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Post by Chewblocka on Sept 16, 2024 10:25:48 GMT -5
Oh my, this is so confusing. I wish I could decode this to understand it more These figures are from the weekly RPI Futures calculations thread, calculated by vballfan17 . Here's the thread: RPI Futures 2024 - Week 2 The next one should come out tomorrow and it will have updated calculations based on this past weekend's results. Here is the missing text from the first post of that thread: RPI Futures is a season ending projected RPI based on the win probabilities per Pablo ratings for all matches scheduled.
RPI Futures Rank. (last week rank) - Conference (projected wins-losses[rounded] - RPI Score - Strength of Schedule
I think it's easiest to interpret in table form so here's a table with only Illinois's values. RPI Futures Rank | (last week rank) | Conference | (projected wins-losses [rounded]) | RPI Score | Strength of Schedule | 41 | 77 | Illinois - Big Ten | (18-12) | 0.5896 | 32 |
EDIT: And for context, an RPI ranking around 40 is usually the "bubble" for qualifying for the NCAA tournament as an at-large bid.
Thank you this helps me understand I appreciate the information
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Post by exit237a on Sept 16, 2024 10:47:55 GMT -5
These figures are from the weekly RPI Futures calculations thread, calculated by vballfan17 . Here's the thread: RPI Futures 2024 - Week 2 The next one should come out tomorrow and it will have updated calculations based on this past weekend's results. Here is the missing text from the first post of that thread: RPI Futures is a season ending projected RPI based on the win probabilities per Pablo ratings for all matches scheduled.
RPI Futures Rank. (last week rank) - Conference (projected wins-losses[rounded] - RPI Score - Strength of Schedule
I think it's easiest to interpret in table form so here's a table with only Illinois's values. RPI Futures Rank | (last week rank) | Conference | (projected wins-losses [rounded]) | RPI Score | Strength of Schedule | 41 | 77 | Illinois - Big Ten | (18-12) | 0.5896 | 32 |
EDIT: And for context, an RPI ranking around 40 is usually the "bubble" for qualifying for the NCAA tournament as an at-large bid.
Thank you this helps me understand I appreciate the information You’re welcome!
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Post by UofIlliniVBFan on Sept 17, 2024 13:45:00 GMT -5
RPI Futures Rank. (last week rank) - Conference (projected wins-losses[rounded] - RPI Score - Strength of Schedule
Week 3 RPI Future: 30. (41) Illinois - Big Ten (19-11) - .6013 - 33 Week 2 RPI Future: 41. (77) Illinois - Big Ten (18-12) - .5896 - 32 Week 1 RPI Future: 77. (96) Illinois - Big Ten (14-16) - .5538 - 30 Week 0 RPI Future: 96. Illinois - Big Ten (12-18) - .5342 - 27
Illini opponents this weekend:
49. (61) Missouri - Southeastern (16-12) - .5796 - 35 129. (97) Lipscomb - Atlantic Sun (17-10) - .5238 - 183
To benefit Illinois RPI, past opponents win and improve their RPI:
110. (141) Cincinnati - Big 12 (15-14) - .5352 - 88 Improved 91. (80) Bowling Green - Mid-American (18-11) - .5491 - 97 250. (232) Illinois State - Missouri Valley (12-19) - .4533 - 235 96. (156) Toledo - Mid-American (19-11) - .5428 - 126 68. (52) Iowa State - Big 12 (15-14) - .5639 - 40 116. (161) Wake Forest - Atlantic Coast (15-16) - .5313 - 64 16. (14) Dayton - Atlantic 10 (27-2) - .6327 - 99 81. (34) Western Kentucky - Conference USA (20-11) - .5535 - 112
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Post by ilalum92 on Sept 17, 2024 14:12:59 GMT -5
Has any other team jumped 60 places in 4 weeks? Such a huge improvement. Winning against a higher placed team has a bigger affect then losing to a higher placed team. We need to win the matches we have to and pull and upset or two and we should be looking good for the tourney.
