2016 Bracketology (FINALIZED) 11/27

[trojansc]

Welp, out of the other predictors of brackets, I am the only one to leave Illinois out!

#LosingConfidence

[redbeard2008]

Nov 27, 2016 15:01:42 GMT -5 owlsem said:

Nov 27, 2016 12:54:11 GMT -5 redbeard2008 said:

Or have Sling TV's Orange Package ($20/mo) + Sports Extra ($5/mo). You'll be all ready for the Tournament, with access to ESPN, ESPN2, ESPN3, ESPNU, ESPNews, 6 Pac-12 Regional Networks, and SEC Network.

Thank you for this. Is there any value in the other blue package?

You can get the Orange + Blue Packages ($40) + Sports Extra ($10/month) will also get you NFL Network, NFL Redzone, NBATV, Fox Sports (select markets), FS1, FS2, NBCSN, NHL Network, Golf Channel, and more. You can also view different channels on up to three devices, while the Orange Package is limited to one device. Month to month, so cancel all or part at anytime - I had the Blue Package for the Olympics, but switched to the Orange Package for volleyball and other college sports.

Note that ESPN, ESPN2, and ESPN3 are in the Orange Package, but you'll need Sports Extra for ESPNU.

[brybast]

Trojansc, you are the man (or the woman, or the person!). Tremendous bracketology work. You're better than Lunardi.

[ay2013]

Nov 27, 2016 16:48:41 GMT -5 brybast said:

Trojansc, you are the man (or the woman, or the person!). Tremendous bracketology work. You're better than Lunardi.

Lunardi strikes me as a trump supporter. Gag.

[Fight On!]

Nov 27, 2016 16:36:36 GMT -5 trojansc said:

Welp, out of the other predictors of brackets, I am the only one to leave Illinois out!

#LosingConfidence

I would leave em out. Mostly because I got annoyed in August by the VTer (forgot who) who droned on and on about Ill being a FF team this year.

[owlsem]

Nov 27, 2016 16:37:57 GMT -5 redbeard2008 said:

Nov 27, 2016 15:01:42 GMT -5 owlsem said:

Thank you for this. Is there any value in the other blue package?

You can get the Orange + Blue Packages ($40) + Sports Extra ($10/month) will also get you NFL Network, NFL Redzone, NBATV, Fox Sports (select markets), FS1, FS2, NBCSN, NHL Network, Golf Channel, and more. You can also view different channels on up to three devices, while the Orange Package is limited to one device. Month to month, so cancel all or part at anytime - I had the Blue Package for the Olympics, but switched to the Orange Package for volleyball and other college sports.

Note that ESPN, ESPN2, and ESPN3 are in the Orange Package, but you'll need Sports Extra for ESPNU.

thank you again. That multiple device thing might be a winner

[c4ndlelight]

Nov 27, 2016 16:36:36 GMT -5 trojansc said:

Welp, out of the other predictors of brackets, I am the only one to leave Illinois out!

#LosingConfidence

You may be the only one who's right though!

[hammer]

Talk about deflation ... we were going to have an awesome sub-regional with PSU and Hawaii and now this? And we were penciled into the Minneapolis Regional against a team we manhandled earlier in the season.

[volleyfan24]

Nov 27, 2016 16:36:36 GMT -5 trojansc said:

Welp, out of the other predictors of brackets, I am the only one to leave Illinois out!

#LosingConfidence

If it's any consolation, in my does Illinois make the 2016 NCAA Tourney thread poll most voters have them out.

[Cruz'n]

Any chance Minnesota gets rewarded for their strong finish, and claims the #1 seed?

[stc23]

Thanks for the fantastic work as always, trojansc!  This Illinois fan hopes you might have missed that one, but isn't really counting on it. The Illini will certainly have no grounds for complaint if you've got it right.

Just for the record, though, I did notice a few small discrepancies on some of the resumes for the Last Four In / Out. These are all fairly minor details that were probably factored into your analysis correctly and are simply typos below, but just FYI:

• Cincinnati lost to Tennessee, SIU, and Tulsa, all of whom have RPI > 50, but only two of those are reflected below (depending on which RPI # you're using for the Vols, Cincy should most likely be 5-3 against 51-100)

• Illinois State was Miami's only loss against RPI 101-150
  
• San Jose St (184) should be counted as a Significant Loss for Colorado St
• If UCF (62) counts as a significant win for Cincy and Temple, it seems like Xavier (59) should be counted similarly for Illinois

Oct 10, 2016 18:31:30 GMT -5 trojansc said:

Cincinnati
Record against 51-100 RPI: 5-2
Record against 101-150 RPI: 4-0
Significant Wins: 21 Wichita State, 30 SMU, 47 Temple, 62 UCF(x2)
Significant Losses: NONE

Temple
Significant Wins: 30 SMU, 37 Cincinnati, 62 UCF

Illinois
Significant Wins: 15 Michigan State, 28 Purdue, 34 Ohio State

Miami(OH)
Record against 101-150 RPI: 7-3
Significant Losses: 132 Illinois State, 200 Kent State

Colorado State
Significant Losses: NONE

[ay2013]

Nov 27, 2016 18:53:47 GMT -5 Cruz'n said:

Any chance Minnesota gets rewarded for their strong finish, and claims the #1 seed?

yeah maybe. they DO have a stronger non conference SOS. But, you could also argue that the Minny "finish" is also a product of the Big 10 schedule.

[trojansc]

stc23

Thanks, The record mistakes are typos.

The reason for UCF / Xavier is UCF dropped a lot, while Xavier rose a lot. Sometimes the significant wins "change" in significance, and I didn't completely filter through the 50-65 teams in RPI. UCF was 50/near it for weeks. Xavier wasn't close until the last two weeks.

Illinois H2H win over Xavier is absolutely crucial, if Xavier won that game I actually think X gets in the tournament

[stc23]

Nov 27, 2016 19:17:53 GMT -5 trojansc said:

stc23

Thanks, The record mistakes are typos.

The reason for UCF / Xavier is UCF dropped a lot, while Xavier rose a lot. Sometimes the significant wins "change" in significance, and I didn't completely filter through the 50-65 teams in RPI. UCF was 50/near it for weeks. Xavier wasn't close until the last two weeks.

Illinois H2H win over Xavier is absolutely crucial, if Xavier won that game I actually think X gets in the tournament

That's about what I figured, that some late changes probably impacted some of those records / lists.

The Xavier-Illinois match was a tight one decided in 4 close sets. Unfortunately, Illinois didn't fare as well in the close sets later that night, outscoring Missouri St by 10 points but still losing in 5...

[c4ndlelight]

Nov 27, 2016 13:58:44 GMT -5 c4ndlelight said:

Here is my final bracket prediction. I'm most nervous about Illinois as far as in-or-out, and I feel like the seed ordering from 4-11 could be very malleable. Like many have noted, we don't have precedent for how the Committee will work in a Top-4 host, but I just think Wisconsin's profile is too good to pass up.

I also realized that Western Kentucky is 403 miles from Mizzou on the NCAA mileage tracker, making them an obligate flyer if Kentucky isn't hosting (and they really shouldn't). I didn't really know what to do with that so I kept them at Mizzou. If Illinois doesn't get in, you'll see Purdue drive in to Columbia instead, and WKU could fly anywhere.

With Texas getting a Top 4 seed, I'm probably off by a bit. I had them at 6.