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Post by Cruz'n on Oct 30, 2018 17:11:29 GMT -5
B1G average RPI 52.3 PAC average RPI 48.5 Wasn't talking about average, but 7 in top 20. I agree. The top of the B1G is incredible this year.
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Post by txnut on Oct 30, 2018 22:35:49 GMT -5
bluepenquin What are the odds that Washington isn't even tournament eligible by season's end? Granted they only have to win 2 more match to get to .500 if they don't win one this week, I'm not sure its happening. Just curious.
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Post by n00b on Oct 30, 2018 23:52:17 GMT -5
bluepenquin What are the odds that Washington isn't even tournament eligible by season's end? Granted they only have to win 2 more match to get to .500 if they don't win one this week, I'm not sure its happening. Just curious. 92% that Washington will win at least 2 more matches.
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Post by tomclen on Oct 31, 2018 7:55:19 GMT -5
bluepenquin What are the odds that Washington isn't even tournament eligible by season's end? Granted they only have to win 2 more match to get to .500 if they don't win one this week, I'm not sure its happening. Just curious. 92% that Washington will win at least 2 more matches. Fans need to worry about UW winning at least 2 matches to make the tournament. But the team needs to focus on beating ASU in Seattle this Friday. If Washington's passing woes aren't improved and ASU plays well, it could be another UW loss - 6 in a row. And if UW loses Friday, it seems to me they may not win another match this season.
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Post by minncoach on Nov 1, 2018 7:50:39 GMT -5
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bluepenquin
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Post by bluepenquin on Nov 3, 2018 6:32:13 GMT -5
USC back in contention for a regional seed?
1. Stanford - .7423 2. BYU - .7024 3. Illinois - .7000 4. Minnesota - .6989 5. Texas - .6942 6. USC - .6858 7. Pittsburgh - .6855 8. Wisconsin - .6843 9. Kentucky - .6786
USC remaining schedule is tough - but they are favored in each:
@ Oregon State Washington Washington State @ Arizona @ Arizona State Utah @ UCLA
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Post by Cruz'n on Nov 3, 2018 6:47:40 GMT -5
I just don't see how the PAC could be ahead of the BIG, math formula or not. Probably because you focus more of your thoughts on Minnesota, and less on Rutgers.
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bluepenquin
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Post by bluepenquin on Nov 3, 2018 9:17:03 GMT -5
There is a >0% chance that Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Nebraska fall in the same region. If you think that Minnesota is a likely #2/3. Wisconsin is kind of in the #6/7 range and Nebraska is in the #10/11 range. Purdue/Michigan could be in the #14/15 range. The stars are aligning for a Big Ten regional...
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Post by vbkahuna on Nov 3, 2018 9:33:38 GMT -5
There is a >0% chance that Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Nebraska fall in the same region. If you think that Minnesota is a likely #2/3. Wisconsin is kind of in the #6/7 range and Nebraska is in the #10/11 range. Purdue/Michigan could be in the #14/15 range. The stars are aligning for a Big Ten regional... So what are the chances of: Minnesota and Illinois with their own regionals and then having 3 B1G teams in BYU's regional, and 3 other B1G teams in Stanford's regional...you know, so we can finally have an All-B1G Final Four? Ahhh, nothing like the smell of napalm in the morning on VolleyTalk...
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Post by bluepenquin on Nov 3, 2018 13:58:31 GMT -5
There is a >0% chance that Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Nebraska fall in the same region. If you think that Minnesota is a likely #2/3. Wisconsin is kind of in the #6/7 range and Nebraska is in the #10/11 range. Purdue/Michigan could be in the #14/15 range. The stars are aligning for a Big Ten regional... Has this happened before to the PAC-12 or BIG? Could be fun to see Minnesota, Wisconsin, Nebraska, and Creighton (I'm guessing) in the same regional...and Creighton wreaks havoc to advance to the Final Four. 2016 had 1. Nebraska, 9. Michigan State, 16. Penn State in the same region. 2 seeds in the same region happens pretty frequently given the # of seeded teams from those conferences.
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Post by jaypak on Nov 3, 2018 15:33:39 GMT -5
There is a >0% chance that Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Nebraska fall in the same region. If you think that Minnesota is a likely #2/3. Wisconsin is kind of in the #6/7 range and Nebraska is in the #10/11 range. Purdue/Michigan could be in the #14/15 range. The stars are aligning for a Big Ten regional... Has this happened before to the PAC-12 or BIG? Could be fun to see Minnesota, Wisconsin, Nebraska, and Creighton (I'm guessing) in the same regional...and Creighton wreaks havoc to advance to the Final Four. This post deserves a “Like x5” button!
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trojansc
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Post by trojansc on Nov 3, 2018 20:38:11 GMT -5
VCU was swept by George Mason - they didn't have a good at-large chance but now it's no chance.
It looks like Little Rock is pushing Texas State to a 5th set.
