Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 3, 2006 16:30:15 GMT -5
I have gone back over the data for weeks 5 (week ending September 24) through week 10 (week ending October 29) of the Pick-the-Winners contests to determine how the RKPI fared each week in comparison with Pablo and the Rich Kern and AVCA polls and to calculate the cumulative results so far. Because of the amount of space each weeks comparison takes, I will show each week in separate posts and include the cumulative results only with the week 10 (the most current) results.
Week 8 (week ending 10-15; based on 10-9 Pablo, RKPI, AVCA and Rich Kern Polls):
MATCHES FOR WEEK ENDING 10-15-06 ONLY:
1. MATCHES WHERE PABLO, RKPI, AVCA AND RICH KERN ARE ALL HEAD-TO-HEAD:
Pablo 12-5
RKPI 8-9
Rich Kern 7-10
AVCA 8-9
2. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RICH KERN ONLY:
Pablo 12-5
Rich Kern 7-10
3. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH AVCA ONLY:
Pablo 13-6
AVCA 9-10
4. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RKPI ONLY:
Pablo 18-7
RKPI 10-15
5. RKPI HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RICH KERN ONLY:
RKPI 9-8
Rich Kern 7-10
6. RKPI HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH AVCA ONLY:
RKPI 9-10
AVCA 9-10
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 3, 2006 16:34:40 GMT -5
I have gone back over the data for weeks 5 (week ending September 24) through week 10 (week ending October 29) of the Pick-the-Winners contests to determine how the RKPI fared each week in comparison with Pablo and the Rich Kern and AVCA polls and to calculate the cumulative results so far. Because of the amount of space each weeks comparison takes, I will show each week in separate posts and include the cumulative results only with the week 10 (the most current) results.
Week 9 (week ending 10-22; based on 10-16 Pablo, RKPI, AVCA and Rich Kern Polls):
MATCHES FOR WEEK ENDING 10-22-06 ONLY:
1. MATCHES WHERE PABLO, RKPI, AVCA AND RICH KERN ARE ALL HEAD-TO-HEAD:
Pablo 10-6
RKPI 10-6
Rich Kern 9-7
AVCA 9-7
2. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RICH KERN ONLY:
Pablo 10-7
Rich Kern 10-7
3. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH AVCA ONLY:
Pablo 11-6
AVCA 10-7
4. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RKPI ONLY:
Pablo 18-7
RKPI 18-7
5. RKPI HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RICH KERN ONLY:
RKPI 11-6
Rich Kern 10-7
6. RKPI HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH AVCA ONLY:
RKPI 11-6
AVCA 10-7
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 3, 2006 16:55:22 GMT -5
I have gone back over the data for weeks 5 (week ending September 24) through week 10 (week ending October 29) of the Pick-the-Winners contests to determine how the RKPI fared each week in comparison with Pablo and the Rich Kern and AVCA polls and to calculate the cumulative results so far. Because of the amount of space each weeks comparison takes, I will show each week in separate posts and include the cumulative results only with week 10 (the most current) results. Week 10 (week ending 10-29; based on 10-23 Pablo, RKPI, AVCA and Rich Kern Polls): MATCHES FOR WEEK ENDING 10-29-06 ONLY: 1. MATCHES WHERE PABLO, RKPI, AVCA AND RICH KERN ARE ALL HEAD-TO-HEAD: Pablo 12-3 RKPI 13-2 Rich Kern 13-2 AVCA 12-3 2. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RICH KERN ONLY: Pablo 15-4 Rich Kern 16-3 3. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH AVCA ONLY: Pablo 12-3 AVCA 12-3 4. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RKPI ONLY: Pablo 17-8 RKPI 17-8 5. RKPI HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RICH KERN ONLY: RKPI 14-5 Rich Kern 16-3 6. RKPI HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH AVCA ONLY: RKPI 12-3 AVCA 12-3 Can you go back and retrocheck? I'd love to see the full comparison. The AVCA vs RPI - I'd lean with the AVCA, probably, but it's not obvious. I know how RKPI compares to Pablo - it lags about 5% behind. However, 5% behind Pablo in the overall standings would put it about 52 - 23, which is still better than the AVCA. If that were to pan out, wouldn't that be a kicker!? CUMULATIVE RESULTS (Weeks 5-10, covering the period September 18-October 29. These include all the weekly Pablo and RKPI rankings generated this year except for the first two, 9-4 and 9-11): 1. MATCHES WHERE PABLO, RKPI, AVCA AND RICH KERN ARE ALL HEAD-TO-HEAD: Pablo 78-28 RKPI 69-37 Rich Kern 72-34 AVCA 70-36 2. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RICH KERN ONLY: Pablo 83-33 Rich Kern 79-37 3. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH AVCA ONLY: Pablo 81-30 AVCA 72-39 4. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RKPI ONLY: Pablo 106-44 70.7% RKPI 94-56 62.7% 5. RKPI HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RICH KERN ONLY: RKPI 76-40 Rich Kern 79-37 6. RKPI HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH AVCA ONLY: RKPI 71-40 AVCA 72-39 |
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 3, 2006 17:00:29 GMT -5
So much for the facts. Probably to no one's surprise, Pablo is superior to the other three. And to Idahoboy's relief, his overall picks were more accurate than the RKPI.
