Bracketology (11/18)

[trojansc]

Nov 24, 2024 17:27:51 GMT -5 volleynerd said:

psu back up to 4 in the RPI & SOS up to 19

it’s looking like a university park regional is happening

Moreso than Creighton at this point - I think Stanford is Penn State's biggest threat if PSU loses to Nebraska.

Stanford wins out - they will have a better RPI, better in top wins and volume (even if slightly), and common opponents is either even or in edge of Stanford depending on how it's viewed.

Penn State however would not have a Miami-type loss (26-50 RPI).

(I'm not sure it matters - but PSU's RPI-Bomb comes on Wednesday as they play Rutgers.)

[jwvolley]

trojansc

Would you expect Wisconsin to be above SMU? They have double the amount of top 25 wins, but obviously smu has the big two.

[trojansc]

Nov 24, 2024 17:38:56 GMT -5 jwvolley said:

trojansc

Would you expect Wisconsin to be above SMU? They have double the amount of top 25 wins, but obviously smu has the big two.

I don't know how the committee will handle that. I guess if one is higher in RPI and KPI, maybe that is a decider?

[BigDigEnergy]

Lots of messy matches today.

[avid 2.0]

mizzou is getting collectively cancelled again if they fall out of the top 25.

[trojansc]

I am still showing the cut line at ~44. The only way a bid can be stolen next week is if any of the following happen:

-BOTH Creighton and Marquette lose in the Big East Tournament. A third Big East team would get in.

-South Dakota State gets an at-large bid for losing in the Summit League? This shouldn't happen (Jacks getting an at-large bid) but.... blah.

-Hawaii loses the Big West. This isn't a for sure deal - Hawaii is certainly going to test the committee if the committee wants to give them an at-large bid. Hawaii has FIVE sub-100 losses: #111 UCSB, #126 UNLV, #154 UC-Irvine(x2), #278 UC Riverside

-LMU loses twice? This could open the AQ for Pepperdine, but Pepperdine may get in as an at-large anyways, so, this one's more "meh" to me versus a true bid stealer.

[trojansc]

Can someone give me permission to pull the plug on Auburn if they lose this match to Oklahoma?

I'm hesitant to do it, even though it seems like a no-brainer.

[c4ndlelight]

Nov 24, 2024 19:01:58 GMT -5 trojansc said:

Can someone give me permission to pull the plug on Auburn if they lose this match to Oklahoma?

I'm hesitant to do it, even though it seems like a no-brainer.

Blessed are those who don’t believe in Crouch.

[ay2013]

Nov 24, 2024 19:01:58 GMT -5 trojansc said:

Can someone give me permission to pull the plug on Auburn if they lose this match to Oklahoma?

I'm hesitant to do it, even though it seems like a no-brainer.

I vote to cap the number of SEC bids to 6.

[psumaui]

Nov 24, 2024 19:01:58 GMT -5 trojansc said:

Can someone give me permission to pull the plug on Auburn if they lose this match to Oklahoma?

I'm hesitant to do it, even though it seems like a no-brainer.

IMHO, I think that a team should not be allowed to go into post-season unless they have at least a .500 w/l % in their conference.

[volleyl0ver]

Does Louisville keep their potential regional if they lose both to Pitt and Stanford?

[psumaui]

Nov 24, 2024 17:34:53 GMT -5 trojansc said:

Nov 24, 2024 17:27:51 GMT -5 volleynerd said:

psu back up to 4 in the RPI & SOS up to 19

it’s looking like a university park regional is happening

Moreso than Creighton at this point - I think Stanford is Penn State's biggest threat if PSU loses to Nebraska.

Stanford wins out - they will have a better RPI, better in top wins and volume (even if slightly), and common opponents is either even or in edge of Stanford depending on how it's viewed.

Penn State however would not have a Miami-type loss (26-50 RPI).

(I'm not sure it matters - but PSU's RPI-Bomb comes on Wednesday as they play Rutgers.)

It's going to be interesting this coming week/end when it comes to Stanford. If they win both matches this coming week then they would have a case for top 4 seed but in the process of defeating currently ranked #25 Georgia Tech, this would most certainly take one of Stanford's top 25 wins away and most definitely if Georgia Tech loses both to Stanford and Pittsburgh. If Stanford loses to Louisville then I think Penn State get's a top 4 seed no matter what happens with Friday's match with Nebraska. Lot's at stake in this last weekend not only for those that are trying to get into post season but also for those that want to host regionals/get a seed to host 1st/2nd rounds. I guess they want to save the best until the last week!

[vor]

Nov 24, 2024 19:26:04 GMT -5 psumaui said:

Nov 24, 2024 19:01:58 GMT -5 trojansc said:

Can someone give me permission to pull the plug on Auburn if they lose this match to Oklahoma?

I'm hesitant to do it, even though it seems like a no-brainer.

IMHO, I think that a team should not be allowed to go into post-season unless they have at least a .500 w/l % in their conference.

Problem with this is we are coalescing into 4 major conferences and there aren’t enough wins to go around. The team with a losing records in one of those conferences might be near the top 25.

[baller8]

Stanford doesn't play Louisville until the day before the bracket is announced...wondering how much the committee is actually looking at the results of that match even if stanford wins. Seems like a lot of last minute reshuffling/scheduling to have to wait until saturday night to decide whether a regional is in PA or CA lol but maybe they are not as lazy as me

[veebz17]

Nov 24, 2024 18:10:55 GMT -5 trojansc said:

I am still showing the cut line at ~44. The only way a bid can be stolen next week is if any of the following happen:

-BOTH Creighton and Marquette lose in the Big East Tournament. A third Big East team would get in.

-South Dakota State gets an at-large bid for losing in the Summit League? This shouldn't happen (Jacks getting an at-large bid) but.... blah.

-Hawaii loses the Big West. This isn't a for sure deal - Hawaii is certainly going to test the committee if the committee wants to give them an at-large bid. Hawaii has FIVE sub-100 losses: #111 UCSB, #126 UNLV, #154 UC-Irvine(x2), #278 UC Riverside

-LMU loses twice? This could open the AQ for Pepperdine, but Pepperdine may get in as an at-large anyways, so, this one's more "meh" to me versus a true bid stealer.

Oof it hurts to see Hawaii’s resume 😅 what a wild season