RPI Futures 2021 - Week 3 (9/13/21)

[bluepenquin]

RPI Futures is a season ending projected RPI based on the win probabilities per Pablo for all games on the schedule.

Or the race to see if the ACC really gets 5 seeds this year with 2 of them being regional seeds?

RPI Futures Rank. (Prior Week rank)  School  -  Conference (projected wins-losses [rounded] - RPI Score - RPI strength of schedule.

1. (1) Wisconsin - Big Ten (26-2) - .7063 - 11

2. (4) Pittsburgh - Atlantic Coast (24-5) - .6907 - 3

3. (3) Louisville - Atlantic Coast (25-3) - .6906 - 7

4. (2) Kentucky - Southeastern (22-6) - .6664 - 4

5. (6) Texas - Big 12 (21-4) - .6638 - 25

6. (15) Baylor - Big 12 (18-7) - .6620 - 2

7. (8) Creighton - Big East (28-3) - .6524 - 51

8. (9) Utah - Pac 12 (24-5) - .6502 - 26

9. (11) Ohio State - Big Ten (24-6) - .6480 - 29

10. (13) Georgia Tech - Atlantic Coast (21-7) - .6449 - 9

11. (5) Purdue - Big Ten (20-9) - .6379 - 6

12. (10) Nebraska - Big Ten (20-9) - .6344 - 10

13. (30) North Carolina - Atlantic Coast (22-7) - .6260 - 33

14. (16) BYU - West Coast (24-5) - .6177 - 78

15. (14) Florida State - Atlantic Coast (18-9) - .6171 - 13

16. (21) Tennessee - Southeastern (20-8) - .6153 - 37

17. (32) Miami-FL - Atlantic Coast (20-8) - .6153 - 38

18. (19) Minnesota - Big Ten (18-10) - .6148 - 8

19. (7) Florida - Southeastern (19-9) - .6136 - 18

20. (20) Oregon - Pac 12 (22-8) - .6135 - 60

21. (17) Marquette - Big East (23-6) - .6134 - 56

22. (27) Rice - Conference USA (16-6) - .6125 - 27

23. (23) Washington - Pac 12 (23-6) - .6112 - 81

24. (26) Michigan - Big Ten (18-11) - .6088 - 17

25. (42) Colorado - Pac 12 (20-9) - .6069 - 44

26. (18) UCLA - Pac 12 (19-9) - .6062 - 41

27. (22) Western Kentucky - Conference USA (23-2) - .6052 - 175

28. (28) Towson - Colonial (26-2) - .6042 - 192

29. (12) Penn State - Big Ten (18-12) - .6011 - 19

30. (39) Kansas - Big 12 (15-12) - .5993 - 5

31. (35) Syracuse - Atlantic Coast (20-10) - .5990 - 39

32. (24) South Carolina - Southeastern (16-12) - .5971 - 14

33. (60) West Virginia - Big 12 (20-8) - .5903 - 70

34. (33) San Diego - West Coast (20-7) - .5888 - 83

35. (31) Stanford - Pac 12 (15-13) - .5885 - 15

36. (25) Pepperdine - West Coast (20-7) - .5867 - 88

37. (41) Illinois - Big Ten (17-14) - .5846 - 20

38. (73) Texas Tech - Big 12 (17-12) - .5843 - 22

39. (43) UCF - American Athletic (20-12) - .5836 - 47

40. (34) Duke - Atlantic Coast (17-12) - .5812 - 31

41. (44) UTEP - Conference USA (21-6) - .5801 - 126

42. (29) Dayton - Atlantic 10 (21-7) - .5800 - 103

43. (38) Wichita State - American Athletic (20-9) - .5788 - 75

44. (37) Houston - American Athletic (25-7) - .5750 - 153

45. (40) Florida Gulf Coast - Atlantic Sun (22-6) - .5746 - 146

46. (53) Kansas State - Big 12 (15-12) - .5736 - 36

47. (78) Missouri State - Missouri Valley (21-9) - .5705 - 91

48. (47) Texas A&M - Southeastern (15-13) - .5700 - 23

49. (95) Ole Miss - Southeastern (20-9) - .5692 - 94

50. (67) Notre Dame - Atlantic Coast (11-17) - .5686 - 1

51. (36) UNLV - Mountain West (22-7) - .5676 - 164

52. (68) LMU - West Coast (20-8) - .5673 - 144

53. (117) Wake Forest - Atlantic Coast (17-12) - .5665 - 57

54. (54) Arkansas - Southeastern (17-12) - .5659 - 53

55. (71) Kansas City - The Summit (22-8) - .5643 - 145

56. (66) Mississippi State - Southeastern (18-12) - .5632 - 72

