RPI Futures - Week 9 (10/23/17)

[bluepenquin]

RPI Futures is a projected season ending RPI based on the current W/L record for each D1 school plus the win probabilities
for each team and their opponents per Pablo rating for remaining scheduled matches.

1. Penn State - Big Ten (27-3) - .7114, LW - 1, SOS - 17
2. Minnesota - Big Ten (28-3) - .7094, LW - 4, SOS - 15
3. Florida - SEC (24-2) - .7051, LW - 2, SOS - 10
4. Kentucky - SEC (25-4) - .7041, LW - 3, SOS - 5
5. Stanford - Pac 12 (26-3) - .7028, LW - 5, SOS - 24
6. Nebraska - Big Ten (25-5) - .6986, LW - 7, SOS - 11
7. Texas - Big 12 (23-3) - .6984, LW - 6, SOS - 12
8. Wisconsin - Big Ten (22-7) - .6755, LW - 8, SOS - 4
9. Washington - Pac 12 (22-9) - .6649, LW - 10, SOS - 7
10. Utah - Pac 12 (23-8) - .6647, LW - 9, SOS - 8
11. Kansas - Big 12 (24-5) - .6644, LW - 13, SOS - 30
12. Michigan State - Big Ten (23-6) - .6640, LW - 12, SOS - 26
13. Oregon - Pac 12 (19-9) - .6634, LW - 11, SOS - 3
14. UCLA - Pac 12 (19-10) - .6487, LW - 14, SOS - 6
15. Creighton - Big East (23-6) - .6483, LW - 16, SOS - 32
16. BYU - West Coast (28-2) - .6468, LW - 15, SOS - 81
17. Iowa State - Big 12 (20-7) - .6461, LW - 19, SOS - 23
18. USC - Pac 12 (21-10) - .6454, LW - 20, SOS - 14
19. Wichita State - American Athletic (27-4) - .6429, LW - 18, SOS - 54
20. Cal Poly - Big West (25-3) - .6397, LW - 21, SOS - 73
21. Illinois - Big Ten (21-10) - .6355, LW - 22, SOS - 16
22. Baylor - Big 12 (21-8) - .6354, LW - 17, SOS - 35
23. San Diego - West Coast (23-5) - .6280, LW - 25, SOS - 52
24. Purdue - Big Ten (21-10) - .6255, LW - 23, SOS - 27
25. Colorado - Pac 12 (20-11) - .6232, LW - 30, SOS - 31
26. Western Kentucky - Conference USA (28-2) - .6220, LW - 26, SOS - 115
27. Oregon State - Pac 12 (21-11) - .6210, LW - 29, SOS - 25
28. Louisville - ACC (22-8) - .6193, LW - 24, SOS - 42
29. Pittsburgh - ACC (24-7) - .6080, LW - 28, SOS - 63
30. Marquette - Big East (21-8) - .6080, LW - 27, SOS - 47
31. Michigan - Big Ten (19-13) - .6079, LW - 37, SOS - 22
32. Notre Dame - ACC (24-7) - .6076, LW - 35, SOS - 67
33. LSU - SEC (21-8) - .6055, LW - 34, SOS - 56
34. Arkansas - SEC (20-10) - .6036, LW - 43, SOS - 41
35. NC State - ACC (21-10) - .6022, LW - 39, SOS - 46
36. Colorado State - Mountain West (27-4) - .6015, LW - 36, SOS - 144
37. Ohio State - Big Ten (15-16) - .6008, LW - 33, SOS - 2
38. Iowa - Big Ten (19-14) - .6000, LW - 38, SOS - 20
39. Auburn - SEC (15-12) - .5987, LW - 31, SOS - 9
40. Northern Iowa - Missouri Valley (26-6) - .5958, LW - 44, SOS - 121
41. VCU - Atlantic 10 (27-3) - .5937, LW - 45, SOS - 190
42. Missouri State - Missouri Valley (25-6) - .5901, LW - 46, SOS - 124
43. Hawaii - Big West (19-8) - .5888, LW - 48, SOS - 65
44. Texas A&M - SEC (10-15) - .5882, LW - 32, SOS - 1
45. High Point - Big South (22-7) - .5877, LW - 52, SOS - 95
46. Washington State - Pac 12 (16-16) - .5874, LW - 40, SOS - 13
47. Miami-FL - ACC (19-7) - .5865, LW - 50, SOS - 77
48. Missouri - SEC (17-14) - .5863, LW - 42, SOS - 28
49. Dayton - Atlantic 10 (22-7) - .5861, LW - 49, SOS - 104
50. Maryland - Big Ten (17-15) - .5854, LW - 47, SOS - 19
51. Florida State - ACC (17-11) - .5844, LW - 41, SOS - 49
52. Alabama - SEC (19-13) - .5834, LW - 51, SOS - 44
53. College of Charleston - Colonial (25-5) - .5797, LW - 53, SOS - 187
54. Butler - Big East (22-8) - .5791, LW - 62, SOS - 101
55. North Carolina - ACC (16-12) - .5790, LW - 55, SOS - 39
56. North Texas - Conference USA (24-4) - .5746, LW - 56, SOS - 234
57. Princeton - Ivy (18-6) - .5727, LW - 58, SOS - 118
58. James Madison - Colonial (20-5) - .5727, LW - 57, SOS - 152
59. Kennesaw State - Atlantic Sun (18-5) - .5717, LW - 68, SOS - 159
60. Austin Peay - Ohio Valley (26-6) - .5715, LW - 60, SOS - 202
61. West Virginia - Big 12 (18-12) - .5697, LW - 54, SOS - 59
62. Tennessee - SEC (14-13) - .5692, LW - 61, SOS - 36
63. UC Irvine - Big West (24-5) - .5687, LW - 64, SOS - 200
64. Villanova - Big East (19-10) - .5685, LW - 63, SOS - 72
65. Radford - Big South (23-4) - .5681, LW - 67, SOS - 240
66. Georgia - SEC (18-13) - .5678, LW - 77, SOS - 58
67. Yale - Ivy (18-5) - .5664, LW - 69, SOS - 151
68. Navy - Patriot (23-6) - .5648, LW - 59, SOS - 191
69. North Dakota - Big Sky (28-6) - .5646, LW - 66, SOS - 223
