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Post by trollhunter on Mar 22, 2019 16:13:40 GMT -5
So you want to be on the NCAA Beach Selection Committee?
Below are some teams (not all) they might compare for At-Large #2 spot if the season ended today.
Vote for the team you would select for final NCAA spot this season.
Also, post reasoning why.
Overall Record W/L is similar for all teams (all teams approx. W/L is 9-5 or so after this weekend)
Losses not mentioned are to top 5 seeds
TEAM A is CalPoly
H2H: +D
ComOpp: =W, -Y
SOS: .480
OvRec: +D, =W, -Y
TEAM B is LBSU
H2H: none
ComOpp: +W, =X
SOS: .480
OvRec: +W, =X
TEAM C is FIU
H2H: none
ComOpp: +X, -Z
SOS: 0.530
OvRec +X, -Z
TEAM D is SCarolina
H2H: -A
ComOpp: -X, =Y, +Z
SOS: 0.480
OvRec: –A, -X, =Y, +Z, -loss to another bubble not listed
TEAM W is LMU – bubble team just outside of consideration
TEAM X is Stetson – bubble team likely 6 or 7 seed
TEAM Y is LSU – top 5 seed
TEAM Z is USC – top 5 seed
Don't focus on figuring out who each team is - just who is deserving of a bid on blind resume. I will post team names later.
Not too easy I hope.
Key:
+ means they beat that team (+D means they beat team D)
= means they split with that team (=W means they split with team W)
- means they lost to that team (-Y means they lost to team Y)
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Post by sandball on Mar 22, 2019 16:18:51 GMT -5
1. UCLA
2. USC
3. FSU
4. LSU
5. Pepperdine
6. Hawaii
7. FIU
8. Stetson
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Post by trollhunter on Mar 22, 2019 16:20:31 GMT -5
1. UCLA 2. USC 3. FSU 4. LSU 5. Pepperdine 6. Hawaii 7. FIU 8. Stetson See if blind resumes match up with names please  |
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Post by sandyfan on Mar 22, 2019 16:34:24 GMT -5
I like team D because they have shown that they can compete with and even beat Top5 teams. Upsets happen but if I am reading this correctly it looks like team D has a competitive record vs Top5.
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Post by badbunny on Mar 22, 2019 17:02:57 GMT -5
I concur w/ Sandy
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Post by Deleted on Mar 22, 2019 17:26:11 GMT -5
Agree w/ sandyfan, A split and a win(s) against a top 5 team. This team seems competitive to me. Either that loss to a bubble team was a fluke or they played down to their competition, it's still a team that can compete.
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Post by utpb on Mar 23, 2019 10:58:55 GMT -5
I think since team C has a better strength of schedule than all of them and the same record I will go with them. Everything else is pretty close and they also have a win against a team above them.
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Post by txbvbfan on Mar 23, 2019 21:22:04 GMT -5
B and C are out. A over D for at large #2 because H2H win for A and SOS the same unless A is at large #1 then maybe it is open for D since top 5 win.
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Post by badbunny on Mar 23, 2019 21:57:25 GMT -5
B and C are out. A over D for at large #2 because H2H win for A and SOS the same unless A is at large #1 then maybe it is open for D since top 5 win. Have to disagree. Given same SoS A’s best win is over D while D has wins vs highly ranked opponents. Makes that win for A / lose for D appear to be a wash IMO. |
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Post by trollhunter on Mar 24, 2019 14:43:08 GMT -5
I will reveal the team names tomorrow, so one more day to vote or change votes!
Good discussions so far, picking up most of the key differences of resumes.
Hopefully it makes you appreciate the difficulties of committee decisions.
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Post by trollhunter on Mar 24, 2019 19:07:27 GMT -5
Ok, I decided to close this poll down early as my schedule is busy tomorrow.
Below are the team names from the blind resume challenge. Obviously things will change in upcoming weeks. Hopefully you enjoyed the exercise.
Team A is CalPoly 10-5
H2H: +SCarolina
ComOpp: =LMU, -LSU
SOS: .480
OvRec: +SCarolina, =LMU, -LSU
Team B is LBSU 8-4 (JuCo matches don’t count!)
H2H: none
ComOpp: +LMU, =Stetson
SOS: .480
OvRec: +LMU, =Stetson
Team C is FIU 8-5
H2H: none
ComOpp: +Stetson, -USC
SOS: 0.530
OvRec: +Stetson, -USC
Team D is SCarolina 11-6
H2H: -CalPoly
ComOpp: -Stetson, =LSU, +USC
SOS: 0.480
OvRec: -CalPoly, -Stetson, =LSU, +USC, -FAU
Team W is LMU – bubble team just outside of consideration
Team X is Stetson – bubble team likely seed 6 or 7
Team Y is LSU – top 5 seed
Team Z is USC – top 5 seed
P.S. Hawaii was not included in this as they had big matches over the weekend. They are still in the At-Large race. If you included their resume in here, both At-Large spots would likely come from this list.
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Post by Kikiriki on Mar 24, 2019 19:22:47 GMT -5
Alabama West :
1# UCLA
2# USC
3# who ever comes out on the top next weekend at Pismo Beach
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Post by sandyfan on Mar 24, 2019 19:35:11 GMT -5
Thanks Troll, I wouldn't count Stetson in yet though. They and FIU have a huge weekend at the Surf n Turf this weekend. If either one can come up with a win against LSU or UCLA or FSU then I think you can lock them in but otherwise it's wide open for the 3rd East bid.
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Post by trollhunter on Mar 24, 2019 19:37:34 GMT -5
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Post by trollhunter on Mar 24, 2019 19:41:24 GMT -5
Thanks Troll, I wouldn't count Stetson in yet though. They and FIU have a huge weekend at the Surf n Turf this weekend. If either one can come up with a win against LSU or UCLA or FSU then I think you can lock them in but otherwise it's wide open for the 3rd East bid. Yes, you are right East #3 is not settled. I just put Stetson there for the purposes of the blind resume challenge. Right now Stetson may have an edge in some criteria, but once ASUN play starts their SoS will go down and FIU can get good wins in CCSA. Whoever wins the FIU vs Stetson 3 match series over season will likely get East #3 if other wins are similar. Surf and Turf is critical for both teams. Stetson needs to tie the H2H versus FIU for East #3 but has a good At-Large resume already. FIU can lock up H2H versus Stetson for East #3 or need some wins to build At-Large resume. |
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