57. (63) Iowa State - Big 12 (15-12) - .5625 - 66

58. (108) TCU - Big 12 (12-14) - .5612 - 16

59. (49) USC - Pac 12 (14-15) - .5608 - 21

60. (46) James Madison - Colonial (17-7) - .5605 - 119

61. (51) Southeast Missouri - Ohio Valley (23-7) - .5597 - 205

62. (72) Grand Canyon - Western Athletic (20-5) - .5594 - 225

63. (52) High Point - Big South (21-8) - .5593 - 167

64. (79) St. Johns - Big East (17-15) - .5587 - 45

65. (88) Weber State - Big Sky (19-7) - .5570 - 169

66. (87) Cincinnati - American Athletic (16-12) - .5564 - 71

67. (85) Northern Colorado - Big Sky (20-7) - .5556 - 189

68. (92) Xavier - Big East (18-11) - .5553 - 76

69. (50) Washington State - Pac 12 (15-15) - .5545 - 40

70. (64) Denver - The Summit (23-6) - .5545 - 263

71. (57) Texas State - Sun Belt (16-13) - .5535 - 65

72. (133) Yale - Ivy (18-5) - .5522 - 224

73. (58) Wright State - Horizon (21-9) - .5510 - 179

74. (62) Boston College - Atlantic Coast (18-14) - .5503 - 68

75. (76) Western Michigan - Mid-American (19-10) - .5502 - 117

76. (109) Charlotte - Conference USA (16-8) - .5501 - 135

77. (89) Ball State - Mid-American (21-9) - .5501 - 155

78. (112) Valparaiso - Missouri Valley (19-10) - .5499 - 121

79. (83) South Dakota - The Summit (17-10) - .5488 - 100

80. (80) Stephen F. Austin - Western Athletic (18-7) - .5488 - 183

81. (190) Princeton - Ivy (15-7) - .5485 - 148

82. (96) Maryland - Big Ten (19-13) - .5485 - 90

83. (82) UNF - Atlantic Sun (21-7) - .5472 - 213

84. (56) Sam Houston State - Western Athletic (16-9) - .5469 - 112

85. (138) Colorado State - Mountain West (17-10) - .5468 - 114

86. (90) SMU - American Athletic (16-14) - .5466 - 59

87. (65) Georgia - Southeastern (13-16) - .5460 - 28

88. (99) Arizona State - Pac 12 (15-16) - .5453 - 42

89. (152) NC State - Atlantic Coast (14-15) - .5447 - 50

90. (146) South Alabama - Sun Belt (18-10) - .5444 - 142

91. (115) Hawaii - Big West (18-10) - .5443 - 123

92. (104) Arkansas State - Sun Belt (19-9) - .5441 - 166

93. (84) Michigan State - Big Ten (13-16) - .5439 - 32

94. (128) Loyola-Chicago - Missouri Valley (19-11) - .5431 - 116

95. (106) Auburn - Southeastern (16-10) - .5429 - 98

96. (100) Coastal Carolina - Sun Belt (19-7) - .5423 - 226

97. (93) Arizona - Pac 12 (15-16) - .5418 - 55

98. (134) Utah Valley - Western Athletic (13-12) - .5413 - 69

99. (77) LSU - Southeastern (12-15) - .5410 - 35

100. (48) Memphis - American Athletic (19-13) - .5403 - 110

101. (105) Evansville - Missouri Valley (20-10) - .5396 - 190

102. (114) Boise State - Mountain West (22-9) - .5366 - 230

103. (55) VCU - Atlantic 10 (18-12) - .5363 - 113

104. (59) Brown - Ivy (16-8) - .5353 - 197

105. (178) Oakland - Horizon (19-10) - .5353 - 178

106. (61) DePaul - Big East (14-16) - .5350 - 61

107. (110) Northern Kentucky - Horizon (16-11) - .5335 - 134

108. (113) Houston Baptist - Southland (22-7) - .5332 - 284

109. (86) Bowling Green - Mid-American (16-12) - .5331 - 89

110. (125) Northwestern - Big Ten (12-19) - .5329 - 30

111. (91) Omaha - The Summit (15-13) - .5326 - 85

112. (102) Navy - Patriot (17-8) - .5315 - 209

113. (97) North Texas - Conference USA (15-11) - .5308 - 125

114. (180) Loyola University Maryland - Patriot (19-8) - .5306 - 256

115. (103) Rutgers - Big Ten (15-17) - .5306 - 67

116. (129) Saint Marys - West Coast (16-11) - .5298 - 122