70. Denver - The Summit (20-6) - .5640, LW - 71, SOS - 156
71. Central Arkansas - Southland (24-4) - .5607, LW - 70, SOS - 254
72. Miami-OH - Mid-American (20-9) - .5599, LW - 84, SOS - 126
73. Ole Miss - SEC (18-13) - .5597, LW - 78, SOS - 64
74. Texas State - Sun Belt (23-8) - .5592, LW - 74, SOS - 145
75. Temple - American Athletic (19-9) - .5586, LW - 85, SOS - 111
76. SMU - American Athletic (20-11) - .5576, LW - 72, SOS - 106
77. Towson - Colonial (25-5) - .5574, LW - 76, SOS - 247
78. Lipscomb - Atlantic Sun (16-11) - .5570, LW - 65, SOS - 66
79. Boise State - Mountain West (18-12) - .5548, LW - 75, SOS - 74
80. American - Patriot (23-8) - .5547, LW - 81, SOS - 184
81. Rice - Conference USA (20-8) - .5542, LW - 86, SOS - 157
82. SIUE - Ohio Valley (23-5) - .5522, LW - 80, SOS - 251
83. Northwestern - Big Ten (14-18) - .5503, LW - 82, SOS - 33
84. TCU - Big 12 (11-17) - .5483, LW - 73, SOS - 21
85. Portland State - Big Sky (22-6) - .5476, LW - 90, SOS - 237
86. Georgia Tech - ACC (15-16) - .5472, LW - 102, SOS - 57
87. Florida Gulf Coast - Atlantic Sun (21-7) - .5466, LW - 92, SOS - 212
88. Loyola Marymount - West Coast (17-12) - .5456, LW - 83, SOS - 80
89. Northeastern - Colonial (19-10) - .5456, LW - 79, SOS - 127
90. Stephen F. Austin - Southland (26-6) - .5452, LW - 89, SOS - 277
91. Cal - Pac 12 (14-17) - .5451, LW - 106, SOS - 48
92. Duke - ACC (18-13) - .5450, LW - 97, SOS - 89
93. Sacramento State - Big Sky (23-9) - .5446, LW - 94, SOS - 207
94. Kansas State - Big 12 (12-17) - .5436, LW - 91, SOS - 34
95. Florida Atlantic - Conference USA (17-9) - .5428, LW - 108, SOS - 142
96. Arkansas State - Sun Belt (19-10) - .5420, LW - 104, SOS - 138
97. Wyoming - Mountain West (17-13) - .5412, LW - 87, SOS - 78
98. Seton Hall - Big East (16-15) - .5402, LW - 111, SOS - 70
99. Cleveland State - Horizon (18-9) - .5400, LW - 112, SOS - 169
100. Indiana - Big Ten (13-19) - .5385, LW - 98, SOS - 38
101. Furman - Southern (20-9) - .5381, LW - 109, SOS - 192
102. Illinois State - Missouri Valley (19-12) - .5379, LW - 107, SOS - 139
103. Hofstra - Colonial (18-12) - .5371, LW - 100, SOS - 109
104. Santa Clara - West Coast (13-17) - .5365, LW - 105, SOS - 53
105. Texas Tech - Big 12 (16-13) - .5352, LW - 101, SOS - 88
106. Cincinnati - American Athletic (15-17) - .5349, LW - 117, SOS - 55
107. Arizona State - Pac 12 (12-20) - .5348, LW - 103, SOS - 37
108. East Tennessee State - Southern (16-11) - .5342, LW - 88, SOS - 114
109. Arizona - Pac 12 (10-19) - .5337, LW - 113, SOS - 29
110. UCF - American Athletic (17-15) - .5331, LW - 110, SOS - 85
111. Portland - West Coast (17-13) - .5329, LW - 93, SOS - 97
112. South Alabama - Sun Belt (18-8) - .5321, LW - 95, SOS - 228
113. Pepperdine - West Coast (16-15) - .5319, LW - 99, SOS - 86
114. Coastal Carolina - Sun Belt (17-8) - .5314, LW - 124, SOS - 197
115. Texas-San Antonio - Conference USA (11-15) - .5310, LW - 96, SOS - 50
116. Syracuse - ACC (19-14) - .5310, LW - 114, SOS - 129
117. Houston Baptist - Southland (21-7) - .5306, LW - 119, SOS - 256
118. IUPUI - Horizon (15-14) - .5280, LW - 128, SOS - 90
119. Green Bay - Horizon (13-14) - .5277, LW - 122, SOS - 75
120. Harvard - Ivy (14-9) - .5274, LW - 123, SOS - 167
121. Ball State - Mid-American (18-11) - .5269, LW - 125, SOS - 170
122. Oral Roberts - The Summit (14-12) - .5255, LW - 126, SOS - 112
123. San Jose State - Mountain West (18-11) - .5244, LW - 129, SOS - 182
124. Oakland - Horizon (16-12) - .5239, LW - 121, SOS - 132
125. New Mexico State - WAC (20-8) - .5237, LW - 133, SOS - 262
126. Pacific - West Coast (14-15) - .5236, LW - 141, SOS - 84
127. Drake - Missouri Valley (23-9) - .5233, LW - 118, SOS - 258
128. Idaho - Big Sky (16-11) - .5226, LW - 116, SOS - 164
129. Gonzaga - West Coast (15-15) - .5206, LW - 143, SOS - 102
130. Belmont - Ohio Valley (15-13) - .5198, LW - 115, SOS - 122
131. Bowling Green - Mid-American (16-11) - .5191, LW - 135, SOS - 162
132. Colgate - Patriot (17-11) - .5186, LW - 134, SOS - 173
133. Western Michigan - Mid-American (18-9) - .5182, LW - 142, SOS - 236
134. Tulsa - American Athletic (15-17) - .5168, LW - 137, SOS - 79
135. South Carolina - SEC (13-17) - .5163, LW - 156, SOS - 76
136. Tulane - American Athletic (16-16) - .5158, LW - 120, SOS - 117
