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Post by Deleted on Mar 29, 2020 21:58:38 GMT -5
I remain optimistic. Agree on the effective therapy being a game changer, and one we really need. I will only believe the virus will shut down fall season if we get to July and August and are still rolling a rock up hill.
In terms of the upcoming season, definite advantage to teams with experience. Especially experienced setters.
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Post by cindra on Mar 29, 2020 21:59:00 GMT -5
Most pandemics (if immunity is acquired, which we dont know) burn out within 6 months. Lowering the curve can extend this and minimize deaths, but I wouldn't be surprised if June is the "opening up" time of a majority of the country, again assuming acquired immunity and that it goes away in the summer.
This doesn't change the fact that it might come back in waves until we have a vaccine, but the majority of deaths will have occurred by May.
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Post by maplespear on Mar 30, 2020 5:29:11 GMT -5
They had a Johns Hopkins professor on today who said that Pandemics never last more than 3 months in one place. Assuming people who have the disease are then immune, once enough people have been infected it's much harder for the disease to spread. Most of the country should be in the thick of this by the start of April, it would seem that this should be resolved by July, in time to get things put back on track for September. Thatβs a scenario I believe most of the planet could live with. Except for Kroger supermarkets, they making a fortune.
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Post by blastingsand on Mar 31, 2020 12:08:40 GMT -5
They say it's still not that height of getting worse, so it's supposed to be as bad as everyone having the virus. It seems like we won't have anything going, movies, sports, or jobs for the next five years. I'd guess on the outside...if we are being super pessimistic/ultra-cautious would be 2 years. Never seen predictions/models calling for 5 yrs. 18 mths for a vaccine, less probably for treatment. I try to be in the optimist/realist range. 5 yrs? Where the heck did you come up with that number? It's the unprecedented apocalyptic news we keep hearing, and I was over-exaggerating because they seem to not give any light at the end of the tunnel. I'm hoping 3 month rule someone mentioned holds true.
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Post by akbar on Mar 31, 2020 12:34:30 GMT -5
Kirk Herbstreit flatout said NCAA DI Football may not happen.
So the chips fall BIGTIME from there. Other sports season, budgets, positions, tv money.
Life will never be the same.
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Post by n00b on Mar 31, 2020 13:38:36 GMT -5
Kirk Herbstreit flatout said NCAA DI Football may not happen. This is a weird sentence. flat out - without hesitation or reservation; unequivocally I don't think you can say something 'flat out' if you include the word 'may' in there.
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Post by winesalot on Mar 31, 2020 13:40:43 GMT -5
I'd guess on the outside...if we are being super pessimistic/ultra-cautious would be 2 years. Never seen predictions/models calling for 5 yrs. 18 mths for a vaccine, less probably for treatment. I try to be in the optimist/realist range. 5 yrs? Where the heck did you come up with that number? It's the unprecedented apocalyptic news we keep hearing, and I was over-exaggerating because they seem to not give any light at the end of the tunnel. I'm hoping 3 month rule someone mentioned holds true. Ah okay, I gotcha! I was trying to play it cool, but I was getting a little nervous that you had some scary, epidemiologist insider info. I think we're all hoping for 3 months!
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Post by hammer on Mar 31, 2020 14:17:24 GMT -5
Kirk Herbstreit flatout said NCAA DI Football may not happen. This is a weird sentence. flat out - without hesitation or reservation; unequivocally I don't think you can say something 'flat out' if you include the word 'may' in there. Again, that may depend upon whether there is "game changer" therapeutic. Barring that, when do teams start practicing, around August 1st? Let's say on June 1 most areas of the country have peaked and cases are dropping off quickly, then playing games in empty stadiums seems doable. Playing games with stadiums 1/4 full, people wearing masks and gloves, might be doable too, but that would be a real buzzkill.