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Post by oldmanvb on Sept 17, 2024 14:32:12 GMT -5
I suspect this makes us the surprise of the season up to this point in time. Credit the coaching staff who identified areas of need and addressed them. I don't think we have played our best volleyball yet. We still need to clean up our passing and Brooke needs to have an epiphany regarding set placement with Raina. I know they are working on it. It just needs to click.
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Post by UofIlliniVBFan on Sept 17, 2024 15:08:46 GMT -5
For funz...Per Big Ten Week 3 RPI Futures, Illini host 6 of the lower half BIG.
2. (2) Nebraska - Big Ten (27-4) - .7083 - 8 at Huff 3. (4) Penn State - Big Ten (28-3) - .7002 - 9 9. (15) Purdue - Big Ten (25-6) - .6608 - 15 12. (11) Wisconsin - Big Ten (20-9) - .6529 - 5 at Huff 18. (29) Minnesota - Big Ten (20-10) - .6272 - 13 at Huff 20. (22) Oregon - Big Ten (21-8) - .6252 - 44 25. (23) USC - Big Ten (19-11) - .6128 - 12 at Huff 30. (41) Illinois - Big Ten (19-11) - .6013 - 33 43. (49) Washington - Big Ten (19-11) - .5847 - 50 44. (36) Indiana - Big Ten (17-13) - .5843 - 18 at Huff 64. (50) UCLA - Big Ten (15-13) - .5673 - 46 at Huff 84. (54) Ohio State - Big Ten (13-17) - .5522 - 31 at Huff 88. (143) Michigan - Big Ten (18-13) - .5503 - 96 99. (120) Maryland - Big Ten (15-16) - .5399 - 60 at Huff 133. (81) Michigan State - Big Ten (12-19) - .5227 - 49 196. (179) Iowa - Big Ten (9-23) - .4864 - 62 202. (175) Northwestern - Big Ten (6-22) - .4817 - 42 at Huff 215. (181) Rutgers - Big Ten (8-23) - .4742 - 74 at Huff
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Post by bigfan on Sept 17, 2024 15:10:25 GMT -5
I am impressed with this fast start by Illinois.
I am a Pac 12 homer and I am looking forward to seeing them play Oregon, Washington, UCLA and USC this season.
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Post by oldmanvb on Sept 17, 2024 17:18:54 GMT -5
For funz...Per Big Ten Week 3 RPI Futures, Illini host 6 of the lower half BIG. 2. (2) Nebraska - Big Ten (27-4) - .7083 - 8 at Huff 3. (4) Penn State - Big Ten (28-3) - .7002 - 9 9. (15) Purdue - Big Ten (25-6) - .6608 - 15 12. (11) Wisconsin - Big Ten (20-9) - .6529 - 5 at Huff 18. (29) Minnesota - Big Ten (20-10) - .6272 - 13 at Huff 20. (22) Oregon - Big Ten (21-8) - .6252 - 44 25. (23) USC - Big Ten (19-11) - .6128 - 12 at Huff 30. (41) Illinois - Big Ten (19-11) - .6013 - 33 43. (49) Washington - Big Ten (19-11) - .5847 - 50 44. (36) Indiana - Big Ten (17-13) - .5843 - 18 at Huff 64. (50) UCLA - Big Ten (15-13) - .5673 - 46 at Huff 84. (54) Ohio State - Big Ten (13-17) - .5522 - 31 at Huff 88. (143) Michigan - Big Ten (18-13) - .5503 - 96 99. (120) Maryland - Big Ten (15-16) - .5399 - 60 at Huff 133. (81) Michigan State - Big Ten (12-19) - .5227 - 49 196. (179) Iowa - Big Ten (9-23) - .4864 - 62 202. (175) Northwestern - Big Ten (6-22) - .4817 - 42 at Huff 215. (181) Rutgers - Big Ten (8-23) - .4742 - 74 at Huff I think I would prefer to be on the road against the lower half of the league and play the top teams at home.
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Post by vbkahuna on Sept 17, 2024 19:21:53 GMT -5
I'm really looking forward to seeing how well the Illini do this weekend now that they have settled on their best starting lineup. It may take a few more matches for them to really get in the groove, but I think this team has a high ceiling.
