RPI Futures Week 9 (10/24/16)

[bluepenquin]

RPI Futures is a season ending RPI projection based on the win probabilities on the remaining matches on the schedule using their Pablo rating. Records are rounded here, but not rounded when calculating the RPI Futures. Note - this is using last weeks Pablo rating.

RPI Rank. (LW Rank) Team (Overall wins - losses, Conference wins - losses) - RPI Projected SOS


1. (2) Nebraska (26-3, 17-3) - 8

2. (3) Texas (22-4, 14-2) - 3

3. (1) Wisconsin (23-6, 15-5) - 2

4. (4) Minnesota (23-6, 15-5) - 4

5. (8) Michigan (23-9, 12-8) - 7

6. (5) Florida (26-3, 16-2) - 45

7. (6) San Diego (26-3, 17-1) - 41

8. (11) Washington (25-5, 15-5) - 30

9. (10) North Carolina (26-4, 18-2) - 58

10. (9) Stanford (19-9, 13-7) - 6

11. (13) BYU (25-5, 14-4) - 43

12. (7) Penn State (23-8, 15-5) - 24

13. (17) UCLA (23-7, 14-6) - 22

14. (14) Kansas State (21-8, 10-6) - 14

15. (12) Michigan State (22-10, 11-9) - 10

16. (16) Kansas (24-4, 13-3) - 69

17. (20) Missouri (24-6, 15-3) - 29

18. (19) Western Kentucky (26-3, 13-1) - 80

19. (15) Kentucky (22-7, 15-3) - 31

20. (18) Purdue (18-13, 8-12) - 5

21. (21) Creighton (23-7, 17-1) - 32

22. (27) Oregon (20-9, 13-7) - 11

23. (24) Washington State (23-9, 13-7) - 36

24. (23) Utah (20-11, 11-9) - 13

25. (22) UNLV (25-5, 14-4) - 51

26. (32) Ohio State (21-11, 11-9) - 15

27. (31) Dayton (28-2, 13-1) - 144

28. (25) USC (20-11, 12-8) - 17

29. (37) Baylor (22-10, 10-6) - 28

30. (34) Florida State (23-6, 16-4) - 88

31. (26) Wichita State (22-7, 15-3) - 50

32. (33) Texas A&M (20-9, 14-4) - 18

33. (28) TCU (13-13, 6-10) - 1

34. (29) Marquette (24-6, 14-4) - 76

35. (30) Arizona (18-14, 10-10) - 9

36. (38) Coastal Carolina (24-4, 15-1) - 125

37. (39) Hawaii (21-6, 14-2) - 75

38. (45) Notre Dame (26-6, 17-3) - 112

39. (35) Colorado State (21-8, 15-3) - 67

40. (44) Georgia Tech (24-8, 15-5) - 77

41. (48) Boise State (22-9, 13-5) - 64

42. (46) Miami-OH (23-5, 15-1) - 129

43. (47) SMU (23-9, 16-4) - 52

44. (41) Colorado (17-13, 9-11) - 19

45. (49) Cleveland State (23-5, 14-2) - 114

46. (36) Pittsburgh (23-9, 14-6) - 68

47. (43) Iowa State (16-12, 8-8) - 12

48. (42) Illinois (19-12, 12-8) - 33

49. (40) Cincinnati (20-11, 15-5) - 37

50. (50) Northern Iowa (22-9, 13-5) - 90

51. (51) Loyola Marymount (20-10, 11-7) - 57

52. (59) Missouri State (23-9, 14-4) - 108

53. (60) Long Beach State (22-9, 14-2) - 111

54. (53) Florida Gulf Coast (26-4, 12-2) - 191

55. (64) Temple (20-10, 13-7) - 74

56. (52) Cal Poly (18-9, 11-5) - 87

57. (54) UCF (23-10, 13-7) - 92

58. (58) Southern Illinois (22-10, 13-5) - 86

59. (55) Hofstra (20-9, 10-6) - 83

60. (57) Texas-San Antonio (20-6, 11-3) - 142

61. (56) Iowa (20-12, 10-10) - 60

62. (63) Villanova (19-12, 10-8) - 56

63. (61) Alabama (19-12, 8-10) - 53

64. (67) Pacific (17-13, 11-7) - 42

65. (62) Duke (20-10, 14-6) - 110

66. (65) Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (20-8, 15-1) - 138

67. (73) Indiana (16-17, 5-15) - 20

68. (75) Northern Illinois (22-6, 14-2) - 189

69. (71) Arkansas State (22-8, 14-2) - 150

70. (76) Lipscomb (19-8, 11-3) - 134

71. (81) College of Charleston (19-9, 12-4) - 106

72. (69) Northeastern (21-9, 11-5) - 136

73. (68) Rice (18-11, 10-4) - 79

