Nebraska vs Wisconsin | Wed. 10/27 8:00 PM CT | BTN

[donaldjamesparker]

Oct 24, 2021 7:26:04 GMT -5 Wiswell said:

The probability of Wisconsin beating Nebraska for the fourth time in a row is low. They have had victories despite themselves lately, thanks in part to crowd support.

Actually they have 5 in a row right now - not three.  huskers.com/sports/womens-volleyball/opponent-history/university-of-wisconsin/46

[robtearle]

Oct 24, 2021 9:14:09 GMT -5 donaldjamesparker said:

Oct 24, 2021 7:26:04 GMT -5 Wiswell said:

The probability of Wisconsin beating Nebraska for the fourth time in a row is low. They have had victories despite themselves lately, thanks in part to crowd support.

Actually they have 5 in a row right now - not three.  huskers.com/sports/womens-volleyball/opponent-history/university-of-wisconsin/46

That isn't how probabilities work.

Wisconsin beating Nebraska five in a row would certainly have a low probability. But  most of the difficulty comes in winning the first four. It doesn't all then shift to the fifth match. Wisconsin isn't trying to win "five in a row", they're just trying to win one more. And the probability of winning "one more" is the probability of winning once.

If we're flipping coins, and four times it has come up heads, if you wanna give me 30-to-1 odds that the next will be tails, I will take that bet all day along. 

Yes, there's a human element to VB that doesn't exist in coin-flipping, but as I said, Wisconsin isn't trying to win "five in a row", they're just trying to win one more.

[B1GHuskerGuy]

I wish I could watch this game as a neutral fan! Nice to see Nebraska battle back from the beginning of set 1 against Purdue. I don’t think that can happen against Wisconsin, or at least I would be very surprised. Regardless can’t wait!

[ilikecorn]

HUSKER!

[gibbyb1]

Oct 24, 2021 9:57:37 GMT -5 robtearle said:

Oct 24, 2021 9:14:09 GMT -5 donaldjamesparker said:

Actually they have 5 in a row right now - not three.  huskers.com/sports/womens-volleyball/opponent-history/university-of-wisconsin/46

That isn't how probabilities work.

Wisconsin beating Nebraska five in a row would certainly have a low probability. But  most of the difficulty comes in winning the first four. It doesn't all then shift to the fifth match. Wisconsin isn't trying to win "five in a row", they're just trying to win one more. And the probability of winning "one more" is the probability of winning once.

If we're flipping coins, and four times it has come up heads, if you wanna give me 30-to-1 odds that the next will be tails, I will take that bet all day along. 

Yes, there's a human element to VB that doesn't exist in coin-flipping, but as I said, Wisconsin isn't trying to win "five in a row", they're just trying to win one more.

Those matches have no relationship to this one.

[gibbyb1]

Oct 24, 2021 10:03:46 GMT -5 B1GHuskerGuy said:

I wish I could watch this game as a neutral fan! Nice to see Nebraska battle back from the beginning of set 1 against Purdue. I don’t think that can happen against Wisconsin, or at least I would be very surprised. Regardless can’t wait!

Sure it could.

[big10+4 fan]

Oct 24, 2021 9:57:37 GMT -5 robtearle said:

Oct 24, 2021 9:14:09 GMT -5 donaldjamesparker said:

Actually they have 5 in a row right now - not three.  huskers.com/sports/womens-volleyball/opponent-history/university-of-wisconsin/46

That isn't how probabilities work.

Wisconsin beating Nebraska five in a row would certainly have a low probability. But  most of the difficulty comes in winning the first four. It doesn't all then shift to the fifth match. Wisconsin isn't trying to win "five in a row", they're just trying to win one more. And the probability of winning "one more" is the probability of winning once.

If we're flipping coins, and four times it has come up heads, if you wanna give me 30-to-1 odds that the next will be tails, I will take that bet all day along. 

Yes, there's a human element to VB that doesn't exist in coin-flipping, but as I said, Wisconsin isn't trying to win "five in a row", they're just trying to win one more.

Not debating the odds just clarifying that the poster meant this would be their 6th win in a row. At wis 2017, at wis 2018, 3 times 2019.

[rjaege]

Oct 24, 2021 10:58:54 GMT -5 gibbyb1 said:

Oct 24, 2021 9:57:37 GMT -5 robtearle said:

That isn't how probabilities work.

Wisconsin beating Nebraska five in a row would certainly have a low probability. But  most of the difficulty comes in winning the first four. It doesn't all then shift to the fifth match. Wisconsin isn't trying to win "five in a row", they're just trying to win one more. And the probability of winning "one more" is the probability of winning once.

If we're flipping coins, and four times it has come up heads, if you wanna give me 30-to-1 odds that the next will be tails, I will take that bet all day along. 

Yes, there's a human element to VB that doesn't exist in coin-flipping, but as I said, Wisconsin isn't trying to win "five in a row", they're just trying to win one more.

