Post by trojansc on Nov 9, 2015 16:31:17 GMT -5
Bracketology (11/9)
Only three weeks of volleyball left in the regular season. NCAA Selection show on Sunday, November 29th.
32 Projected Conference Champions (Auto-Qualifiers)
*regular season champion determines bid, no tournament
*ACC – Louisville (19)
America East – Albany (131)
*AAC – Southern Methodist (24)
Atlantic 10 – Dayton (35)
Atlantic Sun – Lipscomb (59)
*Big 10 – Minnesota (1)
*Big 12 – Texas (3)
Big East – Creighton (23)
Big Sky – Northern Arizona (50)
Big South – Coastal Carolina (92)
*Big West – Hawaii (32)
Colonial – UNC Wilmington (64)
Conference USA – Western Kentucky (20)
Horizon – Cleveland State (72)
*Ivy – Harvard (147)
MAAC – Rider (269)
MAC – Ohio (56)
MEAC – Bethune Cookman (268)
MVC – Wichita State (33)
*MWC – Colorado State (31)
NEC – Bryant (196)
OVC – Murray State (99)
*Pac-12 – Southern California (2)
Patriot – American (74)
*SEC – Kentucky (13)
SoCon – Chattanooga (84)
Southland – Texas A&M Corpus-Christi (83)
Summit – IUPUI (119)
Sun Belt – Arkansas St (22)
SWAC – Jackson State (316)
WAC – New Mexico State (82)
*WCC – BYU (18)
(Almost) Locked At-Large Bids (19)
These teams have a 90% chance or better of making the NCAA tournament. A few on this list might even end up conference champions and be switched with a team above ^.
ACC
Florida State (21)
North Carolina (27)
Big East
Marquette (29)
Big Ten
Penn State (5)
Ohio State (11)
Nebraska (8)
Wisconsin (9)
Illinois (17)
BIG 12
Kansas (6)
Iowa State (14)
PAC-12
UCLA (10)
Washington (7)
Stanford (12)
Arizona State (25)
SEC
Florida (4)
Missouri (15)
Texas A&M (16)
WCC
Loyola Marymount (26)
San Diego (28)
Bubble Teams
(About 30 teams competing for the last 13 spots left for NCAA's)
*I am predicting that this team wins their conference tournament, but if they do not win, they will be on the bubble.
Atlantic 10
Dayton*
ACC
Miami
Pittsburgh
Virginia
Big East
Villanova
Xavier
Big Ten
Michigan
Purdue
Northwestern
Michigan State
Big 12
Baylor
TCU
Kansas State
Big West
Long Beach State
MAC
Ohio*
MVC
Wichita State*
Missouri State
Southern Illinois
Northern Iowa
Illinois State
MWC
Boise State
Wyoming
PAC-12
Arizona
Colorado
SEC
Arkansas
BIG SKY
Idaho State
Northern Arizona
SUN BELT
Arkansas State*
WCC
Santa Clara
Honorable Mention
The following are long-shot Teams that technically shouldn't be ruled out just yet but realistically they need some magic to get in: Syracuse, Oregon, Saint Louis, Ole Miss, Auburn, UNC Wilmington, James Madison, Pacific, Pepperdine, Gonzaga
BEST FIVE BUBBLE TEAMS
As of Today, these are the best five teams on the list of bubble teams that have a good chance at making the NCAA Tournament if they take care of their business.
Miami(FL) - Miami is in a good position because they are 30th in RPI right now -- that's really their best friend right now. They also should end up with one top-25 victory, and two top-50. Right now, that's probably one of the best combinations of RPI+wins. Barring a disastrous finish, Miami is in.
TCU - TCU's win over Texas is what got them relevant to tournament discussion. They only have one other top-50 victory, but at this point, if they can keep their RPI in the low 40's, I think they are a tournament team. They play Baylor and Kansas -- winning ONE of those games should really help solidify their case.
Purdue - Purdue was a team I was very hard on last year. I thought they had a weak resume and as it proved, they did not get in the NCAA's. This year, they look MUCH better. (on the court, too). A top-25 win over Illinois combined with the fact they should finish with at least two-3 top-50 victories, Purdue is in. The RPI is working in their favor, Purdue is IN.
Michigan - I like Michigan, but I'm not sure how the rest of their season is going to play out. They are doing good in RPI (36) but their top-50 victories are just okay. Northwestern, Pittsburgh, and Michigan State could all finish top-50 but one or two may not. Michigan has a very brutal finish to Big Ten play, so it will be interesting to see how it plays out. But right now, the odds are favoring Michigan to get IN to the NCAA tournament.
Arkansas - Arkansas has something no other bubble team can say -- THREE top-25 victories. I think that alone is what is going to get them in. Their RPI in the low 40s is good enough to get them in, if they keep it there they should get in the NCAA tournament. Beating Florida, Texas A&M, and Wisconsin should be good enough to get you into the NCAA tournament. Razorbacks are going to the big dance!
THE "SAFE(R)" FOUR
These four teams are right before the "last" four in.
Northwestern - Northwestern's case is as simple as the case was for USC last year. Finish .500 or better and you're in the NCAA tournaments. It came down to the wire for Southern California last year, but they picked up a win at Arizona when they needed it and for some reason I believe Northwestern is going to do the same this year. They can start things off by beating Minnesota, but I think they can beat Iowa and Michigan State, which are the two really crucial games to keep their season alive. For the sake of today's argument, Northwestern gets in.
Santa Clara - Santa Clara is in, but partly because I am banking on them picking up another top-50 victory or two. They only have one-top 50 victory right now so that is their major concern. They are doing ok in terms of RPI, but nothing to make them too comfortable. Their signature victory is a good one, over BYU, but I don't think it's enough. However, a strong finish puts Santa Clara in as the 4th team from the West Coast Conference.
Arizona - Arizona is actually 1-9 against the Top 50. Not really good for a bubble team. Their signature victory isn't even over a Pac-12 squad -- it's over Southern Methodist. SMU could actually finish top-25, which could help Arizona get in. Regardless, if that is Arizona's only top-50 victory, I don't see them getting in. But I see them beating a good PAC team to solidify their case for the NCAA tournament. Hosting USC, UCLA should be a great chance for the Wildcats.
Pittsburgh - Pittsburgh is good for a bid because they've surely got three top-50 victories, anywhere from one to all three could end up top-25. Florida State, North Carolina, and Miami are good teams to beat. They are too far out to have a chance at the automatic qualifier as conference champions, but they have a great chance at an at-large. They can afford a loss to North Carolina, winning out should get them in. If they lose to Virginia as well, things may start to get dicey, but Pitt is probably in anyways.
LAST FOUR IN
The final four for an NCAA at-large bid
Missouri State - Of the five MVC teams vying for an at-large berth, the only one with a better resume is arguably Wichita State. Since I am putting them in as the AQ, I have Missouri State here as an at-large. Wins over Western Kentucky, Miami, and Wichita State should be good enough to get them into the NCAA tournament. MO State played a tougher OOC schedule that has helped them out in the RPI. They lost some games they shouldn't have to put them on the bubble but for now - Missouri State is in. My biggest questions are for what's going to happen with the other MVC teams.
Michigan State - Sparty makes me a little nervous. Their RPI makes them the weakest ranked amongst the B1G teams in that aspect. However, wins over Ohio State, North Carolina, and Michigan are keeping them in the discussion. I think a 4-2 record over the final six for Michigan St. gets them in. At 3-3 or 2-4 I could still see them squeezing in the NCAA's, but it's going to be very tight. If they pick up an upset win however and go 3-3, I think they are in. This is my fourth year doing this, and the only team I've ever picked wrong on was picking Virginia Tech to get in the NCAA tournament last year instead of Michigan State. So, I am not exactly sure. I hope Michigan State doesn't make me look bad again. I still think Pacific deserved a bid over them last season but let's not beat a dead horse.