74. (70) Towson (23-8, 10-6) - 165

75. (66) Wyoming (18-13, 11-7) - 59

76. (83) San Diego State (17-15, 9-9) - 44

77. (84) Princeton (19-4, 13-1) - 235

78. (85) Gonzaga (16-12, 9-9) - 78

79. (74) Tulsa (18-14, 7-13) - 62

80. (86) Texas State (21-10, 14-2) - 126

81. (72) Nevada (19-11, 10-8) - 122

82. (82) USF (21-11, 12-8) - 124

83. (78) Tulane (18-14, 10-10) - 73

84. (104) James Madison (16-13, 8-8) - 65

85. (90) New Mexico State (24-6, 13-1) - 210

86. (80) Tennessee (18-13, 8-10) - 84

87. (77) UConn (18-13, 9-11) - 91

88. (91) NC State (18-14, 11-9) - 89

89. (87) Oklahoma (15-14, 6-10) - 54

90. (94) Xavier (17-14, 11-7) - 70

91. (79) UNCW (18-10, 8-8) - 127

92. (96) Saint Louis (15-14, 10-4) - 55

93. (89) DePaul (15-15, 9-9) - 48

94. (99) South Dakota (25-5, 14-2) - 267

95. (88) Wisconsin-Green Bay (19-9, 11-5) - 154

96. (92) Ole Miss (17-14, 6-12) - 82

97. (100) Northern Arizona (23-6, 13-3) - 243

98. (98) South Carolina (18-12, 6-12) - 117

99. (114) Auburn (15-16, 9-9) - 47

100. (102) Marshall (21-8, 10-4) - 215

101. (101) UCSB (16-13, 7-9) - 105

102. (109) Illinois State (18-12, 11-7) - 130

103. (93) Santa Clara (17-13, 8-10) - 109

104. (106) East Tennessee State (21-7, 13-3) - 219

105. (107) American (25-7, 15-1) - 256

106. (105) Kennesaw State (18-10, 12-2) - 158

107. (97) Southern Miss (21-8, 10-4) - 221

108. (95) Albany (16-8, 10-2) - 169

109. (108) Bowling Green (20-9, 10-6) - 196

110. (110) Oakland (19-11, 11-5) - 152

111. (112) Yale (18-6, 10-4) - 249

112. (118) Northern Kentucky (16-11, 10-6) - 143

113. (103) UT Rio Grande Valley (20-11, 9-5) - 183

114. (119) Fresno State (15-14, 6-12) - 103

115. (113) High Point (21-8, 12-4) - 226

116. (111) Butler (20-14, 9-9) - 133

117. (115) Texas Tech (12-19, 2-14) - 27

118. (123) Radford (22-6, 13-3) - 280

119. (133) Utah State (14-16, 9-9) - 85

120. (116) Toledo (16-12, 9-7) - 131

121. (117) West Virginia (13-17, 4-12) - 49

122. (121) Denver (21-8, 13-3) - 245

123. (130) SIUE (19-8, 12-4) - 236

124. (120) Maryland (12-20, 4-16) - 38

125. (128) Miami-FL (13-19, 7-13) - 46

126. (127) UNF (19-12, 8-6) - 166

127. (126) Ohio (15-14, 11-5) - 107

128. (139) Portland State (18-11, 9-7) - 168

129. (124) Portland (15-15, 8-10) - 102

130. (125) Pepperdine (11-19, 5-13) - 35

131. (122) Oregon State (10-21, 3-17) - 21

132. (137) Sacramento State (17-13, 11-5) - 145

133. (131) LSU (10-19, 5-13) - 16

134. (129) Northern Colorado (17-11, 11-5) - 188

135. (154) Idaho State (15-14, 10-6) - 119

136. (140) Austin Peay (23-10, 12-4) - 260

137. (138) Rhode Island (16-10, 11-3) - 190

138. (153) Samford (19-12, 10-6) - 179

139. (136) Milwaukee (15-12, 9-7) - 148

140. (132) Army (19-11, 11-5) - 218

141. (151) Murray State (19-9, 14-2) - 230

142. (134) North Dakota (21-11, 12-4) - 223

143. (142) New Mexico (15-17, 5-13) - 100

144. (135) Arizona State (10-22, 3-17) - 23

145. (143) Utah Valley (14-14, 9-5) - 123

146. (156) Delaware (11-18, 5-11) - 40

147. (149) Saint Marys (12-17, 7-11) - 71

148. (148) Mississippi State (16-16, 8-10) - 115

149. (146) VCU (18-13, 8-6) - 182

150. (144) Fairfield (26-6, 17-1) - 304

151. (145) Sam Houston State (16-13, 10-6) - 163

152. (150) East Carolina (17-13, 7-13) - 181

