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Post by curiousvolleyballdad on Nov 16, 2021 17:54:46 GMT -5
Kansas State needs to win just 1 of their last 4. 2 of the 4 will be at Texas - outside winning one of those, they will just need to split with Kansas the final weekend. Just one win wouldn't be an iron clad lock, but they would be overwhelmingly likely to be in. Kansas needs to win 3 of their last 4. It starts this week with TCU at home. At this point, they only have a 50% chance of sweeping them. If they can get this done, then they would 'only' need a split with Kansas State the final weekend. Average RPI with 3 wins is 41.7. Iowa State finishes up their season this week traveling to Baylor. Just one win would get them in the tournament, but Pablo only gives this a 27% chance. Lose both - and their average RPI drops to 49.8. I would give them a 25-30% chance of making the tournament with two losses (dependent on how other things work out). Texas Tech travels to West Virginia this week and then finishes the season hosting Texas. Split with West Virginia and lose both to Texas would give them an Average RPI of 45.3 and right on the bubble. Finish 1-3 and they are probably out. West Virginia has Texas Tech at home this week and finishes the season at TCU. Just winning 2 of these 4 would give them an average RPI of 43.6. So are thinking BIG 12 can still get 4-6 teams in the post season?
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bluepenquin
Hall of Fame
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Post by bluepenquin on Nov 16, 2021 18:04:35 GMT -5
Kansas State needs to win just 1 of their last 4. 2 of the 4 will be at Texas - outside winning one of those, they will just need to split with Kansas the final weekend. Just one win wouldn't be an iron clad lock, but they would be overwhelmingly likely to be in. Kansas needs to win 3 of their last 4. It starts this week with TCU at home. At this point, they only have a 50% chance of sweeping them. If they can get this done, then they would 'only' need a split with Kansas State the final weekend. Average RPI with 3 wins is 41.7. Iowa State finishes up their season this week traveling to Baylor. Just one win would get them in the tournament, but Pablo only gives this a 27% chance. Lose both - and their average RPI drops to 49.8. I would give them a 25-30% chance of making the tournament with two losses (dependent on how other things work out). Texas Tech travels to West Virginia this week and then finishes the season hosting Texas. Split with West Virginia and lose both to Texas would give them an Average RPI of 45.3 and right on the bubble. Finish 1-3 and they are probably out. West Virginia has Texas Tech at home this week and finishes the season at TCU. Just winning 2 of these 4 would give them an average RPI of 43.6. So are thinking BIG 12 can still get 4-6 teams in the post season? Average is 5 and 6 is more likely than 4. 7 is possible, but much less likely than 4.
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Post by redcard🏐 on Nov 16, 2021 18:34:06 GMT -5
So are thinking BIG 12 can still get 4-6 teams in the post season? Average is 5 and 6 is more likely than 4. 7 is possible, but much less likely than 4. so you’re saying there’s a chance…..☺️
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Post by redcard🏐 on Nov 18, 2021 16:27:13 GMT -5
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Post by redcard🏐 on Nov 18, 2021 16:49:07 GMT -5
11/17 Standings CONF ALL
Texas 11-1 20-1
Baylor 10-2 16-5
Iowa State 8-6 16-9
West Virginia 6-6 17-7
Kansas State 6-6 15-8
Texas Tech 5-7 15-10 Kansas 4-8 12-11
Oklahoma 4-10 10-15
TCU 2-10 8-14
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Post by redcard🏐 on Nov 18, 2021 19:07:45 GMT -5
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Post by redcard🏐 on Nov 19, 2021 15:01:22 GMT -5
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Post by redcard🏐 on Nov 19, 2021 20:08:53 GMT -5
Baylor sweeps Iowa State Kansas up 2-1 on TCU Texas up 1-0 on KState
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Post by redcard🏐 on Nov 19, 2021 20:43:46 GMT -5
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Post by redcard🏐 on Nov 19, 2021 21:37:43 GMT -5
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Post by redcard🏐 on Nov 19, 2021 22:12:35 GMT -5
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Post by redcard🏐 on Nov 20, 2021 20:31:53 GMT -5
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Post by redcard🏐 on Nov 20, 2021 21:39:46 GMT -5
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bluepenquin
Hall of Fame
4-Time VolleyTalk Poster of the Year (2019, 2018, 2017, 2016), All-VolleyTalk 1st Team (2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016) All-VolleyTalk 2nd Team 2023
Posts: 12,938
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Post by bluepenquin on Nov 20, 2021 21:53:32 GMT -5
RPI Futures scenarios for next week Kansas @ Kansas State.
Kansas State sweep (44%): Kansas State - 35, Kansas - 48 Split (45%): Kansas State - 43, Kansas - 42 Kansas Sweep (11%): Kansas State - 48, Kansas - 35
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Post by Jayhawks18 on Nov 20, 2021 22:00:49 GMT -5
Big 12 final predictions: TX:15-1 BU:14-2 WV:9-7 KU:8-8 ISU:8-8 KSU:6-10 TT:6-10 …. If this is the way the rest of the season plays out, what teams will get into the tournament besides TX&BU?
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