RPI Futures Week 9 (10/26)

[spikerthemovie]

Western Kentucky's loss to Rice this week makes it way easier to not seed them -- with the above indicating their RPI will now fall safely out of the top 16.

[n00b]

Nov 1, 2015 18:20:07 GMT -5 spikerthemovie said:

Western Kentucky's loss to Rice this week makes it way easier to not seed them -- with the above indicating their RPI will now fall safely out of the top 16.

I'd tend to think that's true, but none of the resumes for the last few seeds are all that spectacular. Florida State, Western Kentucky, Louisville, San Diego, Creighton and Arizona State all suffered losses this week and Mizzou is currently down 1-2 to Auburn. A record of 31-3 including a road win over a top 10 team will still be highly considered.

Texas A&M's win over Kentucky will get them in the conversation as well.

[bluepenquin]

Nov 1, 2015 18:20:07 GMT -5 spikerthemovie said:

Western Kentucky's loss to Rice this week makes it way easier to not seed them -- with the above indicating their RPI will now fall safely out of the top 16.

This is correct - except there were a lot of losses by teams on the seed border.  In terms of increasing/decreasing their chances for a seed:

Winners:  Stanford and Texas A&M

Losers:  Western Kentucky and Louisville (Kentucky has lost some ground also)

Minnesota will pass Florida and Texas and will be pretty much even with USC.  Not sure which one will be #1 this week.

[Deleted]

Did Pitt play themselves in with two big wins?

[bluepenquin]

Nov 1, 2015 21:09:45 GMT -5 @ollietabooger said:

Did Pitt play themselves in with two big wins?

Obviously huge week - tripled their bonus points in just two matches which improves their +/- projection.  Can still afford to lose at Louisville and UNC.  Need to win 5 of final 8 (I think).

[Deleted]

What about Oregon, TCU, Villanova? Did the get themselves in?

[bluepenquin]

Nov 1, 2015 22:07:21 GMT -5 @ollietabooger said:

What about Oregon, TCU, Villanova? Did the get themselves in?

IMO,

Oregon is in RPI jail and not sure they will finish above .500 - so they have a long way to go.

Villanova was already in great shape via RPI.

TCU still has a lot of work left - The Big 12 4th through 6th is up for grabs (in terms of RPI).

[mikegarrison]

I believe that beating UCLA and USC earned the Huskies another projected win, so I assume that they will be back further up on next week's list.

[bluepenquin]

Nov 1, 2015 22:57:03 GMT -5 mikegarrison said:

I believe that beating UCLA and USC earned the Huskies another projected win, so I assume that they will be back further up on next week's list.

I am currently showing #10 - adding the bonus points for two top 25 wins. Pretty tight between Nebraska, Washington, and Wisconsin for spots 9-11.

[trojansc]

Nov 1, 2015 23:36:32 GMT -5 bluepenquin said:

Nov 1, 2015 22:57:03 GMT -5 mikegarrison said:

I believe that beating UCLA and USC earned the Huskies another projected win, so I assume that they will be back further up on next week's list.

I am currently showing #10 - adding the bonus points for two top 25 wins. Pretty tight between Nebraska, Washington, and Wisconsin for spots 9-11.

I just hope Washington doesn't finish 9 and USC 1. Or 2 and 10 for that matter.

[mikegarrison]

Nov 2, 2015 1:20:04 GMT -5 trojansc said:

Nov 1, 2015 23:36:32 GMT -5 bluepenquin said:

I am currently showing #10 - adding the bonus points for two top 25 wins. Pretty tight between Nebraska, Washington, and Wisconsin for spots 9-11.

I just hope Washington doesn't finish 9 and USC 1. Or 2 and 10 for that matter.

RPI is pretty important in terms of which teams get the seeds, but they often look beyond it in terms of the actual seeding. As an example, no matter where their RPIs end up, it's extremely unlikely that UCLA would be seeded above a Washington team that beat them twice. Especially if the Huskies also finish ahead of UCLA in the conference standings.