Bracketology (11/18)

[hornshouse23]

Now, what if I tell you Stanford isn’t making it out of the first weekend. There, I said it

[trianglevolleyball]

Nov 19, 2024 3:06:04 GMT -5 hornshouse23 said:

Now, what if I tell you Stanford isn’t making it out of the first weekend. There, I said it

False, they’re making F4 sadly.

[jcorangeiguana]

NC State goes 2-2 and they are 100% in. If they go 1-3 and it's over SMU or Pitt, I think they're in for sure. If they win one and it's Miami, it depends... If they go 0-4, they're probably out. NC State does have the H2H with Virginia.

Ugh, here we go again.

[bruinsgold]

Bracketology truly is my favorite time of year! This edition took me on a journey.

Are you telling me Purdue needs to lose to Penn State to avoid the combo of Vernon/Iliff/Crownover/Sands?! Because I don't want that!

[avid 2.0]

Nov 19, 2024 8:39:39 GMT -5 bruinsgold said:

Bracketology truly is my favorite time of year! This edition took me on a journey.

Are you telling me Purdue needs to lose to Penn State to avoid the combo of Vernon/Iliff/Crownover/Sands?! Because I don't want that!

no you need to beat Penn st pls and thx

[bprtbone]

trojansc Does Bowling Green have a chance at an at-large if they don't win the MAC tourney?

[uofaGRAD]

THIS EXACT BRACKET PLEASE

[johnwwool]

The Pitt delegation will gladly accept this bracket.

[boxcariii]

Nov 19, 2024 0:27:53 GMT -5 trojansc said:

Big East
Creighton's biggest match this week is happening in Happy Valley (Purdue at Penn State).

Marquette needs to not look past a DePaul team. Marquette still hoping to win out and get a Top 16 seed.

St. John's needs to beat UConn this week for any possible playing themselves back onto the bubble conversation, like they did last year.

Agreed about the Creighton thing. I'd also add that Creighton needs to not look past Xavier. It was a sweep in Omaha, but especially that last set, Xavier had Creighton out of system a lot. Creighton didn't hit well either that 3rd set. Still, I wish Xavier would have played like that in the non-conference.

Had St. John's also played with the same intensity they had in Omaha during the non-con, they would have a couple more wins too, and they'd probably be on the right side of the bubble. 

Surprised you think Marquette has a shot at a seed, but I just checked futures, I guess it is feasible. 

[bbg95]

Nov 19, 2024 3:41:57 GMT -5 trianglevolleyball said:

Nov 19, 2024 3:06:04 GMT -5 hornshouse23 said:

Now, what if I tell you Stanford isn’t making it out of the first weekend. There, I said it

False, they’re making F4 sadly.

I doubt it. But even as a Stanford skeptic, I don't see them losing before the Sweet 16.

[NYCHusker]

Wild that 3/4 of the SEC still has a path to the tourney, considering only 5 fives have a conference record above .500

[knapplc]

Nov 19, 2024 0:27:37 GMT -5 trojansc said:

Lincoln Regional (#1)

(1) Nebraska vs. Florida A&M*
UTEP* vs. (8) Florida State*

(4) Georgia Tech vs. High Point
Arizona* vs. (5) Florida

(2) SMU vs. Stephen F. Austin
Rice vs. (7) Loyola Marymount*

(3) Arizona State vs. Northern Colorado*
San Diego vs. (6) Texas A&M*

Omaha Regional (#4)

(1) Creighton vs. Nebraska-Omaha
Northern Iowa vs. (8) North Carolina*

(4) Kentucky vs. Wofford
Illinois vs. (5) Baylor*

(2) Stanford vs. Colgate*
Pepperdine vs. (7) Dayton*

(3) Texas vs. FGCU*
NC State* vs. (6) BYU*

This is why the Final Four should be in Omaha forever.

Two regionals 50 miles apart? Yeah. Nebraska is the epicenter of volleyball. 

I will not be taking questions at this time. 

[bluepenquin]

Nov 19, 2024 1:07:21 GMT -5 horns1 said:

Good stuff! Lots of movement and new pairings.

Hard for me to imagine the committee will knock PSU from their #3 ranking in first reveal down to #7 after having suffered one additional loss at Wisconsin (and probable loss to Nebraska); perhaps down to 4, 5 or 6, but not 7. Obviously, other teams have had some great wins since the reveal, but Creighton is not one of those teams who has added any new marquee wins to their resume'; just can't see Creighton vaulting from the #6 ranking in first reveal up to 4.

I think this version is dependent on Penn State losing to Nebraska for sure and probably getting upset by Purdue.  Or at a minimum - offering a plausible alternative bracket vs. what is the most likely bracket.

[cornfarmer]

Creighton? We LOVE to see it.

[bluepenquin]

Nov 19, 2024 2:23:10 GMT -5 houstonbear15 said:

Between Utah, TCU, BYU, and Baylor, it seems like there is a good chance that 2 of the 4 host in the first rounds. It's definitely going to be a tight race between the 4. Here's a blind look at their resumes using FigStats. You be the judge on which two you'd pick as of now!

	Team A	Team B	Team C	Team D
Overall Record	18-7	17-7	21-5	16-8
Adj. RPI	20	15	13	16
KPI	21	23	14	19
Pablo	20	21	23	28
Record v. 1-25	2-7	2-6	3-5	2-6
Record v. 26-50	4-0	5-0	1-0	1-2
Record v. 51-100	4-0	3-1	7-0	6-0
Record v. 100+	8-0	7-0	8-0	7-0
Best Win	#9 (H)	#16 (A)	#15 (H)	#13 (H)
Worst Loss	#16 (A)	#75 (A)	#21 (H)	#47 (A)
Best non-con win	#28 (H)	#28 (N)	#36 (H)	#55 (H)
Best road win	#40	#16	#47	#75
5 Best Wins	#9, #15,  #28, #37, #40	#16, #20, #28, #32, #40	#15, #16, #20, #36, #47	#13, #20, #47, #55, #66
Losses:	#7, #8, #11, #12, #13, #15, #16	#1, #8, #9, #11, #13, #16, #75	#9 (x2), #11,  #16, #21	#9 (x2), #13, #15, #18, #23, #41, #47
Head to Head:	Split with B Lost to C and D	Split with A Lost to C, Beat D	Beat A and B Split with D	Split with C Lost to B, Beat A

Teams

SPOILER: Click to show

A: Baylor, B: TCU, C: Utah, D: BYU

The problem here is that Baylor, TCU, and Utah have horrible RPI schedule remaining.  I don't think there is a realistic RPI path for Baylor to get a seed.  TCU and Utah have realistic paths since their RPI is already in the seed range and BYU (who doesn't have necessarily a good RPI schedule remaining) would have a path with a win against Kansas.