trojansc
Legend
All-VolleyTalk 1st Team (2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017), All-VolleyTalk 2nd Team (2016), 2021, 2019 Fantasy League Champion, 2020 Fantasy League Runner Up, 2022 2nd Runner Up
Posts: 28,242
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Post by trojansc on Oct 19, 2022 12:15:19 GMT -5
I’m with you. Maybe USD loses and makes it all moot? Maybe a nuclear war begins and we’re cheering on our favorite Vault Tec teams? But all the speculation is part of the fun - and anxiety. Thinking up worst case scenarios that produce maximum confusion is practically a cottage industry in competitive sports. San Diego got set up with an interesting conference schedule. Their hardest 3 matches are the very last 3 matches on their schedule. at LMU, at Pepperdine, and at BYU to close out the season.
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Post by brybast on Oct 19, 2022 14:49:55 GMT -5
I’m with you. Maybe USD loses and makes it all moot? Maybe a nuclear war begins and we’re cheering on our favorite Vault Tec teams? But all the speculation is part of the fun - and anxiety. Thinking up worst case scenarios that produce maximum confusion is practically a cottage industry in competitive sports. San Diego got set up with an interesting conference schedule. Their hardest 3 matches are the very last 3 matches on their schedule. at LMU, at Pepperdine, and at BYU to close out the season. That is a tough little road gauntlet. I will be very surprised if San Diego doesn't lose at least one of those. The Toreros needed 5 sets at home to beat LMU and 4 to beat Pepperdine. At BYU is a tough match for anyone.
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Post by brybast on Oct 19, 2022 16:46:06 GMT -5
Per trojansc's latest, the projected number of bids per conference: (projected top 16 in bold) ("last 6 in" in italics) ("first 6 out" in [brackets])
8: Big Ten (Neb, OSU, WI, MN, Pur, PSU, MI, NW)
7: Pac-12 (Stan, OR, WA, USC, UT, CO, WSU)
6: SEC (FL, KY, MSU, AR, LSU, Aub) [GA, TAM]
5: Big 12 (TX, Bay, KS, ISU, TTU) [TCU]
4: ACC (Lou, Pit, GT, FSU) [Mia] WCC (SD, Pep, BYU, LMU)
2: Big East (Crei, Marq) AAC (Hou, UCF) C-USA (Rice, WKU) Mountain West (UNLV, CoSt) [UtSt]
1: Big West (CaPo) [HI], A-Sun (KeSt), MAC (BG), Ivy (Yale) MVC (UNI), Sun Belt (TxSt), CAA (Tow), Summit (SD), WAC (RGV) Big South (HP), AmEast (UMBC), Horizon (WrSt), Patriot (Col) A-10 (Loy), Big Sky (PoSt), SoCon (WCU), MAAC (Fair), NEC (SacH) MEAC (How), Southland (TAMCC), OVC (EaIL), SWAC (FAMU)
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bluepenquin
Hall of Fame
4-Time VolleyTalk Poster of the Year (2019, 2018, 2017, 2016), All-VolleyTalk 1st Team (2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016)
Posts: 12,447
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Post by bluepenquin on Oct 21, 2022 8:03:16 GMT -5
Mountain West - Again, keep an eye on this conference. San Jose State is 8-0. Utah State lost a tough 5-set match to UNLV which would have really shaken up the at-large picture, Utah State and San Jose State are still in the at-large discussion. I would be on this being a 2-bid league, but three is still possible. I think 4 is still possible. Getting 3 is probably close to as likely as getting 2, but San Jose just missed a great opportunity last night.
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trojansc
Legend
All-VolleyTalk 1st Team (2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017), All-VolleyTalk 2nd Team (2016), 2021, 2019 Fantasy League Champion, 2020 Fantasy League Runner Up, 2022 2nd Runner Up
Posts: 28,242
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Post by trojansc on Oct 23, 2022 23:49:41 GMT -5
SEC - Seems like things have sort of calmed down in the SEC. The Florida/Kentucky matches will most likely determine the winner of the conference - but they both look like seeded teams to me at this point. There's still some SEC teams with potential to make the tournament (Georgia, Texas A&M, Tennessee). UGA has the best chance and a lot of games against the top teams to earn their way in. Texas A&M can win their way in too, but they did lose both H2H to UGA which hurts. Tennessee still has opportunities as well. I should know better after doing this so long, but, Florida and Kentucky both taking losses this weekend definitely throws a wrench in the equation.