117. (151) New Mexico State - Western Athletic (18-9) - .5294 - 218

118. (139) Milwaukee - Horizon (19-11) - .5278 - 174

119. (130) Clemson - Atlantic Coast (12-18) - .5277 - 46

120. (75) Morehead State - Ohio Valley (16-13) - .5276 - 92

121. (142) Villanova - Big East (15-15) - .5273 - 82

122. (149) UCSB - Big West (20-12) - .5265 - 188

123. (124) Virginia Tech - Atlantic Coast (13-17) - .5259 - 62

124. (132) Northern Iowa - Missouri Valley (14-17) - .5259 - 64

125. (45) Missouri - Southeastern (11-20) - .5258 - 24

126. (118) San Jose State - Mountain West (15-13) - .5256 - 105

127. (188) Florida Atlantic - Conference USA (15-11) - .5255 - 143

128. (116) Cal Poly - Big West (15-16) - .5246 - 77

129. (74) Alabama - Southeastern (12-18) - .5244 - 49

130. (69) Delaware - Colonial (16-10) - .5230 - 186

131. (101) Indiana - Big Ten (13-19) - .5222 - 58

132. (145) UConn - Big East (16-14) - .5221 - 109

133. (187) Northern Illinois - Mid-American (16-12) - .5220 - 127

134. (158) Utah State - Mountain West (19-11) - .5219 - 204

135. (94) Marshall - Conference USA (11-14) - .5217 - 52

136. (157) South Dakota State - The Summit (18-11) - .5209 - 217

137. (148) UTSA - Conference USA (9-15) - .5207 - 34

138. (81) Illinois State - Missouri Valley (13-17) - .5207 - 63

139. (164) Tennessee Tech - Ohio Valley (17-12) - .5201 - 163

140. (98) Jacksonville State - Atlantic Sun (21-9) - .5196 - 278

141. (127) Central Michigan - Mid-American (17-13) - .5195 - 141

142. (120) Tulane - American Athletic (18-15) - .5194 - 154

143. (174) Indiana State - Missouri Valley (16-12) - .5194 - 158

144. (107) Lipscomb - Atlantic Sun (15-11) - .5191 - 152

145. (160) Toledo - Mid-American (19-11) - .5184 - 232

146. (179) Virginia - Atlantic Coast (11-17) - .5177 - 48

147. (131) CSU Bakersfield - Big West (21-8) - .5176 - 291

148. (123) Texas A&M-Corpus Christi - Southland (15-11) - .5163 - 171

149. (191) Dartmouth - Ivy (16-7) - .5162 - 268

150. (150) Kennesaw State - Atlantic Sun (15-12) - .5162 - 172

151. (173) Murray State - Ohio Valley (17-12) - .5153 - 198

152. (168) Fairfield - Metro Atlantic (20-8) - .5152 - 299

153. (143) Wyoming - Mountain West (16-14) - .5145 - 131

154. (226) Portland State - Big Sky (14-13) - .5144 - 128

155. (171) Elon - Colonial (13-13) - .5141 - 108

156. (111) Saint Louis - Atlantic 10 (18-11) - .5140 - 235

157. (140) Winthrop - Big South (17-9) - .5117 - 267

158. (166) Colgate - Patriot (14-11) - .5109 - 181

159. (172) Troy University - Sun Belt (16-11) - .5109 - 216

160. (135) UC Irvine - Big West (19-12) - .5100 - 219

161. (70) Cornell - Ivy (12-11) - .5099 - 138

162. (211) North Dakota State - The Summit (17-13) - .5074 - 206

163. (144) College of Charleston - Colonial (14-13) - .5069 - 140

164. (167) New Mexico - Mountain West (20-10) - .5068 - 274

165. (196) Wofford - Southern (16-12) - .5064 - 228

166. (227) UNC Greensboro - Southern (20-9) - .5061 - 298

167. (205) East Tennessee State - Southern (14-13) - .5059 - 159

168. (126) Sacred Heart - Northeast (18-8) - .5057 - 294

169. (162) Oklahoma - Big 12 (9-18) - .5045 - 54

170. (170) UAB - Conference USA (11-14) - .5029 - 95

171. (230) Eastern Illinois - Ohio Valley (17-11) - .5023 - 253

172. (210) Seton Hall - Big East (15-17) - .5022 - 124

173. (159) Drake - Missouri Valley (13-13) - .5020 - 160

