Hawai'i should be an at-large team. The RPI, The Massey and the five sets to Utah, BYU, Marquette, Cal Poly twice and UCLA. In the preseason, when the team had injuries, a brand new coach (and staff), the first in 40 plus years and beating Baylor who is holding its own. RPI at around 40's and Massey at 34. The team is playing lights out right now, with the team as healthy as ever. They lost most of their offense in Nikki Taylor and Annie Mitchem and had to deal with a lot of injuries in the early season. This year, Emily Maglio is making a case for AA. If the committee looks at the intangibles, Hawai'i has a strong case.
Massey is not looked at by committee.
Losing in 5 sets means absolutely zero to committee.
Committee does not look at "intangibles".
Hawaii will have a chance to bubble in, but will need help from other teams with nearby RPI to falter down the stretch.
Biggest problem is that Hawaii can't help resume while others can.
W/L = 19-7 if they beat Irvine - most teams on bubble will be slightly better or slightly worse.
SOS = around 66 - most Power5 teams on bubble will have better SOS.
RPI = about #45 if they beat Irvine. Will be ahead on RPI over most bubble teams by a little.
H2H = Marquette will have edge on bubble if both there. No other applicable ones.
Common Opps = UH edge over WSU. Other bubbles with edge over UH are: Butler, Villanova. Others tied.
Sign W/L = Most Power 5 bubble teams will have a big edge over UH here. At least in quantity if not quality of wins. Hawaii has a single T25 win over Baylor but nothing else. Most Power5 bubble teams will have that beat, or at least multiple T50 wins.
In summary:
Hawaii EDGE = RPI
Power5 EDGE = SOS, Significant wins
Teams clearly ahead of Hawaii near bubble:
37. NC State - wins over Notre Dame, Pitt, FSU, High Point plus chances to earn more. Better SOS.
38. Miami-FL - wins over Louisville, Notre Dame, NCSU. Worse SOS.
39. LSU - wins over Arkansasx2 and bubble teams (High Point, Alabama). same SOS.
40. Missouri - wins over Auburn, Alabama, LSU but some questionable losses. Better SOS.
42. Ohio State - wins over Notre Dame, Purdue, Dayton. Better SOS. Must finish .500
44. Maryland - wins over USC and Purdue. Better SOS.
45. Washington State - wins over UCLA, Colorado, Missouri State. Better SOS. Loses Common Opps.
50. Florida State - wins over Baylor, Auburn, Miami. Better SOS.
Teams roughly tied with Hawaii near bubble, but can improve with good finish:
46. Missouri State - Wins over NCSU, OSU, UNI with another shot at UNI. Better W/L. Worse SOS.
53. Butler - beat Marquette, CofC plus a couple chances to improve, poor SOS, wins ComOpps, better record
54. North Texas - win over Oregon + a shot at WKU, bad SOS, good W-L
62. North Carolina - wins over Louisville, LSU, NCSU. Better SOS. Worse record. 5-1 or 4-2 finish may do it.
Teams behind Hawaii near bubble, but can pass with a strong finish:
36. Arkansas - No good wins, but 4 tries left. Better SOS.
43. Iowa - win over Michigan, plus 6 matches left versus strong opponents. Better SOS.
51. Alabama - win over Arkansas, but 3 chances to improve. Better SOS.
57. Tennessee - wins over LSU and Missouri. Better SOS. Needs 4-1 finish to move up in RPI and quality wins.
60. Georgia - beat Arkansas, Missouri, Alabama + 3 chances versus LSU & Kentucky. Same SOS. 3-2 finish may do it.
BEHIND HAWAII NEAR BUBBLE and unable to catch unless Hawaii loses to Irvine:
48. High Point - no good wins, bad SOS, better W-L.
52. Dayton - win over High Point, poor SOS.
55. College of Charleston - beat Baylor but bad SOS, but better W-L record.
56. Austin Peay - beat Missouri, but bad SOS, better W-L.
58. Kennesaw State - no good wins and bad SOS, better W-L.