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Post by The Bofa on the Sofa on Sept 17, 2005 12:24:36 GMT -5
It's worth a new thread. Ohio wins game 1 30 - 20
Tennessee's block has been porous. They are getting tooled big time.
They are going to have to make an adjustment. Ohio sets the ball very close to the net. Purdue had a lot of success by attacking the set, and really penetrating the net. When we did that, it really challenged their aggressiveness. Tennessee are going too straight up on their blocks, and the ball is getting across the net into them.
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Post by The Bofa on the Sofa on Sept 17, 2005 12:41:19 GMT -5
Ohio is still playing well, leading 20 - 16 in game 2.
I forgot to mention back in game 1, Tennessee had the rare but always exciting "kick shot." On the second hit, that get sent over.
Tennessee starts struggling. 25 - 18 Ohio
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Post by The Bofa on the Sofa on Sept 17, 2005 12:42:54 GMT -5
Getting interesting. Back to 26 - 21
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Post by The Bofa on the Sofa on Sept 17, 2005 12:46:55 GMT -5
Ohio wins game 2 30 - 24
Major upset brewing here.
Ohio setter Parra playing a lot better than last night.
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Post by The Bofa on the Sofa on Sept 17, 2005 13:14:03 GMT -5
28 - 26 Ohio in game 3
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Post by The Bofa on the Sofa on Sept 17, 2005 13:16:00 GMT -5
Ohio wins game 3
30 - 27
Tonight's match becomes VERY important for the Boilers
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Post by rocket on Sept 17, 2005 13:23:27 GMT -5
Why does this match make the night match more important for Purdue than it already was?
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Post by The Bofa on the Sofa on Sept 17, 2005 13:35:09 GMT -5
It is one thing to lose a match to a team that is clearly better than you. For a team in the 10 - 20 range, there is no shame in losing a match to a team that is top ten. However, losing to a team that just lost to a team you have beaten means that someone is not as good as you thought they were, including potentially you.
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Post by rocket on Sept 17, 2005 13:41:44 GMT -5
Huh?
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Post by chrisreed on Sept 17, 2005 13:43:54 GMT -5
Ohio wins game 3 30 - 27 Tonight's match becomes VERY important for the Boilers [glow=red,2,300]YES!!![/glow]
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Post by Greenie on Sept 17, 2005 13:49:49 GMT -5
OK - now, let me see if I'm getting this Pablo thing now.
Tenn and Ohio were separated by 1400 pts, so on a neutral court, 90+% probablity that Tenn would win. Not only did they lose, they lost bad... so this will be very bad for them in the next ranking.
As for the Purdue match, the numbers say that Tenn has a 70+% probability of beating them, but the Ohio result probably changes the numbers significantly - I'm guessing taking it down to about 40% or so.
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Post by The Bofa on the Sofa on Sept 17, 2005 13:55:21 GMT -5
As I said, it's one thing to lose to a team that is clearly better than you. Coming in, Tennessee had looked better than Purdue, and had they won today like most expected, it would have been a pretty big upset if Purdue had won. However, this loss suggests that Tennessee isn't necessarily clearly better than Purdue, and a win is almost expected. And you gotta win the matches you are expected to win. If nothing else, if they don't win tonight, they might not win the MortarBoard tournament championship I don't expect Tennessee to struggle as much as they did this morning.
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Post by The Bofa on the Sofa on Sept 17, 2005 13:57:18 GMT -5
OK - now, let me see if I'm getting this Pablo thing now. Tenn and Ohio were separated by 1400 pts, so on a neutral court, 90+% probablity that Tenn would win. Not only did they lose, they lost bad... so this will be very bad for them in the next ranking. As for the Purdue match, the numbers say that Tenn has a 70+% probability of beating them, but the Ohio result probably changes the numbers significantly - I'm guessing taking it down to about 40% or so. I won't be running a Pablo ranking before tonight's match but that is likely the effect I would expect. Given the home court and all, I would think Purdue would be close to the favorite right now.
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Post by Greenie on Sept 17, 2005 14:00:14 GMT -5
Oh come on, why not? (J)
Seriously, is there a way to run it from a DB connected to the scores DB on the RK site that would allow for instanteous update? I'm sure the programming would be nuts, but it would be fun to see the immediate results of matches being lost.
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Post by The Bofa on the Sofa on Sept 17, 2005 14:19:03 GMT -5
Oh come on, why not? (J) Seriously, is there a way to run it from a DB connected to the scores DB on the RK site that would allow for instanteous update? I'm sure the programming would be nuts, but it would be fun to see the immediate results of matches being lost. That would require me having automated score downloading. As it is now, I download the database from Rich when I need it, but it is just like downloading any file. Click, add file name. Moreover, in order to do the rankings, there has to be some formatting. I generally do this in a separate file in order to keep file sizes down. Thus, the short answer is that, as things are now, it's not really a simple process. I could try to automate it more, but it would take work. Lastly, even running the fitting takes time, and it grows longer as the number of matches increases. Currently, it can pretty much finish in about an hour, but this could stretch to a couple of hours by the end of the season. But to be honest, the main reason I'm not updating rankings today is because I am re-running the DII rankings I reported yesterday. There were some formatting issues and data set questions that Rich sorted out last night. Thus, they are running right now.
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