137. St. Johns - Big East (15-18) - .5154, LW - 140, SOS - 83
138. Saint Marys - West Coast (9-19) - .5148, LW - 132, SOS - 40
139. South Dakota - The Summit (16-10) - .5141, LW - 149, SOS - 222
140. Southern Miss - Conference USA (19-11) - .5138, LW - 130, SOS - 221
141. UC Davis - Big West (14-16) - .5129, LW - 127, SOS - 105
142. Murray State - Ohio Valley (18-10) - .5125, LW - 152, SOS - 235
143. San Diego State - Mountain West (15-16) - .5113, LW - 166, SOS - 120
144. Buffalo - Mid-American (17-10) - .5109, LW - 162, SOS - 226
145. Saint Louis - Atlantic 10 (13-14) - .5106, LW - 146, SOS - 107
146. North Dakota State - The Summit (18-8) - .5101, LW - 131, SOS - 283
147. Oklahoma - Big 12 (7-22) - .5093, LW - 169, SOS - 18
148. LIU Brooklyn - Northeast (17-10) - .5089, LW - 148, SOS - 231
149. UT Rio Grande Valley - WAC (16-11) - .5071, LW - 138, SOS - 219
150. Elon - Colonial (16-15) - .5041, LW - 139, SOS - 149
151. Virginia Tech - ACC (12-19) - .5041, LW - 151, SOS - 69
152. Lehigh - Patriot (18-12) - .5040, LW - 150, SOS - 250
153. Cornell - Ivy (11-12) - .5039, LW - 144, SOS - 116
154. Illinois-Chicago - Horizon (17-12) - .5037, LW - 158, SOS - 230
155. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi - Southland (12-15) - .5035, LW - 145, SOS - 100
156. Army - Patriot (18-11) - .5029, LW - 153, SOS - 263
157. Northern Kentucky - Horizon (12-13) - .5023, LW - 164, SOS - 131
158. UNC Greensboro - Southern (15-13) - .5019, LW - 157, SOS - 204
159. Charlotte - Conference USA (20-10) - .5013, LW - 136, SOS - 282
160. Ohio - Mid-American (14-16) - .5011, LW - 170, SOS - 133
161. Jacksonville - Atlantic Sun (16-11) - .5004, LW - 163, SOS - 246
162. Wofford - Southern (19-11) - .4987, LW - 174, SOS - 286
163. Campbell - Big South (19-11) - .4981, LW - 175, SOS - 279
164. Central Connecticut State - Northeast (17-8) - .4968, LW - 177, SOS - 292
165. Stony Brook - American East (17-11) - .4966, LW - 161, SOS - 260
166. Cal State Northridge - Big West (14-14) - .4964, LW - 159, SOS - 153
167. Xavier - Big East (10-22) - .4962, LW - 182, SOS - 61
168. Valparaiso - Missouri Valley (18-14) - .4961, LW - 185, SOS - 224
169. Northern Illinois - Mid-American (9-22) - .4958, LW - 167, SOS - 45
170. East Carolina - American Athletic (20-13) - .4958, LW - 173, SOS - 265
171. Providence - Big East (17-16) - .4958, LW - 154, SOS - 177
172. Duquesne - Atlantic 10 (13-15) - .4956, LW - 180, SOS - 141
173. Utah State - Mountain West (16-14) - .4951, LW - 155, SOS - 201
174. Chattanooga - Southern (15-15) - .4946, LW - 172, SOS - 176
175. Northern Colorado - Big Sky (14-15) - .4945, LW - 147, SOS - 172
176. UConn - American Athletic (14-18) - .4942, LW - 160, SOS - 123
177. Wake Forest - ACC (13-19) - .4934, LW - 179, SOS - 108
178. Louisiana-Lafayette - Sun Belt (18-12) - .4923, LW - 171, SOS - 268
179. UCSB - Big West (8-20) - .4913, LW - 215, SOS - 60
180. Fairfield - Metro Atlantic (22-7) - .4906, LW - 176, SOS - 316
181. Eastern Kentucky - Ohio Valley (13-17) - .4889, LW - 201, SOS - 146
182. Sacred Heart - Northeast (13-14) - .4887, LW - 184, SOS - 195
183. UC Riverside - Big West (12-16) - .4885, LW - 178, SOS - 136
184. Northern Arizona - Big Sky (12-15) - .4884, LW - 203, SOS - 147
185. Sam Houston State - Southland (17-12) - .4875, LW - 189, SOS - 272
186. Eastern Illinois - Ohio Valley (15-13) - .4874, LW - 183, SOS - 209
187. Bryant - Northeast (20-12) - .4867, LW - 165, SOS - 284
188. UNLV - Mountain West (11-20) - .4866, LW - 199, SOS - 94
189. New Mexico - Mountain West (15-17) - .4860, LW - 168, SOS - 188
190. Marshall - Conference USA (12-17) - .4857, LW - 186, SOS - 128
191. UNCW - Colonial (10-18) - .4851, LW - 198, SOS - 96
192. UMBC - American East (18-9) - .4840, LW - 192, SOS - 302
193. Georgetown - Big East (9-21) - .4840, LW - 195, SOS - 71
194. Houston - American Athletic (12-16) - .4837, LW - 219, SOS - 155
195. Central Michigan - Mid-American (13-15) - .4832, LW - 191, SOS - 189
196. McNeese State - Southland (18-13) - .4821, LW - 193, SOS - 287
197. USF - American Athletic (11-19) - .4819, LW - 207, SOS - 110
198. Utah Valley - WAC (14-15) - .4817, LW - 181, SOS - 203
199. Seattle - WAC (11-16) - .4813, LW - 218, SOS - 134
200. Milwaukee - Horizon (14-16) - .4806, LW - 200, SOS - 196

