|
|
Post by ted_heise on Dec 12, 2021 22:03:33 GMT -5
Will Kubik and Lund bounce back to their usual level? I've seen this mentioned a few times re: Kubik. Kubik's hitting percentage last night wasn't as much of an outlier as posters are suggesting. A little low, sure, but she's only hitting .207 on the season. She typically hits in the .100s against good teams. Not saying this to dog on her at all -- she's definitely the most important player on the court for Nebraska IMO -- but I don't think the Huskers need her to do better offensively to win this game. So this is only partly related to the post I'm quoting, but that post sparked some thoughts.
Seems the Huskers have been criticized from time to time for having almost no matches in which they hit .300 or better as a team. Most of their win have come with defense that holds their opponents to even lower percentages.
My impression is that the Nebraska defense is pretty good, and what I'm wondering is if that has an indirect effect on lower hitting percentages. I think the primary driver is proportion of errors, but lots of digs and swings w/o kills in longer rallies would also lower the hitting% -- by increasing the denominator. So maybe strong defensive teams just tend to have lower hit% as a consequence?
This may be all wrong, so don't come at me too hard! LOL
|
|
|
|
Post by staticb on Dec 12, 2021 22:29:14 GMT -5
To me, I'm not sure Batenhorst's is going to have consistent performances like she did against Texas. She had what 9 inches on Gabriel that she won't have against Pitt. (Also overlooked is that I think Nicklin had an exceptionally good game in terms of executing the game plan)
I think Kubik and Krause will be the best offensive options and have to step up. Pitt also has strong middles and they will somewhat neutralize each other or they won't be able to stop each other.
If Nebraska serves like they did against Texas, they do it. Pitt's offensive tempo is frail and can break down when I've seen them.
|
|
|
|
Post by staticb on Dec 12, 2021 22:30:33 GMT -5
My impression is that the Nebraska defense is pretty good, and what I'm wondering is if that has an indirect effect on lower hitting percentages. I think the primary driver is proportion of errors, but lots of digs and swings w/o kills in longer rallies would also lower the hitting% -- by increasing the denominator. So maybe strong defensive teams just tend to have lower hit% as a consequence?
This may be all wrong, so don't come at me too hard! LOL
Yeah, if they are digging a lot of balls and end up taking a lot of OOS swings because those digs are not perfect, it can lower the hitting %. |
|
|
|
Post by rjaege on Dec 12, 2021 23:27:08 GMT -5
Pitt will win and I will be very obnoxious for a few hours Or if they lose you won't. |
|
|
|
Post by pavsec5row10 on Dec 12, 2021 23:45:04 GMT -5
Will Kubik and Lund bounce back to their usual level? I've seen this mentioned a few times re: Kubik. Kubik's hitting percentage last night wasn't as much of an outlier as posters are suggesting. A little low, sure, but she's only hitting .207 on the season. She typically hits in the .100s against good teams. Not saying this to dog on her at all -- she's definitely the most important player on the court for Nebraska IMO -- but I don't think the Huskers need her to do better offensively to win this game. Ok, good point and it may just be she has been inefficient the past couple months. But 15 K and 13 E needs to be cleaned up. |
|
|
|
Post by gibbyb1 on Dec 13, 2021 0:55:05 GMT -5
I've seen this mentioned a few times re: Kubik. Kubik's hitting percentage last night wasn't as much of an outlier as posters are suggesting. A little low, sure, but she's only hitting .207 on the season. She typically hits in the .100s against good teams. Not saying this to dog on her at all -- she's definitely the most important player on the court for Nebraska IMO -- but I don't think the Huskers need her to do better offensively to win this game. Ok, good point and it may just be she has been inefficient the past couple months. But 15 K and 13 E needs to be cleaned up. Does it? They just beat Texas at Texas with that. I’d obviously like to see her play way better offensively, but if they are scoring with the balance they did and playing that level of defense they can most certainly beat Pitt with her struggling offensively. |
|
|
|
Post by rand909 on Dec 13, 2021 1:16:33 GMT -5
Who else is coming to cbus 😌 I'll be there. Wearing RED. |
|
|
|
Post by JJVb on Dec 13, 2021 3:20:45 GMT -5
This one is tough to call. Can the freshmen of Nebraska continue to shine, or will the more veteran group of Pitt take it. I'm leaning Pitt, but this one is a toss up for me. The Nebraska defense is tough to vote against, but defense alone can't win this. The pins have to continue to fire. Texas couldn't stop them. Can Pitt?