153. (141) Cal (10-20, 4-16) - 39

154. (155) UC Davis (14-15, 7-9) - 118

155. (158) Seton Hall (14-17, 8-10) - 104

156. (152) UC Irvine (13-18, 7-9) - 81

157. (157) Georgia (16-15, 4-14) - 146

158. (168) Northwestern (9-23, 2-18) - 34

159. (160) Howard (23-5, 13-0) - 316

160. (164) Liberty (17-11, 12-4) - 205

161. (166) Louisville (11-19, 6-14) - 63

162. (167) Florida Atlantic (16-12, 11-3) - 187

163. (147) Loyola-Chicago (13-18, 8-10) - 94

164. (170) UNC Greensboro (16-13, 10-6) - 186

165. (159) Chattanooga (17-12, 10-6) - 204

166. (162) Duquesne (19-10, 9-5) - 261

167. (161) Cal State Northridge (10-18, 6-10) - 61

168. (169) Stephen F. Austin (19-10, 12-4) - 263

169. (172) Seattle (14-14, 7-7) - 162

170. (171) Illinois-Chicago (17-13, 5-11) - 194

171. (178) Navy (21-7, 11-5) - 303

172. (165) Elon (18-15, 4-12) - 202

173. (173) Belmont (16-11, 10-6) - 225

174. (182) IUPUI (14-17, 10-6) - 128

175. (184) Campbell (15-15, 10-6) - 173

[FreeBall]

I'm bringing over a series of posts from the Nebraska 2016 thread as they really belong here. #1:

Oct 24, 2016 16:40:31 GMT -5 FreeBall said:

Oct 24, 2016 14:19:33 GMT -5 Hawk Attack said:

I have a question, how close is San Diego or Washington to reaching Top 4 in RPI. Is it even really a possibility?

This is a question bluepenguin should be able to answer once he runs his "RPI Futures" projection for the week. Did he say it would be delayed until sometime tomorrow?

[FreeBall]

#2:

Oct 24, 2016 17:58:03 GMT -5 1TXHusker said:

Oct 24, 2016 16:40:31 GMT -5 FreeBall said:

This is a question bluepenguin should be able to answer once he runs his "RPI Futures" projection for the week. Did he say it would be delayed until sometime tomorrow?

"RPI Futures" is a nice thought... but they all depend on who's going to win the next match, and as you can see it becomes exponentially screwed up, and compounded, on a weekly basis. Even two weeks into the season who or what computer would have foresaw San Diego, Michigan, or North Carolina inside the Top 10 RPI at this time? Answer:  None. It's why they play the games people.

[FreeBall]

#3:

Oct 24, 2016 19:36:09 GMT -5 FreeBall said:

Oct 24, 2016 17:58:03 GMT -5 1TXHusker said:

"RPI Futures" is a nice thought... but they all depend on who's going to win the next match, and as you can see it becomes exponentially screwed up, and compounded, on a weekly basis. Even two weeks into the season who or what computer would have foresaw San Diego, Michigan, or North Carolina inside the Top 10 RPI at this time? Answer:  None. It's why they play the games people.

"RPI Futures" does not "become exponentially screwed up, and compounded, on a weekly basis". The exact opposite is true. It gets better with each week as the season progresses.

The three teams you cite in your post were all in the top 25 in the Week 1 "RPI Futures" and by week 3 they were all in (or very near) the top 10. Here are the weekly end-of-season RPI projections for those teams:

	Michigan	San Diego	N. Carolina
Week 1	11	25	21
Week 2	5	32	13
Week 3	6	12	9
Week 4	8	11	14
Week 5	9	11	17
Week 6	11	7	12
Week 7	9	11	14
Week 8	8	6	10

[FreeBall]

Oct 24, 2016 19:37:31 GMT -5 bluepenquin said:

Note - this is using last weeks Pablo rating.