174. (119) Northeastern - Colonial (11-15) - .5012 - 97

175. (175) Iowa - Big Ten (7-23) - .5009 - 12

176. (156) Liberty - Atlantic Sun (14-12) - .5006 - 185

177. (176) Butler - Big East (14-17) - .5002 - 120

178. (200) McNeese State - Southland (16-10) - .4996 - 251

179. (186) Montana State - Big Sky (14-13) - .4988 - 176

180. (121) Army - Patriot (15-10) - .4962 - 276

181. (236) Santa Clara - West Coast (12-15) - .4954 - 115

182. (181) Little Rock - Sun Belt (17-11) - .4953 - 281

183. (219) Stony Brook - America East (15-11) - .4946 - 264

184. (185) Long Beach State - Big West (16-15) - .4938 - 194

185. (182) Bradley - Missouri Valley (11-18) - .4934 - 80

186. (228) USF - American Athletic (13-18) - .4925 - 102

187. (220) Eastern Michigan - Mid-American (11-17) - .4923 - 93

188. (155) Austin Peay - Ohio Valley (17-14) - .4919 - 248

189. (224) Buffalo - Mid-American (14-16) - .4907 - 187

190. (141) Illinois-Chicago - Horizon (17-13) - .4907 - 252

191. (147) Penn - Ivy (11-12) - .4906 - 184

192. (255) Chicago State - Western Athletic (14-12) - .4906 - 243

193. (231) Nicholls State - Southland (14-12) - .4904 - 233

194. (136) Tulsa - American Athletic (11-18) - .4901 - 86

195. (213) Akron - Mid-American (15-15) - .4898 - 210

196. (214) Florida A&M - Southwestern Athletic (23-5) - .4896 - 336

197. (163) Mercer - Southern (13-14) - .4892 - 180

198. (221) North Carolina A&T - Big South (17-11) - .4865 - 293

199. (165) Oregon State - Pac 12 (7-23) - .4844 - 43

200. (202) Samford - Southern (10-17) - .4836 - 104

201. (193) San Diego State - Mountain West (10-20) - .4832 - 84

202. (222) The Citadel - Southern (13-9) - .4829 - 288

203. (137) Central Arkansas - Atlantic Sun (11-14) - .4829 - 173

204. (194) Sacramento State - Big Sky (14-13) - .4825 - 269

205. (239) Furman - Southern (13-13) - .4819 - 227

206. (169) Temple - American Athletic (10-21) - .4819 - 79

207. (264) Old Dominion - Conference USA (10-16) - .4811 - 132

208. (206) Albany - America East (13-14) - .4804 - 212

209. (189) Providence - Big East (18-14) - .4800 - 287

210. (237) Hofstra - Colonial (11-16) - .4797 - 133

211. (207) Kent State - Mid-American (12-18) - .4777 - 162

212. (208) Fresno State - Mountain West (11-16) - .4774 - 182

213. (233) Tennessee State - Ohio Valley (16-11) - .4770 - 302

214. (203) Northern Arizona - Big Sky (10-15) - .4767 - 161

215. (272) Delaware State - Mid-Eastern (21-5) - .4766 - 339

216. (199) Tarleton State - Western Athletic (13-15) - .4754 - 236

217. (198) Cal - Pac 12 (11-20) - .4753 - 107

218. (154) Louisiana - Sun Belt (13-11) - .4746 - 290

219. (238) William & Mary - Colonial (8-13) - .4741 - 170

220. (275) UT Rio Grande Valley - Western Athletic (13-14) - .4741 - 249

221. (295) Norfolk State - Mid-Eastern (13-11) - .4738 - 286

222. (240) UMBC - America East (14-14) - .4732 - 271

223. (244) Cal Baptist - Western Athletic (12-12) - .4729 - 255

224. (229) Georgia Southern - Sun Belt (13-13) - .4729 - 261

225. (153) Bryant - Northeast (19-10) - .4725 - 318

226. (161) Ohio - Mid-American (8-21) - .4714 - 74

227. (195) Gonzaga - West Coast (11-18) - .4710 - 165

228. (274) American - Patriot (14-16) - .4705 - 229

229. (250) East Carolina - American Athletic (10-19) - .4702 - 118

230. (177) Southern Miss - Conference USA (14-14) - .4701 - 260

231. (293) Montana - Big Sky (11-15) - .4699 - 214

