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Post by mikegarrison on Nov 19, 2017 21:45:20 GMT -5
NOTE: All references to rankings in this post are based on pablo, not AVCA!Standings: (3) Stanford 19-1 (17) USC 14-6 (10) Washington 14-6 (13) Utah 13-7 (26) Colorado 12-8 (15) UCLA 12-8 (24) OSU 11-9 (24) Oregon 10-10 (37) WSU 6-14 (75) Arizona 5-15 (85) Cal 4-16 (79) ASU 0-20 (Nov 20 pablo rankings) ================== Expected conference records based on Nov 20 pablo and actual conference results as of Nov 19: Stanford 19-1 .937 USC 14-6 .702 Washington 14-6 .689 Utah 13-7 .638 Colorado 12-8 .612 OSU 12-8 .590 UCLA 11-9 .549 Oregon 10-10 .497 WSU 6-14 .306 Arizona 5-15 .234 Cal 4-16 .213 ASU 1-19 .034 Read more: volleytalk.net/thread/59987/pac-12-weekly-posts================== This week's matches (Pacific times) Wed:
1:00pm UCLA@OSU
2:00pm USC@Oregon
3:00pm Colorado@Cal
4:00pm Arizona@Washington
6:00pm Utah@Stanford
7:00pm ASU@WSU
Thur:
Thanksgiving
Fri:
7:00pm Utah@Colorado, Oregon@OSU
8:00pm WSU@Washington
Sat:
6:00pm ASU@Arizona
7:00pm UCLA@USC, Stanford@Cal================== Pablo match of the week:USC 49% @ Oregon 51% -- Outcome: USC 3-1 Previous: Week 1 OSU 49% @ USC 51% -- Outcome: USC 3-1 Week 2 Oregon 50% @ Utah 50% -- Outcome: Oregon 3-2 (21-19 in the fifth set) Week 3 Colorado 60% @ WSU 40% -- Outcome: WSU 3-1 Week 4 Stanford 61% @ UCLA 39% -- Outcome: Stanford 3-1 Week 5 USC 52% @ Colorado 48% -- Outcome: Colorado 3-0 Week 6 Utah 49% @ OSU 51% -- Outcome: OSU 3-1 Week 7 Washington 50% @ Utah 50% -- Outcome: Washington 3-1 Week 8 Utah 46% @ USC 54% -- Outcome: USC 3-1 Week 9 Washington 52% @ Oregon 48% -- Outcome: Washington 3-0 ================== This is the last week!
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Post by leftcoaster71 on Nov 19, 2017 22:38:19 GMT -5
So, if the following happens:
OSU beats USC and Oregon.
USC Loses to OSU and UCLA
Washington Beats Arizona but loses to WSU
Utah loses to Stanford
Colorado beats Cal
Then, we will have a 4 way tie for second with OSU, USC, Washington, and the winner of Utah / Colorado. As a fan of chaos, I know what I'm rooting for. Scary thing is that the above scenario isn't too far fetched.
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Post by raylasseter on Nov 19, 2017 23:02:01 GMT -5
USC plays at Oregon though. UCLA plays at Oregon State.... so pretty sure your scenario can’t actually happen.... So, if the following happens: OSU beats USC and Oregon. USC Loses to OSU and UCLA Washington Beats Arizona but loses to WSU Utah loses to Stanford Colorado beats Cal Then, we will have a 4 way tie for second with OSU, USC, Washington, and the winner of Utah / Colorado. As a fan of chaos, I know what I'm rooting for. Scary thing is that the above scenario isn't too far fetched. |
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trojansc
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Post by trojansc on Nov 19, 2017 23:12:14 GMT -5
USC plays at Oregon though. UCLA plays at Oregon State.... so pretty sure your scenario can’t actually happen.... So, if the following happens: OSU beats USC and Oregon. USC Loses to OSU and UCLA Washington Beats Arizona but loses to WSU Utah loses to Stanford Colorado beats Cal Then, we will have a 4 way tie for second with OSU, USC, Washington, and the winner of Utah / Colorado. As a fan of chaos, I know what I'm rooting for. Scary thing is that the above scenario isn't too far fetched. USC loses to Oregon, UCLA OSU beats UCLA, Oregon well, their scenario can still happen. OSU would have to beat UCLA and Oregon, while USC would have to lose to both Oregon and UCLA. Same result of 4-way tie |
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Post by leftcoaster71 on Nov 19, 2017 23:14:35 GMT -5
USC plays at Oregon though. UCLA plays at Oregon State.... so pretty sure your scenario can’t actually happen.... USC loses to Oregon, UCLA OSU beats UCLA, Oregon well, their scenario can still happen. OSU would have to beat UCLA and Oregon, while USC would have to lose to both Oregon and UCLA. Same result of 4-way tie Thanks for figuring out my dyslexic moment. |
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Post by Cruz'n on Nov 19, 2017 23:52:55 GMT -5
