RPI Futures 2024 - Week 12

[vballfan17]

RPI Futures is a season ending projected RPI based on the win probabilities per Pablo ratings for all matches scheduled.

RPI Futures Rank. (last week's rank) - Conference (projected wins-losses[rounded] - RPI Score - Strength of Schedule

1. (1) Nebraska - Big Ten (29-2) - .7363 - 7

2. (2) Pittsburgh - Atlantic Coast (29-1) - .7347 - 5

3. (3) Louisville - Atlantic Coast (26-4) - .7259 - 1

4. (5) Stanford - Atlantic Coast (24-5) - .7017 - 4

5. (4) Creighton - Big East (27-2) - .6995 - 15

6. (7) SMU - Atlantic Coast (24-7) - .6930 - 3

7. (6) Penn State - Big Ten (28-3) - .6924 - 13

8. (8) Wisconsin - Big Ten (23-6) - .6869 - 6

9. (9) Arizona State - Big 12 (29-2) - .6770 - 45

10. (10) Kentucky - Southeastern (19-8) - .6694 - 2

11. (12) Kansas - Big 12 (24-4) - .6625 - 44

12. (11) Dayton - Atlantic 10 (28-1) - .6603 - 67

13. (13) Texas - Southeastern (17-7) - .6603 - 8

14. (17) Purdue - Big Ten (24-7) - .6503 - 29

15. (18) Utah - Big 12 (24-5) - .6473 - 36

16. (15) TCU - Big 12 (21-7) - .6392 - 17

17. (19) Marquette - Big East (22-7) - .6383 - 16

18. (14) Oregon - Big Ten (22-7) - .6383 - 28

19. (21) USC - Big Ten (20-10) - .6373 - 10

20. (16) Missouri - Southeastern (21-7) - .6365 - 33

21. (23) Georgia Tech - Atlantic Coast (21-8) - .6365 - 26

22. (22) BYU - Big 12 (19-9) - .6353 - 9

23. (20) Baylor - Big 12 (22-7) - .6346 - 32

24. (24) Florida - Southeastern (22-6) - .6300 - 50

25. (25) LMU - West Coast (25-4) - .6287 - 93

26. (26) Texas A&M - Southeastern (18-8) - .6231 - 31

27. (30) North Carolina - Atlantic Coast (22-7) - .6169 - 48

28. (28) Minnesota - Big Ten (20-10) - .6146 - 19

29. (29) Florida State - Atlantic Coast (20-10) - .6097 - 39

30. (32) South Dakota State - The Summit (26-1) - .6086 - 158

31. (27) Illinois - Big Ten (20-10) - .6072 - 30

32. (35) Washington - Big Ten (21-9) - .6042 - 49

33. (38) UTEP - Conference USA (26-4) - .6004 - 131

34. (31) Oklahoma - Southeastern (14-10) - .6000 - 11

35. (33) Rice - American Athletic (18-7) - .5990 - 56

36. (37) Northern Iowa - Missouri Valley (23-7) - .5964 - 79

37. (47) Hawaii - Big West (20-8) - .5934 - 64

38. (36) Wright State - Horizon (24-5) - .5930 - 126

39. (34) Tennessee - Southeastern (15-11) - .5908 - 14

40. (39) Miami-FL - Atlantic Coast (21-10) - .5894 - 66

41. (49) San Diego - West Coast (19-9) - .5883 - 71

42. (48) Ole Miss - Southeastern (17-11) - .5879 - 38

43. (40) Yale - Ivy (17-5) - .5865 - 110

44. (55) Pepperdine - West Coast (17-11) - .5860 - 41

45. (52) NC State - Atlantic Coast (15-13) - .5853 - 12

46. (57) South Carolina - Southeastern (16-11) - .5849 - 42

47. (45) UT Arlington - Western Athletic (26-2) - .5835 - 249

48. (53) Virginia - Atlantic Coast (22-9) - .5821 - 85

49. (50) Western Kentucky - Conference USA (25-6) - .5821 - 143

50. (43) Auburn - Southeastern (15-12) - .5815 - 21

51. (60) Arizona - Big 12 (19-10) - .5813 - 73

52. (56) USF - American Athletic (18-9) - .5813 - 76

53. (54) Southeastern Louisiana - Southland (24-4) - .5796 - 191

54. (42) Georgia Southern - Sun Belt (20-5) - .5773 - 147

55. (46) Towson - Colonial (23-5) - .5764 - 165

56. (64) Arkansas State - Sun Belt (24-4) - .5761 - 223