232. (212) Florida International - Conference USA (5-16) - .4689 - 73

233. (192) Western Carolina - Southern (11-16) - .4689 - 177

234. (234) Abilene Christian - Western Athletic (11-13) - .4685 - 242

235. (183) Miami-OH - Mid-American (10-18) - .4668 - 147

236. (209) Oral Roberts - The Summit (14-13) - .4659 - 285

237. (201) Purdue Fort Wayne - Horizon (11-20) - .4656 - 136

238. (204) Pacific - West Coast (8-21) - .4637 - 99

239. (122) UC Davis - Big West (14-17) - .4634 - 247

240. (218) Incarnate Word - Southland (15-14) - .4630 - 295

241. (197) Davidson - Atlantic 10 (12-14) - .4624 - 275

242. (248) Dixie State University - Western Athletic (6-16) - .4601 - 96

243. (247) Lafayette - Patriot (10-14) - .4597 - 237

244. (217) Portland - West Coast (7-22) - .4590 - 87

245. (184) Cleveland State - Horizon (9-21) - .4588 - 137

246. (242) Idaho State - Big Sky (9-19) - .4569 - 157

247. (252) Eastern Washington - Big Sky (10-14) - .4567 - 270

248. (232) Middle Tennessee - Conference USA (6-12) - .4565 - 151

249. (246) Green Bay - Horizon (12-18) - .4555 - 254

250. (262) Coppin State - Mid-Eastern (17-12) - .4539 - 316

251. (223) UT Arlington - Sun Belt (8-17) - .4502 - 191

252. (294) Hampton - Big South (9-14) - .4496 - 262

253. (235) Long Island - Northeast (12-14) - .4493 - 304

254. (260) Louisiana Tech - Conference USA (10-18) - .4483 - 220

255. (277) Stetson - Atlantic Sun (11-17) - .4478 - 244

256. (268) UC Riverside - Big West (12-18) - .4471 - 279

257. (249) Rhode Island - Atlantic 10 (14-18) - .4456 - 297

258. (285) Bucknell - Patriot (9-16) - .4440 - 246

259. (265) Southern Utah - Big Sky (9-19) - .4436 - 223

260. (225) Campbell - Big South (11-17) - .4434 - 277

261. (241) Chattanooga - Southern (10-19) - .4433 - 234

262. (257) Columbia - Ivy (5-18) - .4425 - 101

263. (261) Louisiana-Monroe - Sun Belt (7-24) - .4422 - 130

264. (266) Charleston Southern - Big South (11-15) - .4419 - 292

265. (269) Lehigh - Patriot (9-18) - .4418 - 222

266. (251) Southern Illinois - Missouri Valley (9-22) - .4416 - 203

267. (270) UNC Asheville - Big South (9-17) - .4413 - 231

268. (279) Central Connecticut State - Northeast (12-14) - .4409 - 303

269. (256) UT Martin - Ohio Valley (7-23) - .4408 - 111

270. (245) SIUE - Ohio Valley (8-21) - .4404 - 196

271. (304) Georgetown - Big East (7-22) - .4392 - 150

272. (298) Marist - Metro Atlantic (16-13) - .4392 - 326

273. (301) Niagara - Metro Atlantic (13-14) - .4388 - 312

274. (243) Georgia State - Sun Belt (7-19) - .4380 - 201

275. (288) Appalachian State - Sun Belt (8-20) - .4359 - 193

276. (254) Duquesne - Atlantic 10 (12-15) - .4356 - 305

277. (282) Air Force - Mountain West (6-22) - .4348 - 149

278. (276) Idaho - Big Sky (8-17) - .4346 - 245

279. (300) Howard - Mid-Eastern (12-15) - .4344 - 307

280. (280) Belmont - Ohio Valley (7-21) - .4333 - 168

281. (216) San Francisco - West Coast (5-21) - .4326 - 106

282. (315) Presbyterian - Big South (12-14) - .4323 - 315

283. (318) Seattle - Western Athletic (7-20) - .4316 - 202

284. (273) Rider - Metro Atlantic (14-13) - .4311 - 323

285. (267) Robert Morris - Horizon (13-17) - .4289 - 308

286. (271) New Hampshire - America East (15-11) - .4287 - 335

287. (253) Fordham - Atlantic 10 (10-18) - .4287 - 282

288. (305) Bellarmine - Atlantic Sun (10-18) - .4262 - 280

