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Post by secgator4 on Apr 19, 2021 0:12:14 GMT -5
If Wisconsin passes like it did vs BYU in set 1 then Florida will win. Wisconsin and Ohio State played 3,094 points in the BIG Ten vs common Opponents Ohio State won: 52.7% of their points Wisconsin won: 59.1% of their points Sorry, I'm clearly slow and definitely tired. What are you trying to say here? I need it spelled out lol. I appreciate the data/research a lot, just want to understand your point and the math. Wisconsin is 6.4% better?
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Post by JJVb on Apr 19, 2021 0:13:39 GMT -5
I'm going Wisconsin, but would also be happy for Florida to win. Rettke needs to be on this match though.
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Post by bucky415 on Apr 19, 2021 0:47:26 GMT -5
Wisconsin has never beaten Florida, with 5 set eliminations in 1997 and 2015. Time for that to change! I hope it does, and then to be able to wear my Wisconsin volleyball gear proudly in Gainesville when I go to get some good beer and give post pandemic worthy tips (everyone in the industry lost money through no fault of their own) the next time I can safely visit the folks in Florida!
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Post by badgerbreath on Apr 19, 2021 1:49:31 GMT -5
The badgers can win without Rettke. In fact, if the badgers have to depend on her, that's when they lose. They learned that lesson in 2018. If Wise was wise, she would take out the outsides and force the badgers through the middle. Let Rettke have hers, try to take away the rest. That's the way to beat the badgers. It will take a dominant serving game, and they have to be efficient, because the badgers can win ugly if teams force that issue.
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Post by rainbowbadger on Apr 19, 2021 4:57:01 GMT -5
Florida sure had Ohio State’s number last night. Youth and inexperience bit the Buckeyes in the butt. They just ran out of gas and didn’t know how to make adjustments.
I can confidently say that I have NO FREAKING CLUE what will happen tonight. None. Zip. Zilch. Crossing my fingers this goes our way.
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Post by Deleted on Apr 19, 2021 5:37:22 GMT -5
A month ago, Florida struggled to win in 5 against Kentucky and then got swept by them. Wisconsin is slightly better than Kentucky. Badgers in 4.
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Post by arcticferret on Apr 19, 2021 6:35:09 GMT -5
NCAA are dopes for not having both sweet sixteen matches on the same day. A big disservice to Florida.
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Post by BuckysHeat on Apr 19, 2021 6:36:33 GMT -5
Rhamat Alhassan makes a guest appearance in the Florida lineup. Gators in five. Having nightmares now, thank you for that
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Post by PeoriaBucky on Apr 19, 2021 7:51:24 GMT -5
I hadn't seen Florida play this year until last night. Good Lord, they are HUGE! Will be interesting to see how the Badgers attack that. I'm glad we have Hilley, she will have to do her best to get the Florida front line going the wrong way as much as possible. Passing will need to be on tonight.
I can't watch the match because it's on @&^%#$%! ESPNU, the one ESPN channel I don't get in my cable package. IHeart Radio it is, at least Jon Arias is a good announcer.
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Post by ndodge on Apr 19, 2021 8:02:38 GMT -5
I hadn't seen Florida play this year until last night. Good Lord, they are HUGE! Will be interesting to see how the Badgers attack that. I'm glad we have Hilley, she will have to do her best to get the Florida front line going the wrong way as much as possible. Passing will need to be on tonight. I can't watch the match because it's on @&^%#$%! ESPNU, the one ESPN channel I don't get in my cable package. IHeart Radio it is, at least Jon Arias is a good announcer. I’d try a test and login to the watch ESPN site with your cable login to see if you can watch ESPN U content via that route
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Post by BuckysHeat on Apr 19, 2021 8:05:32 GMT -5
Gator outsides are going to have a hard time with Robinson/Rettke/Hart facing them. Hilley is a pretty good blocking setter, she will need to step it up to keep Hall and Caesar in check. On the other side though, Carlton should have an advantage over Loberg/Haggerty. Haggerty has lived on the roll and tip so far, Florida does an excellent job of covering that area so she may need a set to adjust. Badger serving is much tougher than the gators as long as Barnes and Ashburn can minimize their serving errors. McKissock is an excellent libero and solidly covers a large portion of the court competently but Barnes and Civita are equal to the task.
There is no clear advantage on blocking as both teams average 2.7/set, however Wisconsin hits on average a half point higher (.347 vs.288).
So far this year, the Badgers have started out slowly and picked up steam as the match went along. Their opponents have averaged 19 first set points vs 15 in sets 2 and 3 (in their 3-0 sweeps). Wis did drop 3 sets this year - two at 25-21, one at 25-22.
Florida on the other hand gives up more points as the match goes along. In their Spring 3-0 sweeps, their opponents have averaged 18.3 --> 19.6 --> 19.9 in sets 1-3. They have played two 5 set matches, two 4 set matches and were swept by Kentucky on 3/20. However as seen last night vs OSU, the gators were able to outlast an OSU team who appeared to have become completely exhausted.
I am anticipating a Wis win here with the Gators winning the first set before the Badgers regroup and take the next three. The ghosts of Rhamat/Holston will be exorcised tonight.
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Post by SportyBucky on Apr 19, 2021 8:38:57 GMT -5
I hadn't seen Florida play this year until last night. Good Lord, they are HUGE! Will be interesting to see how the Badgers attack that. I'm glad we have Hilley, she will have to do her best to get the Florida front line going the wrong way as much as possible. Passing will need to be on tonight. I can't watch the match because it's on @&^%#$%! ESPNU, the one ESPN channel I don't get in my cable package. IHeart Radio it is, at least Jon Arias is a good announcer. We are a little more diverse an offense that certainly runs faster than what Ohio State was able to run last night. We also have a much better range of shots, particularly from the outside. While I like that, I'm a little worried about FL's size and their passing. I hadn't seen them pass that well against KY this season (the matches I was able to watch). I think the Badger service is pretty good. Needs to be on.
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Post by eov4nu on Apr 19, 2021 8:42:11 GMT -5
I think Florida's size and athleticism will frustrate and could beat the Badgers. They haven't seen anything like this really this season, the only B1G opponent they got to play that was in the top four was a depleted Minnesota team. I agree they are playing at a really high level but I was quite impressed by the Gators last night.
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Post by vballvball on Apr 19, 2021 8:51:15 GMT -5
A month ago, Florida struggled to win in 5 against Kentucky and then got swept by them. Wisconsin is slightly better than Kentucky. Badgers in 4. let’s not forget Madison Lilley was cramping that match and was taken out. She returned at the end of set four, but couldn’t move very well and did not jump set or jump float serve for the remainder of the match. It was highly likely that with a healthy Lilley, Kentucky would have won match one as well. Florida has gotten so much better in the last few months though. With the addition of Lauren Forte, they’ve actually had a middle hitter offense that they had been without in the fall. They can match Wisconsin’s physicality, I think it just comes down to serving and passing (for both teams).
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Post by vbkahuna on Apr 19, 2021 9:05:29 GMT -5
This is definitely a heavyweight battle. And Florida has the size and power to at least match Wisconsin blow for blow. That Rettke slide that Wisconsin uses to get automatic points over smaller opponents is going to be contested, and the blocking wall by Florida gets closed just a little quicker than Wisconsin's. This could go either way. The edge will likely be determined more by the serving and passing games than by the hitting. Also, Wisconsin has pretty much cruised so far and hasn't been put under pressure and it will be interesting to see what happens if they get behind. Factoring everything, I give Florida the edge.
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