trojansc
Legend
All-VolleyTalk 1st Team (2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017), All-VolleyTalk 2nd Team (2016), 2021, 2019 Fantasy League Champion, 2020 Fantasy League Runner Up, 2022 2nd Runner Up
Posts: 31,591 
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Post by trojansc on Nov 12, 2024 20:12:07 GMT -5
Fall 2024 Bracketology (11/12) NCAA Selection Show: Sunday, December 1st - 5pm ET
Please avoid quoting entire original post. This is designed to be a reasonable projection of what the NCAA Tournament Bracket could look like. It does not solely consider results to date.
*Denotes a team that is not a 'drive-in', >400 miles away from the subregional they are assigned to.
(1) Nebraska vs. Winthrop* Hawaii* vs. (8) Florida State* (4) TCU vs. Stephen F. Austin Arkansas vs. (5) Georgia Tech* (2) Wisconsin vs. Delaware* Northern Iowa vs. (7) Miami-FL* (3) Arizona State vs. Utah State* San Diego vs. (6) Southern California State College Regional (#4)
(1) Penn State vs. St. Francis (PA) Yale vs. (8) North Carolina* (4) Purdue vs. Ball State Wright State vs. (5) BYU* (2) Creighton vs. South Dakota Tennessee* vs. (7) Minnesota (3) Kansas vs. Binghamton* Virginia* vs. (6) Florida*
Louisville Regional (#3)
(1) Louisville vs. Tennessee Tech Illinois vs. (8) Oklahoma* (4) Utah vs. Idaho State South Florida* vs. (5) Missouri* (2) Stanford vs. Florida A&M* Auburn* vs. (7) Loyola Marymount (3) Kentucky vs. Lipscomb Western Kentucky vs. (6) Dayton
Pittsburgh Regional (#2)
(1) Pittsburgh vs. Rider South Carolina* vs. (8) Washington* (4) Oregon vs. Howard* Arkansas State* vs. (5) Baylor* (2) SMU vs. East Tennessee State* UT-Arlington vs. (7) Texas A&M (3) Texas vs. Colgate* Rice vs. (6) Marquette*
LAST 5 TEAMS IN:
San Diego, Tennessee, Virginia, Rice, South Carolina
FIRST 8 TEAMS OUT:
Ole Miss, NC State, Arizona, Pepperdine, UTEP, Georgia Southern, Colorado State, South Dakota State |
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trojansc
Legend
All-VolleyTalk 1st Team (2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017), All-VolleyTalk 2nd Team (2016), 2021, 2019 Fantasy League Champion, 2020 Fantasy League Runner Up, 2022 2nd Runner Up
Posts: 31,591
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Post by trojansc on Nov 12, 2024 20:15:05 GMT -5
Just a few comments this week (I may continuously add to this post):
#7 to #11
This was really tough for me, here's why:
SMU - biggest wins, not necessarily largest quantity of wins, but wins over #1 and #2, and the only team to beat either of those teams, just feels huge. But SMU has to play FSU(x2), Miami-FL, and NC State(x2). NC State will be fighting for their tournament lives in both matchups likely.
Wisconsin - Seems like they're really starting to put it all together. Even if they don't beat Nebraska - I think you can easily justify them at #7.
Kentucky - Kentucky doesn't have the volume of wins, but they do have a H2H win with SMU. Kind of throwing a wrench in the equation.
Arizona State - Really bad non-conf S.O.S, but also doesn't have any loss outside the T25 and has 6 T25 wins, which will be more than Kentucky, but Kentucky beating SMU will likely be a better win than any ASU win.
Texas - H2H win over Kentucky AND Wisconsin, but multiple 26-50 losses (they could end up with 4 or more). But a worst loss of #37 (Miami-FL) isn't really that bad in the grand scheme of things.
Bracketing Principles
I occasionally run into a couple Bracketing principle issues. For example: I wanted Missouri to go to Purdue (Geography) but BYU and Baylor are both 5-seeds and CANNOT get sent to #4 Utah or #4 TCU. Therefore, geography got overruled in this case.
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trojansc
Legend
All-VolleyTalk 1st Team (2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017), All-VolleyTalk 2nd Team (2016), 2021, 2019 Fantasy League Champion, 2020 Fantasy League Runner Up, 2022 2nd Runner Up
Posts: 31,591
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Post by trojansc on Nov 12, 2024 20:15:36 GMT -5
KPI-RPI Ranking Comparison
KPI ranks these teams WORSE than RPI
St. John's (-32)
Wichita State (-25)
Arizona (-19)
Pepperdine (-15)
Yale (-14)
Drake (-13)
Rice (-10)
Ohio State (-7)
TCU (-6)
Northern Iowa (-6)
Appalachian State (-6)
KPI ranks these teams BETTER than RPI
LSU (+13)
Michigan (+12)
South Carolina (+11)
Arkansas State (+8)
Western Kentucky (+8)
Ole Miss (+6)
Arkansas (+6)
Florida (+6)
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Post by uofaGRAD on Nov 12, 2024 20:15:49 GMT -5
yeah no sorry I hate this one!! committee look away!!
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Post by avid 2.0 on Nov 12, 2024 20:16:14 GMT -5
Give me the Creighton regional now pls
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Post by ay2013 on Nov 12, 2024 20:17:18 GMT -5
This would be quite the gift to the ACC
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Post by eyeroll2021 on Nov 12, 2024 20:21:20 GMT -5
yeah no sorry I hate this one!! committee look away!! MOVE US BACK TO STATE COLLEGE |
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Post by Kingsley on Nov 12, 2024 20:22:05 GMT -5
(2) Stanford vs. Florida A&M* Auburn* vs. (7) Loyola Marymount Sarah Sponcil rises from the ashes |
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trojansc
Legend
All-VolleyTalk 1st Team (2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017), All-VolleyTalk 2nd Team (2016), 2021, 2019 Fantasy League Champion, 2020 Fantasy League Runner Up, 2022 2nd Runner Up
Posts: 31,591
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Post by trojansc on Nov 12, 2024 20:23:28 GMT -5
(2) Stanford vs. Florida A&M* Auburn* vs. (7) Loyola Marymount Sarah Sponcil rises from the ashes Paige Flickinger has won an NCAA Tournament game in Palo Alto before |
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Post by maigrey on Nov 12, 2024 20:37:50 GMT -5
yeah no sorry I hate this one!! committee look away!! No, I'll sign up for this one! |
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Post by maigrey on Nov 12, 2024 20:38:45 GMT -5
I accept on behalf of Wisconsin  |
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Post by tomclen on Nov 12, 2024 20:41:42 GMT -5
Oh, goody! If Washington can beat South Cackalacky, they get to play Pitt!
That should be easy, right?
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Post by huskersoftroy on Nov 12, 2024 20:41:58 GMT -5
Sending Hawaii to play in Devaney…
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Post by twkpwrbtmlib on Nov 12, 2024 20:46:28 GMT -5
wisconsin with an upset would be drama, plz
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Post by gopherhim on Nov 12, 2024 21:04:33 GMT -5
If Pitt wins out and stays ranked #1, the Instagram casuals will lose their minds when Pitt doesn’t get the overall #1 seed. I can’t wait
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