[ay2013]

making a decent guess at the nitty gritty team sheets, based off of this futures I'd have seeds of

1- Penn State
16- Creighton
8- Wisconsin
9- Kansas

2- Stanford
15- UCLA
7- Kentucky
10- Michigan State

3- Minnesota
14- Oregon
6- Nebraska
11- Utah

4- Florida
13- BYU
5- Texas
12- Washington

[Millennium]

What does the "LW" stand for (before SOS)?

[dman]

I believe it's Last Week

[southie]

Oct 23, 2017 16:22:02 GMT -5 ay2013 said:

making a decent guess at the nitty gritty team sheets, based off of this futures I'd have seeds of

1- Penn State
16- Creighton
8- Wisconsin
9- Kansas

2- Stanford
15- UCLA
7- Kentucky
10- Michigan State

3- Minnesota
14- Oregon
6- Nebraska
11- Utah

4- Florida
13- BYU
5- Texas
12- Washington

You really think Kentucky won't be at Top 4 seed? If they beat UF at home and win there other matches, I think they are a shoe-in.

[ay2013]

blue, would you be able to run this simulation as of the 24th? that's the first day the committee meets and will likely be making a lot of decisions based off of it. No biggie if it's too much work or if you just don't want to

[ay2013]

Oct 23, 2017 16:30:44 GMT -5 southie said:

Oct 23, 2017 16:22:02 GMT -5 ay2013 said:

making a decent guess at the nitty gritty team sheets, based off of this futures I'd have seeds of

1- Penn State
16- Creighton
8- Wisconsin
9- Kansas

2- Stanford
15- UCLA
7- Kentucky
10- Michigan State

3- Minnesota
14- Oregon
6- Nebraska
11- Utah

4- Florida
13- BYU
5- Texas
12- Washington

You really think Kentucky won't be at Top 4 seed? If they beat UF at home and win there other matches, I think they are a shoe-in.

This futures says Kentucky loses two more matches. While I'm not saying that will happen the biggest issue I have with Kentucky (and Florida for that matter) is that they don't have the top 25 wins. You could probably swap Kentucky for Florida for a regional seed, I guess, but I actually think that Florida is the better team and probably will win that match, but whatevs. Florida can hold wins over Texas and Nebraska over the committee's head, that counts for a lot.

The top 4 seeding thing is a lot more precarious this year, IMO. The SEC schools are messing things up.

[bluepenquin]

Here is the updated probabilities for RPI - some slight changes in the order based on average RPI finish.

There has been a big break between 7 & 8 for a while. Now there is a big break between 13 and 14. Those outside the top 13 will take some work to get inside.