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Post by akbar on Mar 31, 2020 14:30:31 GMT -5
Kirk Herbstreit flatout said NCAA DI Football may not happen. This is a weird sentence. flat out - without hesitation or reservation; unequivocally I don't think you can say something 'flat out' if you include the word 'may' in there. Ummmmm....5 weeks ago I would agree, apologize and edit but all things considered in our world as it stands, the wording is appropriate. π€―
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Post by akbar on Mar 31, 2020 14:36:42 GMT -5
This is a weird sentence. flat out - without hesitation or reservation; unequivocally I don't think you can say something 'flat out' if you include the word 'may' in there. Again, that may depend upon whether there is "game changer" therapeutic. Barring that, when do teams start practicing, around August 1st? Let's say on June 1 most areas of the country have peaked and cases are dropping off quickly, then playing games in empty stadiums seems doable. Playing games with stadiums 1/4 full, people wearing masks and gloves, might be doable too, but that would be a real buzzkill. Summer college session are realistically in jeopardy which means empty campuses, no camps, and athletes loading up on carbs all summer long barely raising their heartbeats above 75 despite all their Instagram posts. A coaches nightmare for every fall sport. Its a distinct possibility. π
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Post by cindra on Mar 31, 2020 15:19:36 GMT -5
Again, that may depend upon whether there is "game changer" therapeutic. Barring that, when do teams start practicing, around August 1st? Let's say on June 1 most areas of the country have peaked and cases are dropping off quickly, then playing games in empty stadiums seems doable. Playing games with stadiums 1/4 full, people wearing masks and gloves, might be doable too, but that would be a real buzzkill. Summer college session are realistically in jeopardy which means empty campuses, no camps, and athletes loading up on carbs all summer long barely raising their heartbeats above 75 despite all their Instagram posts. A coaches nightmare for every fall sport. Its a distinct possibility. π Summer is online for a lot of places at this point. Unsure whether campuses will open back up to regular business but there certainly won't be classes at many institutions.
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Post by n00b on Mar 31, 2020 15:32:13 GMT -5
This is a weird sentence. flat out - without hesitation or reservation; unequivocally I don't think you can say something 'flat out' if you include the word 'may' in there. Again, that may depend upon whether there is "game changer" therapeutic. Barring that, when do teams start practicing, around August 1st? Let's say on June 1 most areas of the country have peaked and cases are dropping off quickly, then playing games in empty stadiums seems doable. Playing games with stadiums 1/4 full, people wearing masks and gloves, might be doable too, but that would be a real buzzkill. But TV ratings would be off the charts. And that drives most of those schools' revenue.
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Post by n00b on Mar 31, 2020 15:33:34 GMT -5
Again, that may depend upon whether there is "game changer" therapeutic. Barring that, when do teams start practicing, around August 1st? Let's say on June 1 most areas of the country have peaked and cases are dropping off quickly, then playing games in empty stadiums seems doable. Playing games with stadiums 1/4 full, people wearing masks and gloves, might be doable too, but that would be a real buzzkill. Summer college session are realistically in jeopardy which means empty campuses, no camps, and athletes loading up on carbs all summer long barely raising their heartbeats above 75 despite all their Instagram posts. A coaches nightmare for every fall sport. Its a distinct possibility. π AKA, business as usual for about one-third of Division I programs and nearly 100% of D2s and D3s.
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Post by uncommitted on Mar 31, 2020 17:13:49 GMT -5
Summer college session are realistically in jeopardy which means empty campuses, no camps, and athletes loading up on carbs all summer long barely raising their heartbeats above 75 despite all their Instagram posts. A coaches nightmare for every fall sport. Its a distinct possibility. π AKA, business as usual for about one-third of Division I programs and nearly 100% of D2s and D3s. Correct. My daughter plays mid-level D1 (50-75 RPI) and her coach never has them do summer school. Her report day for this fall is August 10. Hoping that happens. π€. Kid #2 was supposed to leave June 18th. Iβm less optimistic about that date.
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Post by akbar on Mar 31, 2020 17:54:12 GMT -5
AKA, business as usual for about one-third of Division I programs and nearly 100% of D2s and D3s. Correct. My daughter plays mid-level D1 (50-75 RPI) and her coach never has them do summer school. Her report day for this fall is August 10. Hoping that happens. π€. Kid #2 was supposed to leave June 18th. Iβm less optimistic about that date. Eh, No. I would argue "not" to the Business As Usual comment. Summer camps are crucial to all coaches recruiting, development for rostered players playing in the evening and most definitely $$ for often the underpaid staff and we would be hard pressed to find a DI, DII and even DIII school that doesnt run clinics and camps. Again, I HOPE this doesn't come to fruition but the "all ok" from State Governments will take a while to open, let alone College/University trustees (not named Liberty....check that)
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