Post by ccman on Nov 14, 2010 17:59:51 GMT -5
Tournament Bids by Conference & Conference Rank:
Bubble Analysis: Note, RPI is only one portion. I look at RPI last, not first. When I list Big Wins, the out of conference is preferred, especially on the road/neutral. At this point of the season, teams on a roll get a better look. Big East/BigWest/WCC 3rd & ACC/SEC 3-5 place teams are competing against each other - someone's gonna get left out after conf. tournaments. Just a note about Marquette & Ball State, they are on a winning streaks, but there just was not a signature out of conference performance. I'll take good wins over bad losses anyday, especially if a team played some tough schedule/opponents (and RPI is not necessarily an indication of a tough schedule). To have one bad loss is to be human, to have 2 is tournament-killing. I moved the WAC way down in conference rank - ya gotta have somebody step up and beat Hawaii at your home court - c'mon.
Also, the ACC is so hard to determine who gets in. IMO, they only deserve 4 teams after beating up on the east coast, the 2nd-9th place are almost indistinguishable, plus the 1st place team Duke has lots of wins, but nothing really noteworthy. I can see the NCAA giving the ACC anywhere from 4-6 bids.
One last note: There's no WHINING in volleyball! Everyone of these bubble teams or teams close to the bubble had chances to win a big game at home, on the road, etc. against top teams or other bubble teams AND THEY DIDN'T GET IT DONE.
Ball State, Marquette, SMU, Georgia Tech, Auburn are the last 5 teams out.
Ole Miss, New Mexico, Creighton are the last 3 teams in. Ole Miss needs quality wins coming in.
Last Teams Out:
Marquette: (Best Win - Louisville - at home, needed to beat Cincy)
Ball State: (Best Win - Western Mich, may need to win conf. tourn)
SMU: (Best Win - Rice, UCSB)
Georgia Tech (Best Win: FSU, Miami)
Auburn (Best Win: Middle Tenn)
Ball State (BW: none)
A bunch of ACC teams.
Last Teams In:
Ole Miss (not a good out of conference schedule, need to get wins against LSU/Tenn/Fl) down the stretch.
Creighton (BW: Marquette)
Kentucky: (Best Win: Ohio State, Cincy, murderous non-conf schedule)
Cinncinnatti/Louisville (Where are the out of conference wins?)
Miami: (Best Win: Wichita State, Middle Tenn St.)
New Mexico: (Best Win: Pepperdine, Colo St.)
Pepperdine (Best Win: Fullerton, need to beat St. Marys in case of tie-breaker)
VaTech (Best Win: Western Ky, FSU)
Mississippi: (Best Win: Kentucky, LSU - last 3 matches against Auburn, Kentucky, Tenn)
St. Marys (Best Win: Marquette,Pepperdine, need to beat Pepperdine in case of tie-breaker),
Wichita State (Best Win: Oklahoma),
Oregon (Best Win: Washington - how much longer can they milk that one?)
Missouri (Best Win: Iowa State)
Cal Poly (Best Win: Arizona, Long Beach State, need to win out)
North Carolina: (Best Win: FSU)
FSU: (Best Win: Duke, Oklahoma)
Missouri State: (Best Win: North Carolina)
Colorado State: (Best Win: Duke)
Most Overrated Team: Duke
Most Underrated Team: tie - Fullerton & Wichita State
Most Overrated Conference: tie ACC & Conf. USA
Most Underated Conference: Big 10 - top 8 teams could win any conference except Pac-10, Big 12, and maybe SEC
Top 4 Seeds:
#1: Florida
#2: Cal
#3: Stanford
#4: Nebraska
16 Regional Hosts:
Cal, Neb, Florida, Illinois,
Stanford, Hawaii, USC, PSU, Cinncinnati, Texas, Michigan, Dayton
Duke, Northern Iowa (oops! not NorthI ll
), LSU, Tennessee
(Northern Iowa replaces Colo. State).
1 team leagues not below (14):
SWAC,Patriot, AmEast,BigSouth,Southern, NEC, BigSky,MEAC,Horizon,Ivy,Colonial,Summit,OVC,AtlSun
Big Ten (8)
IN: PSU, Ill, Mich, NW, Indy, Pur, Minn, OSU
Bubble ; None
Pac-10 (7)
IN: Cal, Stan, UW, Ariz, UCLA, USC
Bubble In: Nike University
Big12 (5)
IN: Neb, Tex, ISU, Mizzou, Ok
SEC (5)
In: LSU, Tenn, FL,
Bubble In: Ky, Ole Miss,
Bubble Out: Auburn.
MVC (4)
In: NI, Wich St.,
Bubble In: Missouri St., Creighton
Big West (3)
In: Fullerton, Long Beach
Bubble In: CalPoly
ACC (5)
In: Duke,
Bubble In: North Carolina, FSU, VaTech, MIami,
Bubble Out: GaTech
WCC: (3)
In: San Diego
Bubble In: St. Marys, Pepperdine
WAC (1): aka Hawaii
Atl-10 (1)
In: Dayton
Big East (2)
In: Cincy, Louisville
Bubble Out; Marq, Notre Dame
SunBelt: (2)
Bubble In: Western Ky, Middle Tenn
Conf USA: (1)
In: Tulsa
Bubble Out: Rice, SMU
MWC: (2).
Bubble In: New Mexico, Colo St.
