FINALIZED 2017 Bracketology (11/26)

[trojansc]

Nov 25, 2017 16:27:09 GMT -5 dman said:

Nov 25, 2017 16:10:15 GMT -5 Wiswell said:

Check the front page. Usually 98.4% accurate at minimum.

Don't see that on front page but will take your word on it wiswell. 1.6% of time wrong....so you're saying my Tigers have a chance!!!

Look at Bracketology History on the front page. You can click to the past years' threads. Regarding at-large bids, I have done this from 2012-present. I missed twice. Once in 2014 (Michigan State in, Virginia Tech Out), and once in 2015 (Northern Iowa in, Pittsburgh Out).

[Wiswell]

If you at his first post he lists how well he did in predicting the teams in beginning in 2012. He's at most missed one team in/out or a seeding in each of those years. So the 98.4 is 63/64 teams correct.

[trojansc]

Baylor-Texas a good one. Tied 1-1, tied 21 in set 3. Florida closing out Missouri..

[dman]

Nov 25, 2017 16:29:40 GMT -5 trojansc said:

Nov 25, 2017 16:27:09 GMT -5 dman said:

Don't see that on front page but will take your word on it wiswell. 1.6% of time wrong....so you're saying my Tigers have a chance!!!

Look at Bracketology History on the front page. You can click to the past years' threads. Regarding at-large bids, I have done this from 2012-present. I missed twice. Once in 2014 (Michigan State in, Virginia Tech Out), and once in 2015 (Northern Iowa in, Pittsburgh Out).

Crazy impressive!!

[sideoutnow]

Nov 25, 2017 16:30:09 GMT -5 trojansc said:

Baylor-Texas a good one. Tied 1-1, tied 21 in set 3. Florida closing out Missouri..

Would Hawaii's RPI improve if Baylor beats Texas? Of course, you already know Hawaii beat Baylor.

[trojansc]

Nov 25, 2017 16:38:00 GMT -5 sideoutnow said:

Nov 25, 2017 16:30:09 GMT -5 trojansc said:

Baylor-Texas a good one. Tied 1-1, tied 21 in set 3. Florida closing out Missouri..

Would Hawaii's RPI improve if Baylor beats Texas? Of course, you already know Hawaii beat Baylor.

Yes, and also if Marquette beats Creighton. Every match of Hawaii's opponents matter. But, the values might not be as significant as you would think.

Pretty sure regardless of what happens Hawaii is finishing mid-high 30's in RPI. Not 40 or above.

[brybast]

Nov 25, 2017 16:38:00 GMT -5 sideoutnow said:

Nov 25, 2017 16:30:09 GMT -5 trojansc said:

Baylor-Texas a good one. Tied 1-1, tied 21 in set 3. Florida closing out Missouri..

Would Hawaii's RPI improve if Baylor beats Texas? Of course, you already know Hawaii beat Baylor.

Since this match won't affect whether Baylor finishes top 25, it only has a tiny effect on Hawaii's opponents' winning percentage (which is 50% of the RPI), since it's only 1 out of something like 800 matches played by Hawaii's opponents. We're talking a difference of maybe .0005 in the raw RPI score.

[jaypak]

We can now all agree that Creighton has locked up a seed, right?

[vbnerd]

24 Flights? Am I counting this right? That seems like a lot.

[southie]

Have to say I'm surprised that really no team fighting for a Top 8 seed faltered down the stretch; sometimes a team benefits based on another teams missteps, but not this season.

[Steve vb]

Nov 25, 2017 17:26:41 GMT -5 jaypak said:

We can now all agree that Creighton has locked up a seed, right?

I'm confident enough to go to the Session Room tomorrow night to watch the selection show!

[bluepenquin]

Nov 25, 2017 17:26:41 GMT -5 jaypak said:

We can now all agree that Creighton has locked up a seed, right?

The way things went - they probably would be a lock if they had lost today.

[wang pu]

Nov 25, 2017 16:41:05 GMT -5 trojansc said:

Nov 25, 2017 16:38:00 GMT -5 sideoutnow said:

Would Hawaii's RPI improve if Baylor beats Texas? Of course, you already know Hawaii beat Baylor.

Yes, and also if Marquette beats Creighton. Every match of Hawaii's opponents matter. But, the values might not be as significant as you would think.

Pretty sure regardless of what happens Hawaii is finishing mid-high 30's in RPI. Not 40 or above.

Just to clarify, when you say “not 40 or above” you mean that Hawaii’s RPI will be between 30-40?

[brybast]

Nov 25, 2017 19:29:47 GMT -5 wang pu said:

Nov 25, 2017 16:41:05 GMT -5 trojansc said:

Yes, and also if Marquette beats Creighton. Every match of Hawaii's opponents matter. But, the values might not be as significant as you would think.

Pretty sure regardless of what happens Hawaii is finishing mid-high 30's in RPI. Not 40 or above.

Just to clarify, when you say “not 40 or above” you mean that Hawaii’s RPI will be between 30-40?

Yes, he means Hawaii will finish somewhere in the 36-39 range.

[trojansc]

Won't update this until very late in the West Coast hours tonight. Can't watch vball 24/7.. Have to make some $ lol