57. (51) Drake - Missouri Valley (20-9) - .5754 - 88

58. (61) Florida Gulf Coast - Atlantic Sun (24-4) - .5753 - 210

59. (65) St. Johns - Big East (22-10) - .5753 - 83

60. (41) Colorado State - Mountain West (18-10) - .5750 - 58

61. (67) UCLA - Big Ten (15-14) - .5729 - 37

62. (62) Mercer - Southern (24-5) - .5726 - 188

63. (44) Arkansas - Southeastern (17-11) - .5713 - 55

64. (58) Appalachian State - Sun Belt (17-8) - .5707 - 98

65. (68) High Point - Big South (21-6) - .5703 - 142

66. (63) Milwaukee - Horizon (20-11) - .5695 - 80

67. (70) Illinois-Chicago - Missouri Valley (22-8) - .5681 - 116

68. (77) Northern Colorado - Big Sky (23-6) - .5673 - 179

69. (69) Stephen F. Austin - Southland (22-7) - .5658 - 152

70. (74) Kansas State - Big 12 (13-14) - .5645 - 27

71. (66) DePaul - Big East (18-12) - .5629 - 70

72. (71) Bucknell - Patriot (21-4) - .5624 - 246

73. (84) Texas State - Sun Belt (19-8) - .5623 - 120

74. (75) LSU - Southeastern (15-12) - .5615 - 53

75. (59) Wichita State - American Athletic (15-13) - .5602 - 46

76. (79) Bowling Green - Mid-American (21-8) - .5601 - 135

77. (82) Cal Poly - Big West (20-9) - .5601 - 127

78. (76) UConn - Big East (23-7) - .5600 - 182

79. (72) Long Beach State - Big West (18-10) - .5597 - 94

80. (97) Georgia - Southeastern (11-15) - .5569 - 20

81. (78) Wofford - Southern (20-8) - .5563 - 138

82. (73) Ohio State - Big Ten (13-17) - .5547 - 23

83. (89) UC Davis - Big West (17-10) - .5547 - 107

84. (80) Ball State - Mid-American (20-9) - .5542 - 129

85. (95) Central Michigan - Mid-American (24-6) - .5539 - 237

86. (94) Washington State - West Coast (18-9) - .5539 - 118

87. (110) East Carolina - American Athletic (19-7) - .5537 - 159

88. (92) VCU - Atlantic 10 (18-8) - .5514 - 133

89. (91) Omaha - The Summit (16-11) - .5513 - 87

90. (99) Utah State - Mountain West (15-13) - .5512 - 54

91. (87) Coastal Carolina - Sun Belt (12-16) - .5507 - 24

92. (96) Princeton - Ivy (14-10) - .5502 - 89

93. (100) Colgate - Patriot (17-10) - .5483 - 109

94. (102) Loyola-Chicago - Atlantic 10 (17-12) - .5476 - 95

95. (107) UCSB - Big West (15-15) - .5471 - 59

96. (90) Villanova - Big East (16-13) - .5469 - 84

97. (104) Colorado - Big 12 (13-17) - .5465 - 34

98. (85) James Madison - Sun Belt (11-15) - .5460 - 25

99. (88) Tulsa - American Athletic (18-10) - .5457 - 124

100. (83) Indiana - Big Ten (14-16) - .5450 - 43

101. (81) South Dakota - The Summit (18-9) - .5444 - 174

102. (98) Western Michigan - Mid-American (17-12) - .5435 - 108

103. (105) College of Charleston - Colonial (23-8) - .5418 - 245

104. (86) Michigan - Big Ten (18-13) - .5412 - 105

105. (117) Michigan State - Big Ten (13-18) - .5406 - 40

106. (93) Wyoming - Mountain West (15-12) - .5405 - 99

107. (106) Lipscomb - Atlantic Sun (17-10) - .5397 - 125

108. (113) Texas A&M-Corpus Christi - Southland (17-10) - .5386 - 128

109. (114) Troy University - Sun Belt (13-13) - .5373 - 72

110. (101) Houston - Big 12 (12-16) - .5372 - 47

111. (121) San Jose State - Mountain West (15-6) - .5352 - 234

112. (111) Sacramento State - Big Sky (18-11) - .5335 - 154

113. (119) South Alabama - Sun Belt (15-11) - .5328 - 117

114. (112) Boston College - Atlantic Coast (15-17) - .5327 - 61