How significant is this? For example, since Nebraska is not yet getting credit in Pablo for the wins over Wisconsin and Minnesota, does this possibly understate their projected season-ending record?

[southie]

I know I'm not taking into account the exact criteria the committee would use, but if I were to create mock sub-regionals with just the Top 32 teams (mainly based on proximity):


1. (2) Nebraska (26-3, 17-3) - 8
31. (26) Wichita State (22-7, 15-3) - 50

2. (3) Texas (22-4, 14-2) - 3
32. (33) Texas A&M (20-9, 14-4) - 18

3. (1) Wisconsin (23-6, 15-5) - 2
29. (37) Baylor (22-10, 10-6) - 28

4. (4) Minnesota (23-6, 15-5) - 4
25. (22) UNLV (25-5, 14-4) - 51

5. (8) Michigan (23-9, 12-8) - 7
23. (24) Washington State (23-9, 13-7) - 36

6. (5) Florida (26-3, 16-2) - 45
30. (34) Florida State (23-6, 16-4) - 88

7. (6) San Diego (26-3, 17-1) - 41
28. (25) USC (20-11, 12-8) - 17

8. (11) Washington (25-5, 15-5) - 30
26. (32) Ohio State (21-11, 11-9) - 15

9. (10) North Carolina (26-4, 18-2) - 58
22. (27) Oregon (20-9, 13-7) - 11

10. (9) Stanford (19-9, 13-7) - 6
20. (18) Purdue (18-13, 8-12) - 5

11. (13) BYU (25-5, 14-4) - 43
24. (23) Utah (20-11, 11-9) - 13

12. (7) Penn State (23-8, 15-5) - 24
27. (31) Dayton (28-2, 13-1) - 144

13. (17) UCLA (23-7, 14-6) - 22
19. (15) Kentucky (22-7, 15-3) - 31

14. (14) Kansas State (21-8, 10-6) - 14
21. (21) Creighton (23-7, 17-1) - 32

15. (12) Michigan State (22-10, 11-9) - 10
18. (19) Western Kentucky (26-3, 13-1) - 80

16. (16) Kansas (24-4, 13-3) - 69
17. (20) Missouri (24-6, 15-3) - 29

[ay2013]

Oct 24, 2016 19:57:34 GMT -5 southie said:

I know I'm not taking into account the exact criteria the committee would use, but if I were to create mock sub-regionals with just the Top 32 teams (mainly based on proximity):


1. (2) Nebraska (26-3, 17-3) - 8
31. (26) Wichita State (22-7, 15-3) - 50

2. (3) Texas (22-4, 14-2) - 3
32. (33) Texas A&M (20-9, 14-4) - 18

3. (1) Wisconsin (23-6, 15-5) - 2
29. (37) Baylor (22-10, 10-6) - 28

4. (4) Minnesota (23-6, 15-5) - 4
25. (22) UNLV (25-5, 14-4) - 51

5. (8) Michigan (23-9, 12-8) - 7
23. (24) Washington State (23-9, 13-7) - 36

6. (5) Florida (26-3, 16-2) - 45
30. (34) Florida State (23-6, 16-4) - 88

7. (6) San Diego (26-3, 17-1) - 41
28. (25) USC (20-11, 12-8) - 17

8. (11) Washington (25-5, 15-5) - 30
26. (32) Ohio State (21-11, 11-9) - 15

9. (10) North Carolina (26-4, 18-2) - 58
22. (27) Oregon (20-9, 13-7) - 11

10. (9) Stanford (19-9, 13-7) - 6
20. (18) Purdue (18-13, 8-12) - 5

11. (13) BYU (25-5, 14-4) - 43
24. (23) Utah (20-11, 11-9) - 13

12. (7) Penn State (23-8, 15-5) - 24
27. (31) Dayton (28-2, 13-1) - 144

13. (17) UCLA (23-7, 14-6) - 22
19. (15) Kentucky (22-7, 15-3) - 31

14. (14) Kansas State (21-8, 10-6) - 14
21. (21) Creighton (23-7, 17-1) - 32

15. (12) Michigan State (22-10, 11-9) - 10
18. (19) Western Kentucky (26-3, 13-1) - 80

16. (16) Kansas (24-4, 13-3) - 69
17. (20) Missouri (24-6, 15-3) - 29

what's the mileage cutoff for sub regional? 450?