1. Minnesota - Big Ten, Avg RPI Rank - 3.1 (259) T4 - 77% T16 - 100% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
2. Penn State - Big Ten, Avg RPI Rank - 3.153 (292) T4 - 75% T16 - 100% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
3. Florida - SEC, Avg RPI Rank - 3.628 (160) T4 - 68% T16 - 100% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
4. Kentucky - SEC, Avg RPI Rank - 3.915 (186) T4 - 59% T16 - 100% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
5. Stanford - Pac 12, Avg RPI Rank - 4.534 (74) T4 - 52% T16 - 100% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
6. Texas - Big 12, Avg RPI Rank - 5.068 (22) T4 - 39% T16 - 100% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
7. Nebraska - Big Ten, Avg RPI Rank - 5.566 (7) T4 - 27% T16 - 100% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
8. Wisconsin - Big Ten, Avg RPI Rank - 9.566 (0) T4 - 2% T16 - 98% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
9. Kansas - Big 12, Avg RPI Rank - 11.648 (0) T4 - <1% T16 - 93% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
10. Utah - Pac 12, Avg RPI Rank - 11.903 (0) T4 - 1% T16 - 88% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
11. Washington - Pac 12, Avg RPI Rank - 11.91 (0) T4 - 1% T16 - 88% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
12. Oregon - Pac 12, Avg RPI Rank - 11.998 (0) T4 - <1% T16 - 86% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
13. Michigan State - Big Ten, Avg RPI Rank - 12.276 (0) T4 - <1% T16 - 89% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
14. Creighton - Big East, Avg RPI Rank - 15.783 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 61% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
15. UCLA - Pac 12, Avg RPI Rank - 16.59 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 51% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
16. BYU - West Coast, Avg RPI Rank - 16.827 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 52% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
17. Iowa State - Big 12, Avg RPI Rank - 17.156 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 49% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
18. USC - Pac 12, Avg RPI Rank - 17.702 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 42% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
19. Wichita State - American Athletic, Avg RPI Rank - 17.965 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 38% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
20. Cal Poly - Big West, Avg RPI Rank - 19.787 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 18% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
21. Illinois - Big Ten, Avg RPI Rank - 21.45 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 18% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
22. Baylor - Big 12, Avg RPI Rank - 21.741 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 14% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
23. San Diego - West Coast, Avg RPI Rank - 23.93 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 3% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
24. Purdue - Big Ten, Avg RPI Rank - 25.091 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 5% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
25. Western Kentucky - Conference USA, Avg RPI Rank - 25.582 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
26. Colorado - Pac 12, Avg RPI Rank - 25.671 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 99% T90 - 100%
27. Louisville - ACC, Avg RPI Rank - 27.243 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 1% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
28. Oregon State - Pac 12, Avg RPI Rank - 27.353 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 2% T45 - 99% T90 - 100%
29. Pittsburgh - ACC, Avg RPI Rank - 32.909 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 96% T90 - 100%
30. Marquette - Big East, Avg RPI Rank - 33.066 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 95% T90 - 100%
31. Notre Dame - ACC, Avg RPI Rank - 33.161 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 95% T90 - 100%
32. Michigan - Big Ten, Avg RPI Rank - 34.49 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - <1% T45 - 92% T90 - 100%
33. LSU - SEC, Avg RPI Rank - 35.565 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 89% T90 - 100%
34. NC State - ACC, Avg RPI Rank - 36.374 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 88% T90 - 100%
35. Colorado State - Mountain West, Avg RPI Rank - 36.725 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 88% T90 - 100%
36. Arkansas - SEC, Avg RPI Rank - 37.204 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - <1% T45 - 83% T90 - 100%
37. Auburn - SEC, Avg RPI Rank - 38.123 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 81% T90 - 100%
38. Iowa - Big Ten, Avg RPI Rank - 39.054 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - <1% T45 - 79% T90 - 100%
39. Ohio State - Big Ten, Avg RPI Rank - 39.259 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 79% T90 - 100%
40. Northern Iowa - Missouri Valley, Avg RPI Rank - 42.496 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 68% T90 - 100%
41. VCU - Atlantic 10, Avg RPI Rank - 42.766 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 70% T90 - 100%
42. Missouri State - Missouri Valley, Avg RPI Rank - 44.873 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 57% T90 - 100%
43. Hawaii - Big West, Avg RPI Rank - 46.88 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 48% T90 - 100%
44. Texas A&M - SEC, Avg RPI Rank - 47.403 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 47% T90 - 100%
45. High Point - Big South, Avg RPI Rank - 47.593 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 41% T90 - 100%
46. Washington State - Pac 12, Avg RPI Rank - 48.133 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 42% T90 - 100%
47. Dayton - Atlantic 10, Avg RPI Rank - 48.254 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 39% T90 - 100%
48. Missouri - SEC, Avg RPI Rank - 48.331 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 43% T90 - 100%
49. Miami-FL - ACC, Avg RPI Rank - 48.75 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 43% T90 - 100%
50. Maryland - Big Ten, Avg RPI Rank - 50.033 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 34% T90 - 100%
51. Alabama - SEC, Avg RPI Rank - 51.682 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 30% T90 - 100%
52. Florida State - ACC, Avg RPI Rank - 52.049 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 34% T90 - 100%
53. College of Charleston - Colonial, Avg RPI Rank - 53.721 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 17% T90 - 100%
54. Butler - Big East, Avg RPI Rank - 54.608 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 20% T90 - 100%
55. North Carolina - ACC, Avg RPI Rank - 55.482 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 21% T90 - 99%
56. North Texas - Conference USA, Avg RPI Rank - 58.523 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 10% T90 - 99%
57. James Madison - Colonial, Avg RPI Rank - 60.373 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 12% T90 - 98%
58. Princeton - Ivy, Avg RPI Rank - 60.835 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 13% T90 - 97%
59. Kennesaw State - Atlantic Sun, Avg RPI Rank - 61.92 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 3% T90 - 99%
60. Austin Peay - Ohio Valley, Avg RPI Rank - 62.506 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 3% T90 - 98%
61. West Virginia - Big 12, Avg RPI Rank - 64.001 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 6% T90 - 98%
62. Villanova - Big East, Avg RPI Rank - 64.041 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 7% T90 - 96%
63. UC Irvine - Big West, Avg RPI Rank - 65.428 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 6% T90 - 95%
64. Tennessee - SEC, Avg RPI Rank - 65.766 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 9% T90 - 94%
65. Radford - Big South, Avg RPI Rank - 65.819 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 1% T90 - 98%
66. Georgia - SEC, Avg RPI Rank - 66.835 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 5% T90 - 96%
67. Yale - Ivy, Avg RPI Rank - 67.884 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 5% T90 - 91%
68. North Dakota - Big Sky, Avg RPI Rank - 68.592 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 1% T90 - 97%
69. Navy - Patriot, Avg RPI Rank - 69.223 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - <1% T90 - 96%
70. Denver - The Summit, Avg RPI Rank - 69.766 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 1% T90 - 94%
71. Central Arkansas - Southland, Avg RPI Rank - 73.486 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 91%
72. Miami-OH - Mid-American, Avg RPI Rank - 74.429 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - <1% T90 - 88%
73. Ole Miss - SEC, Avg RPI Rank - 75.244 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 1% T90 - 87%
74. Texas State - Sun Belt, Avg RPI Rank - 75.616 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 88%
75. Temple - American Athletic, Avg RPI Rank - 76.291 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 3% T90 - 80%
76. Towson - Colonial, Avg RPI Rank - 76.652 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - <1% T90 - 85%
77. SMU - American Athletic, Avg RPI Rank - 77.575 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 2% T90 - 79%
78. Lipscomb - Atlantic Sun, Avg RPI Rank - 78.611 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 84%
79. American - Patriot, Avg RPI Rank - 80.78 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 81%
80. Boise State - Mountain West, Avg RPI Rank - 81.368 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - <1% T90 - 75%
81. Rice - Conference USA, Avg RPI Rank - 82.17 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - <1% T90 - 73%
82. SIUE - Ohio Valley, Avg RPI Rank - 84.309 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 71%
83. Northwestern - Big Ten, Avg RPI Rank - 87.688 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 57%
84. TCU - Big 12, Avg RPI Rank - 89.742 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 53%
85. Portland State - Big Sky, Avg RPI Rank - 89.946 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 55%
86. Georgia Tech - ACC, Avg RPI Rank - 90.512 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - <1% T90 - 51%
87. Florida Gulf Coast - Atlantic Sun, Avg RPI Rank - 91.037 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 51%
88. Northeastern - Colonial, Avg RPI Rank - 91.783 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 50%
89. Loyola Marymount - West Coast, Avg RPI Rank - 91.798 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 49%
90. Sacramento State - Big Sky, Avg RPI Rank - 93.326 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 46%
91. Stephen F. Austin - Southland, Avg RPI Rank - 93.662 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 45%
92. Duke - ACC, Avg RPI Rank - 93.926 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 43%
93. Cal - Pac 12, Avg RPI Rank - 95.416 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 40%
94. Kansas State - Big 12, Avg RPI Rank - 96.553 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 36%
95. Florida Atlantic - Conference USA, Avg RPI Rank - 96.706 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 41%
