bluepenquin
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4-Time VolleyTalk Poster of the Year (2019, 2018, 2017, 2016), All-VolleyTalk 1st Team (2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016)
Posts: 12,554
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Post by bluepenquin on Nov 4, 2019 22:24:39 GMT -5
Stanford loses 1 more:
#2 - <1% #3 - 19% #4 - 40% #5 - 36% #6 - 4% #7 - <1%
Stanford loses 2 more:
#3 - <1% #4 - 9% #5 - 31% #6 - 33% #7 - 19% #8 - 5% #9 - 3% #10 - 1%
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bluepenquin
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4-Time VolleyTalk Poster of the Year (2019, 2018, 2017, 2016), All-VolleyTalk 1st Team (2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016)
Posts: 12,554
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Post by bluepenquin on Nov 4, 2019 22:30:16 GMT -5
Penn State - wins the rest and they will definitely be a seed.
Lose 1 and there is a 92% chance they finish with a 16 or better RPI.
Lose 2 more and:
Top 16 - 19% #17 - 18% #18 - 22% #19 - 19% #20+ - 23%
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Post by Kingsley on Nov 4, 2019 22:33:50 GMT -5
Penn State - wins the rest and they will definitely be a seed. Lose 1 and there is a 92% chance they finish with a 16 or better RPI. Lose 2 more and: Top 16 - 19% #17 - 18% #18 - 22% #19 - 19% #20+ - 23% Losing one match would be a phenomenal end of the season for PSU.
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bluepenquin
Hall of Fame
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4-Time VolleyTalk Poster of the Year (2019, 2018, 2017, 2016), All-VolleyTalk 1st Team (2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016)
Posts: 12,554
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Post by bluepenquin on Nov 4, 2019 22:35:50 GMT -5
Utah could probably get a seed with 2 more losses and would be a long shot to get a seed finishing up 5-3. But going 6-2 or better will not be easy:
@ USC and UCLA, @ Washington and Washington State, Home to Stanford and Cal, Home to Oregon State @ Colorado. Good luck with that.
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Post by azvb on Nov 4, 2019 22:49:47 GMT -5
If it works out this way, I'm skittish about that Wisconsin regional BAYLOR vs BYU Florida vs. UK TEXAS vs Creighton Marquette vs. Minnesota WISCONSIN vs Hawaii Nebraska vs. Washington PITT vs Rice Stanford vs TAMU I will happily take that Baylor regional.
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Post by raian13 on Nov 4, 2019 23:44:14 GMT -5
Hawaii fan here. Come on over Purdue. We'd love to have (play) you. I'd love to see them play Hawaii just because I don't think I've ever seen them compete against each other. Hawaii fan too. Mad respect for RAM, as a player and a coach who is always adjusting to the situation. Would also love to see Purdue there if UCLA gets sent there also. I think that would be a great regional in terms of competition. I think Purdue has already played on one of the pre-conference tournaments several years ago.
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Post by TuesdayGone on Nov 4, 2019 23:53:56 GMT -5
If it works out this way, I'm skittish about that Wisconsin regional BAYLOR vs BYU Florida vs. UK TEXAS vs Creighton Marquette vs. Minnesota WISCONSIN vs Hawaii Nebraska vs. Washington PITT vs Rice Stanford vs TAMU I would rather be the Stanford seed and goto Pitt Then host that bracket at Wisconsin. They should make the brackets except for the top 4 seeds Then allow the number 1 seed to select which bracket they want to be in Then allow number 2 to select Then 3 and 4
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Post by DiggUH on Nov 4, 2019 23:55:49 GMT -5
I'd love to see them play Hawaii just because I don't think I've ever seen them compete against each other. Hawaii fan too. Mad respect for RAM, as a player and a coach who is always adjusting to the situation. Would also love to see Purdue there if UCLA gets sent there also. I think that would be a great regional in terms of competition. I think Purdue has already played on one of the pre-conference tournaments several years ago. UH vs. Purdue 2004 NCAA second round match at Colorado State. Every time I see Purdue's head coach, my blood still starts to boil a little because to this day I still remember him bragging, saying something like he didn't think Hawaii was as good as their unbeaten record showed, and that he thought his team could take care of them (which they didn't).
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Post by kolohekeiki on Nov 5, 2019 0:03:40 GMT -5
I think Purdue has already played on one of the pre-conference tournaments several years ago. UH vs. Purdue 2004 NCAA second round match at Colorado State. Every time I see Purdue's head coach, my blood still starts to boil a little because to this day I still remember him bragging, saying something like he didn't think Hawaii was as good as their unbeaten record showed, and that he thought his team could take care of them (which they didn't). They also played in 2008 regional semifinal in Colorado. Wahine won in 4.
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Post by DiggUH on Nov 5, 2019 0:48:46 GMT -5
UH vs. Purdue 2004 NCAA second round match at Colorado State. Every time I see Purdue's head coach, my blood still starts to boil a little because to this day I still remember him bragging, saying something like he didn't think Hawaii was as good as their unbeaten record showed, and that he thought his team could take care of them (which they didn't). They also played in 2008 regional semifinal in Colorado. Wahine won in 4. Yes they did, but that 2004 match is the one that's imprinted in my mind whenever I think of Purdue and Dave Shondell. I should probably get over it already after 15 years. Lol.
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Post by Badger13 on Nov 5, 2019 1:17:17 GMT -5
Louisville chances of earning NCAA tournament bid now considering their recent losses?
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Post by jayj79 on Nov 5, 2019 2:21:09 GMT -5
#15 and 16 seeds are in jeopardy is it the jeopardy tournament of champions? ![:D](//storage.proboards.com/forum/images/smiley/grin.png) that would be interesting. UNI hasn't played San Diego since the early 90s (back in the sideout era)
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Post by ay2013 on Nov 5, 2019 2:31:55 GMT -5
Louisville chances of earning NCAA tournament bid now considering their recent losses? I'm gonna guess about 99% chance.
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Post by mikegarrison on Nov 5, 2019 2:33:16 GMT -5
#2 plays #7 (or whoever beat them) to GET to the semis. #3 plays #6. You really think there is a difference between #6 and #7, whoever those turn out to be? Well, it all depends, doesn't it? Let's say it's 2% harder to beat #6 than #7. Well, then 98 times every century, it won't matter. But there are those two times....
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Post by ay2013 on Nov 5, 2019 2:34:09 GMT -5
Blue, can you run simulations if Washington wins out?
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