China, we will learn a lot more about it. The biggest fear was of the unknown. China is not the best with sharing information, with it's own people or the rest of the world, so now that the best doctors and researchers in the world can examine it, I don't think that it's going to be as big of a deal. It is looking more and more like a strong seasonal flu strain, not this super killer. I would be surprised if the Olympics get rescheduled, and shocked if they got canceled altogether. If that is the case, (BTW where did you read that?), then most government interventions will melt away over the next month. I've just done a quick google search, and found this article which is written to be easy to understand for a non-medical person. www.usnews.com/news/health-news/articles/2020-03-02/is-coronavirus-really-like-the-flu-heres-a-comparisonI agree with your underlying idea that it is not a super killer, nor will it ever be. I was encouraged by the report that there is not one single reported death to a person under the age of 10. This implies to me that the concerns for Corona Virus are about the same as for a newer flu strain... immune imparied and elderly are the at-risk populations... pretty much the same for flu.
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Post by bvffr on Mar 17, 2020 14:17:18 GMT -5
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Post by bvffr on Mar 17, 2020 14:21:37 GMT -5
To date, 57 per cent of the athletes are already qualified for the Games. For the remaining 43 per cent of places, the IOC will work with the IFs to make any necessary and practical adaptations to their respective qualification systems for Tokyo 2020, in line with the following principles:
1. All quota places that have already been allocated to date remain allocated to the NOCs and athletes that obtained them.
2. The possibility remains to use existing and scheduled qualification events, wherever these still have fair access for all athletes and teams.
3. All necessary adaptations to qualification systems and all allocation of remaining places will be:
a) based on on-field results (e.g. IF ranking or historical results); and
b) reflect where possible the existing principles of the respective qualification systems (e.g. use of rankings or continental/regional specific event results)
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Post by vb1999 on Mar 18, 2020 20:05:31 GMT -5
To date, 57 per cent of the athletes are already qualified for the Games. For the remaining 43 per cent of places, the IOC will work with the IFs to make any necessary and practical adaptations to their respective qualification systems for Tokyo 2020, in line with the following principles: 1. All quota places that have already been allocated to date remain allocated to the NOCs and athletes that obtained them. 2. The possibility remains to use existing and scheduled qualification events, wherever these still have fair access for all athletes and teams. 3. All necessary adaptations to qualification systems and all allocation of remaining places will be: a) based on on-field results (e.g. IF ranking or historical results); and b) reflect where possible the existing principles of the respective qualification systems (e.g. use of rankings or continental/regional specific event results) The setting is a very tight and many events indoor that could be troublesome for this situation with the masses. Is 57% enough?
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Post by swift on Mar 20, 2020 5:35:02 GMT -5
Even though the coronavirus is not nearly as bad as the media is making it out to be I have a hard time believing that the Olympics will take place as scheduled in July. Not sure what exactly is going to transpire whether it be cancelled, postponed, or moved to a new host city (probably the least likely scenario). I feel awful for the athletes. Beach volleyball is a perfect example. This sport becomes noteable and prime time for two weeks every four years and if the Olympics get cancelled, all that is gone. So many other sports experience those brief moments of popularity and that will all be gone due to a flu that causes shortness of breath and has a death rate .02% amongst healthy people that didn't have a prior major medical issue. That's what people here in Europ said too a couple of weeks ago: "Not even as bad as a regular flu", "media is overreacting", "only the old and weak"... but now hospitals are packed, also young and previously healthy people suddenly need artificial respiration, docotors and nurses are gettin sick too etc. While everybody else has to stay at home and most busineses are closed. Believe me this is no joke!
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Post by sonofdogman on Mar 20, 2020 12:58:23 GMT -5
With this sore throat and fever, I'm wanting to change my vote.
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Post by dunninla3 on Mar 20, 2020 13:36:23 GMT -5
The missing Option is "Held this year, but delayed until October." which would be my vote. If Covid-19 starts on the downward curve of new cases in most countries by May, which I doubt, then late July would have worked but organizers can't wait until late May to make that call. They need to push back two months now, so everyone can plan, and push another month if necessary in July.
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Post by dunninla3 on Mar 20, 2020 13:41:39 GMT -5
With this sore throat and fever, I'm wanting to change my vote. I know of a few family members... call it 15%, who are in their 20s and didn't think it important to self isolate, who have had it, and are now fine. The key to this spread is 15-30 year olds who irresponsibly pass the virus around, without considering how their becoming Carriers (especially the approx. 7 days of passing the virus around before they see symptions) would affect vulnerable populations. Almost like.."it's just a flu to me, so fck it."
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Post by guest2 on Mar 20, 2020 14:08:07 GMT -5
With this sore throat and fever, I'm wanting to change my vote. Me too but I'm assuming it's seasonal for now. No chance Olympics happen now, it's just hitting Africa and South America now, and there are a ton of other potential Hotspot - India for example - that are almost certain to blow up at some point but haven't. So far it's only been big in places very well suited to deal with it
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Post by fetchin on Mar 20, 2020 17:22:46 GMT -5
2021 is looking likely.
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