Wyoming - Part of me putting Wyoming here is assuming that they are going to beat Colorado State at home in Laramie. I think if Wyoming does that -- their NCAA tournament chances are great. If they do not, they are still a bubble team, but they will probably end up on the wrong side of the bubble. Wyoming has been an inconsistent team this season. They have (I think) the worst loss of ANY of the bubble teams. But, they did pick up some good wins. Right now, Wyoming is one of the last teams in the NCAA's. They avoided disaster by not losing to Air Force (they took them to five this weekend). They need to win out and Wyoming will have made its case.
Villanova - Villanova right now is my last team into the NCAA's. They wouldn't even be one of the last teams in had they not lost to Xavier AND Butler this weekend. Now, the pressure is mounting for Villanova. They've got two top 50 victories (Creighton and Marquette) Either of those could end up as top-25 victories. Not sure if that's going to be enough. Villanova needs to win out to have a good chance at the bubble, and a win in the semifinals of the Big East Tournament would probably clinch a berth -- but it is not guaranteed. Of course, they could always win the conference and steal the AQ. Villanova's been playing well, they were really rolling until the tough road trip this weekend. Oh yeah, and if Villanova gets in -- we could FINALLY see a tougher Penn State subregional. (Pittsburgh vs. Villanova would be a great first round match, and a better second round opponent for PSU).
FIRST FOUR OUT
Kansas State - I have Kansas State out right now because their two best victories over Baylor and TCU simply aren't cutting it for me right now. However, they certainly have their chances over their last five matches. (Oklahoma, Iowa State, Texas, Kansas, Baylor). The five best teams in the Big 12 are the five remaining on KSU's schedule. I think they can beat OU and Baylor again, and if they pick up a third win, they are an NCAA tournament team. Even if they go 2-3 over that stretch, KSU will be on the bubble and if it comes down to it -- KSU should be taken over Baylor.
Boise State - Shout out to Boise State for even making it on this list, but the reality is they have a chance at an at-large bid. The problem is, they can't beat anyone significant to add to their resume, which means they are going to peak at two top-50 wins. Northwestern, and Wyoming. Wyoming beat Boise State once and has a better resume, so that's tough. If it comes down to it, Wyoming should get in over Boise State. I don't know if I can see three MWC teams in. Boise State's RPI is probably going to drop from its 45 ranking right now, so things don't look good for the Broncos. If you're a Boise fan, just hope for every possible worst thing to go wrong with all of the other bubble teams. Maybe the cards will fall just right.
Baylor - Baylor, I don't want to go ham on you for a minute, but Imma have to... Baylor is the biggest pretender of all the bubble teams. They have an inflated RPI that has caused them to look like a serious contender for an at-large, but that's bogus in my opinion. Baylor only has one top-50 win over Dayton, and if they only finish with just that signature victory, they should not get in. Their RPI is what concerns me to thinking they could get an at-large bid. If they finish in the high 30's, it might be hard to leave them out. If they beat Kansas State that may help their case for an at-large but I think they need to do more than that to get in. And truthfully, I've watched Baylor play, and that is a major reason why I think they are seriously overrated. They did the whole RPI scheduling thing to near perfection this year -- but still, Baylor is not an NCAA team. They had two other squads in the past few years that were on the bubble and were better teams than this.
Long Beach State - I feel for Long Beach State. I do. Hudson is a terrific athlete. I really respect her game, and wish she had more supporting tools at her disposal. Regardless, all hope is not lost for Long Beach State. It doesn't look good, but it's not over yet. Long Beach State's wins over LMU and San Diego are what's holding the structure together for now. If both of those finish top-25, then LBSU may have a case for one of the last teams in. I'm just not sure it's going to be enough. There's going to be a crowded bubble and who's better than who in terms of RPI ranking may be the crucial decider. Long Beach State's RPI is not going to improve much over the last few weeks. Any loss and LBSU is out of the tournament -- but if they win out, things are still not looking great. Beach needs to hope the other bubble teams falter. Every year I feel like there's one or two teams that I wish I could be on the committee and take someone else out and put them in, Long Beach State looks to be that team.
NEXT FOUR OUT
Southern Illinois - Southern Illinois is out for right now, but they have some hope. A good showing in the MVC tournament will help their RPI and I already think that SIU has a better chance at an at-large than two other MVC bubble teams (Northern Iowa and Illinois State) Southern Ill. will probably finish with at least three top-50 victories. Dayton, Missouri State, and Wichita State. They have a chance to double those last two victories, as they finish the regular season against Missouri St and Wichita State. Then, they could also pick up another top-50 victory in the MVC tournament. SIU has a chance to play its way into the NCAA's. They could finish with four or even five top-50 victories, and that could be just enough to push them into the NCAA's. Even though none of those will be top-25, it could still be good enough. Hard to leave out a team in the 40s RPI and 5 top-50 victories. But we'll see - the MVC is very hard for me to predict on right now. I wonder if the late conference tournament will have any barring on the NCAA committee's selections..
Idaho State - Idaho State just has an average looking Resume. They will probably finish high 40's, low 50s in RPI, with only two top-50 victories, nothing really stands out. They are also behind Northern Arizona in terms of an at-large bid. Unfortunately, I can't see any way where Idaho State gets an at-large bid into the NCAA tournament. That match against BYU was really crucial. If they had won, they would probably be an at-large team. There are other teams with better resume's, so Idaho State is out.
Virginia - Virginia has their chances to play their way into the NCAA tournament. They are an interesting case two because they may end up with two top-25 victories (Iowa State and Loyola Marymount). In conference, however, Virginia has not been impressive. They haven't picked up any big ACC victories, so why would I expect them to now? This is my major reasoning in leaving them OUT. Their biggest two chances to get back into the mix are against Pittsburgh, and North Carolina. If they beat one of those teams and finish strong, I could see them being one of the last few teams. If they don't beat either of those teams -- UVA should be OUT. Their RPI is at 47 right now, will be very interesting to see if they finish in the 40s with two top-25 victories, how can you leave them out?
Colorado - The Buffaloes are only making this list because of their big victories. Their RPI is way out -- (69). That's their biggest problem. Colorado probably has to go on an absolute tear to make the NCAA tournament. They will need to beat at least two of these three (ASU, Arizona, Stanford) and beat the weaker teams (Utah, WSU, Cal) in order to have a serious discussion as being a bubble team. It's not unheard of -- Utah went on a tear and scrambled its way into the NCAA tournament as one of the last few teams IN. Colorado could do it this year -- but truthfully they have not been consistent enough for it to seem realistic. Austin and Simpson are two athletic players that can lead CU to a lot of victories when they are on.