289. (215) Southeastern Louisiana - Southland (7-18) - .4248 - 240

290. (308) Harvard - Ivy (4-19) - .4242 - 139

291. (259) Jacksonville - Atlantic Sun (6-22) - .4228 - 195

292. (311) Radford - Big South (8-20) - .4227 - 258

293. (314) UC San Diego - Big West (9-22) - .4219 - 272

294. (289) North Dakota - The Summit (6-24) - .4211 - 156

295. (263) Cal State Fullerton - Big West (7-21) - .4185 - 211

296. (258) UNCW - Colonial (6-21) - .4178 - 207

297. (287) Canisius - Metro Atlantic (10-17) - .4174 - 300

298. (302) Jackson State - Southwestern Athletic (12-14) - .4171 - 325

299. (283) North Carolina Central - Mid-Eastern (7-17) - .4166 - 273

300. (309) Northwestern State - Southland (9-20) - .4165 - 283

301. (303) Eastern Kentucky - Atlantic Sun (8-22) - .4145 - 238

302. (307) Western Illinois - The Summit (6-23) - .4143 - 199

303. (281) Quinnipiac - Metro Atlantic (11-16) - .4139 - 311

304. (290) George Mason - Atlantic 10 (6-21) - .4137 - 241

305. (286) Nevada - Mountain West (5-24) - .4115 - 200

306. (316) St. Francis-PA - Northeast (11-15) - .4110 - 317

307. (313) IUPUI - Horizon (6-23) - .4102 - 221

308. (312) Youngstown State - Horizon (7-22) - .4096 - 265

309. (317) Morgan State - Mid-Eastern (7-21) - .4072 - 250

310. (291) Hartford - America East (6-19) - .4048 - 266

311. (299) St. Thomas - The Summit (3-25) - .4042 - 129

312. (325) Binghamton - America East (7-17) - .4005 - 296

313. (296) Lamar - Western Athletic (6-20) - .3998 - 259

314. (278) Holy Cross - Patriot (4-23) - .3985 - 208

315. (297) New Orleans - Southland (4-18) - .3983 - 239

316. (321) Cal State Northridge - Big West (4-26) - .3950 - 215

317. (310) Iona - Metro Atlantic (11-16) - .3943 - 329

318. (323) North Alabama - Atlantic Sun (9-21) - .3941 - 310

319. (319) Gardner-Webb - Big South (8-18) - .3934 - 314

320. (284) Maryland Eastern Shore - Mid-Eastern (9-16) - .3917 - 324

321. (306) South Carolina Upstate - Big South (8-21) - .3846 - 313

322. (330) Grambling State - Southwestern Athletic (10-14) - .3809 - 334

323. (320) Arkansas-Pine Bluff - Southwestern Athletic (10-18) - .3749 - 328

324. (322) Siena - Metro Atlantic (6-23) - .3672 - 306

325. (327) NJIT - America East (5-22) - .3669 - 301

326. (332) Texas Southern - Southwestern Athletic (9-22) - .3652 - 322

327. (292) Fairleigh Dickinson - Northeast (9-19) - .3632 - 331

328. (331) St. Francis-Brooklyn - Northeast (8-23) - .3618 - 327

329. (328) George Washington - Atlantic 10 (2-25) - .3614 - 257

330. (324) Prairie View A&M - Southwestern Athletic (10-21) - .3608 - 330

331. (326) South Carolina State - Mid-Eastern (3-19) - .3550 - 289

332. (329) Manhattan College - Metro Atlantic (5-18) - .3429 - 319

333. (333) Alabama State - Southwestern Athletic (8-22) - .3414 - 332

334. (335) Bethune-Cookman - Southwestern Athletic (5-23) - .3324 - 321

335. (337) Alabama A&M - Southwestern Athletic (5-23) - .3185 - 333

336. (336) Southern - Southwestern Athletic (6-16) - .3114 - 340

337. (339) Saint Peters - Metro Atlantic (3-26) - .3111 - 320

338. (334) Merrimack - Northeast (1-28) - .3072 - 309

339. (338) Alcorn State - Southwestern Athletic (5-20) - .2948 - 338

340. (340) Mississippi Valley State - Southwestern Athletic (3-18) - .2827 - 337

[huskyvolley]

Wow Pitts and Louisville will still remain in top 4 even with 5 and 3 losses, respectively??