|
|
|
|
Post by IdahoBoy on Nov 3, 2006 20:31:33 GMT -5
So much for the facts. Probably to no one's surprise, Pablo is superior to the other three. And to Idahoboy's relief, his overall picks were more accurate than the RKPI. WOOOOOOOOHOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!! Think how accurate I'd be if I guessed with my noggin instead of my heart!?  |
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 5, 2006 22:12:07 GMT -5
Pablo inexorably builds on its lead once again this week.
A. CUMULATIVE RESULTS (Weeks 5-11, covering the period September 18-November 5. These include all the weekly Pablo and RKPI rankings generated this year except for the first two, 9-4 and 9-11):
1. MATCHES WHERE PABLO, RKPI, AVCA AND RICH KERN ARE ALL HEAD-TO-HEAD:
Pablo 93-33____73.8%
RKPI 81-45_____64.3%
Rich Kern 86-40_68.3%
AVCA 85-41_____67.5%
2. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RICH KERN ONLY:
Pablo 98-38_____72.1%
Rich Kern 93-43_68.3%
3. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH AVCA ONLY:
Pablo 97-35____73.5%
AVCA 87-45____65.9%
4. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RKPI ONLY:
Pablo 123-52___70.3%
RKPI 110-65____62.9%
5. RKPI HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RICH KERN ONLY:
RKPI 88-48_____64.7%
Rich Kern 93-43_68.4%
6. RKPI HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH AVCA ONLY:
RKPI 84-48_____63.6%
AVCA 87-45____65.9%
B. MATCHES FOR WEEK ENDING 11-5-06 ONLY:
1. MATCHES WHERE PABLO, RKPI, AVCA AND RICH KERN ARE ALL HEAD-TO-HEAD:
Pablo 15-5
RKPI 12-8
Rich Kern 14-6
AVCA 15-5
2. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RICH KERN ONLY:
Pablo 15-5
Rich Kern 14-6
3. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH AVCA ONLY:
Pablo 16-5
AVCA 15-6
4. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RKPI ONLY:
Pablo 17-8
RKPI 16-9
5. RKPI HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RICH KERN ONLY:
RKPI 12-8
Rich Kern 14-6
6. RKPI HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH AVCA ONLY:
RKPI 13-8
AVCA 15-6
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 13, 2006 14:08:23 GMT -5
Pablo ties or increases its lead in head-to-heads again this week.