Projected Sixteen Seeds:
(1) USC
(2) Minnesota
(3) Texas
(4) Penn State
(5) Washington
(6) Florida
(7) Nebraska
(8) Kansas
(9) UCLA
(10) Kentucky
(11) Stanford
(12) Ohio State
(13) BYU
(14) Louisville
(15) Wisconsin
(16) Missouri
Tournament Resume's by Team
---------------------------------------
ACC
Miami(FL)
Overall Record: 17-7
Conference Record: 10-4
Non-Conference Record: 7-3
Strength of Schedule Rank: 26
RPI: 30
Record against 1-50 RPI: 3-6
Record against 50-100 RPI: 6-0
Record against 101-200 RPI: 6-1
Significant Wins: 21 Florida St, 34 Purdue, 47 Virginia, 51 Kansas State, 58 Illinois St, 62 Syracuse
Significant Losses: 176 Oral Roberts
Last 10 games: 3-1
Remaining: Louisville, NDame, Duke, WF, @clemson, @gatech
Pittsburgh
Overall Record: 20-6
Conference Record: 10-4
Non-Conference Record: 10-2
Strength of Schedule Rank: 106
RPI: 43
Record against 1-50 RPI: 3-3
Record against 50-100 RPI: 2-3
Record against 101-200 RPI: 9-0
Significant Wins: 21 Florida St, 27 North Carolina, 30 Miami(FL), 62 Syracuse,
Significant Losses: NONE
Last 10 games: 3-1
Remaining: @unc, @ncst, BCU, Cuse, VTech, UVA
Virginia
Overall Record: 15-10
Conference Record: 7-7
Non-Conference Record: 8-3
Strength of Schedule Rank: 29
RPI: 47
Record against 1-50 RPI: 3-5
Record against 50-100 RPI: 4-4
Record against 101-200 RPI: 5-1
Significant Wins: 14 Iowa St, 26 Loyola Marymount, 43 Pittsburgh
Significant Losses: 169 Wake Forest
Last 10 games: 1-3
Remaining: Clemson, GaTech, NCST, UNC, @pitt, @vtech
Atlantic 10
Dayton
Overall Record: 22-5
Conference Record: 13-0
Non-Conference Record: 9-5
Strength of Schedule Rank: 74
RPI: 35
Record against 1-50 RPI: 1-4
Record against 50-100 RPI: 6-0
Record against 101-200 RPI: 7-1
Significant Wins: 20 Western Kentucky, 58 Illinois St.,
Significant Losses: NONE
Last 10 games: 6-0
Remaining: saint Louis, A-10 Semifinals, A-10 Championship, Ohio
Big Sky
Idaho State
Overall Record: 19-9
Conference Record: 11-3
Non-Conference Record: 8-6
Strength of Schedule Rank: 59
RPI: 54
Record against 1-50 RPI: 2-4
Record against 50-100 RPI: 3-3
Record against 101-200 RPI: 7-2
Significant Wins: 38 Northwestern, 45 Boise St,
Significant Losses: 124 Utah
Last 10 games: 3-2
Remaining: Montana, @weber St., Big Sky Qtrs, Sky Semis, Big Sky Championship
Northern Arizona
Overall Record: 23-4
Conference Record: 13-1
Non-Conference Record: 10-3
Strength of Schedule Rank: 161
RPI: 50
Record against 1-50 RPI: 2-1
Record against 50-100 RPI: 3-3
Record against 101-200 RPI: 9-0
Significant Wins: 26 Loyola Marymount, 45 Boise State, 54 Idaho St.(x2)
Significant Losses: NONE
Last 10 games: 5-0
Remaining: Sac State, Portland State, Big Sky Qtrs, Sky Semis, SKY Championship
Big East
Villanova
Overall Record: 21-7
Conference Record: 11-4
Non-Conference Record: 10-3
Strength of Schedule Rank: 77
RPI: 44
Record against 1-50 RPI: 2-3
Record against 50-100 RPI: 2-2
Record against 101-200 RPI: 9-2
Significant Wins: 23 Creighton, 29 Marquette, 63 James Madison
Significant Losses: 122 UT Arlington, 153 Butler
Last 10 games: 2-3
Remaining: Seton Hall, Providence, St. John's, BE Semis, BE Champ
Xavier
Overall Record: 15-10
Conference Record: 11-3
Non-Conference Record: 4-7
Strength of Schedule Rank: 62
RPI: 67
Record against 1-50 RPI: 2-6
Record against 50-100 RPI: 1-2
Record against 101-200 RPI: 8-2
Significant Wins: 29 Marquette, 44 Villanova
Significant Losses: 114 LSU, 191 DePaul
Last 10 games: 4-0
Remaining: Creighton, Georgetown, Depaul, Marquette, BE Semis, BE Champ
BIG TEN
Michigan
Overall Record: 16-9
Conference Record: 6-8
Non-Conference Record: 10-1
Strength of Schedule Rank: 34
RPI: 36
Record against 1-50 RPI: 3-9
Record against 50-100 RPI: 6-0
Record against 101-200 RPI: 7-0
Significant Wins: 38 Northwestern, 43 Pittsburgh, 49 Michigan State, 56 Ohio
Significant Losses: NONE
Last 10 games: 1-3
Remaining: Wisconsin, @ohio St, @penn St., Nebraska, @indiana, Illinois
Purdue
Overall Record: 18-7
Conference Record: 9-5
Non-Conference Record: 9-2
Strength of Schedule Rank: 51
RPI: 34
Record against 1-50 RPI: 4-7
Record against 50-100 RPI: 5-0
Record against 101-200 RPI: 6-0
Significant Wins: 17 Illinois, 36 Michigan, 38 Northwestern, 49 Michigan State
Significant Losses: NONE
Last 10 games: 1-3
Remaining: @maryland, @nw, @rutgers, Minny, Michigan St, Wisconsin
Northwestern
Overall Record: 13-12
Conference Record: 5-9
Non-Conference Record: 8-3
Strength of Schedule Rank: 3
RPI: 38
Record against 1-50 RPI: 3-10
Record against 50-100 RPI: 3-2
Record against 101-200 RPI: 7-0
Significant Wins: 5 Penn State, 40 Missouri State, 49 Michigan State
Significant Losses: NONE
Last 10 games: 1-3
Remaining: Minnesota, Purdue, @mich St, @ Iowa, @penn St, Maryland
Michigan State
Overall Record: 14-11
Conference Record: 6-8
Non-Conference Record: 8-3
Strength of Schedule Rank: 22
RPI: 49
Record against 1-50 RPI: 3-9
Record against 50-100 RPI: 3-1
Record against 101-200 RPI: 8-1
Significant Wins: 11 Ohio State, 27 North Carolina, 36 Michigan
Significant Losses: 123 Miami (OH)
Last 10 games: 0-4
Remaining: Nebraska, @indiana, Northwesern, @rutgers, @purdue, Iowa
BIG 12
Baylor
Overall Record: 16-9
Conference Record: 4-7
Non-Conference Record: 10-2
Strength of Schedule Rank: 12
RPI: 37
Record against 1-50 RPI: 1-7
Record against 50-100 RPI: 4-2
Record against 101-200 RPI: 9-0
Significant Wins: 35 Dayton, 55 Northern Iowa
Significant Losses: NONE
Last 10 games: 2-3
Remaining: TCU, Oklahoma, @texas, @ Iowa St, Kansas St
Kansas State
Overall Record: 15-8
Conference Record: 7-4
Non-Conference Record: 8-4
Strength of Schedule Rank: 55
RPI: 51
Record against 1-50 RPI: 2-8
Record against 50-100 RPI: 2-0
Record against 101-200 RPI: 9-0
Significant Wins: 37 Baylor, 42 TCU, 58 Illinois State
Significant Losses: NONE
Last 10 games: 4-1
Remaining: Oklahoma, Iowa State, @texas, Kansas, @baylor
TCU
Overall Record: 16-7
Conference Record: 6-5
Non-Conference Record: 10-2
Strength of Schedule Rank: 68
RPI: 42
