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Post by pbmu on Apr 20, 2021 12:00:01 GMT -5
The meltdowns on this thread if UW pulls this out 😂
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Post by machura on Apr 20, 2021 12:20:54 GMT -5
Crazier things have happened then a good, not great, Washington team, pulling an upset over Kentucky in its first ever final four. If they can win the serve and pass battle they have a shot. I think Kentucky will win, but let's not kid ourselves that Washington is a bum of a team. I don’t think Washington is a bad team. I’ve been super harsh about them recently because they have been very lucky with their draw and the Louisville implosion. The problem is they simply don’t have the passing to keep up against the elite teams or the OOS bangers you need to make up for it and that will catch up to you eventually Then you can relax. Because Washington has negative chance of beating your beloved team.
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Post by Disc808 on Apr 20, 2021 12:21:45 GMT -5
UW, do your best to make this a 70 page thread lol
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Post by Sooners1822 on Apr 20, 2021 12:28:08 GMT -5
Crazier things have happened then a good, not great, Washington team, pulling an upset over Kentucky in its first ever final four. If they can win the serve and pass battle they have a shot. I think Kentucky will win, but let's not kid ourselves that Washington is a bum of a team. I don’t think Washington is a bad team. I’ve been super harsh about them recently because they have been very lucky with their draw and the Louisville implosion. The problem is they simply don’t have the passing to keep up against the elite teams or the OOS bangers you need to make up for it and that will catch up to you eventually Agreed. Their draw to the FF has been nice...and more importantly like you said if it does become a match in which their pins need to terminate regularly OOS then I don't think they have a shot whereas UK can still terminate in those situations more efficiently. BUT if they can stay insys and knock UK off the net, they have a glimmer of hope.
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Post by redbeard2008 on Apr 20, 2021 12:52:46 GMT -5
Washington has 0 chance. Even if they make it past Kentucky. If you can serve tough and block you have a chance in any match. It is hard to compare their stats, since neither team played out of conference. Five Pac-12 teams made the Tournament and four were seeded, compared to three and two for the SEC. UW did not play Wazzu and Kentucky did not play Missouri. So, it looks like UW has faced tougher competition. So far, UW has survived by serving very tough: Season: UK 1.59sa/2.17se UW 1.68sa/2.24se Tournament: UW: Dayton: 5s 9sa 6se Louisville: 5s 8sa 5se Pitt: 5s 9sa 6se Total: 15s 26sa 17se or +9 Per Set: 1.73sa 1.13se or +0.60 UK: UNLV: 3s 2sa 6se WKU: 3s 2sa 6se Purdue: 3s 5sa 7se Total: 9s 9sa 19se or -10 Per Set: 1.00sa 2.11se or -1.11 Differential/Set: +1.71 (UW) 2019 (UW 3 UK 1): UW 9sa 6se or +3 UK 7sa 9se or -2 Differential +5 (UW)
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Post by ilikecorn on Apr 20, 2021 12:57:13 GMT -5
Go Dawgs!
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Post by vballvball on Apr 20, 2021 13:04:06 GMT -5
If you can serve tough and block you have a chance in any match. It is hard to compare their stats, since neither team played out of conference. Five Pac-12 teams made the Tournament and four were seeded, compared to three and two for the SEC. UW did not play Wazzu and Kentucky did not play Missouri. So, it looks like UW has faced tougher competition. So far, UW has survived by serving very tough: Season: UK 1.59sa/2.17se UW 1.68sa/2.24se Tournament: UW: Dayton: 5s 9sa 6se Louisville: 5s 8sa 5se Pitt: 5s 9sa 6se Total: 15s 26sa 17se or +11 Per Set: 1.73sa 1.13se or +0.60 UK: UNLV: 3s 2sa 6se WKU: 3s 2sa 6se Purdue: 3s 5sa 7se Total: 9s 9sa 19se or -10 Per Set: 1.00sa 2.11se or -1.11 Differential/Set: +1.71 (UW) 2019 (UW 3 UK 1): UW 9sa 6se or +3 UK 7sa 9se or -2 Differential +5 (UW) Kentucky played Missouri in the fall twice and won both in four sets.
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Post by bbg95 on Apr 20, 2021 13:04:58 GMT -5
I think Kentucky should win, but the X-factor is them playing in their first Final Four. It's hard to predict how teams will react to that environment.
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Post by donut on Apr 20, 2021 13:06:31 GMT -5
If you can serve tough and block you have a chance in any match. It is hard to compare their stats, since neither team played out of conference. Five Pac-12 teams made the Tournament and four were seeded, compared to three and two for the SEC. UW did not play Wazzu and Kentucky did not play Missouri. So, it looks like UW has faced tougher competition. So far, UW has survived by serving very tough: Season: UK 1.59sa/2.17se UW 1.68sa/2.24se Tournament: UW: Dayton: 5s 9sa 6se Louisville: 5s 8sa 5se Pitt: 5s 9sa 6se Total: 15s 26sa 17se or +11 Per Set: 1.73sa 1.13se or +0.60 UK: UNLV: 3s 2sa 6se WKU: 3s 2sa 6se Purdue: 3s 5sa 7se Total: 9s 9sa 19se or -10 Per Set: 1.00sa 2.11se or -1.11 Differential/Set: +1.71 (UW) 2019 (UW 3 UK 1): UW 9sa 6se or +3 UK 7sa 9se or -2 Differential +5 (UW) This analysis...
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Post by redbeard2008 on Apr 20, 2021 13:13:35 GMT -5
Well, more terminal pins anyways. Not from the middles, they’re too inconsistent for Washington. We’ll have to see how that even translates vs Kentucky though, the pins can be neutralized wait hold on. UK’s 3 pins all have higher hit % than UW’s. Stumler, A. Skinner, and M. Skinner all hit .339, .366, and .389 respectively. Hoffman, Drechsel, and Endsley are all hitting .233, .279, and .212. Apples and Oranges, considering the competition. UW has played three opponents (6 matches) who made the tourney (Oregon, UCLA, Utah), while UK has played two (Florida and Missouri).
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Post by redbeard2008 on Apr 20, 2021 13:18:33 GMT -5
Kentucky played Missouri in the fall twice and won both in four sets. Thanks. Fixed it. Doesn't effect the analysis, however.
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Post by redbeard2008 on Apr 20, 2021 13:21:09 GMT -5
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Post by donut on Apr 20, 2021 13:27:01 GMT -5
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Post by ltdks01 on Apr 20, 2021 14:00:06 GMT -5
wait hold on. UK’s 3 pins all have higher hit % than UW’s. Stumler, A. Skinner, and M. Skinner all hit .339, .366, and .389 respectively. Hoffman, Drechsel, and Endsley are all hitting .233, .279, and .212. Apples and Oranges, considering the competition. UW has played three opponents (8 matches) who made the tourney (Oregon, UCLA, Utah), while UK has played two (Florida and Missouri). and I agree with that point. I’m actually surprised no one had brought it up sooner. I suppose our best indicator would be their hitting pct in the tournament
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Post by basil on Apr 20, 2021 14:05:17 GMT -5
how much do y’all think Kentucky, and Stumler in particular, thinks about that UW match from last season? Think Kentucky comes out really strong here. Washington’s gotta find a way to hang in. Tough serving will help.
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