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Post by hammer on Mar 13, 2020 14:32:44 GMT -5
Right now not looking good. Just getting there could be difficult with all the travel bans. The best thing the Olympics have going for themselves is time. If major countries such as the US start seeing cases go down at some point in the pretty near future, say several weeks or a month, then maybe there is hope. The China data (if it can be believed) indicates it is possible to control the virus, but their methods were very draconian. Can European/Western Nations get it under control? That's certainly TBD at this point.
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Post by ironhammer on Mar 13, 2020 21:31:38 GMT -5
Right now not looking good. Just getting there could be difficult with all the travel bans. The best thing the Olympics have going for themselves is time. If major countries such as the US start seeing cases go down at some point in the pretty near future, say several weeks or a month, then maybe there is hope. The China data (if it can be believed) indicates it is possible to control the virus, but their methods were very draconian. Can European/Western Nations get it under control? That's certainly TBD at this point. I wonder if there is a way to qurrantine the players before the start of the Olympics, that way to reduce the risk of infection? And the staff and volunteers as well? Maybe even the audience, say quarantine for 14 days before the start of the games? On second thought, probably not, it would be a logistical and bureaucratic nightmare to sort that out.
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Post by ironhammer on Mar 14, 2020 20:45:14 GMT -5
Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe once again insist the Tokyo Olympics will be carried out as planned: www.bbc.com/sport/olympics/51888491He did qualified his statement however by saying the ultimate decision rest with the IOC. So what does the IOC really think? Seems to me it comes down to two things: 1. Whether the outbreak is brought under control before the Olympics. 2. Whether the Japanese can provide adequate safeguard to ensure the health of the athletes and volunteers?
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Post by hammer on Mar 14, 2020 22:17:37 GMT -5
Right now not looking good. Just getting there could be difficult with all the travel bans. The best thing the Olympics have going for themselves is time. If major countries such as the US start seeing cases go down at some point in the pretty near future, say several weeks or a month, then maybe there is hope. The China data (if it can be believed) indicates it is possible to control the virus, but their methods were very draconian. Can European/Western Nations get it under control? That's certainly TBD at this point. I wonder if there is a way to qurrantine the players before the start of the Olympics, that way to reduce the risk of infection? And the staff and volunteers as well? Maybe even the audience, say quarantine for 14 days before the start of the games? On second thought, probably not, it would be a logistical and bureaucratic nightmare to sort that out. There might be a strategy that works but it would have to very well thought out. It would certainly involve a lot of testing. The number of new cases in Japan would have had to shrunk to a very low number by middle of July. There will be a 4 hour test (or faster) for COVID-19 that should be widely available soon. I guess that should make it feasible to test all participants, coaches, and event supervisors/assistants/staff that run all of the events when they arrive Japan. Furthermore, athletes would need to test and clear a few days before leaving their home countries or wherever they happen to be before heading to Tokyo. Spectators, not sure, but I guess local ones could be cleared by a test also. Like you say lots of logistics and bureaucracy that would be expensive and somewhat time consuming.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Mar 14, 2020 22:47:24 GMT -5
I wonder if there is a way to qurrantine the players before the start of the Olympics, that way to reduce the risk of infection? And the staff and volunteers as well? Maybe even the audience, say quarantine for 14 days before the start of the games? On second thought, probably not, it would be a logistical and bureaucratic nightmare to sort that out. There might be a strategy that works but it would have to very well thought out. It would certainly involve a lot of testing. The number of new cases in Japan would have had to shrunk to a very low number by middle of July. There will be a 4 hour test (or faster) for COVID-19 that should be widely available soon. I guess that should make it feasible to test all participants, coaches, and event supervisors/assistants/staff that run all of the events when they arrive Japan. Furthermore, athletes would need to test and clear a few days before leaving their home countries or wherever they happen to be before heading to Tokyo. Spectators, not sure, but I guess local ones could be cleared by a test also. Like you say lots of logistics and bureaucracy that would be expensive and somewhat time consuming. Say you implement every precaution and testing method imaginable, get 3 days in and an athlete tests positive... What do you do? Canceling it a month before it opens would be considerably cheaper than doing so after it has started.
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Post by ironhammer on Mar 15, 2020 0:51:37 GMT -5
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Post by Phaedrus on Mar 15, 2020 7:38:28 GMT -5
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Post by ned3vball on Mar 15, 2020 7:57:22 GMT -5
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Post by ironhammer on Mar 15, 2020 10:19:15 GMT -5
Deleted, mispost.
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Post by hammer on Mar 15, 2020 13:20:31 GMT -5
Looks like we are finally homing in on isolating seniors. Anyone who is both old and has any type of underlying health condition should be isolating in the extreme. I don't think I have to spell out what that is.
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Post by ironhammer on Mar 15, 2020 20:41:41 GMT -5
Looks like we are finally homing in on isolating seniors. Anyone who is both old and has any type of underlying health condition should be isolating in the extreme. I don't think I have to spell out what that is. Indeed. Interesting to see if something similiar would happen in the US, particularly in places with a substantial elderly popuation, like Florida. That state is known as a prime location for retirees to settle after all, given it's mild winters and warm summers. Its going to be disaster if there is a localized outbreak there.
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Post by ironhammer on Mar 15, 2020 20:52:20 GMT -5
Yes, I was going to reply to this post but made a mistake earlier. The Tokyo Olympic Committee said he was not speaking in an official capacity and does not represent the position of the Olympic Committee. But it might indicate increasing internal debate within the committee over what to do. I suspect something is happening with IOC behind-closed-doors as well.
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Post by akbar on Mar 15, 2020 20:59:58 GMT -5
Looks like we are finally homing in on isolating seniors. Anyone who is both old and has any type of underlying health condition should be isolating in the extreme. I don't think I have to spell out what that is. "Herd Immunity" is crazy. Shame on the UK
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Post by jay on Mar 15, 2020 22:10:36 GMT -5
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Post by Wolfgang on Mar 16, 2020 12:09:08 GMT -5
You guys need some cheering up. A song that never fails to liven up a dance floor.
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