[vballfan17]

ACC with 6 teams in the top 17!

[bluepenquin]

Sept 13, 2021 16:24:32 GMT -5 huskyvolley said:

Wow Pitts and Louisville will still remain in top 4 even with 5 and 3 losses, respectively??

Right now - they remind me of Kentucky and Florida from a couple years ago when they both ended up being regional seeds (if I remember correctly).  Their RPI Futures were very good by Week 3 and it held for the entire year.  The ACC might be a bit tougher than the SEC that year?

The volume of T25/T50 wins is huge right now for those two teams.

[slxpress]

Sept 13, 2021 16:24:32 GMT -5 huskyvolley said:

Wow Pitts and Louisville will still remain in top 4 even with 5 and 3 losses, respectively??

It's going to change a lot as the season unfolds. I wouldn't get too worked up about it. It's fun to track how it unfolds, really. I've always found it to be a much better predictor of a team's chances of making it into the tournament and what they have to do to get there than who the top 4 seeds are going to be, at least this early in the season. 

[huskyvolley]

I think top 25 and top 50 is too general at this point. Top 10 win bonus should be implemented.

[bluepenquin]

Sept 13, 2021 16:34:14 GMT -5 slxpress said:

Sept 13, 2021 16:24:32 GMT -5 huskyvolley said:

Wow Pitts and Louisville will still remain in top 4 even with 5 and 3 losses, respectively??

It's going to change a lot as the season unfolds. I wouldn't get too worked up about it. It's fun to track how it unfolds, really. I've always found it to be a much better predictor of a team's chances of making it into the tournament and what they have to do to get there than who the top 4 seeds are going to be, at least this early in the season. 

This is correct in terms of RPI score.  The best teams will exceed their Pablo projections and then random variation.  I would expect 'better' to get a top 4 RPI than the current RPI Futures.  

That said - Pitt/Louisville has a sizeable lead over #4 and there is a ton of bonus potential out there for them to get.

For perspective.  Louisville is estimated to have 9 more Top 25 matches this year and is projected to win each of them.  They have 5 additional that are in the T50.

Nebraska has 8 additional T25 matches on their schedule and they are favored in just 2 of those 8.  They also have 5 additional T50 matches - 2 of them are @ Penn State and Stanford (N) (which will not be easy).  The path for Louisville is much better/easier than Nebraska.

[ay2013]

Sept 13, 2021 16:49:13 GMT -5 huskyvolley said:

I think top 25 and top 50 is too general at this point. Top 10 win bonus should be implemented.

of all suggestions to fix RPI, this gets put in the bad idea column.

[ay2013]

If anything close to this manifests for the year end RPI, there are going to be a lot of epic 1st round matches.

[bluepenquin]

Sept 13, 2021 17:37:26 GMT -5 ay2013 said:

If anything close to this manifests for the year end RPI, there are going to be a lot of epic 1st round matches.

I was also thinking of that - and there are going to be a lot of very competitive regionals with some very unlucky matchups.

[bruinsgold]

Do the win/loss records update weekly?

There's no way Utah is going to have only 4 losses coming with their PAC schedule.

[Deleted]

Sept 13, 2021 19:18:33 GMT -5 bruinsgold said:

Do the win/loss records update weekly?

There's no way Utah is going to have only 4 losses coming with their PAC schedule.

Pablo is still way off on the Pac.

[bluepenquin]

Here was the projected conference wins in the PAC:

Washington - 15.2
Utah - 15.1
Oregon - 13.4
UCLA - 12.4
Colorado - 11.8
Stanford - 10.9
Washington State - 9.8
USC - 9.1
Arizona - 7.4
Arizona State - 7.2
Oregon State - 4.2
Cal - 3.5

[trojansc]

bluepenquin what does this RPI futures factor in?

Does it always include the T75 bonus for nonconference? Does it include the bonus points for T25/T50 wins, or does that happen in a later week?

[n00b]

Wow. Notre Dame at #50 with an 11-17 record? That’s a heck of a job scheduling. Now if they could only play volleyball at a similar level…