[bluepenquin]

Oct 24, 2016 19:44:48 GMT -5 FreeBall said:

I'm bringing over a series of posts from the Nebraska 2016 thread as they really belong here. #1:

Oct 24, 2016 16:40:31 GMT -5 FreeBall said:

This is a question bluepenguin should be able to answer once he runs his "RPI Futures" projection for the week. Did he say it would be delayed until sometime tomorrow?

<<I have a question, how close is San Diego or Washington to reaching Top 4 in RPI. Is it even really a possibility?
>>

The top 4 in RPI was pretty much decided many weeks ago baring some kind of big collapse.  So I would say - not close at all - highly unlikely.  But then you have 'what will the committee may do with Regional Host on the line'.

[bluepenquin]

Oct 24, 2016 20:17:12 GMT -5 ay2013 said:

Oct 24, 2016 19:57:34 GMT -5 southie said:

what's the mileage cutoff for sub regional? 450?

400 before it is considered fly-in.

[bluepenquin]

Oct 24, 2016 19:54:32 GMT -5 FreeBall said:

Oct 24, 2016 19:37:31 GMT -5 bluepenquin said:

Note - this is using last weeks Pablo rating.

How significant is this? For example, since Nebraska is not yet getting credit in Pablo for the wins over Wisconsin and Minnesota, does this possibly understate their projected season-ending record?

Pablo Rating only impacts remaining matches on the schedule - so the impact becomes smaller and smaller as the season progresses. The impact on a team like Nebraska is probably going to be small, since they are already rated very highly and have good win probabilities for their remaining games. 

But, yeah - the impact can still be pretty 'significant'.  I bet it a team like Oregon would look different in these rankings - maybe Missouri also?  It doesn't change the +1/-1 - which is getting more into the original intent of RPI Futures.  I will and get those updated.

[bluepenquin]

+1 Conference Win, -1 Conference Win RPI Projection.

1. Nebraska (17 Wins-1) (18 Wins-1) (16 Wins-3)
3. Wisconsin (15 Wins-3) (16 Wins-2) (14 Wins-3)
4. Minnesota (15 Wins-4) (16 Wins-4) (14 Wins-4)
5. Michigan (12 Wins-6) (13 Wins-5) (11 Wins-9)
12. Penn State (15 Wins-14) (16 Wins-9) (14 Wins-19)
15. Michigan State (11 Wins-16) (12 Wins-13) (10 Wins-22)
20. Purdue (8 Wins-20) (9 Wins-17) (7 Wins-25)
26. Ohio State (11 Wins-26) (12 Wins-24) (10 Wins-34)
48. Illinois (12 Wins-47) (13 Wins-38) (11 Wins-50)
61. Iowa (10 Wins-55) (11 Wins-51) (9 Wins-64)
67. Indiana (5 Wiins-73) (6 Wins-64) (4 Wins-80)

[bluepenquin]

8. Washington (15 Wins-8) (16 Wins-5) (14 Wins-11)
10. Stanford (13 Wins-9) (14 Wins-5) (12 Wins-14)
13. UCLA (14 Wins-12) (15 Wins-9) (13 Wins-18)
22. Oregon (13 Wins-18) (14 Wins-13) (12 Wins-23)
23. Washington State (13 Wins-23) (14 Wins-18) (12 Wins-25)
24. Utah (11 Wins-24) (12 Wins-21) (9 Wins-34)
28. USC (12 Wins-28) (13 Wins-25) (11 Wins-35)
35. Arizona (10 Wins-35) (11 Wins-30) (9 Wins-42)
44. Colorado (9 Wins-43) (10 Wins-36) (8 Wins-49)

[bluepenquin]

2. Texas (14 Wins-2) (15 Wins-1) (13 Wins-3)
14. Kansas State (10 Wins-14) (11 Wins-9) (9 Wins-20)
16. Kansas (13 Wins-15) (14 Wins-9) (12 Wins-20)
29. Baylor (10 Wins-28) (11 Wins-25) (9 Wins-35)
33. TCU (6 Wins-35) (7 Wins-26) (5 Wins-40)
47. Iowa State (8 Wins-44) (9 Wins-36) (7 Wins-50)