Record against 1-50 RPI: 3-7
Record against 50-100 RPI: 2-0
Record against 101-200 RPI: 5-0
Significant Wins: 3 Texas, 37 Baylor, 51 Kansas State
Significant Losses: NONE
Last 10 games: 2-3
Remaining: @baylor, @kansas, Texas Tech, @oklahoma, WVU
BIG WEST
Long Beach State
Overall Record: 20-6
Conference Record: 10-3
Non-Conference Record: 10-3
Strength of Schedule Rank: 119
RPI: 53
Record against 1-50 RPI: 2-1
Record against 50-100 RPI: 4-2
Record against 101-200 RPI: 8-1
Significant Wins: 26 Loyola Marymount, 28 San Diego
Significant Losses: 166 Saint Mary's
Last 10 games: 4-1
Remaining: @ CSUN, CSUF, @ucr, Pacific, Denver
MAC
Ohio
Overall Record: 21-6
Conference Record: 11-3
Non-Conference Record: 10-3
Strength of Schedule Rank: 120
RPI: 56
Record against 1-50 RPI: 1-3
Record against 50-100 RPI: 5-1
Record against 101-200 RPI: 8-2
Significant Wins: 13 Kentucky, 67 Xavier
Significant Losses: 123 Miami(OH)
Last 10 games: 2-3
Remaining: Buffalo, Akron, MAC Semis, MAC Championship, Dayton
MVC
Wichita State
Overall Record: 21-7
Conference Record: 12-2
Non-Conference Record: 9-5
Strength of Schedule Rank: 42
RPI: 33
Record against 1-50 RPI: 3-5
Record against 50-100 RPI: 4-1
Record against 101-200 RPI: 10-1
Significant Wins: 13 Kentucky, 29 Marquette, 40 Missouri State
Significant Losses: 119 IUPUI
Last 10 games: 3-1
Remaining: loyola, @bradley, siu, evansville, MVC Semis, MVC Champ
Missouri State
Overall Record: 18-9
Conference Record: 9-5
Non-Conference Record: 9-4
Strength of Schedule Rank: 43
RPI: 40
Record against 1-50 RPI: 3-6
Record against 50-100 RPI: 2-2
Record against 101-200 RPI: 9-1
Significant Wins: 20 Western Kentucky, 30 Miami(FL), 33 Wichita State, 55 Northern Iowa
Significant Losses: 108 Loyola (IL)
Last 10 games: (3-0)
Remaining: @bradley, @ Loyola, Evansville, SIU, MVC Qtrs, MVC Semis, MVC Champ
Southern Illinois
Overall Record: 20-7
Conference Record: 11-3
Non-Conference Record: 9-4
Strength of Schedule Rank: 90
RPI: 52
Record against 1-50 RPI: 3-3
Record against 50-100 RPI: 1-2
Record against 101-200 RPI: 9-2
Significant Wins: 33 Wichita State, 35 Dayton, 40 Missouri State, 55 Northern Iowa
Significant Losses: 111 UCF, 108 Loyola (IL)
Last 10 games: 3-0
Remaining: Illinois St, Indiana St, @wich St, @missouri St, MVC Qtrs, MVC Semis, MVC Champ
Illinois State
Overall Record: 20-8
Conference Record: 10-5
Non-Conference Record: 10-3
Strength of Schedule Rank: 105
RPI: 58
Record against 1-50 RPI: 2-6
Record against 50-100 RPI: 2-1
Record against 101-200 RPI: 9-1
Significant Wins: 40 Missouri State, 52 Southern Illinois, 53 Long Beach State, 55 Northern Iowa
Significant Losses: 108 Loyola (IL)
Last 10 games: 3-1
Remaining: @siu, @evansville, Indiana State, MVC Qtrs, MVC Semis, MVC Champ
Northern Iowa
Overall Record:15-13
Conference Record: 9-6
Non-Conference Record: 6-7
Strength of Schedule Rank: 17
RPI: 55
Record against 1-50 RPI: 3-10
Record against 50-100 RPI: 3-1
Record against 101-200 RPI:6-1
Significant Wins: 23 Creighton, 40 Missouri State, 52 Southern Illinois
Significant Losses: 132 Indiana State, 108 Illinois-Chicago
Last 10 games: 2-2
Remaining: @ Drake, Bradley, Loyola, MVC Qtrs, MVC Semis, MVC Champ
MWC
Boise State
Overall Record: 18-7
Conference Record: 10-3
Non-Conference Record: 8-4
Strength of Schedule Rank: 63
RPI: 45
Record against 1-50 RPI: 1-4
Record against 50-100 RPI: 3-3
Record against 101-200 RPI: 5-0
Significant Wins: 38 Northwestern, 48 Wyoming
Significant Losses: NONE
Last 10 games: 4-1
Remaining: SDSU, Nevada, @air Force, New Mexico, Utah State
Wyoming
Overall Record: 20-6
Conference Record: 10-4
Non-Conference Record: 10-2
Strength of Schedule Rank: 131
RPI: 48
Record against 1-50 RPI: 3-3
Record against 50-100 RPI: 2-1
Record against 101-200 RPI: 11-1
Significant Wins: 11 Ohio State, 29 Marquette, 45 Boise State, 54 Idaho State
Significant Losses: 167 Nevada, 225 San Jose State
Last 10 games: 5-1
Remaining: SJSU, @ Fresno St, UNLV, Colorado State
PAC-12
Arizona
Overall Record: 16-10
Conference Record: 6-8
Non-Conference Record: 10-2
Strength of Schedule Rank: 25
RPI: 46
Record against 1-50 RPI: 1-9
Record against 50-100 RPI: 5-1
Record against 101-200 RPI: 5-0
Significant Wins: 24 SMU, 62 Syracuse
Significant Losses: NONE
Last 10 games: 2-2
Remaining: @utah, @ Colorado, USC, UCLA, @oregon St, Arizona St.
Colorado
Overall Record: 14-12
Conference Record: 6-8
Non-Conference Record: 8-4
Strength of Schedule Rank: 69
RPI: 69
Record against 1-50 RPI: 3-9
Record against 50-100 RPI: 2-2
Record against 101-200 RPI: 4-1
Significant Wins: 12 Stanford, 21 Florida State, 46 Arizona
Significant Losses: 124 Utah
Last 10 games: 1-3
Remaining: ASU, Arizona, stanford, @cal, Washington St, Utah
SEC
Arkansas
Overall Record: 15-9
Conference Record: 5-7
Non-Conference Record: 10-2
Strength of Schedule Rank: 32
RPI: 41
Record against 1-50 RPI: 3-2
Record against 50-100 RPI: 2-4
Record against 101-200RPI: 5-1
Significant Wins: 4 Florida, 9 Wisconsin, 16 Texas A&M, 51 Kansas State
Significant Losses: 172 South Carolina
Last 10 games: 2-2
Remaining: LSU, Georgia, Missouri, @auburn, South Carolina, Texas A&M
SUN BELT
Arkansas St.
Overall Record: 24-1
Conference Record: 15-0
Non-Conference Record: 9-1
Strength of Schedule Rank: 95
RPI: 22
Record against 1-50 RPI: 2-1
Record against 50-100 RPI: 3-0
Record against 101-200 RPI: 12-0
Significant Wins: 40 Missouri State, 58 Southern Illinois
Significant Losses: NONE
Last 10 games: 6-0
Remaining: App St, Sun Belt Qtrs, Sun Belt Semis, Sun Belt Championship
WCC
Santa Clara
Overall Record: 19-6
Conference Record: 10-3
Non-Conference Record: 9-3
Strength of Schedule Rank: 85
RPI: 39
Record against 1-50 RPI: 1-4
Record against 50-100 RPI: 7-0
Record against 101-200 RPI: 7-2
Significant Wins: 18 BYU
Significant Losses: 109 Portland
Last 10 games: 4-1
Remaining: LMU, Pepperdine, @byu, @san Diego, @pacific
Only three weeks of volleyball left in the regular season. NCAA Selection show on Sunday, November 29th.