96. Arkansas State - Sun Belt, Avg RPI Rank - 97.999 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 31%
97. Wyoming - Mountain West, Avg RPI Rank - 98.961 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 36%
98. Cleveland State - Horizon, Avg RPI Rank - 100.122 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 34%
99. Seton Hall - Big East, Avg RPI Rank - 100.179 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 31%
100. Furman - Southern, Avg RPI Rank - 103.879 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 25%
101. Indiana - Big Ten, Avg RPI Rank - 104.266 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 13%
102. Hofstra - Colonial, Avg RPI Rank - 105.024 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 21%
103. Santa Clara - West Coast, Avg RPI Rank - 105.546 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 23%
104. Illinois State - Missouri Valley, Avg RPI Rank - 106.133 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 16%
105. Texas Tech - Big 12, Avg RPI Rank - 106.702 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 18%
106. Cincinnati - American Athletic, Avg RPI Rank - 109.088 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 18%
107. East Tennessee State - Southern, Avg RPI Rank - 109.113 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 14%
108. Arizona State - Pac 12, Avg RPI Rank - 109.214 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 14%
109. Portland - West Coast, Avg RPI Rank - 111.225 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 16%
110. Arizona - Pac 12, Avg RPI Rank - 111.325 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 12%
111. UCF - American Athletic, Avg RPI Rank - 111.329 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 15%
112. South Alabama - Sun Belt, Avg RPI Rank - 112.961 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 11%
113. Pepperdine - West Coast, Avg RPI Rank - 113.267 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 11%
114. Coastal Carolina - Sun Belt, Avg RPI Rank - 113.656 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 10%
115. Texas-San Antonio - Conference USA, Avg RPI Rank - 114.111 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 10%
116. Syracuse - ACC, Avg RPI Rank - 115.336 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 8%
117. Houston Baptist - Southland, Avg RPI Rank - 115.383 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 6%
118. Green Bay - Horizon, Avg RPI Rank - 116.963 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 9%
119. IUPUI - Horizon, Avg RPI Rank - 116.987 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 8%
120. Harvard - Ivy, Avg RPI Rank - 119.751 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 12%
121. Oral Roberts - The Summit, Avg RPI Rank - 121.616 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 5%
122. Ball State - Mid-American, Avg RPI Rank - 121.979 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 3%
123. Oakland - Horizon, Avg RPI Rank - 123.602 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 4%
124. Pacific - West Coast, Avg RPI Rank - 124.133 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 3%
125. San Jose State - Mountain West, Avg RPI Rank - 124.232 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 5%
126. New Mexico State - WAC, Avg RPI Rank - 124.497 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - <1%
127. Drake - Missouri Valley, Avg RPI Rank - 126.75 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 2%
128. Idaho - Big Sky, Avg RPI Rank - 126.802 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 1%
129. Belmont - Ohio Valley, Avg RPI Rank - 129.599 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 1%
130. Gonzaga - West Coast, Avg RPI Rank - 129.883 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 3%
131. Bowling Green - Mid-American, Avg RPI Rank - 132.157 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 1%
132. Western Michigan - Mid-American, Avg RPI Rank - 133.045 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 1%
133. Colgate - Patriot, Avg RPI Rank - 133.441 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - <1%
134. Tulsa - American Athletic, Avg RPI Rank - 134.96 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 3%
135. South Carolina - SEC, Avg RPI Rank - 136.05 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 1%
136. St. Johns - Big East, Avg RPI Rank - 137.788 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 1%
137. Tulane - American Athletic, Avg RPI Rank - 138.505 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 2%
138. Southern Miss - Conference USA, Avg RPI Rank - 139.204 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - <1%
139. Saint Marys - West Coast, Avg RPI Rank - 139.386 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 2%
140. South Dakota - The Summit, Avg RPI Rank - 140.151 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - <1%
141. UC Davis - Big West, Avg RPI Rank - 142.467 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 1%
142. Murray State - Ohio Valley, Avg RPI Rank - 142.766 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - <1%
143. San Diego State - Mountain West, Avg RPI Rank - 143.665 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - <1%
144. Buffalo - Mid-American, Avg RPI Rank - 145.408 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - <1%
145. Saint Louis - Atlantic 10, Avg RPI Rank - 145.992 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
146. North Dakota State - The Summit, Avg RPI Rank - 146.03 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - <1%
147. LIU Brooklyn - Northeast, Avg RPI Rank - 148.356 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
148. Oklahoma - Big 12, Avg RPI Rank - 149.981 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
149. UT Rio Grande Valley - WAC, Avg RPI Rank - 150.441 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
150. Elon - Colonial, Avg RPI Rank - 155.412 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
151. Illinois-Chicago - Horizon, Avg RPI Rank - 156.276 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
152. Lehigh - Patriot, Avg RPI Rank - 156.803 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
153. Cornell - Ivy, Avg RPI Rank - 156.815 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
154. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi - Southland, Avg RPI Rank - 156.823 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
155. Virginia Tech - ACC, Avg RPI Rank - 156.843 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - <1%
156. Army - Patriot, Avg RPI Rank - 158.224 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
157. Northern Kentucky - Horizon, Avg RPI Rank - 159.023 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
158. UNC Greensboro - Southern, Avg RPI Rank - 160.541 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
159. Ohio - Mid-American, Avg RPI Rank - 161.368 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
160. Jacksonville - Atlantic Sun, Avg RPI Rank - 161.774 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
161. Charlotte - Conference USA, Avg RPI Rank - 162.608 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
162. Wofford - Southern, Avg RPI Rank - 167.111 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
163. Campbell - Big South, Avg RPI Rank - 167.621 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
164. Xavier - Big East, Avg RPI Rank - 169.155 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
165. Central Connecticut State - Northeast, Avg RPI Rank - 169.49 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
166. Valparaiso - Missouri Valley, Avg RPI Rank - 170.768 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
167. East Carolina - American Athletic, Avg RPI Rank - 170.985 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
168. Duquesne - Atlantic 10, Avg RPI Rank - 171.033 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
169. Northern Illinois - Mid-American, Avg RPI Rank - 171.081 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
170. Cal State Northridge - Big West, Avg RPI Rank - 171.246 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
171. Stony Brook - American East, Avg RPI Rank - 171.321 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
172. Utah State - Mountain West, Avg RPI Rank - 171.454 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
173. Providence - Big East, Avg RPI Rank - 172.305 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
174. Chattanooga - Southern, Avg RPI Rank - 172.854 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
175. Northern Colorado - Big Sky, Avg RPI Rank - 173.093 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
176. UConn - American Athletic, Avg RPI Rank - 173.669 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
177. Wake Forest - ACC, Avg RPI Rank - 175.07 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
178. Louisiana-Lafayette - Sun Belt, Avg RPI Rank - 178.668 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
179. UCSB - Big West, Avg RPI Rank - 180.132 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
180. Fairfield - Metro Atlantic, Avg RPI Rank - 180.527 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
181. Eastern Kentucky - Ohio Valley, Avg RPI Rank - 181.448 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
182. Northern Arizona - Big Sky, Avg RPI Rank - 183.138 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
183. UC Riverside - Big West, Avg RPI Rank - 183.665 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
184. Eastern Illinois - Ohio Valley, Avg RPI Rank - 183.999 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
185. Sacred Heart - Northeast, Avg RPI Rank - 184.285 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
186. Sam Houston State - Southland, Avg RPI Rank - 186.082 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
187. Bryant - Northeast, Avg RPI Rank - 186.516 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
188. UNLV - Mountain West, Avg RPI Rank - 186.566 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
189. New Mexico - Mountain West, Avg RPI Rank - 186.739 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
190. UNCW - Colonial, Avg RPI Rank - 187.669 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
191. Marshall - Conference USA, Avg RPI Rank - 187.972 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
192. Georgetown - Big East, Avg RPI Rank - 190.234 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
193. Houston - American Athletic, Avg RPI Rank - 191.818 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
194. UMBC - American East, Avg RPI Rank - 191.939 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
195. Central Michigan - Mid-American, Avg RPI Rank - 192.598 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
196. McNeese State - Southland, Avg RPI Rank - 194.484 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
197. Utah Valley - WAC, Avg RPI Rank - 195.091 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
198. Seattle - WAC, Avg RPI Rank - 195.571 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
199. Milwaukee - Horizon, Avg RPI Rank - 195.616 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%
200. USF - American Athletic, Avg RPI Rank - 195.683 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 0% T90 - 0%