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Post by hornshouse23 on Oct 24, 2022 0:18:26 GMT -5
SEC - Seems like things have sort of calmed down in the SEC. The Florida/Kentucky matches will most likely determine the winner of the conference - but they both look like seeded teams to me at this point. There's still some SEC teams with potential to make the tournament (Georgia, Texas A&M, Tennessee). UGA has the best chance and a lot of games against the top teams to earn their way in. Texas A&M can win their way in too, but they did lose both H2H to UGA which hurts. Tennessee still has opportunities as well. I should know better after doing this so long, but, Florida and Kentucky both taking losses this weekend definitely throws a wrench in the equation. Don’t ever underestimate those schools’ ability to race each other to the bottom.
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Post by aardvark on Oct 24, 2022 6:21:34 GMT -5
LOL. I just noticed that in your 10/17 bracketology all four #7 seeds are currently ranked in the AVCA top 25.
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bluepenquin
Hall of Fame
4-Time VolleyTalk Poster of the Year (2019, 2018, 2017, 2016), All-VolleyTalk 1st Team (2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016)
Posts: 12,447
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Post by bluepenquin on Oct 24, 2022 7:20:46 GMT -5
I am pretty sure that I would rather be a 6 seed then a 5 seed this year.
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Post by dodger on Oct 24, 2022 7:58:19 GMT -5
I am pretty sure that I would rather be a 6 seed then a 5 seed this year. I will bite: Why?
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bluepenquin
Hall of Fame
4-Time VolleyTalk Poster of the Year (2019, 2018, 2017, 2016), All-VolleyTalk 1st Team (2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016)
Posts: 12,447
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Post by bluepenquin on Oct 24, 2022 10:13:23 GMT -5
I am pretty sure that I would rather be a 6 seed then a 5 seed this year. I will bite: Why? I don't see much difference between the #3 and #4 seeds this year - or, I think it will be rather random on which will be better. The big key is the 3rd round - where a 6 seed that makes it out of the subregional will most likely be playing a neutral site match and a 5th seed will be playing a true road match. Look at Baylor (who could very easily be a top 4 seed). They could be matched up against Houston as the #6 seed against the #3 or the #5 seed against the #4. I would prefer to be the #6 seed. The subregional is exactly the same, but the path to the regional final is easier. Kansas would rather be a 6th seed facing #3 Creighton than a 5th seed facing #4 Creighton. If I am Penn State, Purdue, Washington, USC, Oregon - and I don't get a top 4 seed - I am wanting to take my chances as a 6 seed over a 5 seed.
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Post by c4ndlelight on Oct 24, 2022 10:31:53 GMT -5
#NCAAStopSeedingCreightonChallenge
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Post by jayj79 on Oct 24, 2022 10:32:30 GMT -5
I hate the confusion (at the very least, the fact that I get confused by it) caused by having a mix of national seeds (the top 16), but also now bringing in the notion of seed groupings (4 "#1 seeds", ... , 4 "#8 seeds". I never know whether people are referring to the overall national seed or the "regional seed" (or whatever the term is for that). And to further muddy the waters, sometimes the 4 teams playing at a particular subregional are referred to as (#1/#2/#3/#4 seeds)
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Post by jwvolley on Oct 24, 2022 10:32:33 GMT -5
#NCAAStopSeedingCreightonChallenge What did Creighton do lol
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Post by avid 2.0 on Oct 24, 2022 10:34:57 GMT -5
#NCAAStopSeedingCreightonChallenge
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Post by c4ndlelight on Oct 24, 2022 10:36:42 GMT -5
#NCAAStopSeedingCreightonChallenge What did Creighton do lol They keep getting seeded despite not being one of the Top 16 teams in the country and keep losing at home in the tourney.
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