115. (118) Cal - Atlantic Coast (14-18) - .5326 - 51

116. (138) Clemson - Atlantic Coast (11-20) - .5314 - 18

117. (122) Hofstra - Colonial (18-9) - .5307 - 203

118. (124) UNLV - Mountain West (15-14) - .5305 - 90

119. (109) Texas Tech - Big 12 (14-16) - .5302 - 65

120. (120) Howard - Mid-Eastern (21-5) - .5301 - 304

121. (131) Stony Brook - Colonial (16-12) - .5295 - 113

122. (133) Binghamton - America East (19-9) - .5285 - 226

123. (128) Cleveland State - Horizon (20-9) - .5282 - 228

124. (103) Idaho State - Big Sky (19-9) - .5279 - 221

125. (115) Boise State - Mountain West (18-11) - .5269 - 177

126. (141) St. Thomas - The Summit (18-10) - .5254 - 196

127. (108) San Diego State - Mountain West (19-9) - .5250 - 220

128. (132) Duke - Atlantic Coast (10-21) - .5247 - 22

129. (139) Utah Valley - Western Athletic (19-9) - .5246 - 232

130. (157) Fresno State - Mountain West (16-13) - .5245 - 119

131. (125) Pacific - West Coast (17-13) - .5243 - 139

132. (116) Grand Canyon - Western Athletic (18-10) - .5236 - 202

133. (135) Delaware - Colonial (19-6) - .5233 - 298

134. (145) East Tennessee State - Southern (18-10) - .5232 - 206

135. (127) Florida Atlantic - American Athletic (16-12) - .5227 - 141

136. (136) UMBC - America East (8-15) - .5225 - 35

137. (129) Iowa State - Big 12 (11-18) - .5214 - 52

138. (126) Notre Dame - Atlantic Coast (12-17) - .5203 - 69

139. (143) UT Rio Grande Valley - Southland (16-10) - .5199 - 186

140. (130) Wake Forest - Atlantic Coast (14-17) - .5198 - 77

141. (153) Green Bay - Horizon (14-16) - .5192 - 91

142. (146) Alabama - Southeastern (12-15) - .5189 - 78

143. (140) Cincinnati - Big 12 (13-16) - .5177 - 97

144. (155) Samford - Southern (15-11) - .5175 - 153

145. (134) UC San Diego - Big West (17-12) - .5171 - 184

146. (161) Maryland - Big Ten (14-17) - .5170 - 82

147. (147) Weber State - Big Sky (14-13) - .5158 - 122

148. (137) Ohio - Mid-American (14-15) - .5155 - 100

149. (149) Lindenwood - Ohio Valley (19-11) - .5148 - 229

150. (159) Fairfield - Metro Atlantic (19-11) - .5145 - 233

151. (142) Old Dominion - Sun Belt (16-11) - .5140 - 199

152. (152) Tennessee Tech - Ohio Valley (23-7) - .5137 - 310

153. (123) Mississippi State - Southeastern (10-15) - .5134 - 81

154. (148) Eastern Kentucky - Atlantic Sun (20-9) - .5131 - 276

155. (156) Cornell - Ivy (14-9) - .5124 - 216

156. (144) Incarnate Word - Southland (15-10) - .5118 - 213

157. (154) Northeastern - Colonial (10-16) - .5105 - 60

158. (164) Southeast Missouri - Ohio Valley (18-12) - .5104 - 205

159. (162) Toledo - Mid-American (17-13) - .5097 - 180

160. (167) New Hampshire - America East (16-9) - .5088 - 264

161. (150) American - Patriot (20-8) - .5087 - 300

162. (163) Temple - American Athletic (14-16) - .5084 - 106

163. (165) North Carolina A&T - Colonial (17-9) - .5079 - 270

164. (151) UC Irvine - Big West (15-14) - .5075 - 157

165. (160) George Washington - Atlantic 10 (19-12) - .5071 - 238

166. (170) Lehigh - Patriot (15-11) - .5051 - 211

167. (166) New Mexico State - Conference USA (17-13) - .5049 - 200

168. (168) Georgia State - Sun Belt (16-12) - .5030 - 204

169. (179) Central Arkansas - Atlantic Sun (16-11) - .5027 - 235

170. (175) Florida A&M - Southwestern Athletic (24-6) - .5024 - 329