Expected conference records based on Nov 13 pablo and actual conference results as of Nov 12: Stanford 18-2 .918 USC 14-6 .700 Washington 14-6 .693 Utah 13-7 .625 Colorado 12-8 .598 Oregon 11-9 .565 OSU 11-9 .564 UCLA 11-9 .546 WSU 5-15 .265 Arizona 5-15 .249 Cal 5-15 .233 ASU 1-19 .044 Stanford's last two matches are against Utah and Cal. If they are expected to go 1-1, then I assume they are expected to lose to Utah. |
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Post by volleyball303 on Nov 20, 2017 2:50:35 GMT -5
Expected conference records based on Nov 13 pablo and actual conference results as of Nov 12: Stanford 18-2 .918 USC 14-6 .700 Washington 14-6 .693 Utah 13-7 .625 Colorado 12-8 .598 Oregon 11-9 .565 OSU 11-9 .564 UCLA 11-9 .546 WSU 5-15 .265 Arizona 5-15 .249 Cal 5-15 .233 ASU 1-19 .044 Stanford's last two matches are against Utah and Cal. If they are expected to go 1-1, then I assume they are expected to lose to Utah. And that would mean Colorado is expected to lose to Cal but beat Utah. I don’t put much into expected results. Stanford will go 2-0 this weekend. |
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Post by mikegarrison on Nov 20, 2017 5:33:38 GMT -5
Expected conference records based on Nov 13 pablo and actual conference results as of Nov 12: Stanford 18-2 .918 USC 14-6 .700 Washington 14-6 .693 Utah 13-7 .625 Colorado 12-8 .598 Oregon 11-9 .565 OSU 11-9 .564 UCLA 11-9 .546 WSU 5-15 .265 Arizona 5-15 .249 Cal 5-15 .233 ASU 1-19 .044 Stanford's last two matches are against Utah and Cal. If they are expected to go 1-1, then I assume they are expected to lose to Utah. That hasn't been updated for the latest pablo and last week's results. They had a better than 50% chance of losing 1 out of 3 of USC, UCLA, and Utah. Now that they have won the matches against the LA schools, the prediction is actually that they have a greater than 50% chance of going 2-0 this week. It will be updated sometime Monday, after pablo comes out. |
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Post by mikegarrison on Nov 20, 2017 19:21:54 GMT -5
Updated for pablo.
Pablo has USC @ Oregon 49/51% and UCLA @ OSU 52/48%. Really close for the "match of the week" honors. Also right in there for a tossup match is Stanford @ Cal (96/04%).
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Post by mikegarrison on Nov 22, 2017 19:33:30 GMT -5
Standings:
(3) Stanford 17-1
(17) USC 14-5
(13) Utah 12-6
(10) Washington 12-6
(26) Colorado 12-7
(24) OSU 11-8
(15) UCLA 11-8
(24) Oregon 9-10
(37) WSU 5-13
(75) Arizona 4-14
(85) Cal 4-15
(79) ASU 0-18
(Nov 20 pablo rankings)
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Post by BeiBei on Nov 22, 2017 19:40:28 GMT -5
wow OSU guaranteed to finish above UO, a team I thought would contend for conference title
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Post by mikegarrison on Nov 22, 2017 20:29:53 GMT -5
Standings:
(3) Stanford 17-1
(17) USC 14-5
(10) Washington 13-6
(13) Utah 12-6
(26) Colorado 12-7
(24) OSU 11-8
(15) UCLA 11-8
(24) Oregon 9-10
(37) WSU 5-13
(75) Arizona 4-15
(85) Cal 4-15
(79) ASU 0-18
(Nov 20 pablo rankings)
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Post by mikegarrison on Nov 22, 2017 22:41:31 GMT -5
Standings:
(3) Stanford 18-1
(17) USC 14-5
(10) Washington 13-6
(26) Colorado 12-7
(13) Utah 12-7
(24) OSU 11-8
(15) UCLA 11-8
(24) Oregon 9-10
(37) WSU 5-13
(75) Arizona 4-15
(85) Cal 4-15
(79) ASU 0-18
(Nov 20 pablo rankings)
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Post by mikegarrison on Nov 22, 2017 22:42:31 GMT -5
It's all set up for the ultimate showdown. Two mountain state teams will go into the gym at 12-7, but only one will come out at 13-7.
Stanford guaranteed #1. USC guaranteed #2. Washington guaranteed at least #3 but could tie for #2 if they win and USC loses. The winner of Utah/Colorado will tie for #3 if Washington loses.
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Post by Fight On! on Nov 22, 2017 22:47:55 GMT -5
USC is guaranteed 2nd, right?
Even if they lose and Wash wins, they both end up 14-6 and SC wins 5 total sets to 3??
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