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Post by vballfreak808 on Apr 9, 2024 1:47:19 GMT -5
2024 Bracketology (4/8)
Things will change over the next few weeks. This is based on if the tournament started today
BRACKET:(1) UCLA vs Winner of (16) Texas A&M-Corpus Christi vs (17) Chattanooga
(8) Long Beach State vs (9) LMU
(5) Florida State vs (12) Washington
(4) TCU vs (13) Hawai'i
(3) Stanford vs (14) Stetson
(6) Cal Poly vs (11) Arizona State
(7) Cal vs (10) LSU
(2) USC vs (15) Georgia State
AUTOMATIC BIDS:ASUN: Stetson
Big West: Long Beach State
CCSA: Florida State
C-USA: TCU
Ohio Valley: Chattanooga
Pac-12: UCLA
Southland: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
Sun Belt: Georgia State
WCC: LMUAt-Large:Big West: Cal Poly, Hawai'i
CCSA: LSU
Pac-12: USC, Stanford, Cal, Arizona State, Washington
First Four Out: FIU, GCU, FAU, Arizona
RESUMESLOCKED----- (LISTED IN ALPHA ORDER) -----Stanford (21-3)Significant Wins: UCLA (x2), USC, TCU (x2), FSU, LMU, LSU, Cal, Washington, Hawai'i, FAU
Losses: UCLA, USC, Arizona StateUCLA* (Pac-12 Auto Bid) (22-4)Significant Wins: USC, Stanford, TCU, FSU (x2), LMU, Cal (x2), LSU (x2), LBSU, Cal Poly, Arizona State, Hawai'i (x2), Washington, GCU, Georgia State, FAU
Losses: USC, Stanford (x2), LMUUSC (21-3)Significant Wins: UCLA, Stanford, TCU (x2), FSU, LBSU, LMU (x2), Cal Poly, Cal, Arizona State, FIU, Hawai'i (x2), GCU, Washington, FAU (x2)
Losses: UCLA, Stanford, LSUTOP OF THE BUBBLE ----- (LISTED IN ALPHA ORDER) ----- Arizona State (18-6)
Significant Wins: Stanford, Washington, FIU, FAU, Georgia State, GCU, Stetson
Losses: UCLA, USC, LBSU, Cal, TCU, WashingtonCal (16-10)
Significant Wins: FSU, LSU, LMU, Arizona State, Hawai'i, Georgia State, FAU
Losses: UCLA (x2), USC, Stanford, Cal Poly (x2), TCU, FSU, LSU, WashingtonCal Poly (21-3)
Significant Wins: Cal (x2), LBSU, Hawai'i, FIU, Stetson, GCU
Losses: UCLA, USC, LBSUFlorida State* (CCSA Auto Bid) (25-5)
Significant Wins: Cal, LMU, LSU, Hawai'i, FIU, GCU, FAU, Georgia State, Stetson
Losses: UCLA (x2), USC, Stanford, CalLBSU* (Big West Auto Bid) (20-4) Significant Wins: Cal Poly, LMU, Arizona State, FIU, Stetson, Georgia State, GCU
Losses: USC, UCLA, Cal Poly, Hawai'iLMU* (WCC Auto Bid) (21-8)
Significant Wins: UCLA, Hawai’i, Washington, GCU (x2), FIU, FAU, Stetson, Georgia State
Losses: Stanford, USC (x2), Cal, FIU, LBSU, FSU, LSULSU (16-9)
Significant Wins: USC, Cal, LMU, Washington, Stetson
Losses: UCLA (x2), Stanford, Cal, TCU, FSU, Hawai'i, GCU, Georgia StateTCU* (C-USA Auto Bid) (23-5)
Significant Wins: Cal, LSU, Arizona State, Washington (x2), Hawai'i (x2), FIU, FAU
Losses: USC (x2), Stanford (x2), UCLABOTTOM OF THE BUBBLE ----- (LISTED IN ALPHA ORDER) ----- FIU (16-9)
Significant Wins: LMU, FAU
Losses: USC, TCU, FSU, LBSU, Cal Poly, LMU, Arizona State, Washington, FGCUGeorgia State* (Sun Belt Auto Bid) (15-10)Significant Wins: LSU, FAU, GCU, StetsonLosses: UCLA, FSU, LBSU, Cal, LMU, Arizona State, Hawai'i, FAU, Stetson, FGCUHawai’i (16-11)Significant Wins: LBSU, LSU, Georgia State
Losses: UCLA (x2), USC (x2), TCU (x2), FSU, Cal, Cal Poly, LMUStetson* (ASUN Auto Bid) (16-7)Significant Wins: Georgia State, GCU, Arizona
Losses: FSU, LBSU, Cal Poly, LSU, LMU, Arizona State, Georgia StateWashington (12-10)Significant Wins: Cal, Arizona State, GCU, FIU
Losses: USC, UCLA (x2), Stanford, TCU, LSU, LMU, LBSU, Arizona State
UPCOMING KEY MATCHESLBSU at UCLA
UCLA vs LMU
UCLA vs FSU
UCLA at Cal Poly
USC vs LBSU
USC vs TCU
TCU vs LBSU
FSU vs LMU
FSU at Cal Poly
LMU at Cal Poly
Georgia State at Washington
GCU at Hawai'i (x2)
FIU vs Stetson
FIU at FAU
Stetson at FAU |
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Post by vballfreak808 on Apr 9, 2024 2:12:35 GMT -5
Washington still bottom of the bubble despite beating ASU and Cal this week? As of right now yes. Those two wins were big for them and what that essentially did was push Hawai'i back down with them. Following this week's results, I will really get to start separating the bubble teams out. In reality, outside of the teams listed in the "Top of the Bubble" category, there are only two more at-large options (barring any bid stealers). As for other teams that could fall closer down into the bottom of the bubble, I'm looking at a Cal Poly team, who I think will still get an at-large, they have no bad losses, a few good wins and some decent ones as well. Their SOS isn't the best compared to others, but after their home tournament this weekend, they will get to face FSU & LMU for the first time so it'll show where they fall closer towards the end of season. I'm wondering if the committee will elevate their resume more knowing they started so low in the ranking and jumped into the Top 10. |
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Post by beachcomber on Apr 9, 2024 9:48:28 GMT -5
Top potential bid stealer in this scenario is probably FIU. Their top three flights are very good and can beat anybody, but the opposite is true of their bottom two. As they have several times already this season, a reverse sweep at the right time might get them in. I think FAU also has a chance in Conference USA, but they have been wildly inconsistent - more than I expected, so they would be a longer shot to beat a team like TCU.