171. (176) Purdue Fort Wayne - Horizon (18-13) - .5011 - 227

172. (158) The Citadel - Southern (14-13) - .5010 - 160

173. (189) Brown - Ivy (11-13) - .5006 - 114

174. (171) Little Rock - Ohio Valley (17-14) - .5004 - 194

175. (185) Louisiana - Sun Belt (9-16) - .5003 - 74

176. (178) Buffalo - Mid-American (16-15) - .5002 - 164

177. (181) Davidson - Atlantic 10 (15-14) - .4987 - 175

178. (186) Chicago State - Northeast (17-9) - .4983 - 291

179. (180) Marshall - Sun Belt (15-14) - .4980 - 185

180. (174) San Francisco - West Coast (16-14) - .4975 - 218

181. (198) New Mexico - Mountain West (14-14) - .4975 - 144

182. (172) Bryant - America East (18-10) - .4968 - 288

183. (190) Albany - America East (11-14) - .4962 - 121

184. (183) Winthrop - Big South (15-9) - .4945 - 285

185. (194) Iowa - Big Ten (10-22) - .4929 - 68

186. (173) Western Illinois - Ohio Valley (17-12) - .4925 - 257

187. (169) Northern Kentucky - Horizon (11-18) - .4911 - 103

188. (182) Denver - The Summit (12-14) - .4901 - 137

189. (188) West Virginia - Big 12 (8-21) - .4894 - 57

190. (197) Fairleigh Dickinson - Northeast (23-6) - .4894 - 336

191. (193) Saint Louis - Atlantic 10 (11-19) - .4890 - 101

192. (177) Utah Tech - Western Athletic (15-11) - .4887 - 272

193. (205) North Dakota State - The Summit (12-13) - .4883 - 151

194. (196) Army - Patriot (14-11) - .4881 - 253

195. (184) Furman - Southern (14-13) - .4874 - 207

196. (187) Seton Hall - Big East (12-17) - .4861 - 130

197. (192) Xavier - Big East (10-18) - .4860 - 104

198. (195) Kennesaw State - Conference USA (13-16) - .4860 - 161

199. (200) Morehead State - Ohio Valley (16-13) - .4858 - 247

200. (204) William & Mary - Colonial (12-15) - .4846 - 140

201. (206) Middle Tennessee - Conference USA (13-17) - .4828 - 149

202. (211) Valparaiso - Missouri Valley (17-13) - .4819 - 282

203. (191) Murray State - Missouri Valley (15-12) - .4795 - 267

204. (199) Dartmouth - Ivy (10-14) - .4789 - 155

205. (221) Illinois State - Missouri Valley (16-15) - .4786 - 230

206. (210) Eastern Washington - Big Sky (13-13) - .4781 - 224

207. (213) Virginia Tech - Atlantic Coast (8-22) - .4781 - 63

208. (208) Oregon State - West Coast (9-19) - .4764 - 111

209. (207) Western Carolina - Southern (8-21) - .4751 - 86

210. (203) Sam Houston State - Conference USA (13-16) - .4750 - 201

211. (215) UCF - Big 12 (9-19) - .4750 - 102

212. (201) North Alabama - Atlantic Sun (15-14) - .4744 - 261

213. (220) UNF - Atlantic Sun (12-18) - .4740 - 150

214. (227) Bradley - Missouri Valley (14-15) - .4726 - 250

215. (212) Syracuse - Atlantic Coast (15-17) - .4720 - 240

216. (214) Tulane - American Athletic (14-14) - .4718 - 252

217. (217) Liberty - Conference USA (13-17) - .4716 - 197

218. (209) Duquesne - Atlantic 10 (13-17) - .4716 - 198

219. (222) Georgetown - Big East (11-19) - .4712 - 136

220. (216) Loyola University Maryland - Patriot (10-15) - .4706 - 156

221. (219) Northwestern - Big Ten (7-21) - .4703 - 75

222. (223) Coppin State - Mid-Eastern (15-15) - .4702 - 269

223. (230) George Mason - Atlantic 10 (11-19) - .4698 - 134

224. (233) UAB - American Athletic (11-16) - .4691 - 187

225. (202) Montana State - Big Sky (8-19) - .4682 - 115