People understandably carry their early rankings and overall opinions of teams based on their performance over the last few years. That's going to be a mistake, in my opinion, in the case of this year's Illini.
This is their first team since 2018 that I believe has a shot at beating any team in the B1G on a given night. Not every night, but more than the one or two they occasionally ambush. I don't say that casually. So far I've watched and analyzed all of them, including the expansion teams.
The fact is this team matches up well and has really been upgraded in every gap area. Philpot and Smith have brought much more quickness and athleticism to the front line in addition to their size. And Mundo and Hernandez have significantly shored up the most serious weakness areas - serve receive and overall team defense. (Speaking of Hernandez, she doesn't get enough respect and credit for how much she brings to the overall game.) And even Reilly has brought some situational setting options that are having multiple benefits.
Not making any predictions, but this could be a year the Illini regain some respect. No matter how it turns out, I definitely want to be there when Huff is rocking and they take down some of the big dogs.
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Post by vbkahuna on Sept 17, 2024 19:28:46 GMT -5
I am impressed with this fast start by Illinois. I am a Pac 12 homer and I am looking forward to seeing them play Oregon, Washington, UCLA and USC this season. Welcome, bigfan. It's really great to have 4 of the best PAC 12 teams join the B1G. What a great feast for any volleyball fan.
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Post by Chewblocka on Sept 17, 2024 23:08:47 GMT -5
I'm really looking forward to seeing how well the Illini do this weekend now that they have settled on their best starting lineup. It may take a few more matches for them to really get in the groove, but I think this team has a high ceiling. People understandably carry their early rankings and overall opinions of teams based on their performance over the last few years. That's going to be a mistake, in my opinion, in the case of this year's Illini. This is their first team since 2018 that I believe has a shot at beating any team in the B1G on a given night. Not every night, but more than the one or two they occasionally ambush. I don't say that casually. So far I've watched and analyzed all of them, including the expansion teams. The fact is this team matches up well and has really been upgraded in every gap area. Philpot and Smith have brought much more quickness and athleticism to the front line in addition to their size. And Mundo and Hernandez have significantly shored up the most serious weakness areas - serve receive and overall team defense. (Speaking of Hernandez, she doesn't get enough respect and credit for how much she brings to the overall game.) And even Reilly has brought some situational setting options that are having multiple benefits. Not making any predictions, but this could be a year the Illini regain some respect. No matter how it turns out, I definitely want to be there when Huff is rocking and they take down some of the big dogs. I love the optimism too, but I think it’s a little early to really know what this team can do until we start facing some tougher competition. We got a glimpse last weekend with Dayton—definitely a more athletic team—but we’re not going to get points in the same ways when we hit the Big Ten, and the error margins are going to tighten up real quick. There’s definitely depth, but we’ve got a lot of newer players who haven’t been fully tested yet. I’m really hopeful for Smith, Philpot, and DeBoer (though we’ve only really seen DeBoer in that inter-squad match, where she looked solid). Hernandez is killing it in the back court, but I’m still unsure about her front row play, stats etc. luckily, we’ve got options and some time to figure it out. We have been hot and cold in the front with Raina being able to pull us through in tough times (God Bless you Raina!) As much as I want us to take down the big dogs, I’m cautiously optimistic for now. If positive energy alone could guarantee wins, we’d be tournament-bound for sure! But hey, we’ll see what happens when the real tests come. If Dayton gave us a run don’t think we are going to cruise through the Biggie with ease.
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Post by exit237a on Sept 18, 2024 14:27:33 GMT -5
I like that we're seeing some new wrinkles in the Illinois offense this season. They've run Laynie at least a couple times on rips when we're in serve-receive for a certain rotation. I haven't paid close enough attention to figure out which rotation that is. Cool that we're mixing it up a little.
I wonder if we'll see some more sets to Averie out of the back row. I don't recall seeing any so far that were by design, maybe one or two she swung on OOS, if any.
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