32 Projected Conference Champions (Auto-Qualifiers)
*regular season champion determines bid, no tournament
*ACC – Louisville (19)
America East – Albany (131)
*AAC – Southern Methodist (24)
Atlantic 10 – Dayton (35)
Atlantic Sun – Lipscomb (59)
*Big 10 – Minnesota (1)
*Big 12 – Texas (3)
Big East – Creighton (23)
Big Sky – Northern Arizona (50)
Big South – Coastal Carolina (92)
*Big West – Hawaii (32)
Colonial – UNC Wilmington (64)
Conference USA – Western Kentucky (20)
Horizon – Cleveland State (72)
*Ivy – Harvard (147)
MAAC – Rider (269)
MAC – Ohio (56)
MEAC – Bethune Cookman (268)
MVC – Wichita State (33)
*MWC – Colorado State (31)
NEC – Bryant (196)
OVC – Murray State (99)
*Pac-12 – Southern California (2)
Patriot – American (74)
*SEC – Kentucky (13)
SoCon – Chattanooga (84)
Southland – Texas A&M Corpus-Christi (83)
Summit – IUPUI (119)
Sun Belt – Arkansas St (22)
SWAC – Jackson State (316)
WAC – New Mexico State (82)
*WCC – BYU (18)
(Almost) Locked At-Large Bids (19)
These teams have a 90% chance or better of making the NCAA tournament. A few on this list might even end up conference champions and be switched with a team above ^.
ACC
Florida State (21)
North Carolina (27)
Big East
Marquette (29)
Big Ten
Penn State (5)
Ohio State (11)
Nebraska (8)
Wisconsin (9)
Illinois (17)
BIG 12
Kansas (6)
Iowa State (14)
PAC-12
UCLA (10)
Washington (7)
Stanford (12)
Arizona State (25)
SEC
Florida (4)
Missouri (15)
Texas A&M (16)
WCC
Loyola Marymount (26)
San Diego (28)
Bubble Teams
(About 30 teams competing for the last 13 spots left for NCAA's)
*I am predicting that this team wins their conference tournament, but if they do not win, they will be on the bubble.
Atlantic 10
Dayton*
ACC
Miami
Pittsburgh
Virginia
Big East
Villanova
Xavier
Big Ten
Michigan
Purdue
Northwestern
Michigan State
Big 12
Baylor
TCU
Kansas State
Big West
Long Beach State
MAC
Ohio*
MVC
Wichita State*
Missouri State
Southern Illinois
Northern Iowa
Illinois State
MWC
Boise State
Wyoming
PAC-12
Arizona
Colorado
SEC
Arkansas
BIG SKY
Idaho State
Northern Arizona
SUN BELT
Arkansas State*
WCC
Santa Clara
Honorable Mention
The following are long-shot Teams that technically shouldn't be ruled out just yet but realistically they need some magic to get in: Syracuse, Oregon, Saint Louis, Ole Miss, Auburn, UNC Wilmington, James Madison, Pacific, Pepperdine, Gonzaga
BEST FIVE BUBBLE TEAMS
As of Today, these are the best five teams on the list of bubble teams that have a good chance at making the NCAA Tournament if they take care of their business.
Miami(FL) - Miami is in a good position because they are 30th in RPI right now -- that's really their best friend right now. They also should end up with one top-25 victory, and two top-50. Right now, that's probably one of the best combinations of RPI+wins. Barring a disastrous finish, Miami is in.
TCU - TCU's win over Texas is what got them relevant to tournament discussion. They only have one other top-50 victory, but at this point, if they can keep their RPI in the low 40's, I think they are a tournament team. They play Baylor and Kansas -- winning ONE of those games should really help solidify their case.
Purdue - Purdue was a team I was very hard on last year. I thought they had a weak resume and as it proved, they did not get in the NCAA's. This year, they look MUCH better. (on the court, too). A top-25 win over Illinois combined with the fact they should finish with at least two-3 top-50 victories, Purdue is in. The RPI is working in their favor, Purdue is IN.
Michigan - I like Michigan, but I'm not sure how the rest of their season is going to play out. They are doing good in RPI (36) but their top-50 victories are just okay. Northwestern, Pittsburgh, and Michigan State could all finish top-50 but one or two may not. Michigan has a very brutal finish to Big Ten play, so it will be interesting to see how it plays out. But right now, the odds are favoring Michigan to get IN to the NCAA tournament.
Arkansas - Arkansas has something no other bubble team can say -- THREE top-25 victories. I think that alone is what is going to get them in. Their RPI in the low 40s is good enough to get them in, if they keep it there they should get in the NCAA tournament. Beating Florida, Texas A&M, and Wisconsin should be good enough to get you into the NCAA tournament. Razorbacks are going to the big dance!
THE "SAFE(R)" FOUR
These four teams are right before the "last" four in.
Northwestern - Northwestern's case is as simple as the case was for USC last year. Finish .500 or better and you're in the NCAA tournaments. It came down to the wire for Southern California last year, but they picked up a win at Arizona when they needed it and for some reason I believe Northwestern is going to do the same this year. They can start things off by beating Minnesota, but I think they can beat Iowa and Michigan State, which are the two really crucial games to keep their season alive. For the sake of today's argument, Northwestern gets in.
Santa Clara - Santa Clara is in, but partly because I am banking on them picking up another top-50 victory or two. They only have one-top 50 victory right now so that is their major concern. They are doing ok in terms of RPI, but nothing to make them too comfortable. Their signature victory is a good one, over BYU, but I don't think it's enough. However, a strong finish puts Santa Clara in as the 4th team from the West Coast Conference.
Arizona - Arizona is actually 1-9 against the Top 50. Not really good for a bubble team. Their signature victory isn't even over a Pac-12 squad -- it's over Southern Methodist. SMU could actually finish top-25, which could help Arizona get in. Regardless, if that is Arizona's only top-50 victory, I don't see them getting in. But I see them beating a good PAC team to solidify their case for the NCAA tournament. Hosting USC, UCLA should be a great chance for the Wildcats.
Pittsburgh - Pittsburgh is good for a bid because they've surely got three top-50 victories, anywhere from one to all three could end up top-25. Florida State, North Carolina, and Miami are good teams to beat. They are too far out to have a chance at the automatic qualifier as conference champions, but they have a great chance at an at-large. They can afford a loss to North Carolina, winning out should get them in. If they lose to Virginia as well, things may start to get dicey, but Pitt is probably in anyways.
LAST FOUR IN
The final four for an NCAA at-large bid
Missouri State - Of the five MVC teams vying for an at-large berth, the only one with a better resume is arguably Wichita State. Since I am putting them in as the AQ, I have Missouri State here as an at-large. Wins over Western Kentucky, Miami, and Wichita State should be good enough to get them into the NCAA tournament. MO State played a tougher OOC schedule that has helped them out in the RPI. They lost some games they shouldn't have to put them on the bubble but for now - Missouri State is in. My biggest questions are for what's going to happen with the other MVC teams.
Michigan State - Sparty makes me a little nervous. Their RPI makes them the weakest ranked amongst the B1G teams in that aspect. However, wins over Ohio State, North Carolina, and Michigan are keeping them in the discussion. I think a 4-2 record over the final six for Michigan St. gets them in. At 3-3 or 2-4 I could still see them squeezing in the NCAA's, but it's going to be very tight. If they pick up an upset win however and go 3-3, I think they are in. This is my fourth year doing this, and the only team I've ever picked wrong on was picking Virginia Tech to get in the NCAA tournament last year instead of Michigan State. So, I am not exactly sure. I hope Michigan State doesn't make me look bad again. I still think Pacific deserved a bid over them last season but let's not beat a dead horse.