226. (224) East Texas A&M - Southland (11-17) - .4680 - 171

227. (226) CSU Bakersfield - Big West (12-18) - .4671 - 193

228. (229) Northern Arizona - Big Sky (14-13) - .4664 - 275

229. (253) UTSA - American Athletic (11-18) - .4648 - 178

230. (259) North Texas - American Athletic (10-17) - .4644 - 181

231. (234) Chattanooga - Southern (17-14) - .4639 - 305

232. (225) Eastern Illinois - Ohio Valley (9-19) - .4634 - 123

233. (218) North Dakota - The Summit (9-18) - .4632 - 146

234. (247) Saint Marys - West Coast (10-17) - .4626 - 192

235. (228) Santa Clara - West Coast (10-17) - .4626 - 172

236. (232) Delaware State - Mid-Eastern (14-13) - .4616 - 293

237. (235) Jacksonville - Atlantic Sun (15-13) - .4609 - 302

238. (231) Robert Morris - Horizon (10-18) - .4589 - 166

239. (237) Rutgers - Big Ten (5-26) - .4588 - 62

240. (236) Missouri State - Missouri Valley (12-18) - .4576 - 208

241. (263) IUPUI - Horizon (14-17) - .4560 - 273

242. (248) Cal State Northridge - Big West (9-20) - .4559 - 145

243. (243) Jackson State - Southwestern Athletic (16-11) - .4554 - 321

244. (245) Long Island - Northeast (15-16) - .4543 - 295

245. (239) Memphis - American Athletic (12-16) - .4541 - 258

246. (267) Montana - Big Sky (11-16) - .4526 - 244

247. (258) SIUE - Ohio Valley (12-17) - .4519 - 254

248. (257) Nevada - Mountain West (12-17) - .4516 - 268

249. (241) Portland - West Coast (13-15) - .4514 - 287

250. (270) Penn - Ivy (13-10) - .4511 - 323

251. (242) Butler - Big East (7-23) - .4511 - 96

252. (252) McNeese State - Southland (9-18) - .4510 - 183

253. (238) Harvard - Ivy (10-13) - .4505 - 271

254. (260) Florida International - Conference USA (8-24) - .4504 - 112

255. (249) Prairie View A&M - Southwestern Athletic (15-15) - .4498 - 307

256. (246) Southern Miss - Sun Belt (9-19) - .4497 - 168

257. (254) Quinnipiac - Metro Atlantic (18-12) - .4496 - 328

258. (240) St. Francis-PA - Northeast (14-12) - .4486 - 320

259. (250) Eastern Michigan - Mid-American (13-19) - .4484 - 259

260. (256) Elon - Colonial (10-18) - .4468 - 217

261. (261) Lamar - Southland (15-13) - .4454 - 316

262. (244) Belmont - Missouri Valley (10-20) - .4444 - 222

263. (255) Houston Christian - Southland (11-16) - .4440 - 255

264. (269) South Carolina Upstate - Big South (13-14) - .4431 - 309

265. (265) Rider - Metro Atlantic (15-16) - .4424 - 313

266. (268) Portland State - Big Sky (8-19) - .4423 - 170

267. (264) Navy - Patriot (7-18) - .4423 - 173

268. (251) Akron - Mid-American (11-19) - .4421 - 241

269. (274) Oakland - Horizon (8-22) - .4418 - 163

270. (276) Jacksonville State - Conference USA (10-21) - .4406 - 225

271. (262) Youngstown State - Horizon (9-21) - .4405 - 190

272. (266) UNC Greensboro - Southern (7-21) - .4397 - 148

273. (272) Rhode Island - Atlantic 10 (9-22) - .4389 - 195

274. (271) Sacred Heart - Metro Atlantic (15-15) - .4380 - 315

275. (279) Abilene Christian - Western Athletic (10-17) - .4375 - 263

276. (278) Kansas City - The Summit (6-21) - .4350 - 132

277. (273) Radford - Big South (9-16) - .4338 - 260

278. (275) Southern Illinois - Missouri Valley (10-19) - .4320 - 265

279. (288) Seattle - Western Athletic (8-18) - .4308 - 239

280. (281) Air Force - Mountain West (3-26) - .4288 - 92

