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Post by azvb on Nov 5, 2019 13:02:32 GMT -5
I will happily take that Baylor regional. If BYU and Utah don't get a seed - I can see BYU going to Hawaii as BYU would have to fly somewhere and they would be among the top RPI teams w/o a seed. Rice could be another destination. BYU/Hawaii matches are always epic.
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Post by raian13 on Nov 5, 2019 13:50:13 GMT -5
If BYU and Utah don't get a seed - I can see BYU going to Hawaii as BYU would have to fly somewhere and they would be among the top RPI teams w/o a seed. Rice could be another destination. BYU/Hawaii matches are always epic. The last time these two met was on the second rounds in Honolulu where BYU swept UH (with senior Hartong). That was painful to watch.
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Post by WahineFan44 on Nov 5, 2019 13:53:55 GMT -5
BYU/Hawaii matches are always epic. The last time these two met was on the second rounds in Honolulu where BYU swept UH (with senior Hartong). That was painful to watch. They met in 2017 with BYU winning in 5.
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Post by raian13 on Nov 5, 2019 13:56:11 GMT -5
The last time these two met was on the second rounds in Honolulu where BYU swept UH (with senior Hartong). That was painful to watch. They met in 2017 with BYU winning in 5. youre right. I must have been on vacation that time.
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bluepenquin
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Post by bluepenquin on Nov 5, 2019 18:46:37 GMT -5
Hey Blue, are you able to run simulations if Hawaii wins out or loses one match? 0 losses (55.9%) Avg - 10.59 6th - 3 (.5%) 7th - 15 (2.7%) 8th - 50 (8.9%) 9th - 79 (14.1%) 10th - 117 (20.9%) 11th - 126 (22.5%) 12th - 96 (17.2%) 13th - 50 (8.9%) 14th - 17 (3.0%) 15th - 5 (0.9%) 16th - 1 (0.2%) 1 more loss (36.3%) Avg - 13.85 9th - 4 (1.1%) 10th - 10 (2.8%) 11th - 17 (4.7%) 12th - 47 (12.9%) 13th - 70 (19.3%) 14th - 85 (23.4%) 15th - 66 (18.1%) 16th - 43 (11.7%) 17th - 18 (4.9%) 18th - 2 (0.5%) 19th - 1 (0.3%)
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Post by TCMullet on Nov 6, 2019 7:25:48 GMT -5
The last time these two met was on the second rounds in Honolulu where BYU swept UH (with senior Hartong). That was painful to watch. They met in 2017 with BYU winning in 5. Sep 7 (preseason). Then a week later (Sep 14), BYU had it out in 5 with UT.
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bluepenquin
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Post by bluepenquin on Nov 9, 2019 7:28:38 GMT -5
Always interesting to watch movements in RPI Futures as results come in. Biggest movers in the RPI Futures Top 25 to start the week (it wasn't what I would have expected).
Nebraska dropped 6 spots and Washington, Marquette, and UCLA dropped 3. Kentucky gained 4 spots, and Florida, Texas A&M, Minnesota, and Rice gained 2 spots.
Noticeably absent in rank movement - Wisconsin and Creighton.
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bluepenquin
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Post by bluepenquin on Nov 9, 2019 7:32:41 GMT -5
Nebraska's SOS took a hit this week. UCLA dropping out of the top 25 hurt along with Creighton and Wisconsin losing in large upsets (Nebraska plays Wisconsin twice and Ohio State just once). Add LMU has fallen off a cliff and them along with Denver are outside the top 75 and it is unlikely that Nebraska will get the scheduling bonus this year.
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bluepenquin
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Post by bluepenquin on Nov 9, 2019 7:39:42 GMT -5
Ohio State (#56) and Villanova (#53) greatly improved their chances for an at-large - while Milwaukee (#52) getting upset dropped them out of the T50 and hurt the Horizon's chances of getting 2 or 3 teams in the tournament and may open up a spot for a team like Ohio State.
Pepperdine (#51) with a big win over struggling LMU puts them in contention for an at-large and with a are getting close to getting in the T50 which would could be valuable to BYU for a seed.
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bluepenquin
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Post by bluepenquin on Nov 9, 2019 7:55:58 GMT -5
Yale knocking off Cornell pretty much knocked Cornell out of any realistic chance to win the Ivy. We are now setup for an 11/16 match Princeton @ Yale - where a Yale win would likely cause a tie and a 1 game playoff for the NCAA auto-bid and a Princeton win would almost certainly result in a title for Princeton. Neither has a shot at an at-large.
Princeton has been interesting - they were a Pablo ~ #50 team to end last year and pretty much had their entire team returning. I would have thought they were the easy favorite to win the Ivy and potentially a challenging team to play in the 1st round for a likely seeded team. But then they drop their 1st 3 matches to start the season losing to Virginia and Rutgers and what turned out to be a very good Towson team (currently #33 in Pablo). They lost in 5 sets to Maryland and Oregon while leading 2-1 in both matches and taking Oregon to extra points in the 5th.
Only loss in the Ivy was to Cornell, later beating them in 5. I wouldn't say that Princeton has been dominating the Ivy - but they did beat Yale pretty good a month ago (-19, -14, -17)
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bluepenquin
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Post by bluepenquin on Nov 9, 2019 8:01:49 GMT -5
Louisville and Missouri both avoided upset losses yesterday that would have hurt their Top 25 status. There are a whole lot of teams that would like to keep those Top 25 wins. Louisville is very concerning for staying in the top 25 - and this will hurt some teams (Florida, Purdue, Kentucky, Pittsburgh). While Baylor, Hawaii, Kentucky, Florida, and Texas A&M would very much like Missouri to stay in the top 25.
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Post by tomclen on Nov 9, 2019 8:28:01 GMT -5
Russ Rose doing some early 'research' on Princeton for this December's Happy Valley Cupcake Festival: . . . . This post has been rated by the U.S. Troll-Reporting-Agency as Troll Level 7
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Post by horns1 on Nov 9, 2019 9:38:01 GMT -5
Nebraska's SOS took a hit this week. UCLA dropping out of the top 25 hurt along with Creighton and Wisconsin losing in large upsets (Nebraska plays Wisconsin twice and Ohio State just once). Add LMU has fallen off a cliff and them along with Denver are outside the top 75 and it is unlikely that Nebraska will get the scheduling bonus this year.That's huge
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Post by trianglevolleyball on Nov 9, 2019 11:05:27 GMT -5
So, blue, what does OSU have to do to get on the right side of the bubble? I assume their new futures numbers predict a 16-16 finish, so what would 17-15 do for their RPI?
17-15 would involve another upset either at home against Minnesota or Illinois or away against Nebraska or Purdue. They’d also have to take care of their other three matches (NW, Iowa, Indiana). If they do pull off another upset is that enough? Maybe it needs to be against a top 25 team?
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Post by secgator4 on Nov 9, 2019 11:30:43 GMT -5
What's the highest RPI Florida can achieve if they win out? Can I ask nicely for a simulation too?
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