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Post by bluepenquin on Nov 4, 2018 7:55:08 GMT -5
Here is the current RPI Futures top 60 - I have included the current RPI (per Figstats) at the end. Not a lot of big variances - probably the biggest being Alabama and Tulsa and maybe Colorado.
1. Stanford - 1 2. BYU - 2 3. Illinois - 3 4. Minnesota - 4 5. Texas - 6 6. USC - 5 7. Wisconsin - 7 8. Pittsburgh - 9 9. Kentucky - 8 10. UCF - 11 11. Nebraska - 13 12. Washington State - 10 13. Penn State - 16 14. Purdue - 12 15. Creighton - 17 16. Northern Iowa - 14 17. Michigan - 15 18. Marquette - 18 19. Oregon - 21 20. Florida - 19 21. Baylor - 20 22. Cal Poly - 22 23. Cincinnati - 23 24. Texas State - 28 25. Rice - 32 26. Illinois State - 34 27. Missouri - 27 28. East Tennessee State - 33 29. Washington - 25 30. Florida State - 35 31. UCLA - 24 32. South Carolina - 26 33. Louisville - 36 34. Kansas - 29 35. Tennessee - 30 36. Dayton - 40 37. Syracuse - 31 38. Colorado State - 41 39. Duke - 37 40. Stephen F. Austin - 45 41. Denver - 48 42. Arizona - 39 43. Pepperdine - 50 44. Saint Marys - 44 45. James Madison - 52 46. Hawaii - 53 47. Miami-FL - 42 48. Yale - 61 49. San Diego - 43 50. Utah - 49 51. Wichita State - 47 52. Notre Dame - 57 53. Kansas State - 55 54. Princeton - 60 55. Texas Tech - 62 56. Alabama - 38 57. Portland - 58 58. Loyola Marymount - 66 59. High Point - 65 60. Valparaiso - 69 62. Tulsa - 46 63. Indiana - 54 67. Colorado - 51 71. Northwestern - 56 77. Ohio State - 59
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Post by The Bofa on the Sofa on Nov 4, 2018 8:09:47 GMT -5
Here is the current RPI Futures top 60 - I have included the current RPI (per Figstats) at the end. Not a lot of big variances - probably the biggest being Alabama and Tulsa and maybe Colorado. 1. Stanford - 1 2. BYU - 2 3. Illinois - 3 4. Minnesota - 4 5. Texas - 6 6. USC - 5 7. Wisconsin - 7 8. Pittsburgh - 9 9. Kentucky - 8 10. UCF - 11 11. Nebraska - 13 12. Washington State - 10 13. Penn State - 16 14. Purdue - 12 15. Creighton - 17 16. Northern Iowa - 14 17. Michigan - 15 18. Marquette - 18 19. Oregon - 21 20. Florida - 19 21. Baylor - 20 22. Cal Poly - 22 23. Cincinnati - 23 24. Texas State - 28 25. Rice - 32 26. Illinois State - 34 27. Missouri - 27 28. East Tennessee State - 33 29. Washington - 25 30. Florida State - 35 31. UCLA - 24 32. South Carolina - 26 33. Louisville - 36 34. Kansas - 29 35. Tennessee - 30 36. Dayton - 40 37. Syracuse - 31 38. Colorado State - 41 39. Duke - 37 40. Stephen F. Austin - 45 41. Denver - 48 42. Arizona - 39 43. Pepperdine - 50 44. Saint Marys - 44 45. James Madison - 52 46. Hawaii - 53 47. Miami-FL - 42 48. Yale - 61 49. San Diego - 43 50. Utah - 49 51. Wichita State - 47 52. Notre Dame - 57 53. Kansas State - 55 54. Princeton - 60 55. Texas Tech - 62 56. Alabama - 38 57. Portland - 58 58. Loyola Marymount - 66 59. High Point - 65 60. Valparaiso - 69 62. Tulsa - 46 63. Indiana - 54 67. Colorado - 51 71. Northwestern - 56 77. Ohio State - 59 Purdue beating those teams they were favored against has solidified their spot. However, they are benefiting from the probability of beating someone they shouldn't. I'd still feel a lot better if they could pull another upset.
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bluepenquin
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Post by bluepenquin on Nov 4, 2018 8:36:24 GMT -5
Here are the T25/T50 records and potential opportunities for the teams I think are going for the final 4 seed positions.
UCF (2-1,4-3): They still have a home match against Cincinnati. However, it is possible that Cincy moves out of the T25. Purdue (1-4,4-4): They still have 4 T25 matches - but they are tough ones (Minnesota, Wisconsin, Illinois, & Nebraska Northern Iowa (2-6, 3-7): Most likely will get Illinois State in the conference tournament. Michigan (1-5, 2-5): Still have Wisconsin, Nebraska & Penn State. Creighton (4-4, 5-4): Likely a conference final T25 match with Marquette. Marquette (2-5, 6-5): Likely a conference tournament final with Creighton. Florida (2-3, 7-4): Have @ Tennessee left. Baylor (2-2, 5-4) Texas at Home left. Oregon (4-5, 5-7): @ Stanford and then Washington and UCLA.
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