Those matches have no relationship to this one.

NE players are human and after losing 5 straight, the last 3 in 3 set sweeps, this provides some extra motivation to NE. That can be counter-productive. WI seems to be always motivated to play NE. Expect both teams to be motivated.

[gibbyb1]

I’d imagine the Big Ten title hanging in the balance is motivation enough. 3 Nebraska starters weren’t even in college yet when those matches were played. I tend to not put much stock in all that. Just my opinion

[robtearle]

Oct 24, 2021 11:10:48 GMT -5 big10+4 fan said:

Oct 24, 2021 9:57:37 GMT -5 robtearle said:

That isn't how probabilities work.

Wisconsin beating Nebraska five in a row would certainly have a low probability. But  most of the difficulty comes in winning the first four. It doesn't all then shift to the fifth match. Wisconsin isn't trying to win "five in a row", they're just trying to win one more. And the probability of winning "one more" is the probability of winning once.

If we're flipping coins, and four times it has come up heads, if you wanna give me 30-to-1 odds that the next will be tails, I will take that bet all day along. 

Yes, there's a human element to VB that doesn't exist in coin-flipping, but as I said, Wisconsin isn't trying to win "five in a row", they're just trying to win one more.

Not debating the odds just clarifying that the poster meant this would be their 6th win in a row. At wis 2017, at wis 2018, 3 times 2019.

Right. I'm just saying the odds of "event #n+1" happening does not depend on event 1 through even 'n' if those first n event have already happened. VB, coin flips, whatever. If the events are 'discreet' - and VB matches largely are - then "n+1" stands on its own.

[Wiswell]

Oct 24, 2021 9:57:37 GMT -5 robtearle said:

Oct 24, 2021 9:14:09 GMT -5 donaldjamesparker said:

Actually they have 5 in a row right now - not three.  huskers.com/sports/womens-volleyball/opponent-history/university-of-wisconsin/46

That isn't how probabilities work.

Wisconsin beating Nebraska five in a row would certainly have a low probability. But  most of the difficulty comes in winning the first four. It doesn't all then shift to the fifth match. Wisconsin isn't trying to win "five in a row", they're just trying to win one more. And the probability of winning "one more" is the probability of winning once.

If we're flipping coins, and four times it has come up heads, if you wanna give me 30-to-1 odds that the next will be tails, I will take that bet all day along. 

Yes, there's a human element to VB that doesn't exist in coin-flipping, but as I said, Wisconsin isn't trying to win "five in a row", they're just trying to win one more.

Yes I know. That's like saying what is the probability of the lottery number being 17
two days in a row as being 17 followed by 27. Exactly the same. What I really mean is that Nebraska is too talented to not be able to "fix" what keeps them from winning, eventually.

[gibbyb1]

Oct 24, 2021 14:32:39 GMT -5 Wiswell said:

Oct 24, 2021 9:57:37 GMT -5 robtearle said:

That isn't how probabilities work.

Wisconsin beating Nebraska five in a row would certainly have a low probability. But  most of the difficulty comes in winning the first four. It doesn't all then shift to the fifth match. Wisconsin isn't trying to win "five in a row", they're just trying to win one more. And the probability of winning "one more" is the probability of winning once.

If we're flipping coins, and four times it has come up heads, if you wanna give me 30-to-1 odds that the next will be tails, I will take that bet all day along. 

Yes, there's a human element to VB that doesn't exist in coin-flipping, but as I said, Wisconsin isn't trying to win "five in a row", they're just trying to win one more.

Yes I know. That's like saying what is the probability of the lottery number being 17
two days in a row as being 17 followed by 27. Exactly the same. What I really mean is that Nebraska is too talented to not be able to "fix" what keeps them from winning, eventually.

What’s kept them from winning is that Wisconsin had better players.

[volleyaudience]

Oct 23, 2021 23:21:14 GMT -5 gibbyb1 said:

Oct 23, 2021 23:14:56 GMT -5 greatlakesvballer said:

It’ll be interesting to see how the Wisconsin youngsters handle the pressure from playing at Devaney.

Meh, they play at the field house, they’re used to environment

Am I correct thinking the field house is smaller but has a larger percent filled with noisy students? I've heard some say the field house can be louder.

[Del Bocavista]

This year Nebrska draws the Field House on the day after Thanksgiving, so likely fewer people, fewer students.

[Wiswell]

Oct 24, 2021 15:08:27 GMT -5 volleyaudience said:

Oct 23, 2021 23:21:14 GMT -5 gibbyb1 said:

Meh, they play at the field house, they’re used to environment

Am I correct thinking the field house is smaller but has a larger percent filled with noisy students? I've heard some say the field house can be louder.

About the same overall attendance. Student attendance fluctuates quite a bit but it has been better this year than in a long time.