A. CUMULATIVE RESULTS (Weeks 5-12, covering the period September 18-November 12. These include all the weekly Pablo and RKPI rankings generated this year except for the first two, 9-4 and 9-11):
1. MATCHES WHERE PABLO, RKPI, AVCA AND RICH KERN ARE ALL HEAD-TO-HEAD:
Pablo 104-38____73.2%
RKPI 91-51_____64.1%
Rich Kern 97-45__68.3%
AVCA 96-46_____67.6%
2. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RICH KERN ONLY:
Pablo 109-44____71.2%
Rich Kern 104-49_68.0%
3. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH AVCA ONLY:
Pablo 110-40____73.3%
AVCA 99-51_____66.0%
4. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RKPI ONLY:
Pablo 140-60___70.0%
RKPI 125-75____62.5%
5. RKPI HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RICH KERN ONLY:
RKPI 98-55______64.1%
Rich Kern 104-49_68.0%
6. RKPI HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH AVCA ONLY:
RKPI 96-54_____64.0%
AVCA 99-51____66.0%
B. MATCHES FOR WEEK ENDING 11-12-06 ONLY:
1. MATCHES WHERE PABLO, RKPI, AVCA AND RICH KERN ARE ALL HEAD-TO-HEAD:
Pablo 11-5
RKPI 10-6
Rich Kern 11-5
AVCA 11-5
2. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RICH KERN ONLY:
Pablo 11-6
Rich Kern 11-6
3. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH AVCA ONLY:
Pablo 13-5
AVCA 12-6
4. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RKPI ONLY:
Pablo 17-8
RKPI 15-10
5. RKPI HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RICH KERN ONLY:
RKPI 10-7
Rich Kern 11-6
6. RKPI HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH AVCA ONLY:
RKPI 12-6
AVCA 12-6
|
|
|
|
Post by The Bofa on the Sofa on Nov 13, 2006 14:26:35 GMT -5
Pablo also had a better than (other rankings) week in the D2 and D3 tournaments. The story should be available at richkern.com later today.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 15, 2006 12:40:39 GMT -5
This week's contest should make for some interesting results. The AVCA and Kern polls and RKPI all agree on 21 of the 22 head-to-head matches (the exception being only RKPI picks UCLA over USC).
On the other hand, Pablo picks six of those 22 matches differently from the AVCA and Kern polls (five differently from RKPI; both picking UCLA over USC). It may come as no surprise that in all six of those matches, the only reason for the difference is the Pablo HCA points. So an opportunity for Pablo this week to soar, or for the others to close the gap. Of course, if Pablo is correct on only three of the different picks, then all four rankings will be pretty close to identical.
|
|
|
|
Post by The Bofa on the Sofa on Nov 15, 2006 14:40:44 GMT -5
This week's contest should make for some interesting results. The AVCA and Kern polls and RKPI all agree on 21 of the 22 head-to-head matches (the exception being only RKPI picks UCLA over USC). On the other hand, Pablo picks six of those 22 matches differently from the AVCA and Kern polls (five differently from RKPI; both picking UCLA over USC). It may come as no surprise that in all six of those matches, the only reason for the difference is the Pablo HCA points. So an opportunity for Pablo this week to soar, or for the others to close the gap. Of course, if Pablo is correct on only three of the different picks, then all four rankings will be pretty close to identical. Of course, that is the most probable result. For matches that close, Pablo doesn't expect to get them all right (nor all wrong). Most of the time, Pablo would say expect 3, with an occasional 4, and less occasional 2. |
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 17, 2006 3:28:47 GMT -5
Just noticed, p-dub, that you have an even 5K posts. Don't know what to say, given your propensity for declining a pat on the back, except that I hope to read another 5K!
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 19, 2006 19:25:16 GMT -5
Compared to the others, this was by far Pablo's worst week; perhaps it is more appropriate to say that the other three did amazingly well. None of the latter had more than two losses in 22/25 matches. Pablo correctly called 17 of 25. Five of the eight losses were because of the HCA, which the other ratings do not take into account. If Pablo's HCA had been 214, for example, instead of the actual 277, Pablo would have had a 22-3 record for the week. In head-to-head matches, Pablo maintains its overall lead over RKPI and AVCA, but has now been tied overall by the Rich Kern Poll.