[trollhunter]

A quick update on bubble teams based on new RPI Futures this week and results last week (using RPI Futures rankings below):
Will edit with more info tomorrow.

#27 Oregon State - I was so wrong about them! Got quality wins they needed. They have a good SOS and RPI, so should be in barring a meltdown.

#29 Pittsburg - Good RPI, good SOS, and good wins means they are in NCAA with a decent finish.

#33 LSU continues to move up with quality wins last week - they really just need a decent finish in SEC to get in NCAA.

#34 Arkansas - Got the break thru for a couple T50 wins in SEC to get on right side of bubble. They have a good SOS - so just need to finish solidly.

#37 Ohio State - Is now on track for a 15-16 record? They have #2 SOS, and a couple decent wins, so really just need a couple more and to finish with winning record. However it will not be easy.

#38 Iowa - A single win over Michigan is not enough. Fortunately, they have several chances to pick up a couple signatures wins the rest of the way.

#39 Auburn - After losing 5 in a row they are now near bubble. Will need a solid finish to make it in.

#41 VCU - Best win over High Point will not be enough with a horrible SOS. I don't think a win over Dayton will be enough if they lose in conference tournament.

#42 Missouri State - Owns wins over #35 NCSU and #37 OSU but a poor SOS. Their win over #40 UNI probably put them on the correct side of the bubble, assuming a solid finish.

#43 Hawaii - has a win over #17 Baylor, but that is all. A few teams above them fared badly last weekend so they moved up in RPI. With an average SOS, they still must beat #21 CalPoly, avoid a bad loss, and hope to squeak in.

#44 Texas A&M - Last weekend really hurt chances to make a winning record. Will they add a match to schedule late to allow for 13-13 possibility?

#45 High Point - A win over #35 NCSU but some bad losses and poor SOS. Must win conference to dance, otherwise some teams will float over their RPI

#46 Washington State - wins over Colorado and Missouri State plus a good SOS puts them in ok position. The loss to Cal hurts. They played other T50 teams close earlier, so they might break thru for another quality win or two and make it in barely.

#47 Miami-FL - a win over Notre Dame, and decent SOS. Must finish strong, grab a couple T50 wins in ACC to squeeze in. Have their toughest stretch in ACC over next couple weeks. Good news with a couple quality wins they should squeeze in bubble.

#48 Missouri - Has a strong SOS and a couple T50 wins, so are on the bubble. Another quality win or two in SEC should be enough if they avoid more upsets like last weekend.

#49 Dayton - Best win at #52 High Point will not be enough with a bad SOS. A win over #44 VCU will not be enough if they lose in conference tournament.

#50 Maryland - A win over #19 USC is huge, and a strong SOS. They have a few more chances to earn a couple T50 wins in B1G. If so they should put on dancing shoes.

#51 Florida State - In their toughest stretch in ACC. Good news is that a couple key wins over next 2 weeks will keep them on track for NCAA, as their schedule is softer at end.

#52 Alabama - beat #43 Arkansas but a bad loss to #130 Southern Miss. They have a good SOS, so if they can 2 of their remaining 5 matches versus T50 teams in SEC they could float in on the bubble.

#53 College of Charleston - has a win over #20 Baylor, but that is all. With a crappy SOS they must win autobid.

#54 Butler - has a win over #30 Butler but nothing else. Will need another couple upsets in regular season or conf tourney to overcome their poor SOS.

#55 North Carolina - has wins over #24 Louisville and #34 LSU plus a good SOS. Next couple weeks matchups versus strong ACC teams will determine their NCAA fate.

#56 North Texas - no good wins and a bad SOS - must win autobid.
#57 Princeton - no good wins and a bad SOS - must win autobid
#58 James Madison - no good wins and a bad SOS - must win autobid
#59 Kennesaw State - no good wins and a bad SOS - must win autobid
#60 Austin Pea - no good wins and a bad SOS - must win autobid

#61 West Virginia - no good wins but a decent SOS - must finish very strong and pull some upsets over T50 teams to get on bubble.

#62 Tennessee - With a few matches left versus T50, and a strong SOS - they have a fighting chance. Will need to finish strong and pick up a couple more T50 wins.

Did I miss anyone with a thin resume?

