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Post by bayarea on Nov 24, 2024 11:31:46 GMT -5
This would be the strict cut-line as of real-time, right now. RPI Cut line Right now for bubble teams 38 UTEP 39 Ole Miss 40 Arizona 41 South Carolina 42 Virginia 44 Rice ------------------ 46 Pepperdine 47 Auburn 50 NC State 51 Wright State 53 Georgia Southern 55 San Diego Pepperdine: They have San Diego and Oregon State left - both at home. .519 opponent w/l%. I think winning both will get them in - but their resume in quality wins is rather weak. Pablo gives them just a 50% chance of winning both - as that San Diego match is a big one. San Diego has Saint Mary's and @ Pepperdine. Opponent avg w/l% of .519. Like Pepperdine - they will need to win both to have chance - but Pepperdine would be in the better RPI position with 2 wins vs. San Diego. Pepperdine vs. San Diego is an elimination game - Pablo thinks Pepperdine has a 53% chance of winning (but that San Diego is the better team). San Diego looked bad yesterday. Missing their starting setter and having their Opp just returning from ankle injury and not able to contribute anything in the match. If they still look like this vs Pepperdine, a healthy Pepperdine should have much better odds. |
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Post by volleyveil101 on Nov 24, 2024 11:50:58 GMT -5
To put a bow on this from my perspective and looking at Futures for T16 seed: Lock (10): Nebraska, Penn State, Wisconsin, Pittsburgh, Louisville, Stanford, SMU, Arizona State, Kentucky, and Creighton. Likely (3): Texas, Kansas, Utah. These teams just need to win 1 more match. Bubble (7): Purdue, Oregon, USC, Missouri, Florida, Georgia Tech, TCU. 7 teams battling for the likely final 3 tickets. Longshot (3): Dayton, Marquette, Baylor. I have a big hunch that either Florida or Georgia Tech will host (remember the geographical standpoint that the committee pointed out last year). It's just a matter of if Florida goes to Georgia Tech or if Georgia Tech goes to Florida. |
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Post by aardvark on Nov 24, 2024 11:52:20 GMT -5
I think GT blew their chances with the loss to FSU.
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trojansc
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Post by trojansc on Nov 24, 2024 13:02:28 GMT -5
ummmmmmmmmm there's something going on in Dayton, Ohio..........
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trojansc
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Post by trojansc on Nov 24, 2024 13:04:29 GMT -5
To put a bow on this from my perspective and looking at Futures for T16 seed: Lock (10): Nebraska, Penn State, Wisconsin, Pittsburgh, Louisville, Stanford, SMU, Arizona State, Kentucky, and Creighton. Likely (3): Texas, Kansas, Utah. These teams just need to win 1 more match. Bubble (7): Purdue, Oregon, USC, Missouri, Florida, Georgia Tech, TCU. 7 teams battling for the likely final 3 tickets. Longshot (3): Dayton, Marquette, Baylor. I have a big hunch that either Florida or Georgia Tech will host (remember the geographical standpoint that the committee pointed out last year). It's just a matter of if Florida goes to Georgia Tech or if Georgia Tech goes to Florida. What geographical standpoint are you referring to? The committee did not (and will not) that in a borderline decision they will go with what makes sense geographically. The top 16 hosts are to be determined without looking at geography (whether that happens or not). |
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Post by trianglevolleyball on Nov 24, 2024 13:09:42 GMT -5
I think GT blew their chances with the loss to FSU. I don’t think it will happen, but they have a really clear path. Win today and upset either Stanford or Pitt. |
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trojansc
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Post by trojansc on Nov 24, 2024 13:14:22 GMT -5
I think GT blew their chances with the loss to FSU. I don’t think it will happen, but they have a really clear path. Win today and upset either Stanford or Pitt. Or lose today and beat both Stanford and Pitt  |
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Post by rogerdodger on Nov 24, 2024 13:16:57 GMT -5
ummmmmmmmmm there's something going on in Dayton, Ohio.......... What? |
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Post by uofaGRAD on Nov 24, 2024 13:17:21 GMT -5
a lot of these potential mid-major teams that wanted at-large spots have done bad right? this is good for Arizona right? trojansc |
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Post by rtael on Nov 24, 2024 13:19:46 GMT -5
ummmmmmmmmm there's something going on in Dayton, Ohio.......... What? Loyola is up 2-0 on Dayton in their conference tournament. Dayton is a definite at-large, so if they lose it will be a -1 for bubble teams. |
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Post by n00b on Nov 24, 2024 13:20:51 GMT -5
bluepenquin how high can Ohio State's RPI get if they win out?
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trojansc
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Post by trojansc on Nov 24, 2024 13:29:37 GMT -5
a lot of these potential mid-major teams that wanted at-large spots have done bad right? this is good for Arizona right? trojanscyes, though Arizona probably can't survive another loss. I thought they were in winning out, but now, it's like there's no way they can be left out if they win out. |
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Post by n00b on Nov 24, 2024 13:34:23 GMT -5
Loyola is up 2-0 on Dayton in their conference tournament. Dayton is a definite at-large, so if they lose it will be a -1 for bubble teams. Not to mention Wright State got upset at home in Dayton in their Horizon League semifinal last night. |
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Post by volleyveil101 on Nov 24, 2024 13:36:46 GMT -5
ummmmmmmmmm there's something going on in Dayton, Ohio.......... Dayton getting swept was not on my bingo card |
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Post by Kearney Kingston on Nov 24, 2024 14:11:00 GMT -5
Did Dayton have a full roster? That result seem absurd.
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