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Post by taxidea on Oct 12, 2022 18:39:40 GMT -5
Uhhm...my gut senses that Saige Damrow will realistically have only a marginal impact on the team's success in her frosh campaign. Not shading Saige in any way. Just don't know how she significantly moves the needle in the back court, with or without Ashburn on the roster. Her health this year is part of that equation. Of course, she could come in and rock the house instead.
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Post by badgerbreath on Oct 12, 2022 21:58:47 GMT -5
Wow. Three badger birthdays the last 2 days. GG on the 10th, Orzol and Smrek on the 11th.
Even more strange, it's basically the entire non-US contingent. What are the chances?
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Post by robtearle on Oct 12, 2022 22:20:31 GMT -5
Wow. Three badger birthdays the last 2 days. GG on the 10th, Orzol and Smrek on the 11th. Even more strange, it's basically the entire non-US contingent. What are the chances? Well... It's a fairly well-known probability 'problem' of the form 'what are the chances that out of a group of N people two have the same birthday?'. And surprisingly, you only need of group of 23 people for the chances of any two of them having the same birthday to get to about 50/50. That is, it is just as likely that two have the same birthday as none of them sharing a birthday. With only 17 on the roster, the chances of two sharing a birthday wouldn't get that high. I'm sure I could cheat and google that percentage (or do it myself). And then having a third one day off could also be done. The three of them being the only three foreigners in a group of Americans is a whole other question, however. ------------------------ Of course I sat here and did it (I hope correctly!) The chances of any two of the 17 having the same birthday is about 31.5% (because you have all 365 days to 'choose' from) But then having a third one out of the remaining 15 only one day off (because now you only have two days to choose from) takes the whole thing down to about 2.5%. The foreigners stuff is somebody else's gig. |
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Post by nuclearbdgr on Oct 12, 2022 23:13:54 GMT -5
It has been a while since I took Math 431 and 632, but I think that portion would simply be (3/17)*(2/16)*(1/15) = 6/4080 or about 0.15%
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Post by tablealgebra on Oct 12, 2022 23:33:38 GMT -5
Wow. Three badger birthdays the last 2 days. GG on the 10th, Orzol and Smrek on the 11th. Even more strange, it's basically the entire non-US contingent. What are the chances? Well... It's a fairly well-known probability 'problem' of the form 'what are the chances that out of a group of N people two have the same birthday?'. And surprisingly, you only need of group of 23 people for the chances of any two of them having the same birthday to get to about 50/50. That is, it is just as likely that two have the same birthday as none of them sharing a birthday. With only 17 on the roster, the chances of two sharing a birthday wouldn't get that high. I'm sure I could cheat and google that percentage (or do it myself). And then having a third one day off could also be done. The three of them being the only three foreigners in a group of Americans is a whole other question, however. ------------------------ Of course I sat here and did it (I hope correctly!) The chances of any two of the 17 having the same birthday is about 31.5% (because you have all 365 days to 'choose' from) But then having a third one out of the remaining 15 only one day off (because now you only have two days to choose from) takes the whole thing down to about 2.5%. The foreigners stuff is somebody else's gig. In general, though, the probability of *something* rare happening, of all the rare things that could happen, is actually really high. |
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Post by badgerbreath on Oct 13, 2022 0:34:37 GMT -5
Well... It's a fairly well-known probability 'problem' of the form 'what are the chances that out of a group of N people two have the same birthday?'. And surprisingly, you only need of group of 23 people for the chances of any two of them having the same birthday to get to about 50/50. That is, it is just as likely that two have the same birthday as none of them sharing a birthday. With only 17 on the roster, the chances of two sharing a birthday wouldn't get that high. I'm sure I could cheat and google that percentage (or do it myself). And then having a third one day off could also be done. The three of them being the only three foreigners in a group of Americans is a whole other question, however. ------------------------ Of course I sat here and did it (I hope correctly!) The chances of any two of the 17 having the same birthday is about 31.5% (because you have all 365 days to 'choose' from) But then having a third one out of the remaining 15 only one day off (because now you only have two days to choose from) takes the whole thing down to about 2.5%. The foreigners stuff is somebody else's gig. In general, though, the probability of *something* rare happening, of all the rare things that could happen, is actually really high. This is the right answer. |