|
|
|
|
Post by toonscivb on Dec 13, 2021 4:43:55 GMT -5
This is the one game where I'll be happy with either team that moves on. I also hope that its either Nebraska or Pitt that goes on to win the Championship.
|
|
|
|
Post by maplespear on Dec 13, 2021 7:36:15 GMT -5
One thing that will be different is Pitt will pass much better than Texas did Ok, I'll bite. How will it be different or better? Getting any team OOS is a tough handle and though I haven't seen Pitt play this year, I can imagine it would affect them too. If you have other insight into Pitt's passing, I'd like hear it since I don't watch Pitt ever. |
|
|
|
Post by aardvark on Dec 13, 2021 7:50:06 GMT -5
So out of 119 voters in this thread, 57% of them think Nebraska will win.
Pitt has a 30-3 record with SOS rank of 2.
Neb has a 25-7 record with SOS rank of 8.
The expectations of people on this board are a mismatch with this season's results.
I must conclude that the great many Husker fans here have let their excitement override rational thinking.
|
|
|
|
Post by maplespear on Dec 13, 2021 7:50:58 GMT -5
This one is tough to call. Can the freshmen of Nebraska continue to shine, or will the more veteran group of Pitt take it. I'm leaning Pitt, but this one is a toss up for me. The Nebraska defense is tough to vote against, but defense alone can't win this. The pins have to continue to fire. Texas couldn't stop them. Can Pitt? If the freshmen of Nebraska don't shine, we always have Kubik, Caffey, and the almighty Stivrins. I think Batenhorst (didn't know she was a native of Texas) goes over the Pitt block, and Krause is a champion (Omaha Skutt HS won 4 championships with her) and will find a way, her confidence these last few weeks has been through the roof. GO BIG RED! |
|
|
|
Post by knapplc on Dec 13, 2021 8:10:54 GMT -5
So out of 119 voters in this thread, 57% of them think Nebraska will win. Pitt has a 30-3 record with SOS rank of 2. Neb has a 25-7 record with SOS rank of 8. The expectations of people on this board are a mismatch with this season's results. I must conclude that the great many Husker fans here have let their excitement override rational thinking. These polls are not scientific. It's mostly people picking who they want to win. |
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Dec 13, 2021 8:12:44 GMT -5
This one is tough to call. Can the freshmen of Nebraska continue to shine, or will the more veteran group of Pitt take it. I'm leaning Pitt, but this one is a toss up for me. The Nebraska defense is tough to vote against, but defense alone can't win this. The pins have to continue to fire. Texas couldn't stop them. Can Pitt? If the freshmen of Nebraska don't shine, we always have Kubik, Caffey, and the almighty Stivrins. I think Batenhorst (didn't know she was a native of Texas) goes over the Pitt block, and Krause is a champion (Omaha Skutt HS won 4 championships with her) and will find a way, her confidence these last few weeks has been through the roof. GO BIG RED! didn’t you just say you’d never seen pitt play and now you’re saying batenhorst will hit over the Pitt block? |
|
|
|
Post by jwvolley on Dec 13, 2021 8:18:44 GMT -5
One thing that will be different is Pitt will pass much better than Texas did Ok, I'll bite. How will it be different or better? Getting any team OOS is a tough handle and though I haven't seen Pitt play this year, I can imagine it would affect them too. If you have other insight into Pitt's passing, I'd like hear it since I don't watch Pitt ever. Texas is in a league of their own in terms of passing woes. We will serve tough to get Pitt in uncomfortable situations, but I wouldn´t expect it to be to the level Texas struggled. |
|