Wyoming - Part of me putting Wyoming here is assuming that they are going to beat Colorado State at home in Laramie. I think if Wyoming does that -- their NCAA tournament chances are great. If they do not, they are still a bubble team, but they will probably end up on the wrong side of the bubble. Wyoming has been an inconsistent team this season. They have (I think) the worst loss of ANY of the bubble teams. But, they did pick up some good wins. Right now, Wyoming is one of the last teams in the NCAA's. They avoided disaster by not losing to Air Force (they took them to five this weekend). They need to win out and Wyoming will have made its case.
Villanova - Villanova right now is my last team into the NCAA's. They wouldn't even be one of the last teams in had they not lost to Xavier AND Butler this weekend. Now, the pressure is mounting for Villanova. They've got two top 50 victories (Creighton and Marquette) Either of those could end up as top-25 victories. Not sure if that's going to be enough. Villanova needs to win out to have a good chance at the bubble, and a win in the semifinals of the Big East Tournament would probably clinch a berth -- but it is not guaranteed. Of course, they could always win the conference and steal the AQ. Villanova's been playing well, they were really rolling until the tough road trip this weekend. Oh yeah, and if Villanova gets in -- we could FINALLY see a tougher Penn State subregional. (Pittsburgh vs. Villanova would be a great first round match, and a better second round opponent for PSU).
FIRST FOUR OUT
Kansas State - I have Kansas State out right now because their two best victories over Baylor and TCU simply aren't cutting it for me right now. However, they certainly have their chances over their last five matches. (Oklahoma, Iowa State, Texas, Kansas, Baylor). The five best teams in the Big 12 are the five remaining on KSU's schedule. I think they can beat OU and Baylor again, and if they pick up a third win, they are an NCAA tournament team. Even if they go 2-3 over that stretch, KSU will be on the bubble and if it comes down to it -- KSU should be taken over Baylor.
Boise State - Shout out to Boise State for even making it on this list, but the reality is they have a chance at an at-large bid. The problem is, they can't beat anyone significant to add to their resume, which means they are going to peak at two top-50 wins. Northwestern, and Wyoming. Wyoming beat Boise State once and has a better resume, so that's tough. If it comes down to it, Wyoming should get in over Boise State. I don't know if I can see three MWC teams in. Boise State's RPI is probably going to drop from its 45 ranking right now, so things don't look good for the Broncos. If you're a Boise fan, just hope for every possible worst thing to go wrong with all of the other bubble teams. Maybe the cards will fall just right.
Baylor - Baylor, I don't want to go ham on you for a minute, but Imma have to... Baylor is the biggest pretender of all the bubble teams. They have an inflated RPI that has caused them to look like a serious contender for an at-large, but that's bogus in my opinion. Baylor only has one top-50 win over Dayton, and if they only finish with just that signature victory, they should not get in. Their RPI is what concerns me to thinking they could get an at-large bid. If they finish in the high 30's, it might be hard to leave them out. If they beat Kansas State that may help their case for an at-large but I think they need to do more than that to get in. And truthfully, I've watched Baylor play, and that is a major reason why I think they are seriously overrated. They did the whole RPI scheduling thing to near perfection this year -- but still, Baylor is not an NCAA team. They had two other squads in the past few years that were on the bubble and were better teams than this.
Long Beach State - I feel for Long Beach State. I do. Hudson is a terrific athlete. I really respect her game, and wish she had more supporting tools at her disposal. Regardless, all hope is not lost for Long Beach State. It doesn't look good, but it's not over yet. Long Beach State's wins over LMU and San Diego are what's holding the structure together for now. If both of those finish top-25, then LBSU may have a case for one of the last teams in. I'm just not sure it's going to be enough. There's going to be a crowded bubble and who's better than who in terms of RPI ranking may be the crucial decider. Long Beach State's RPI is not going to improve much over the last few weeks. Any loss and LBSU is out of the tournament -- but if they win out, things are still not looking great. Beach needs to hope the other bubble teams falter. Every year I feel like there's one or two teams that I wish I could be on the committee and take someone else out and put them in, Long Beach State looks to be that team.
NEXT FOUR OUT
Southern Illinois - Southern Illinois is out for right now, but they have some hope. A good showing in the MVC tournament will help their RPI and I already think that SIU has a better chance at an at-large than two other MVC bubble teams (Northern Iowa and Illinois State) Southern Ill. will probably finish with at least three top-50 victories. Dayton, Missouri State, and Wichita State. They have a chance to double those last two victories, as they finish the regular season against Missouri St and Wichita State. Then, they could also pick up another top-50 victory in the MVC tournament. SIU has a chance to play its way into the NCAA's. They could finish with four or even five top-50 victories, and that could be just enough to push them into the NCAA's. Even though none of those will be top-25, it could still be good enough. Hard to leave out a team in the 40s RPI and 5 top-50 victories. But we'll see - the MVC is very hard for me to predict on right now. I wonder if the late conference tournament will have any barring on the NCAA committee's selections..
Idaho State - Idaho State just has an average looking Resume. They will probably finish high 40's, low 50s in RPI, with only two top-50 victories, nothing really stands out. They are also behind Northern Arizona in terms of an at-large bid. Unfortunately, I can't see any way where Idaho State gets an at-large bid into the NCAA tournament. That match against BYU was really crucial. If they had won, they would probably be an at-large team. There are other teams with better resume's, so Idaho State is out.
Virginia - Virginia has their chances to play their way into the NCAA tournament. They are an interesting case two because they may end up with two top-25 victories (Iowa State and Loyola Marymount). In conference, however, Virginia has not been impressive. They haven't picked up any big ACC victories, so why would I expect them to now? This is my major reasoning in leaving them OUT. Their biggest two chances to get back into the mix are against Pittsburgh, and North Carolina. If they beat one of those teams and finish strong, I could see them being one of the last few teams. If they don't beat either of those teams -- UVA should be OUT. Their RPI is at 47 right now, will be very interesting to see if they finish in the 40s with two top-25 victories, how can you leave them out?
Colorado - The Buffaloes are only making this list because of their big victories. Their RPI is way out -- (69). That's their biggest problem. Colorado probably has to go on an absolute tear to make the NCAA tournament. They will need to beat at least two of these three (ASU, Arizona, Stanford) and beat the weaker teams (Utah, WSU, Cal) in order to have a serious discussion as being a bubble team. It's not unheard of -- Utah went on a tear and scrambled its way into the NCAA tournament as one of the last few teams IN. Colorado could do it this year -- but truthfully they have not been consistent enough for it to seem realistic. Austin and Simpson are two athletic players that can lead CU to a lot of victories when they are on.
