Top 25 Matchup Results | Week 14

[trojansc]

Washington State at 22-5? That would be very surprising to me. The WCC isn't that bad and their non-conference isn't a cake-walk. I'm seeing Wazzu a ~.500 team.

[c4ndlelight]

Jul 16, 2024 11:53:34 GMT -5 trojansc said:

Washington State at 22-5? That would be very surprising to me. The WCC isn't that bad and their non-conference isn't a cake-walk. I'm seeing Wazzu a ~.500 team.

.500 is generous with their schedule and depth.

[NYCHusker]

Now that we have a few more schedules (and are just waiting on Auburn & Florida State), I re-ran the strength of schedule exercise. If you don't know what I'm talking about, you can scroll back to page 1 on this thread to read up on how I calculated the below. 

The most interesting case that I've found so far is UCSB. Like a Creighton or Marquette, they tried to schedule tough in the non-con by getting Florida State, Georgia, Arizona State, Stanford, Pitt, Pepperdine, and K-State on the schedule. But, their average RPI still comes in at 150.97, as they have some of the worst teams in D1 on the conference slate. Obviously, if they make a dent or two in the non-con and run the table in the Big West like they did last year, they're still in. But they certainly have one of the hardest roads to the tourney of the contenders in my sheet. 

Here are the updated toughest schedules:

1) Stanford (59.48 avg opp RPI, 55% of matches against tourney teams, 15 matches against ranked teams)
T2) Pitt (66.10, 52%, 14)
T2) Wisconsin (63.62, 52%, 14)
T3) Louisville (61.90, 53%, 13)
T3) Texas (59.04, 67%, 11)
T4) Baylor (77.79, 46%, 14)
T4) K-State (76.48, 52%, 13)
T4) Kentucky (62.54, 67%, 11)
T4) Nebraska (73.16, 45%, 14)
T5) Georgia (72.35, 54%, 12)
T5) Kansas (72.96, 43%, 13)
T5) SMU (62.97, 52%, 11)
T5) Tennessee (66.46, 69%, 10)
T5) USC (69.77, 40%, 12)
6) Houston (98.00, 50%, 13)

And here are the updated weakest schedules:

1) Washington State (155.59, 15%, 3)
2) Dayton (148.00, 20%, 2)
3) Western Kentucky (136.81, 16%, 4)
4) Western Michigan (127.14, 21%, 4)
T5) Hawai'i (144.11, 32%, 7)
T5) UC Santa Barbara (150.97, 30%, 8)
6) Arkansas (104.68, 36%, 5)
T7) Iowa State (96.97, 28%, 9)
T7) Pepperdine (108.18, 36%, 9)
T8) Creighton (89.69, 31%, 8)
T8) Florida (82.50, 39%, 8)
T7) Marquette (95.31, 34%, 9)
T8) Arizona State (97.50, 36%, 10)
T8) Missouri (82.43, 39%, 9)
T8) Oregon (83.45, 34%, 9)

[ay2013]

Jul 15, 2024 23:13:10 GMT -5 vbgeezer said:

Following the demise of the PAC-12, Washington St. lost most of their coaches and best players from their strongest sports teams. But with their 2024 VB schedule, it will not be surprising to see them rack-up a record in the neighborhood of 22-5 in their 2024 regular season. Your analysis shows us that that type of record would likely be unworthy of a Top 25 ranking or NCAA tournament selection. Wazzu has suffered (is suffering) the most from the break-up of the PAC-12.

That's quite the optimistic outlook. I'll be the first to say that I think the WCC will be pretty weak next year, but WSU has P4 @ Washington, @ Houston, as well as matches against conference champs Omaha and likely 2024 Big West champs, LBSU all on the non-conference. Finishing the year 22-5 would be an extraordinary accomplishment for a team who returns one starter (a three rotation opposite).

[mediawatcher]

HUSKERS vs. Kentucky, Penn State, Louisville, Wisconsin, Minnesota, UCLA, and Oregon. Great volleyball for all the teams. What a season! 2024 is awesome!

[NYCHusker]

Now that all of the schedules are in for all of the "contenders", I ran the strength of schedule exercise again (details on page 1 of this thread). I have the full SoS rankings below, starting with the toughest and ending with the weakest:

• Stanford (59.48 avg opp RPI, 55% of matches against tourney teams, 15 matches against ranked teams)
• Pitt (66.10, 52%, 14)
• Wisconsin (63.62, 52%, 14)
• Louisville (61.90, 53%, 13)
• Texas (59.04, 67%, 11)
• Kentucky (62.54, 67%, 11)
• Nebraska (73.16, 45%, 14)
• Baylor (77.79, 46%, 14)
• K-State (76.48, 52%, 13)
• Tennessee (66.46, 69%, 10)
• Kansas (72.96, 43%, 13)
• SMU (62.97, 52%, 11)
• USC (69.77, 40%, 12)
• Georgia (72.35, 54%, 12)
• Houston (98.00, 50%, 13)
• Washington (79.67, 43%, 11)
• Purdue (77.87, 42%, 11)
• Penn State (70.68, 42%, 11)
• Illinois (77.77, 40%, 11)
• UCLA (92.00, 45%, 12)
• Minnesota (91.21, 41%, 12)
• Ga. Tech (68.55, 41%, 9)
• BYU (80.04, 50%, 10)
• TCU (94.21, 39%, 12)
• Texas A&M (75.96, 50%, 8)
• Florida State (77.07, 40%, 9)
• Ohio State (84.13, 39%, 10)
• Miami (79.03, 35%, 9)
• Missouri (82.43, 39%, 9)
• Arizona State (97.50, 36%, 10)
• Oregon (83.45, 34%, 9)
• Auburn (93.37, 52%, 8)
• Florida (82.50, 39%, 8)
• Marquette (95.31, 34%, 9)
• Creighton (89.69, 31%, 8)
• Iowa State (96.97, 28%, 9)
• Pepperdine (108.18, 36%, 9)
• Arkansas (104.68, 36%, 5)
• Hawai'i (144.11, 32%, 7)
• UC Santa Barbara (150.97, 30%, 8)
• Western Michigan (127.14, 21%, 4)
• Western Kentucky (136.81, 16%, 4)
• Dayton (148.00, 20%, 2)
• Washington State (155.59, 15%, 3)