A. CUMULATIVE RESULTS (Weeks 5-13, covering the period September 18-November 19. These include all the weekly Pablo and RKPI rankings generated this year except for the first two, 9-4 and 9-11):
1. MATCHES WHERE PABLO, RKPI, AVCA AND RICH KERN ARE ALL HEAD-TO-HEAD:
Pablo 119-45____72.6%
RKPI 112-52_____68.3%
Rich Kern 117-47__71.3%
AVCA 116-48_____70.7%
2. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RICH KERN ONLY:
Pablo 124-51____70.9%
Rich Kern 124-51_70.9%
3. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH AVCA ONLY:
Pablo 125-47____72.7%
AVCA 119-53____69.2%
4. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RKPI ONLY:
Pablo 157-68___69.8%
RKPI 148-77____65.8%
5. RKPI HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RICH KERN ONLY:
RKPI 119-56_____68.0%
Rich Kern 124-51_70.9%
6. RKPI HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH AVCA ONLY:
RKPI 117-55_____68.0%
AVCA 119-53____69.2%
B. MATCHES FOR WEEK ENDING 11-19-06 ONLY:
1. MATCHES WHERE PABLO, RKPI, AVCA AND RICH KERN ARE ALL HEAD-TO-HEAD:
Pablo 15-7
RKPI 21-1
Rich Kern 20-2
AVCA 20-2
2. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RICH KERN ONLY:
Pablo 15-7
Rich Kern 20-2
3. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH AVCA ONLY:
Pablo 15-7
AVCA 20-2
4. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RKPI ONLY:
Pablo 17-8
RKPI 23-2
5. RKPI HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RICH KERN ONLY:
RKPI 21-1
Rich Kern 20-2
6. RKPI HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH AVCA ONLY:
RKPI 21-1
AVCA 20-2
|
|
|
|
Post by naitsric on Nov 20, 2006 22:33:16 GMT -5
Anyone have an opinion of the Hawaii team?
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Nov 27, 2006 13:26:26 GMT -5
Pablo recouped some of its losses from last week by outperforming all of the other rankings this week, to increase its overall lead against all of them.
A. CUMULATIVE RESULTS (Weeks 5-14, covering the period September 18-November 26. These include all the weekly Pablo and RKPI rankings generated this year except for the first two, 9-4 and 9-11):
1. MATCHES WHERE PABLO, RKPI, AVCA AND RICH KERN ARE ALL HEAD-TO-HEAD:
Pablo 138-46____75.0%
RKPI 129-55_____70.1%
Rich Kern 133-51__72.3%
AVCA 132-52_____71.7%
2. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RICH KERN ONLY:
Pablo 144-52____73.5%
Rich Kern 140-56_71.4%
3. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH AVCA ONLY:
Pablo 144-48____75.0%
AVCA 135-57____70.3%
4. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RKPI ONLY:
Pablo 178-72___71.2%
RKPI 167-83____66.8%
5. RKPI HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RICH KERN ONLY:
RKPI 136-60_____69.4%
Rich Kern 140-56_71.4%
6. RKPI HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH AVCA ONLY:
RKPI 134-58_____69.8%
AVCA 135-57____70.3%
B. MATCHES FOR WEEK ENDING 11-26-06 ONLY:
1. MATCHES WHERE PABLO, RKPI, AVCA AND RICH KERN ARE ALL HEAD-TO-HEAD:
Pablo 19-1
RKPI 17-3
Rich Kern 16-4
AVCA 16-4
2. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RICH KERN ONLY:
Pablo 20-1
Rich Kern 16-5
3. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH AVCA ONLY:
Pablo 19-1
AVCA 16-4
4. PABLO HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RKPI ONLY:
Pablo 21-4
RKPI 19-6
5. RKPI HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH RICH KERN ONLY:
RKPI 17-4
Rich Kern 16-5
6. RKPI HEAD-TO-HEAD WITH AVCA ONLY:
RKPI 17-3
AVCA 16-4
|
|
|
|
Post by The Bofa on the Sofa on Nov 27, 2006 14:38:06 GMT -5
Pablo recouped some of its losses from last week by outperforming all of the other rankings this week, to increase its overall lead against all of them. Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose. Glad to see Pablo recover, though. How are you going to handle the rest? Unlike AVCA and RKPI, Pablo is not going to update next week. Once the tournament starts, I think rankings should be locked for the rest of the time. You could just use the end of the season Pablo rankings all the way out. I would venture to guess it will still outperform the updated AVCA rankings. |
|
