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Post by leadbrain on Oct 25, 2010 18:21:18 GMT -5
Well, I do this every year. And since it is about the halfway point through conference play it seems like as good a time as any to put this out. I will update this list each week as the teams go through the season with any changes. I know there will be some arguments but hey isn't that what this board is for......
As always, I will list the multi-bid conferences teams and will keep the single bid conferences as just the 1.
America East - 1 Atlantic 10 -1 ACC - 5 (Duke, UNC, FSU, Miami, GT) Atlantic Sun - 1 Big 12 - 5 (Neb, ISU, UT, Oklahoma, Mizzou) Big East - 2 (Cincy, Louisville) Big sky - 1 Big South - 1 Big 10 - 8 (Illinois, PSU, Minn, NW, Purdue, OSU, Mich, Indiana) Big West - 2 (LBSU, CSF) CAA - 1 Conf USA - 2 (Tulsa, SMU) Horizon - 1 Ivy - 1 Metro - 1 MAC - 2 (WMU, NIU) MEAC - 1 MVC - 3 (UNI, WSU, Miss St) Mountain West - 2 (CSU, UNM) NEC - 1 OVC - 1 Pac 10 - 7 (Stan, Cal, USC, UW, UCLA, U of A, Ore) Patriot - 1 SEC - 5 (UF, LSU, UT, Ole Miss, Auburn) Southern - 1 Southland - 1 SWAC - 1 Summit - 1 Sun Belt - 2 (WKU, MTSU) WCC - 1 WAC - 1
Teams just missing the cut: Wake Forest Va Tech Michigan St Wisconsin Villanova Utah Pepperdine UCSB Creighton Kentucky
These ten teams have four weeks to make their case to the committee or to stay above the .500+1 rule!
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Post by baywatcher on Oct 25, 2010 19:06:58 GMT -5
Any teams that could at large qualify from a 1 entry conference if upset in a conference tourney? (i.e. Central Arkansas type )
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Post by mikegarrison on Oct 25, 2010 19:10:44 GMT -5
Any teams that could at large qualify from a 1 entry conference if upset in a conference tourney? (i.e. Central Arkansas type ) How many conferences have tournaments for VB? The WAC does. Does the tournament winner get the auto bid? Because clearly Hawaii would be an at-large team.
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Post by leadbrain on Oct 25, 2010 19:58:38 GMT -5
there are a few conferences that have a conference tourney still. Think the WAC, A-10, Big East, MVC, to name a few still have a tourney. Creighton and St. Louis are the first teams that come to mind that may steal a bid.
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Post by FreeBall on Oct 25, 2010 20:08:16 GMT -5
In 2009 the following conferences didn't have tournaments:
1. ACC 2. Big 12 3. Big Ten 4. Big West 5. Ivy League 6. Mountain West 7. PAC 10 8. SEC 9. West Coast
A large majority still have tournaments to decide the automatic NCAA qualifier. However, most of them are likely to be single bid conferences, even with an upset tournament winner.
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Post by austintatious on Oct 25, 2010 20:18:06 GMT -5
C-USA had their final tournament last year.
I can't see Wisconsin or Kentucky as bubble teams. Neither has the capability of upsetting their conference opponents they would need to advance. Rest I don't know about. Other than that, choices look pretty sharp.
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Post by midnightblue on Oct 25, 2010 20:19:27 GMT -5
In 2009 the following conferences didn't have tournaments: 1. ACC 2. Big 123. Big Ten 4. Big West 5. Ivy League 6. Mountain West 7. PAC 10 8. SEC 9. West Coast A large majority still have tournaments to decide the automatic NCAA qualifier. However, most of them are likely to be single bid conferences, even with an upset tournament winner. The B12 had a tournament. Though the NCAA referred to it as the Omaha regional.
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Post by reign69heir on Oct 25, 2010 20:48:13 GMT -5
Potentially bubble-shrinking, (potentially) 1-bid conferences with tournaments:
Atlantic 10: Dayton Big East: Cincinnati Mid-American: Western Michigan/Northern Illinois Sun Belt: Western Kentucky/Middle Tennessee State Western Athletic: Hawai'i
Should the at-large team lose in its conference tournament, the NCAA tournament bubble will shrink by one team.
There really are only two clear-cut bubble-shrinkers, though: the A-10 (Dayton) and the WAC (Hawai'i).
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Post by ccman on Oct 25, 2010 21:01:55 GMT -5
The Big East could get 3: Louisville & Cincy plus an auto
Same for the Sun Belt: Western Ky & Middle Tenn State (MTS is probable)
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Post by leadbrain on Oct 25, 2010 21:17:23 GMT -5
The Big East could get 3: Louisville & Cincy plus an auto Same for the Sun Belt: Western Ky & Middle Tenn State (MTS is probable) The Big East's third could be Villanova but they still have some work to do. The Sun Belt is stuck at two. No room for a third from that conference.
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Post by pogoball on Oct 25, 2010 23:11:00 GMT -5
Potentially bubble-shrinking, (potentially) 1-bid conferences with tournaments: Atlantic 10: Dayton Big East: Cincinnati Mid-American: Western Michigan/Northern Illinois Sun Belt: Western Kentucky/Middle Tennessee State Western Athletic: Hawai'i Should the at-large team lose in its conference tournament, the NCAA tournament bubble will shrink by one team. There really are only two clear-cut bubble-shrinkers, though: the A-10 (Dayton) and the WAC (Hawai'i). Eastern Michigan is 21-6 overall, is tied for 2nd in the MAC at 8-2 with Western and has wins over Michigan State and WMU. I don't know their power-rating, but I gotta think they've got some sort of shot.
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Post by oldman on Oct 26, 2010 7:50:01 GMT -5
I bet there will be 64 teams.
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Post by FreeBall on Oct 26, 2010 8:01:45 GMT -5
Eastern Michigan is 21-6 overall, is tied for 2nd in the MAC at 8-2 with Western and has wins over Michigan State and WMU. I don't know their power-rating, but I gotta think they've got some sort of shot. Their current RPI is 59, so they appear to be borderline at best. The good wins are offset by three "bad" losses to teams with RPI's of >100. They close the season with matches at NIU and WMU. Winning all of their remaining matches (including those two) would definitely improve their chances of qualifying as an at-large team. However, I'm guessing it might not be enough.
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Post by lonewolf on Oct 26, 2010 9:19:21 GMT -5
Eastern Michigan is 21-6 overall, is tied for 2nd in the MAC at 8-2 with Western and has wins over Michigan State and WMU. I don't know their power-rating, but I gotta think they've got some sort of shot. Their current RPI is 59, so they appear to be borderline at best. The good wins are offset by three "bad" losses to teams with RPI's of >100. They close the season with matches at NIU and WMU. Winning all of their remaining matches (including those two) would definitely improve their chances of qualifying as an at-large team. However, I'm guessing it might not be enough. I think they'd have to finish with a pretty strong run through the rest of the conference season and end up in the conference tournament finals to have a legitimate shot. Of course it all depends on what happens with other teams as their case strengthens or weakens down the last stretch.
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Post by leadbrain on Oct 26, 2010 12:38:02 GMT -5
EMU is going to have a lot of work to do and hope for some help from other conferences. Pepperdine probably gets in before them as well as another possible team from either the ACC, SEC, or Big 12
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