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Post by kaipono on Jun 14, 2019 17:45:49 GMT -5
LOL, well I was right about UCI playing Cal and UNLV in the second weekend.
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Post by kaipono on Jun 14, 2019 18:20:16 GMT -5
Just early guesses at how the Pre-Conference Records may look: Hawaii 7-4 Cal Poly 7-5 UCSB 6-5 LBSU 6-6 UCI (based on schedule so far) 6-3 UC Davis 7-6 CSUN ? UCR ? CS Fullerton ? I do think that these are somewhat reasonable records for the teams given their schedules. I think Hawaii, Cal Poly, UCSB, and LBSU can possibly perform better than the records that I listed above, as these are the teams that have the most potential to create some upsets. UC Davis loses a decent amount of key players, so it is hard to gauge where they may end. I'll update these records once UCI's full schedule is out. For CSUN, UCR, and CS Fullerton, I'm not sure how to gauge how they will do, and each of these teams lost their most valuable players, the biggest lost being Owens from CSUN. Pre-Conference Records: Hawaii Record: 7-4 Wins: St. John's, Army, Sac State, Denver, W. Virginia, Utah Valley, Missouri Losses: San Diego, Washington, UCLA, Baylor I think Hawaii will almost definitely win against those in the wins category, but I do see the potential of St. John's, Denver, or Missouri winning against the Wahine. Hawaii's toughest match will be at Baylor, but I do think we have a chance at an upset considering we were able to push them to 5 sets this past season. San Diego, Washington, and UCLA are also winnable matches, but especially for the San Diego and Washington matches, I am not sure if the Wahine will beat them right out of the gates in the first weekend. Cal Poly Record: 7-5 Wins: St. Mary's, N. Texas, Wichita St, San Jose St, Utah, @ N. Colorado, Oregon St Losses: Kentucky, @ Utah, Pittsburgh, @ Pepperdine, @ Colorado St Cal Poly has the toughest pre-conference schedule in my opinion, and I think that if they exceed the record that I have given them, then they will be back as a top 25 team. They also have arguably one of the toughest opening weekends at Utah and against Kentucky. I feel that Cal Poly will continue to improve as the season moves on as players steadily find their ground. Torrey Van Winden will lead this team, but it will take time for other players to fully get into a place that can minimize the losses of Adlee Van Winden and Katherine Brouker. I think the @ Pepperdine and @ Colorado St are winnable, but they will be difficult. Pittsburgh may be a little more vulnerable this year too, so we'll see the Lady Mustangs do. LBSU Record: 6-6 Wins: UNC Asheville, @ Georgia Tech, Southern, Georgia, USF, @ San Diego St Losses: Texas State, UCLA, JMU, @ Florida, USC, @ San Diego LBSU needs to figure out their issues at setter, and then, they will have potential to create some upsets. I think LBSU should win against all of the teams in the wins column, and I think they have potential to upset Texas State, UCLA, and JMU. The game at San Diego is also a possibility. I'm not quite sure if they could win @ Florida or a match against USC quite yet. UCI Record: 9-2 Wins: Oregon St, UNLV, N. Carolina, California, Virginia Tech, @ Air Force, Loyola-Il, Idaho St, @ Boise St Losses: @ Oregon, Boston College I was being extremely generous with the record for UCI as I anticipate their record to maybe be more like 8-3 or 7-4 (losses possibly to UNLV and California), but they do not play many opponents (other than Oregon) who will be definitely hand them a loss, and they play a lot of decent teams who will maybe be around the 100-150 in RPI. I think that if Villamu or Stanton are fully recovered, and they are ready to contribute at OH, plus Woods is ready to fill in at setter, they will actually be a solid team in the Big West. Many people are seeing UH and Cal Poly, then LBSU and UCSB to be the contenders in the Big West, but I think some people are sleeping on UCI, and they may surprise with a top 3 finish in the Big West. UCSB Record: 6-4 (I'm not sure if their last week schedule is complete) Wins: Long Island, Wyoming, NC State, Navy, La Salle, Harvard Losses: @ Colorado, @ VCU, San Diego, @ Pepperdine UCSB will contend in the Big West conference, and I think they should be in a position to win against some of the teams that I have counted as losses. I think the @ Colorado and @ Pepperdine are their toughest matches, and they could win @ VCU and the match against San Diego (at home). However, hopefully, they win against both Wyoming and Harvard because I see both of these teams possibly winning against UCSB as well. The key for UCSB will be to create the best support unit for L. Ruddins, similar to what Cal Poly needs to do with T. Van Winden. Petrachi will be difficult to replace, but I think UCSB will be able to find a solid replacement, and with the incoming freshmen class, they will be better this upcoming season. I'll probably upload stuff about UC Davis later, and maybe CSUN, CS Fullerton, and UCR, but I think people care less about those teams, and I have difficulty gauging where these teams will be at.
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Post by raian13 on Jun 14, 2019 18:50:14 GMT -5
=UCI Pre-Conference Schedule= Aug 30: @ Oregon Aug 31: Boston College Aug 31: Oregon St Sep 6: UNLV Sep 6: N. Carolina Sep 7: California Sep 13: Virginia Tech Sep 13: @ Air Force Sep 14: Loyola-Il Sep 18: @ Pepperdine Sep 20: Idaho State Sep 21: @ Boise State This is good SOS. Abby Marjama will be their star.
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Post by SmokeDogg on Jun 15, 2019 21:30:41 GMT -5
I care about Fullerton's won-lose record and would be interested in what others think.