[bluepenquin]

Big Ten

1. Minnesota - Big Ten, Avg RPI Rank - 3.1 (259) T4 - 77% T16 - 100% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
18W (18%), Avg Rank - 1.2; 1st (85%), 2nd (15%)
17W (40%), Avg Rank - 2.4; 2nd (35%), 1st (24%), 3rd (12%), 4th or better (96%)
16W (30%), Avg Rank - 4.1; 3rd (19%), 4th (29%), 5th (24%), 4th or better (61%)
15W (10%), Avg Rank - 5.8; 4th or better (17%)

2. Penn State - Big Ten, Avg RPI Rank - 3.153 (292) T4 - 75% T16 - 100% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
19W (11%), Avg Rank - 1.0: 1st (96%), 2nd (4%)
18W (31%), Avg Rank - 1.6; 1st (53%), 2nd (33%), 3rd (11%)
17W (35%), Avg Rank - 3.3; 2nd (22%), 3rd (29%), 4th (28%), 5th (11%), 4th or better (84%)
16W (17%), Avg Rank - 5.5; 4th (15%), 5th (31%), 6th (28%), 4th or better (19%)
15W (5%), Avg Rank - 7.3;

7. Nebraska - Big Ten, Avg RPI Rank - 5.566 (7) T4 - 27% T16 - 100% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
19W (33%), Avg Rank - 3.9; 2nd (13%), 3rd (25%), 4th (29%), 5th (21%), 4th or better (69%)
18W (42%), Avg Rank - 5.8; 4th (6%), 5th (26%), 6th (38%), 7th (23%), 4th or better (10%)
17W (20%), Avg Rank - 7.1;
16W (5%), Avg Rank - 8.5;

8. Wisconsin - Big Ten, Avg RPI Rank - 9.566 (0) T4 - 2% T16 - 98% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
14W (18%), Avg Rank - 7.4; 6th (13%), 7th (34%), 8th (41%)
13W (36%), Avg Rank - 8.7; 8th (38%), 9th (34%)
12W (29%), Avg Rank - 10.6;
11W (12%), Avg Rank - 13.2; 4th or better (94%)

13. Michigan State - Big Ten, Avg RPI Rank - 12.276 (0) T4 - <1% T16 - 89% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
17W (19%), Avg Rank - 9.0;
16W (32%), Avg Rank - 11.0;
15W (28%), Avg Rank - 13.6; 16th or better (96%)
14W (12%), Avg Rank - 16.7; 16th or better (49%)

21. Illinois - Big Ten, Avg RPI Rank - 21.45 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 18% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
14 W (8%), Avg Rank - 13.5; 16th or better (95%)
13 W (19%), Avg Rank - 17.1; 16th or better (39%)
12W (30%), Avg Rank - 20.7; 16th or better (1%)
11W (25%), Avg Rank - 24.2;
10W (11%), Avg Rank - 28.0;

24. Purdue - Big Ten, Avg RPI Rank - 25.091 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 5% T45 - 100% T90 - 100%
13W (11%), Avg Rank - 17.5; 16th or better (25%)
12W (20%), Avg Rank - 21.2;
11W (28%), Avg Rank - 24.6;
10W (24%), Avg Rank - 28.35;
9W (10%), Avg Rank - 33.4;

32. Michigan - Big Ten, Avg RPI Rank - 34.49 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - <1% T45 - 92% T90 - 100%
11W (9%), Avg Rank - 25.0;
10W (20%), Avg Rank - 29.2;
9W (31%), Avg Rank - 33.6;
8W (25%), Avg Rank - 38.9; 45th or better (97%)
7W (9%), Avg Rank - 46.4; 45th or better (42%)
6W (XX%), Avg Rank - 54.5

38. Iowa - Big Ten, Avg RPI Rank - 39.054 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - <1% T45 - 79% T90 - 100%
10W (12%), Avg Rank - 28.4;
9W (33%), Avg Rank - 33.2;
8W (29%), Avg Rank - 38.4; 45th or better (99%)
7W (22%), Avg Rank - 45.1; 45th or better (57%)
6W (9%), Avg Rank - 52.7; 45th or better (2%)

39. Ohio State - Big Ten, Avg RPI Rank - 39.259 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 79% T90 - 100%
10W (8%), Avg Rank - 28.1;
9W (21%), Avg Rank - 32.6;
8W (33%), Avg Rank - 37.8; Below .500 overall record
7W (24%), Avg Rank - 44.3; Below .500 overall record
6W (11%), Avg Rank - 52.3; Below .500 overall record

50. Maryland - Big Ten, Avg RPI Rank - 50.033 (0) T4 - 0% T16 - 0% T45 - 34% T90 - 100%
8W (6%), Avg Rank - 35.2;
7W (19%), Avg Rank - 40.9; 45th or better (95%)
6W (33%), Avg Rank - 48.1; 45th or better (24%)
5W (29%), Avg Rank - 55.8;
4W (11%), Avg Rank - 64.3; Below .500 overall record

[BeachbytheBay]

Interesting thing would be if poly wins out and is above ucla and usc, would the ncaa let poly host and send one if them to poly

[Fight On!]

Oct 23, 2017 19:37:11 GMT -5 BeachbytheBay said:

Interesting thing would be if poly wins out and is above ucla and usc, would the ncaa let poly host and send one if them to poly

Does the CPU gym meet hosting requirements? I assume it probably does, but just curious.

[BeachbytheBay]

They hosted in 2006 or 2007

[mikegarrison]

Oct 23, 2017 16:40:34 GMT -5 ay2013 said:

blue, would you be able to run this simulation as of the 24th? that's the first day the committee meets and will likely be making a lot of decisions based off of it. No biggie if it's too much work or if you just don't want to :)

This is a valid point. While I have never seen them admit it, it is pretty clear that the seedings in the past have nearly completely ignored the final week of play.

[vbct3]

Oct 23, 2017 19:41:44 GMT -5 Fight On! said:

Does the CPU gym meet hosting requirements? I assume it probably does, but just curious.

Oct 23, 2017 19:45:55 GMT -5 BeachbytheBay said:

They hosted in 2006 or 2007

Cal Poly website says the capacity is 3,032.

What's the requirement to host a sub-regional?