7. San Diego (17 Wins-5) (18 Wins-5) (16 Wins-9)
11. BYU (14 Wins-16) (15 Wins-9) (13 Wins-21)
51. Loyola Marymount (11 Wins-51) (12 Wins-47) (10 Wins-57)
64. Pacific (11 Wins-64) (12 Wins-58) (10 Wins-77)




9. North Carolina (18 Wins-11) (19 Wins-8) (17 Wins-16)
30. Florida State (16 Wins-35) (17 Wins-26) (15 Wins-37)
38. Notre Dame (17 Wins-38) (18 Wins-35) (16 Wins-46)
40. Georgia Tech (15 Wins-40) (16 Wins-36) (14 Wins-49)
46. Pittsburgh (14 Wins-43) (15 Wins-37) (13 Wins-49)




6. Florida (16 Wins-7) (17 Wins-5) (15 Wins-12)
17. Missouri (15 Wins-17) (16 Wins-11) (14 Wins-21)
19. Kentucky (15 Wins-20) (16 Wins-16) (14 Wins-25)
32. Texas A&M (14 Wins-30) (15 Wins-25) (13 Wins-36)
63. Alabama (8 Wins-63) (9 Wins-53) (7 Wins-69)

[c4ndlelight]

Here's how the at-large scene is looking:

REVISED FOR CORRECT AQ COUNT
These Futures predict a traditional RPI cut line this year - Illinois at 48 would be the "last in" straight by RPI.

There are a couple of vulnerable ones below the line:
- Hawaii at 37, if they lose the Beach rematch, is in serious trouble. Only one win in the Top 50, against a mid-30s Arizona would not get it done. Beach and Cal Poly would need to beat the Wahine to get up there, and those outcomes would just screw them further.
- Georgia Tech at 40 would have a vulnerable profile (splitting with Coastal Carolina is their only Top 50 win and this projects them only picking up one against 46 Pitt) with their record as projected and may get passed over.
- Boise at 41 is about where they got passed over last year. If UNLV can stay in the Top 25, I don't think there in danger of that happening again. I wouldn't lose to anyone besides CSU just to be safe though.
- Iowa St. has no Top 25 wins but a couple Top 50 and a good SOS. I think they need to clip Texas or one of the Kansas schools but a loss to anyone else would be disastrous. Fine line here. H2H over Mo. State may save them.
- Illinois as last "in" should not feel worried with their wins. The Committee will make room if they win enough to get in or just out the RPI cut line.

The first few out are interesting:
- No. 49 Cincy does not have an at-large profile. They have no chance without an autobid. Winning enough to do that would bump SMU (#43, similarly without an at-large profile). Temple and UCF are also lurking in the 50s/60s, but American is a 1-bid league.
-No. 50 UNI has a strong case. A signature win over Kentucky, and H2H over Iowa St. and Miami (OH) may come in handy. MVC tournament always seems to squeeze extra bids, so they have a chance to win there and improve their profile at the last minute just like last year.
-No. 51 LMU - Simple for the Lions, beat BYU. Not enough in the profile right now. They also don't want to be on the bubble with the Beach.
-No. 52 Mo St. - I really like their B1G wins (Illinois/Ohio St.) but they lack that golden Top 25 win that others on the cutline will have. H2H over Illinois is handy, and they've already won at UNI. I think they need to beat UNI again to have an at-large chance. MVC as a whole would be better situated if Wichita had kept a cleaner slate pre-conference.
-No. 53 LBSU - Sadly it's autobid or bust for the Beach. I'm not sure what happens to the autobid if the two split, so that might be some help to them. But that rematch is gonna be HUGE.

[FreeBall]

There's also a potential issue with TCU, which is at #33 in this week's RPI Futures. They currently have an overall record of 10-9 and are projected to end up with a record of 13-13. To become eligible for the tournament, TCU will need to win at least three of their remaining seven matches. Here's the schedule:

10/29/16 at Oklahoma (10/17 Pablo of 59)
11/2/16 Texas (7)
11/5/16 Kansas State (26)
11/12/16 at Kansas (12)
11/16/16 Baylor (42)
11/19/16 at Texas Tech (117)
11/23/16 West Virginia (97)

There's not much margin for error and it probably doesn't help that they are in the midst of a five-match losing streak. The match with Oklahoma this Saturday might be critical in regard to their chances of becoming tournament eligible.