Projected Sixteen Seeds:
(1) USC
(2) Minnesota
(3) Texas
(4) Penn State
(5) Washington
(6) Florida
(7) Nebraska
(8) Kansas
(9) UCLA
(10) Kentucky
(11) Stanford
(12) Ohio State
(13) BYU
(14) Louisville
(15) Wisconsin
(16) Missouri
Tournament Resume's by Team
---------------------------------------
ACC
Miami(FL)
Overall Record: 17-7
Conference Record: 10-4
Non-Conference Record: 7-3
Strength of Schedule Rank: 26
RPI: 30
Record against 1-50 RPI: 3-6
Record against 50-100 RPI: 6-0
Record against 101-200 RPI: 6-1
Significant Wins: 21 Florida St, 34 Purdue, 47 Virginia, 51 Kansas State, 58 Illinois St, 62 Syracuse
Significant Losses: 176 Oral Roberts
Last 10 games: 3-1
Remaining: Louisville, NDame, Duke, WF, @clemson, @gatech
Pittsburgh
Overall Record: 20-6
Conference Record: 10-4
Non-Conference Record: 10-2
Strength of Schedule Rank: 106
RPI: 43
Record against 1-50 RPI: 3-3
Record against 50-100 RPI: 2-3
Record against 101-200 RPI: 9-0
Significant Wins: 21 Florida St, 27 North Carolina, 30 Miami(FL), 62 Syracuse,
Significant Losses: NONE
Last 10 games: 3-1
Remaining: @unc, @ncst, BCU, Cuse, VTech, UVA
Virginia
Overall Record: 15-10
Conference Record: 7-7
Non-Conference Record: 8-3
Strength of Schedule Rank: 29
RPI: 47
Record against 1-50 RPI: 3-5
Record against 50-100 RPI: 4-4
Record against 101-200 RPI: 5-1
Significant Wins: 14 Iowa St, 26 Loyola Marymount, 43 Pittsburgh
Significant Losses: 169 Wake Forest
Last 10 games: 1-3
Remaining: Clemson, GaTech, NCST, UNC, @pitt, @vtech
Atlantic 10
Dayton
Overall Record: 22-5
Conference Record: 13-0
Non-Conference Record: 9-5
Strength of Schedule Rank: 74
RPI: 35
Record against 1-50 RPI: 1-4
Record against 50-100 RPI: 6-0
Record against 101-200 RPI: 7-1
Significant Wins: 20 Western Kentucky, 58 Illinois St.,
Significant Losses: NONE
Last 10 games: 6-0
Remaining: saint Louis, A-10 Semifinals, A-10 Championship, Ohio
Big Sky
Idaho State
Overall Record: 19-9
Conference Record: 11-3
Non-Conference Record: 8-6
Strength of Schedule Rank: 59
RPI: 54
Record against 1-50 RPI: 2-4
Record against 50-100 RPI: 3-3
Record against 101-200 RPI: 7-2
Significant Wins: 38 Northwestern, 45 Boise St,
Significant Losses: 124 Utah
Last 10 games: 3-2
Remaining: Montana, @weber St., Big Sky Qtrs, Sky Semis, Big Sky Championship
Northern Arizona
Overall Record: 23-4
Conference Record: 13-1
Non-Conference Record: 10-3
Strength of Schedule Rank: 161
RPI: 50
Record against 1-50 RPI: 2-1
Record against 50-100 RPI: 3-3
Record against 101-200 RPI: 9-0
Significant Wins: 26 Loyola Marymount, 45 Boise State, 54 Idaho St.(x2)
Significant Losses: NONE
Last 10 games: 5-0
Remaining: Sac State, Portland State, Big Sky Qtrs, Sky Semis, SKY Championship
Big East
Villanova
Overall Record: 21-7
Conference Record: 11-4
Non-Conference Record: 10-3
Strength of Schedule Rank: 77
RPI: 44
Record against 1-50 RPI: 2-3
Record against 50-100 RPI: 2-2
Record against 101-200 RPI: 9-2
Significant Wins: 23 Creighton, 29 Marquette, 63 James Madison
Significant Losses: 122 UT Arlington, 153 Butler
Last 10 games: 2-3
Remaining: Seton Hall, Providence, St. John's, BE Semis, BE Champ
Xavier
Overall Record: 15-10
Conference Record: 11-3
Non-Conference Record: 4-7
Strength of Schedule Rank: 62
RPI: 67
Record against 1-50 RPI: 2-6
Record against 50-100 RPI: 1-2
Record against 101-200 RPI: 8-2
Significant Wins: 29 Marquette, 44 Villanova
Significant Losses: 114 LSU, 191 DePaul
Last 10 games: 4-0
Remaining: Creighton, Georgetown, Depaul, Marquette, BE Semis, BE Champ
BIG TEN
Michigan
Overall Record: 16-9
Conference Record: 6-8
Non-Conference Record: 10-1
Strength of Schedule Rank: 34
RPI: 36
Record against 1-50 RPI: 3-9
Record against 50-100 RPI: 6-0
Record against 101-200 RPI: 7-0
Significant Wins: 38 Northwestern, 43 Pittsburgh, 49 Michigan State, 56 Ohio
Significant Losses: NONE
Last 10 games: 1-3
Remaining: Wisconsin, @ohio St, @penn St., Nebraska, @indiana, Illinois
Purdue
Overall Record: 18-7
Conference Record: 9-5
Non-Conference Record: 9-2
Strength of Schedule Rank: 51
RPI: 34
Record against 1-50 RPI: 4-7
Record against 50-100 RPI: 5-0
Record against 101-200 RPI: 6-0
Significant Wins: 17 Illinois, 36 Michigan, 38 Northwestern, 49 Michigan State
Significant Losses: NONE
Last 10 games: 1-3
Remaining: @maryland, @nw, @rutgers, Minny, Michigan St, Wisconsin
Northwestern
Overall Record: 13-12
Conference Record: 5-9
Non-Conference Record: 8-3
Strength of Schedule Rank: 3
RPI: 38
Record against 1-50 RPI: 3-10
Record against 50-100 RPI: 3-2
Record against 101-200 RPI: 7-0
Significant Wins: 5 Penn State, 40 Missouri State, 49 Michigan State
Significant Losses: NONE
Last 10 games: 1-3
Remaining: Minnesota, Purdue, @mich St, @ Iowa, @penn St, Maryland
Michigan State
Overall Record: 14-11
Conference Record: 6-8
Non-Conference Record: 8-3
Strength of Schedule Rank: 22
RPI: 49
Record against 1-50 RPI: 3-9
Record against 50-100 RPI: 3-1
Record against 101-200 RPI: 8-1
Significant Wins: 11 Ohio State, 27 North Carolina, 36 Michigan
Significant Losses: 123 Miami (OH)
Last 10 games: 0-4
Remaining: Nebraska, @indiana, Northwesern, @rutgers, @purdue, Iowa
BIG 12
Baylor
Overall Record: 16-9
Conference Record: 4-7
Non-Conference Record: 10-2
Strength of Schedule Rank: 12
RPI: 37
Record against 1-50 RPI: 1-7
Record against 50-100 RPI: 4-2
Record against 101-200 RPI: 9-0
Significant Wins: 35 Dayton, 55 Northern Iowa
Significant Losses: NONE
Last 10 games: 2-3
Remaining: TCU, Oklahoma, @texas, @ Iowa St, Kansas St
Kansas State
Overall Record: 15-8
Conference Record: 7-4
Non-Conference Record: 8-4
Strength of Schedule Rank: 55
RPI: 51
Record against 1-50 RPI: 2-8
Record against 50-100 RPI: 2-0
Record against 101-200 RPI: 9-0
Significant Wins: 37 Baylor, 42 TCU, 58 Illinois State
Significant Losses: NONE
Last 10 games: 4-1
Remaining: Oklahoma, Iowa State, @texas, Kansas, @baylor
TCU
Overall Record: 16-7
Conference Record: 6-5
Non-Conference Record: 10-2