Georgia State has also been very inconsistent and would be primed for an upset if there was another team in their conference capable of beating a top 20 team, but I don't see it this year for Coastal Carolina or UNCW.
Stetson has come through with some important wins in the last few weeks when losses might have dumped them out of the top 20. That said, they have split two games with FGCU, and FGCU has split two games with UNF. So it's very close in the ASUN. Even North Alabama is somewhat threatening, as a 3-2 loss to Stetson recently showed.
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Post by n00b on Apr 24, 2024 17:06:37 GMT -5
Washington still bottom of the bubble despite beating ASU and Cal this week? As of right now yes. Those two wins were big for them and what that essentially did was push Hawai'i back down with them. Following this week's results, I will really get to start separating the bubble teams out. In reality, outside of the teams listed in the "Top of the Bubble" category, there are only two more at-large options (barring any bid stealers). As for other teams that could fall closer down into the bottom of the bubble, I'm looking at a Cal Poly team, who I think will still get an at-large, they have no bad losses, a few good wins and some decent ones as well. Their SOS isn't the best compared to others, but after their home tournament this weekend, they will get to face FSU & LMU for the first time so it'll show where they fall closer towards the end of season. I'm wondering if the committee will elevate their resume more knowing they started so low in the ranking and jumped into the Top 10. Thoughts as conference tournaments get under way? |
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Post by vballfreak808 on Apr 25, 2024 12:03:18 GMT -5
As of right now yes. Those two wins were big for them and what that essentially did was push Hawai'i back down with them. Following this week's results, I will really get to start separating the bubble teams out. In reality, outside of the teams listed in the "Top of the Bubble" category, there are only two more at-large options (barring any bid stealers). As for other teams that could fall closer down into the bottom of the bubble, I'm looking at a Cal Poly team, who I think will still get an at-large, they have no bad losses, a few good wins and some decent ones as well. Their SOS isn't the best compared to others, but after their home tournament this weekend, they will get to face FSU & LMU for the first time so it'll show where they fall closer towards the end of season. I'm wondering if the committee will elevate their resume more knowing they started so low in the ranking and jumped into the Top 10. Thoughts as conference tournaments get under way? : I think the bottom teams for the final at-large spots are LSU, Arizona State, Washington, Hawai'i. These teams are all safe only if there are no bid stealers (watch out for FIU over TCU, Pepperdine over LMU, GCU over FSU). The conference tournaments will be a big indicator to who can pull ahead of each other for the seeding or who gets the at-large over each other if there are less spots. Hawai'i needs to finish at least 3rd (losses only to LBSU & Cal Poly), LSU needs to beat GCU (at least once), Arizona State needs to beat Arizona (lost last week to them), Washington not lose to Utah. Top 3 Seeds: It's pretty certain that USC, UCLA, and Stanford are the top three seeds. Stanford will be the 3-seed unless they can win out the Pac-12 Tournament. Otherwise, the winner of USC vs UCLA in the finals would determine who is 1 & 2 seed for postseason. Seeds 4-6: These would be TCU, Cal Poly, Florida State. I can see Cal Poly dropping to the 6th seed or even be swapped out for LBSU if LBSU def Cal Poly for the Big West Championships. |
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Post by burbank55 on Apr 27, 2024 11:23:53 GMT -5
If Georgia State wins today and South Carolina doesn’t win the CCSA, then are there any teams that can argue about getting an at-large bid over the apparent eight choices? Washington being the most at risk of being dropped.
Big West: Cal Poly, Long Beach St.
CCSA: LSU/FSU
Pac-12: UCLA, Stanford, Cal, Arizona State, Washington
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