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Post by pineapple on Sept 22, 2007 17:44:49 GMT -5
As we begin conference play, I notice Pablo still has some teams ranked surprisingly high or low. I'm guessing this isn't unusual; Pablo doesn't yet have enough data to be entirely calibrated (even though it's doing better than most of us at pick-the-winners). But I remember last year when Pablo picked Oregon to beat USC. So what matches stand out like that? Matches that will either make Pablo look brilliant or make Pablo make some serious adjustments to its rankings? Just looking through RichKern, I found Pablo predicts: Michigan State at (AVCA)#23 Ohio State. OK, that's not a predicted upset; Pablo ranks them dead even. We'll find out if they are. Northwestern at #23 Ohio State. Pablo says Northwestern wins this. I kid you not. #13 Hawaii at #25 NMSU. Pablo ranks them the other way around: NMSU at #20 and Hawaii at #36, plus Hawaii will be on the road. If that really happens it would be big news -- like Oregon over USC would have been. Anyone see any other outrageous Pablo predictions? Or predictions by some other rankings? This post is somewhat belated as the match will start in a couple of hours. I just to make this clarification: In Hawaii vs NMSU, based on what you've said, it is unclear what Pablo is predicting until we read Roy's post. If Roy is correct that Pablo is picking NMSU over Hawaii, then Pablo is not predicting upset, as he has NMSU ranked #20 and Hawaii #36. But I know where you're coming- you're basing it on the official rankings. |
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Post by Ye Olde Dawg on Sept 22, 2007 20:34:50 GMT -5
Yes. Pablo is predicting something that would be considered an upset in the AVCA poll.
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Post by BoilerUp! on Sept 24, 2007 18:23:09 GMT -5
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Post by chipNdink on Sept 24, 2007 18:25:41 GMT -5
Holy Cow! What's Pablo been smoking? I love Washington, but even I know they aren't number 1??
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Post by pedro el leon on Sept 24, 2007 18:49:37 GMT -5
holy moly. Washington moved up a spot to take number 1?! Beating Oregon(#10 in pablo) on the road must have given them a boost, even if it were a 5 gamer? I guess Oregon State helped a bit too, I think they were 36 last week.
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Post by The Bofa on the Sofa on Sept 24, 2007 19:29:14 GMT -5
Despite being a 5 gamer, Wash/Oregon wasn't quite as close as it looked because games 3 - 5 were pretty lopsided.
OSU/Washington is more or less the equivalent of Nebraska/Texas A&M. Since that was Nebraska's only match, Washington got a boost by their win over Oregon (and, to be fair, the biggest boost they got was for the win, although the score didn't hurt much)
I have kind of seen this coming, however. Given that Wash crawled to #2 based mainly on 4 matches (those blowouts of low (>100) ranked teams have done little), I was wondering what would happen if they started beating good quality competition.
Neither Wash nor Nebraska has anything real tough for the next week, so things will probably flutter around a little bit for a while.
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Post by The Bofa on the Sofa on Sept 24, 2007 19:47:19 GMT -5
BTW, Washington at #1 is nothing. Consider in Div III, where Pablo #2 Carleton just broke into the AVCA top 25 last week (as #25!).
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