Strength of Schedule Rank: 68
RPI: 42
Record against 1-50 RPI: 3-7
Record against 50-100 RPI: 2-0
Record against 101-200 RPI: 5-0
Significant Wins: 3 Texas, 37 Baylor, 51 Kansas State
Significant Losses: NONE
Last 10 games: 2-3
Remaining: @baylor, @kansas, Texas Tech, @oklahoma, WVU
BIG WEST
Long Beach State
Overall Record: 20-6
Conference Record: 10-3
Non-Conference Record: 10-3
Strength of Schedule Rank: 119
RPI: 53
Record against 1-50 RPI: 2-1
Record against 50-100 RPI: 4-2
Record against 101-200 RPI: 8-1
Significant Wins: 26 Loyola Marymount, 28 San Diego
Significant Losses: 166 Saint Mary's
Last 10 games: 4-1
Remaining: @ CSUN, CSUF, @ucr, Pacific, Denver
MAC
Ohio
Overall Record: 21-6
Conference Record: 11-3
Non-Conference Record: 10-3
Strength of Schedule Rank: 120
RPI: 56
Record against 1-50 RPI: 1-3
Record against 50-100 RPI: 5-1
Record against 101-200 RPI: 8-2
Significant Wins: 13 Kentucky, 67 Xavier
Significant Losses: 123 Miami(OH)
Last 10 games: 2-3
Remaining: Buffalo, Akron, MAC Semis, MAC Championship, Dayton
MVC
Wichita State
Overall Record: 21-7
Conference Record: 12-2
Non-Conference Record: 9-5
Strength of Schedule Rank: 42
RPI: 33
Record against 1-50 RPI: 3-5
Record against 50-100 RPI: 4-1
Record against 101-200 RPI: 10-1
Significant Wins: 13 Kentucky, 29 Marquette, 40 Missouri State
Significant Losses: 119 IUPUI
Last 10 games: 3-1
Remaining: loyola, @bradley, siu, evansville, MVC Semis, MVC Champ
Missouri State
Overall Record: 18-9
Conference Record: 9-5
Non-Conference Record: 9-4
Strength of Schedule Rank: 43
RPI: 40
Record against 1-50 RPI: 3-6
Record against 50-100 RPI: 2-2
Record against 101-200 RPI: 9-1
Significant Wins: 20 Western Kentucky, 30 Miami(FL), 33 Wichita State, 55 Northern Iowa
Significant Losses: 108 Loyola (IL)
Last 10 games: (3-0)
Remaining: @bradley, @ Loyola, Evansville, SIU, MVC Qtrs, MVC Semis, MVC Champ
Southern Illinois
Overall Record: 20-7
Conference Record: 11-3
Non-Conference Record: 9-4
Strength of Schedule Rank: 90
RPI: 52
Record against 1-50 RPI: 3-3
Record against 50-100 RPI: 1-2
Record against 101-200 RPI: 9-2
Significant Wins: 33 Wichita State, 35 Dayton, 40 Missouri State, 55 Northern Iowa
Significant Losses: 111 UCF, 108 Loyola (IL)
Last 10 games: 3-0
Remaining: Illinois St, Indiana St, @wich St, @missouri St, MVC Qtrs, MVC Semis, MVC Champ
Illinois State
Overall Record: 20-8
Conference Record: 10-5
Non-Conference Record: 10-3
Strength of Schedule Rank: 105
RPI: 58
Record against 1-50 RPI: 2-6
Record against 50-100 RPI: 2-1
Record against 101-200 RPI: 9-1
Significant Wins: 40 Missouri State, 52 Southern Illinois, 53 Long Beach State, 55 Northern Iowa
Significant Losses: 108 Loyola (IL)
Last 10 games: 3-1
Remaining: @siu, @evansville, Indiana State, MVC Qtrs, MVC Semis, MVC Champ
Northern Iowa
Overall Record:15-13
Conference Record: 9-6
Non-Conference Record: 6-7
Strength of Schedule Rank: 17
RPI: 55
Record against 1-50 RPI: 3-10
Record against 50-100 RPI: 3-1
Record against 101-200 RPI:6-1
Significant Wins: 23 Creighton, 40 Missouri State, 52 Southern Illinois
Significant Losses: 132 Indiana State, 108 Illinois-Chicago
Last 10 games: 2-2
Remaining: @ Drake, Bradley, Loyola, MVC Qtrs, MVC Semis, MVC Champ
MWC
Boise State
Overall Record: 18-7
Conference Record: 10-3
Non-Conference Record: 8-4
Strength of Schedule Rank: 63
RPI: 45
Record against 1-50 RPI: 1-4
Record against 50-100 RPI: 3-3
Record against 101-200 RPI: 5-0
Significant Wins: 38 Northwestern, 48 Wyoming
Significant Losses: NONE
Last 10 games: 4-1
Remaining: SDSU, Nevada, @air Force, New Mexico, Utah State
Wyoming
Overall Record: 20-6
Conference Record: 10-4
Non-Conference Record: 10-2
Strength of Schedule Rank: 131
RPI: 48
Record against 1-50 RPI: 3-3
Record against 50-100 RPI: 2-1
Record against 101-200 RPI: 11-1
Significant Wins: 11 Ohio State, 29 Marquette, 45 Boise State, 54 Idaho State
Significant Losses: 167 Nevada, 225 San Jose State
Last 10 games: 5-1
Remaining: SJSU, @ Fresno St, UNLV, Colorado State
PAC-12
Arizona
Overall Record: 16-10
Conference Record: 6-8
Non-Conference Record: 10-2
Strength of Schedule Rank: 25
RPI: 46
Record against 1-50 RPI: 1-9
Record against 50-100 RPI: 5-1
Record against 101-200 RPI: 5-0
Significant Wins: 24 SMU, 62 Syracuse
Significant Losses: NONE
Last 10 games: 2-2
Remaining: @utah, @ Colorado, USC, UCLA, @oregon St, Arizona St.
Colorado
Overall Record: 14-12
Conference Record: 6-8
Non-Conference Record: 8-4
Strength of Schedule Rank: 69
RPI: 69
Record against 1-50 RPI: 3-9
Record against 50-100 RPI: 2-2
Record against 101-200 RPI: 4-1
Significant Wins: 12 Stanford, 21 Florida State, 46 Arizona
Significant Losses: 124 Utah
Last 10 games: 1-3
Remaining: ASU, Arizona, stanford, @cal, Washington St, Utah
SEC
Arkansas
Overall Record: 15-9
Conference Record: 5-7
Non-Conference Record: 10-2
Strength of Schedule Rank: 32
RPI: 41
Record against 1-50 RPI: 3-2
Record against 50-100 RPI: 2-4
Record against 101-200RPI: 5-1
Significant Wins: 4 Florida, 9 Wisconsin, 16 Texas A&M, 51 Kansas State
Significant Losses: 172 South Carolina
Last 10 games: 2-2
Remaining: LSU, Georgia, Missouri, @auburn, South Carolina, Texas A&M
SUN BELT
Arkansas St.
Overall Record: 24-1
Conference Record: 15-0
Non-Conference Record: 9-1
Strength of Schedule Rank: 95
RPI: 22
Record against 1-50 RPI: 2-1
Record against 50-100 RPI: 3-0
Record against 101-200 RPI: 12-0
Significant Wins: 40 Missouri State, 58 Southern Illinois
Significant Losses: NONE
Last 10 games: 6-0
Remaining: App St, Sun Belt Qtrs, Sun Belt Semis, Sun Belt Championship
WCC
Santa Clara
Overall Record: 19-6
Conference Record: 10-3
Non-Conference Record: 9-3
Strength of Schedule Rank: 85
RPI: 39
Record against 1-50 RPI: 1-4
Record against 50-100 RPI: 7-0
Record against 101-200 RPI: 7-2
Significant Wins: 18 BYU
Significant Losses: 109 Portland
Last 10 games: 4-1
Remaining: LMU, Pepperdine, @byu, @san Diego, @pacific