MAC: (1)
Bubble In/Out: Western Michigan & Ball State
Bubble Analysis: Note, RPI is only one portion. I look at RPI last, not first. When I list Big Wins, the out of conference is preferred, especially on the road/neutral. At this point of the season, teams on a roll get a better look. Big East/BigWest/WCC 3rd & ACC/SEC 3-5 place teams are competing against each other - someone's gonna get left out after conf. tournaments. Just a note about Marquette & Ball State, they are on a winning streaks, but there just was not a signature out of conference performance. I'll take good wins over bad losses anyday, especially if a team played some tough schedule/opponents (and RPI is not necessarily an indication of a tough schedule). To have one bad loss is to be human, to have 2 is tournament-killing. I moved the WAC way down in conference rank - ya gotta have somebody step up and beat Hawaii at your home court - c'mon.
Also, the ACC is so hard to determine who gets in. IMO, they only deserve 4 teams after beating up on the east coast, the 2nd-9th place are almost indistinguishable, plus the 1st place team Duke has lots of wins, but nothing really noteworthy. I can see the NCAA giving the ACC anywhere from 4-6 bids.
One last note: There's no WHINING in volleyball! Everyone of these bubble teams or teams close to the bubble had chances to win a big game at home, on the road, etc. against top teams or other bubble teams AND THEY DIDN'T GET IT DONE.
Ball State, Marquette, SMU, Georgia Tech, Auburn are the last 5 teams out.
Ole Miss, New Mexico, Creighton are the last 3 teams in. Ole Miss needs quality wins coming in.
Last Teams Out:
Marquette: (Best Win - Louisville - at home, needed to beat Cincy)
Ball State: (Best Win - Western Mich, may need to win conf. tourn)
SMU: (Best Win - Rice, UCSB)
Georgia Tech (Best Win: FSU, Miami)
Auburn (Best Win: Middle Tenn)
Ball State (BW: none)
A bunch of ACC teams.
Last Teams In:
Ole Miss (not a good out of conference schedule, need to get wins against LSU/Tenn/Fl) down the stretch.
Creighton (BW: Marquette)
Kentucky: (Best Win: Ohio State, Cincy, murderous non-conf schedule)
Cinncinnatti/Louisville (Where are the out of conference wins?)
Miami: (Best Win: Wichita State, Middle Tenn St.)
New Mexico: (Best Win: Pepperdine, Colo St.)
Pepperdine (Best Win: Fullerton, need to beat St. Marys in case of tie-breaker)
VaTech (Best Win: Western Ky, FSU)
Mississippi: (Best Win: Kentucky, LSU - last 3 matches against Auburn, Kentucky, Tenn)
St. Marys (Best Win: Marquette,Pepperdine, need to beat Pepperdine in case of tie-breaker),
Wichita State (Best Win: Oklahoma),
Oregon (Best Win: Washington - how much longer can they milk that one?)
Missouri (Best Win: Iowa State)
Cal Poly (Best Win: Arizona, Long Beach State, need to win out)
North Carolina: (Best Win: FSU)
FSU: (Best Win: Duke, Oklahoma)
Missouri State: (Best Win: North Carolina)
Colorado State: (Best Win: Duke)
Most Overrated Team: Duke
Most Underrated Team: tie - Fullerton & Wichita State
Most Overrated Conference: tie ACC & Conf. USA
Most Underated Conference: Big 10 - top 8 teams could win any conference except Pac-10, Big 12, and maybe SEC
Top 4 Seeds:
#1: Florida
#2: Cal
#3: Stanford
#4: Nebraska
16 Regional Hosts:
Cal, Neb, Florida, Illinois,
Stanford, Hawaii, USC, PSU, Cinncinnati, Texas, Michigan, Dayton
Duke, Northern Iowa (oops! not NorthI ll
), LSU, Tennessee (Northern Iowa replaces Colo. State).
1 team leagues not below (14):
SWAC,Patriot, AmEast,BigSouth,Southern, NEC, BigSky,MEAC,Horizon,Ivy,Colonial,Summit,OVC,AtlSun
Big Ten (8)
IN: PSU, Ill, Mich, NW, Indy, Pur, Minn, OSU
Bubble ; None
Pac-10 (7)
IN: Cal, Stan, UW, Ariz, UCLA, USC
Bubble In: Nike University
Big12 (5)
IN: Neb, Tex, ISU, Mizzou, Ok
SEC (5)
In: LSU, Tenn, FL,
Bubble In: Ky, Ole Miss,
Bubble Out: Auburn.
MVC (4)
In: NI, Wich St.,
Bubble In: Missouri St., Creighton
Big West (3)
In: Fullerton, Long Beach
Bubble In: CalPoly
ACC (5)
In: Duke,
Bubble In: North Carolina, FSU, VaTech, MIami,
Bubble Out: GaTech
WCC: (3)
In: San Diego
Bubble In: St. Marys, Pepperdine
WAC (1): aka Hawaii
Atl-10 (1)
In: Dayton
Big East (2)
In: Cincy, Louisville
Bubble Out; Marq, Notre Dame
SunBelt: (2)
Bubble In: Western Ky, Middle Tenn
Conf USA: (1)
In: Tulsa
Bubble Out: Rice, SMU
MWC: (2).
Bubble In: New Mexico, Colo St.
MAC: (1)
Bubble In/Out: Western Michigan & Ball State