I looked up the final Pablo ranking for each opponent, Fullerton ended with a dismal 292.
EW 296 IC 147 UI 99 CS 241 WC 246 AS 282 AC 191 NT 95 PV 331 SU 177 UP 289
I HOPE FOR BETTER BUT I WILL SAY 6-5
Note: all of these matches are on the road.
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Post by kaipono on Jun 15, 2019 21:39:42 GMT -5
I care about Fullerton's won-lose record and would be interested in what others think. I looked up the final Pablo ranking for each opponent, Fullerton ended with a dismal 292. EW 296 IC 147 UI 99 CS 241 WC 246 AS 282 AC 191 NT 95 PV 331 SU 177 UP 289 I HOPE FOR BETTER BUT I WILL SAY 6-5 Note: all of these matches are on the road. Sorry about my comment about not caring! To be honest, I have a really difficult time gauging how CS Fullerton will do because I have no idea how much better or more capable the team will be this upcoming season. I know the team lost Schneider who was arguably their best player from last season, and I have no idea how good the players they have coming in will be. I think a 6-5 record is fair though.
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Post by raian13 on Jun 16, 2019 1:10:09 GMT -5
I care about Fullerton's won-lose record and would be interested in what others think. I looked up the final Pablo ranking for each opponent, Fullerton ended with a dismal 292. EW 296 IC 147 UI 99 CS 241 WC 246 AS 282 AC 191 NT 95 PV 331 SU 177 UP 289 I HOPE FOR BETTER BUT I WILL SAY 6-5 Note: all of these matches are on the road. Sorry about my comment about not caring! To be honest, I have a really difficult time gauging how CS Fullerton will do because I have no idea how much better or more capable the team will be this upcoming season. I know the team lost Schneider who was arguably their best player from last season, and I have no idea how good the players they have coming in will be. I think a 6-5 record is fair though. Whatever happened to Fayyad. Wasnt she a CSUF player?
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Post by Deleted on Jun 16, 2019 1:43:42 GMT -5
I'll spare kaipono the effort of diggin' up any info concerning UC Davis. They lost most of their top starters due to graduation. The major story is Mahalia White returning to play; she had been battling "the big C" during this past season: unable to play. She has been cleared to return this year! I am the only Aggie follower here; wish that team had her in '18.
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Post by SmokeDogg on Jun 16, 2019 1:53:38 GMT -5
Madeline Schneider was our hardest hitter last year, but she played injured all year. As her injuries became too severe, she was unable to play. She missed the last 8 matches. (I did not go back and check the box scores)
Shimen Fayad graduated early and went back to Canada. (I think)
I thought Cady Francis was our best player but she missed the entire year. (I think that is right)
Fullerton had so many injuries last year that other girls got playing time, more than expected.
A player that I expected to do well this year, Makena Ala'ilima-Daley got injured at Long Beach in the spring and is out for the year. That might be good for her, in that, she can build more strength in her body. She is already very coordinated but lacks power.
Two areas I expect to be much better are the setting and defense. On defense two girls, Savahna Costello and Neena Dimas, split time as libero. Injuries caused each to miss part of the season. Now I think both are great. Our Junior setter, Makenzi Abelman, is much better than last year and the incoming Freshman is said to be very good.
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Post by ACE on Jun 16, 2019 1:56:29 GMT -5
Hoping Hawaii, Poly, and Beach pull upsets.
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Post by SmokeDogg on Jun 16, 2019 2:12:29 GMT -5
The best thing for Big West volleyball is for Fullerton to start moving up. At present Fullerton brings the RPI down for every league team they face. So let's hope Hawaii, CPSLO, LB sharks and SB excel. UCD, UCI, CSUN have a good preseason. UCR and CSUF can make the jump to respectability.
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Post by Deleted on Jun 16, 2019 12:30:20 GMT -5
Even though I played at -- and am an undergrad alum of -- UC Davis, I CERTAINLY DON'T anticipate them making any deep run in an NCAA tourney (IF they should even make it to one in my lifetime). I went to a different university...and I am a grad-alum, thereof...which has done slightly better in the NC tournament..Stanford. And yet, I reside in Hawai'i. The BW's a pretty big deal here. BUT, to be perfectly honest, the BWC's "glory days" Are Way in the past: don't see any deep runs soon.
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Post by medusa on Jun 17, 2019 11:27:25 GMT -5
Debbie Downer.
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Post by Deleted on Jun 17, 2019 11:57:45 GMT -5
Sorry: recent historical fact, combined w/ pragmatic realism! Case in point, most recent FF appearance for any BW team was Hawai'i in 2009. As we All know, UH Is JUST Now rebounding.
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Post by Deleted on Jun 18, 2019 0:44:05 GMT -5
Sorry: recent historical fact, combined w/ pragmatic realism! Case in point, most recent FF appearance for any BW team was Hawai'i in 2009. As we All know, UH Is JUST Now rebounding. Just for emphasis, the BW was 9th in RPI this past season; 10th in SOS. Besides the P5 conferences, a few mid-majors were better than BWC. THAT being said, I for one would love to see Hawai'i reestablish itself as a premier program: one that could go deep in the NCAAs. The current mix of power-ranked teams is kinda boring!
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Post by raian13 on Jun 18, 2019 2:00:02 GMT -5
I have faith that these mid major programs: Hawaii, Creighton, BYU, and San Diego will get to the Elite 8 in a single season in the near future. 🤞🏼
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