This is definitely subject to change when the preseason poll comes out next week, but should be a good base point for looking ahead to this season. Hope this helps, all! 

[GatorsChomp]

Florida is SENDIING me lmao

[NYCHusker]

Alright, now that the preseason rankings are out, I've run the strength of schedule exercise one more time, this time adjusting for the new rankings, as well as average opponent ranking. Things shook up a little bit. 

Here they are, in order from toughest to weakest:

Texas (59.04 avg opp RPI, 67% of matches against tourney teams, 15 matches against ranked teams, 14.22 avg rank)
Stanford (59.48, 55%, 15, 10.08)
Kentucky (62.54, 67%, 15, 11.6)
Louisville (61.90, 53%, 15, 8.33)
Wisconsin (63.62, 52%, 16, 11.15)
Tennessee (66.46, 69%, 14, 12.88)
Nebraska (73.16, 45%, 16, 9.92)
Pittsburgh (66.10, 52%, 14, 12.7)
Washington (79.67, 43%, 16, 12.5)
Purdue (77.87, 42%, 15, 10.33)
SMU (62.97, 52%, 13, 10.7)
USC (69.77, 40%, 14, 8.22)
Baylor (77.79, 46%, 14, 11.33)
UCLA (92.00, 45%, 16, 11.73)
Penn State (70.68, 42%, 13, 9.45)
Georgia Tech (68.55, 41%, 12, 10.67)
Minnesota (91.21, 41%, 15, 8.3)
Kansas State (76.48, 52%, 12, 15.38)
Georgia (72.35, 54%, 11, 12.56)
Indiana (91.4, 33%, 14, 8.67)
Kansas (72.96, 43%, 13, 16.67)
Florida State (77.07, 40%, 11, 10.83)
Houston (98.00, 50%, 13, 14.43)
Ohio State (84.13, 39%, 13, 12)
BYU (80.04, 50%, 11, 15.67)
Miami (79.03, 35%, 11, 11.13)
Oregon (83.45, 34%, 12, 11.11)
Florida (82.50, 39%, 11, 14.71)
TCU (94.21, 39%, 12, 14.38)
Auburn (93.37, 52%, 10, 11.33)
Missouri (82.43, 39%, 10, 11.89)
Arizona State (97.50, 36%, 10, 14)
Pepperdine (108.18, 36%, 11, 12.75)
Marquette (95.31, 34%, 9, 10.14)
Creighton (89.69, 31%, 9, 14)
San Diego (112.11, 32%, 11, 14.33)
Iowa State (96.97, 28%, 9, 16.4)
Arkansas (104.68, 36%, 8, 12.2)
Hawai'i (144.11, 32%, 6, 12)
Western Michigan (127.14, 21%, 4, 16.75)
WKU (136.81, 16%, 4, 17.5)
Dayton (148.00, 20%, 3, 24)
Wazzu (155.59, 15%, 6, 26)

[NYCHusker]

First results of the year are on the board!

[NYCHusker]

Just figured I'd bump this quickly ahead of the weekend and see if there was any interest in pinning again this year, as in past years ( VT Five-0 @Odin ). If not, no worries - I know there are more resources for getting scores these days. I'll still keep up on it, in case there are folks still tuned in. 

[slxpress]

Aug 29, 2024 9:07:30 GMT -5 NYCHusker said:

Just figured I'd bump this quickly ahead of the weekend and see if there was any interest in pinning again this year, as in past years ( VT Five-0 @Odin ). If not, no worries - I know there are more resources for getting scores these days. I'll still keep up on it, in case there are folks still tuned in. 

If it doesn’t get pinned just keep updating it to push it to the top. I’ll keep responding. I feel like there’s a lot of people who get some good out of your efforts.

[bellvision1]

I already have the spreadsheet bookmarked in the browser and always look for this thread. Thanks!

[NYCHusker]

Friday results are all in. Saturday results will all be in tomorrow morning.

[bbg95]

Aug 31, 2024 9:08:51 GMT -5 NYCHusker said:

Friday results are all in. Saturday results will all be in tomorrow morning.

Thanks for bumping the thread. I was looking for it yesterday.

[NYCHusker]

Aug 31, 2024 9:10:40 GMT -5 bbg95 said:

Aug 31, 2024 9:08:51 GMT -5 NYCHusker said:

Friday results are all in. Saturday results will all be in tomorrow morning.

Thanks for bumping the thread. I was looking for it yesterday.

No problem! I'll tag VT Five-0 & Odin one more time to see if we can get that pin again this year.