281. (280) Miami-OH - Mid-American (8-21) - .4284 - 212

282. (286) Cal Baptist - Western Athletic (7-21) - .4278 - 169

283. (283) Southern Utah - Western Athletic (10-17) - .4268 - 289

284. (277) UC Riverside - Big West (9-22) - .4251 - 251

285. (285) Southern Indiana - Ohio Valley (8-22) - .4244 - 215

286. (282) Fordham - Atlantic 10 (7-20) - .4232 - 214

287. (289) Canisius - Metro Atlantic (16-13) - .4230 - 339

288. (294) Queens - Atlantic Sun (9-18) - .4216 - 274

289. (287) Lafayette - Patriot (7-18) - .4214 - 248

290. (284) UNC Asheville - Big South (12-10) - .4212 - 333

291. (296) Niagara - Metro Atlantic (15-14) - .4210 - 335

292. (297) Bellarmine - Atlantic Sun (7-19) - .4178 - 236

293. (291) Maryland Eastern Shore - Mid-Eastern (11-14) - .4169 - 324

294. (298) Providence - Big East (8-21) - .4166 - 262

295. (292) Northwestern State - Southland (8-17) - .4159 - 279

296. (300) Charlotte - American Athletic (5-24) - .4131 - 162

297. (290) Bethune-Cookman - Southwestern Athletic (14-13) - .4119 - 338

298. (295) Alabama State - Southwestern Athletic (11-18) - .4109 - 308

299. (301) Campbell - Colonial (6-22) - .4096 - 219

300. (302) Tennessee State - Ohio Valley (9-21) - .4092 - 284

301. (303) Presbyterian - Big South (8-19) - .4083 - 292

302. (293) Charleston Southern - Big South (7-20) - .4075 - 242

303. (306) Iona - Metro Atlantic (10-20) - .4046 - 306

304. (299) Louisiana Tech - Conference USA (8-23) - .4029 - 280

305. (305) Norfolk State - Mid-Eastern (13-14) - .4012 - 340

306. (304) UT Martin - Ohio Valley (5-22) - .3948 - 256

307. (307) Tarleton State - Western Athletic (7-22) - .3924 - 294

308. (309) Northern Illinois - Mid-American (4-24) - .3911 - 231

309. (308) UNCW - Colonial (7-18) - .3879 - 311

310. (310) Indiana State - Missouri Valley (4-26) - .3866 - 243

311. (312) Evansville - Missouri Valley (6-23) - .3853 - 278

312. (317) North Carolina Central - Mid-Eastern (7-18) - .3844 - 314

313. (313) West Georgia - Atlantic Sun (9-19) - .3823 - 325

314. (311) Kent State - Mid-American (2-26) - .3822 - 189

315. (320) Texas Southern - Southwestern Athletic (10-17) - .3810 - 331

316. (315) Austin Peay - Atlantic Sun (2-26) - .3809 - 167

317. (314) Gonzaga - West Coast (1-27) - .3801 - 176

318. (316) Stetson - Atlantic Sun (5-22) - .3789 - 283

319. (318) Cal State Fullerton - Big West (4-24) - .3787 - 266

320. (319) Columbia - Ivy (4-19) - .3772 - 286

321. (322) Merrimack - Metro Atlantic (9-20) - .3745 - 327

322. (321) Nicholls State - Southland (7-19) - .3736 - 318

323. (323) Louisiana-Monroe - Sun Belt (4-24) - .3700 - 281

324. (324) NJIT - America East (5-23) - .3669 - 303

325. (326) Gardner-Webb - Big South (4-24) - .3608 - 297

326. (327) Oral Roberts - The Summit (4-25) - .3586 - 296

327. (328) Alabama A&M - Southwestern Athletic (8-20) - .3581 - 330

328. (325) Southern - Southwestern Athletic (9-20) - .3560 - 337

329. (335) Mercyhurst - Northeast (5-19) - .3560 - 322

330. (330) Central Connecticut State - Northeast (4-22) - .3550 - 299

331. (329) Morgan State - Mid-Eastern (5-22) - .3541 - 312

332. (331) Holy Cross - Patriot (2-23) - .3529 - 277

333. (332) Hampton - Colonial (0-30) - .3509 - 209

334. (333) Marist - Metro Atlantic (3-25) - .3482 - 290