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Post by savannahbadger on Oct 13, 2022 8:08:58 GMT -5
In general, though, the probability of *something* rare happening, of all the rare things that could happen, is actually really high. So you’re saying I should start playing the Powerball?  |
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Post by volleyball90 on Oct 13, 2022 8:40:12 GMT -5
Oh really? Was there any interview of her that I am not aware of? Why would you presume she would leave? As for indications one way or the other: Ashburn did not participate in the 'senior jump in the lake'. Liz Gregorski - same incoming class as Izzy - did participate. Of course that isn't determinative; each could change their mind on what that indicates regarding their plans. Izzy has already graduated and has already begun working on a masters. I don't recall what the masters program is, but one could look up whether it is a one year or two year program. If it is a two year program, she'll be on campus anyway... ---------- Business analytics - a three semester curriculum This, players have jumped in the lake and returned, but I don't think anyone has not jumped and then not returned unless they transferred or medically retired. It has seemed Izzy has planned on returning prior to this season. Liz actually has 2 potential seasons left so a little surprising she is deciding not to return, but if I tore my acl multiple times, I would probably just quit. |
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Post by Wiswell on Oct 13, 2022 9:23:36 GMT -5
Wow. Three badger birthdays the last 2 days. GG on the 10th, Orzol and Smrek on the 11th. Even more strange, it's basically the entire non-US contingent. What are the chances? New Year's Eve is cold. 😂 A NYE baby would be born the first week in October if on time. |
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Post by robtearle on Oct 13, 2022 9:43:35 GMT -5
Wow. Three badger birthdays the last 2 days. GG on the 10th, Orzol and Smrek on the 11th. Even more strange, it's basically the entire non-US contingent. What are the chances? New Year's Eve is cold. 😂 A NYE baby would be born the first week in October if on time. When I googled to double-check my answer of 31.5% for two birthdays in a group of 17 (it's right), one thing I saw said the most common birthday over a ten year period in the US around 2000 was September 9, followed by September 19. No particular guess as to why. |
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Post by hornshouse23 on Oct 13, 2022 9:54:24 GMT -5
New Year's Eve is cold. 😂 A NYE baby would be born the first week in October if on time. When I googled to double-check my answer of 31.5% for two birthdays in a group of 17 (it's right), one thing I saw said the most common birthday over a ten year period in the US around 2000 was September 9, followed by September 19. No particular guess as to why. Y2K. We all thought the world was gonna end and it didn’t. Bloop. 9 months later little Jack and little Jane reminded you about that anticlimactic day we all stocked up on pop tarts and bottled water. |
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Post by hornshouse23 on Oct 13, 2022 9:55:46 GMT -5
Wow. Three badger birthdays the last 2 days. GG on the 10th, Orzol and Smrek on the 11th. Even more strange, it's basically the entire non-US contingent. What are the chances? New Year's Eve is cold. 😂 A NYE baby would be born the first week in October if on time. Wouldn’t they be Valentine’s Day babies? 10 months and a week feels like quite the while to be with child. |
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Post by Wiswell on Oct 13, 2022 10:09:27 GMT -5
Pregnancies last 40 weeks.
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Post by savannahbadger on Oct 13, 2022 11:03:46 GMT -5
Pregnancies last 40 weeks. Not all do though. My wife had our twins at 36 weeks without issue, and I can’t imagine how much bigger they would have been at full term vs what their actual birth weight was. |
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Post by savannahbadger on Oct 13, 2022 11:07:43 GMT -5
Wow. Three badger birthdays the last 2 days. GG on the 10th, Orzol and Smrek on the 11th. Even more strange, it's basically the entire non-US contingent. What are the chances? New Year's Eve is cold. 😂 A NYE baby would be born the first week in October if on time. NYE pregnancies might not all come to fruition though (I won’t say anything more, to keep it non-political). Couples having time off around the holidays means more time for baby-making in early/mid December, so that puts the roughly 40 weeks into mid-September. |
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