Post by The Bofa on the Sofa on Nov 29, 2011 16:22:02 GMT -5
BTW, marginally related to this thread, if you get a chance, check out the final four probabilities at www.richkern.com, where the competition is matched up with team quality. It's actually very competitive this year, with 9 teams given at least a 20% chance of making the final four. That's pretty wide open.
I always point out that we need to remember that the tournament and tournament is all about matchups, as such the top teams don't always make it to the final four. But if the Pablo favorites make it, then the final four would be
Texas
Purdue
Illinois
USC
The second most favored options from each region are
Penn St
Iowa St
Florida
Nebraska
The other team with a more than 20% chance is Tennessee. The difference between Illinois, Florida, and Tennessee is pretty small. Pablo thinks that region is crazy close.
Texas and Penn St are pretty close, too, but clearcut favorites from that region. USC is the #1 team and so Pablo has them as the favorite out of Hawaii, but still, it's less than 50%, so more likely than not that they don't.
I always point out that we need to remember that the tournament and tournament is all about matchups, as such the top teams don't always make it to the final four. But if the Pablo favorites make it, then the final four would be
Texas
Purdue
Illinois
USC
The second most favored options from each region are
Penn St
Iowa St
Florida
Nebraska
The other team with a more than 20% chance is Tennessee. The difference between Illinois, Florida, and Tennessee is pretty small. Pablo thinks that region is crazy close.
Texas and Penn St are pretty close, too, but clearcut favorites from that region. USC is the #1 team and so Pablo has them as the favorite out of Hawaii, but still, it's less than 50%, so more likely than not that they don't.