335. (334) Stonehill - Northeast (6-18) - .3452 - 332

336. (336) Le Moyne - Northeast (4-22) - .3377 - 319

337. (337) Grambling State - Southwestern Athletic (8-18) - .3312 - 344

338. (338) New Orleans - Southland (2-26) - .3302 - 301

339. (339) Idaho - Big Sky (2-25) - .3227 - 317

340. (340) Saint Peters - Metro Atlantic (6-18) - .3162 - 343

341. (341) South Carolina State - Mid-Eastern (2-22) - .3111 - 326

342. (342) Siena - Metro Atlantic (6-24) - .3101 - 341

343. (343) Mississippi Valley State - Southwestern Athletic (3-18) - .3085 - 334

344. (344) Manhattan College - Metro Atlantic (1-28) - .2593 - 342

345. (345) Arkansas-Pine Bluff - Southwestern Athletic (3-26) - .2477 - 346

346. (346) Alcorn State - Southwestern Athletic (0-24) - .2212 - 345

[jwvolley]

Nebraska at 1 even if they drop a match and Pitt doesn't? Interesting

So like then they're for sure #1 rpi if both they and Pitt win out, right?

[hawaiifan89]

Thank you always for your great work! Is it possible to predict with the conference tournaments such as the Sun Belt Tournament this week?

[Millenium]

Nov 18, 2024 21:54:26 GMT -5 vballfan17 said:

RPI Futures is a season ending projected RPI based on the win probabilities per Pablo ratings for all matches scheduled.
RPI Futures Rank. (last week's rank) - Conference (projected wins-losses[rounded] - RPI Score - Strength of Schedule
1. (1) Nebraska - Big Ten (29-2) - .7363 - 7
2. (2) Pittsburgh - Atlantic Coast (29-1) - .7347 - 5
3. (3) Louisville - Atlantic Coast (26-4) - .7259 - 1
4. (5) Stanford - Atlantic Coast (24-5) - .7017 - 4
5. (4) Creighton - Big East (27-2) - .6995 - 15
6. (7) SMU - Atlantic Coast (24-7) - .6930 - 3
7. (6) Penn State - Big Ten (28-3) - .6924 - 13
8. (8) Wisconsin - Big Ten (23-6) - .6869 - 6

Question for you or trojansc

Can you please help me understand how Figstats is currently showing PSU at # 4, yet RPI Futures has them dropping 3 spots by end of the regular season?

ncaastats.figstats.net/volleyball-rpi.cgi

PSU is predicted to lose 0.0179 points in 3 matches?

[trojansc]

Nov 22, 2024 1:07:33 GMT -5 Millenium said:

Question for you or trojansc

Can you please help me understand how Figstats is currently showing PSU at # 4, yet RPI Futures has them dropping 3 spots by end of the regular season?

ncaastats.figstats.net/volleyball-rpi.cgi

PSU is predicted to lose 0.0179 points in 3 matches?

Penn State's remaining opponents aren't going to change their RPI much in terms of their opponent's W/L% , as when you add the 3 combined it's about the same. But Penn State is predicted to take another loss, which will knock their RPI down in this part of the RPI formula. 

Now looking at the teams currently below them on figstats:
-Creighton will actually end up better than futures says in terms of raw RPI (at least) if they win out and win the Big East Tournament. The BEast Tournament isn't currently factored in to RPI futures. Creighton would ideally like UConn (22-6) /St. John's (20-10) / DePaul (18-10) in the Semifinals and then get a 3rd win against Marquette (20-7) to max their RPI.

-Stanford  has better RPI teams remaining than Penn State in terms of W/L - so them losing one more doesn't hurt as much as Penn State losing one more.

