Feedback on MHPR Combined Divisions Rankings

[cyberVBmidwest]

As the only combined division ranking system for college level men's volleyball, I was wondering what fans thought of the rankings and their predictions on who is most likely to win a match?

I have not performed an analytical review of its success but I do recall seeing results that seemed to hold true of the rankings. There are a couple of matches that might slightly skew the rankings such as BYU & PSU versus Cal Baptist. However, we have a significant number of matches including cross divisional matches to smooth out the math.

Please post your thoughts?

MHPR Combined Division Rankings

[The Bofa on the Sofa]

Do my thoughts count?

Here's what I can tell you:

Of approximately 850 matches that I have in the database, 238 of them are interdivisional. The combined Pablo rankings linked above correctly predict 209 of those 238 matches, which is about 87.8%. Overall (about 860 matches), the Pablo ratings currently get about 89.3% right, so Pablo is doing a little better on intradivisional matches (89.8% for intradivisional).

The interdivisional matches mentioned above include DI vs DII. If I take out the D1 vs D2, it drops to 87.5%. However, that also includes the BYU and Penn St vs Cal Baptist matches. If I throw out those matches, the interdivisional success rate is 88.5%.

These are all really close, so there is no indication that Pablo is doing significantly worse for interdivisional matches than it does within a division.

Note, however, that I am only talking about the analysis in retrospect. I have not tracked the results of PREdiction, although I don't expect them to be all that different.

Overall, Pablo has been getting a successful prediction rate of about 85% on average so far. In fact, Pablo has been more accurate than it usually is for women's DI.

[swingaway]

I like it. I think 85% is unreal and shows a very well written formula. What a great effort by middle hitter and p-dub.

I need to come up with an easyer way next year (if there is a next year)to have Pablo compete in the PTW as a baseline for everyone.

[VBbeast]

In my mind anything above 80% is a pretty good system particularly given the relatively small amount of data and the many nuances to an open division sport like men's volleyball.

Thumbs up!

[BeachBoy]

Has BS me seen these rankings?