-SMU/Penn State are so close they could be flipped anyways, but, if SMU wins out and Penn State goes 2-1, SMU will be above Penn State. SMU's 4 wins will help it's own W/L%, and even though their RPI opponents aren't great they aren't the worst, so they wouldn't drop much there.

[ay2013]

LMU as a top 25 RPI team is just sending me. I’ve watched plenty of their matches, this team really isn’t that great.

[bluepenquin]

Nov 22, 2024 1:21:53 GMT -5 trojansc said:

Nov 22, 2024 1:07:33 GMT -5 Millenium said:

Question for you or trojansc

Can you please help me understand how Figstats is currently showing PSU at # 4, yet RPI Futures has them dropping 3 spots by end of the regular season?

ncaastats.figstats.net/volleyball-rpi.cgi

PSU is predicted to lose 0.0179 points in 3 matches?

Penn State's remaining opponents aren't going to change their RPI much in terms of their opponent's W/L% , as when you add the 3 combined it's about the same. But Penn State is predicted to take another loss, which will knock their RPI down in this part of the RPI formula. 

Now looking at the teams currently below them on figstats:
-Creighton will actually end up better than futures says in terms of raw RPI (at least) if they win out and win the Big East Tournament. The BEast Tournament isn't currently factored in to RPI futures. Creighton would ideally like UConn (22-6) /St. John's (20-10) / DePaul (18-10) in the Semifinals and then get a 3rd win against Marquette (20-7) to max their RPI.

-Stanford  has better RPI teams remaining than Penn State in terms of W/L - so them losing one more doesn't hurt as much as Penn State losing one more.

-SMU/Penn State are so close they could be flipped anyways, but, if SMU wins out and Penn State goes 2-1, SMU will be above Penn State. SMU's 4 wins will help it's own W/L%, and even though their RPI opponents aren't great they aren't the worst, so they wouldn't drop much there.

BTW, I have put the BE tournament into Futures (placeholder estimate) - and Creighton is #4.  

[nickvb]

Nov 22, 2024 1:29:37 GMT -5 ay2013 said:

LMU as a top 25 RPI team is just sending me. I’ve watched plenty of their matches, this team really isn’t that great.

Agree- they dig a lot of balls thanks to Hastings and Flickinger, but no team has benefitted more from the setting rule change. 

[NYCHusker]

The futures had Nebraska, Penn State, and Wisconsin all taking one more loss. Now that PSU beat Purdue and Wisconsin beat Minnesota, it seems unlikely that ALL of them would take another loss. Besides their respective matches against Nebraska, Wisconsin only has Ohio State and Michigan State (both at home) left and Penn State has Washington (at home) and Rutgers (away). And with absolutely no offense to Washington, if Purdue couldn't get it done against PSU in Happy Valley, I don't see the Dawgs pulling it off. So the likely scenarios here are:

Nebraska 3-0
Penn State 2-1
Wisconsin 2-1

Nebraska 2-1
Penn State 2-1
Wisconsin 3-0

Nebraska 2-1
Penn State 3-0
Wisconsin 2-1

Nebraska 1-2
Penn State 3-0
Wisconsin 3-0

[huskyvolley]

Pablo is predicting Washington to win the last two matches against USC and Purdue?? That seems.... unlikely

[vballfan17]

Nov 26, 2024 13:50:20 GMT -5 huskyvolley said:

Pablo is predicting Washington to win the last two matches against USC and Purdue?? That seems.... unlikely

This was from last week. RPI Futures had predicted Washington to beat Ohio State and USC and lose to Purdue & Penn State. Since they lost to OSU, their predicted final W/L will be updated.

[nefan4230]

Both NE and PENN ST are predicted to lose one more game and they play on Friday. Anyone want to bet me $5 of RPI futures coming true (29-2 and 28-3)?

[GBR]

This is last week's RPI Futures (dated 11/18). Betting that it has changed a bit this week.

[vballfan17]

Adding in all of the conference tournament matches is a very tedious process. Updated RPI futures might not get posted until tomorrow.

[Blaze]

Nov 26, 2024 15:38:33 GMT -5 vballfan17 said:

Adding in all of the conference tournament matches is a very tedious process. Updated RPI futures might not get posted until tomorrow.

Do all the other matches get added manually? Or do you have that part automated?