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Post by jackson5vb on Nov 6, 2021 23:58:00 GMT -5
Is someone going to post all the AQ's and the Finals scores? I'm sure somebody has the time.
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Post by noreaster on Nov 7, 2021 0:08:43 GMT -5
Is someone going to post all the AQ's and the Finals scores? I'm sure somebody has the time. The link to Ricky Nelson's blog page with that info is back 1 page. Scores in one place? Go to Richkern.com. |
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Post by ned3vball on Nov 7, 2021 11:26:34 GMT -5
The final 9 pool A bids will be decided today. There are 3 where the outcome could effect the pool C process.
In the NEWMAC, if Babson can beat MIT, MIT will very ikely get a consolation bid. If Babson loses I think they are out, their criteria stats are not good, and it will be a shutout for the NEWMAC. Same Scenario in the Southern AA where Berry will get the consolation bid if they are upset by Birmingham-Southern. Birmingham is not looking good in the selection simulations if they lose. Same situation in the Heartland with Earlham vs Transylvania.
The Centennial, NESCAC, and Southern Collegiate are a wash, winner gets A, loser gets C.
Current projection by region:
Region I - 3
Region II - 0
Region III - 1
Region IV - 0
Region V - 4
Region VI - 1
Region VII - 4
Region VIII - 4
Region IX - 1
Region X - 2
Current projection by conference:
Centennial - 1
Landmark - 2
Liberty - 1
Michigan - 1
Minnesota - 1
NESCAC - 3
North Coast - 1
Northern - 1
Ohio - 2
Southern Coll - 2
UAA - 2
WIAC - 3
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Post by Brutus Buckeye on Nov 7, 2021 12:41:59 GMT -5
the suspense is killin' me!
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Post by psuvbfan10 on Nov 7, 2021 14:48:31 GMT -5
Johns Hopkins took care of business today sweeping Haverford in the Centennial Championship
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Post by coahc21 on Nov 7, 2021 15:18:57 GMT -5
Is someone going to post all the AQ's and the Finals scores? I'm sure somebody has the time. Two championships finishing up shortly...I will post the AQs |
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Post by coahc21 on Nov 7, 2021 15:24:13 GMT -5
AQ's:
Allegheny Mtn - PSU Behrend
American Rivers - Wartburg
American Southwest - UT Dallas
Atlantic East - Cabrini
Centennial - Johns Hopkins
CUNYAC - Brooklyn
Coast 2 Coast - CNU
CC Ill and Wisc - Illinois Wesleyan
CSAC - Cedar Crest
Commonwealth Coast - Endicott
Empire 8 - St. John Fisher
GNAC - Johnson and Wales
Heartland - Transylvania
Landmark - Juniata
Liberty - Clarkson
Little East - UMass Boston
Mass State - Framingham
Michigan Intercol - Calvin
MAC Commonwealth - Eastern
MAC Freedom - Stevens
Midwest - Cornell
Minnesota Intercol - Gustavus Adolphus
NECC - Eastern Nazerene
NESCAC - Bowdoin
NEWMAC - MIT
NJAC - Rowan
North Atlantic - Maine Maritime
North Coast - Wittenberg
Northern Athletics - Aurora
Northwest - Whitworth
Ohio Athletic - Ohio Northern
ODAC Wash and Lee
Presidents' - Westminster
Skyline - USMMA
Southern Athletic - Berry
SCIAC - CMS
Southern Collegiate - Trinity
St. Louis Intercol - Greenville
SUNYAC - Cortland
United East - Gallaudet
UAA - NYU
Upper Midwest - Northwestern
USA South - Southern Virginia
Wisconsin Intercol - Wisc Eau Claire
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Post by Brutus Buckeye on Nov 7, 2021 16:06:25 GMT -5
The 2021 DIII women's volleyball selection show is at 12:30 p.m. ET on Monday, Nov. 8. We'll have the official bracket for the 2021 DIII women's volleyball championship shortly after. This will be the sport's 40th year of crowning an NCAA champion.
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Post by coahc21 on Nov 7, 2021 21:41:59 GMT -5
AQ's: Allegheny Mtn - PSU Behrend American Rivers - Wartburg American Southwest - UT Dallas Atlantic East - Cabrini Centennial - Johns Hopkins CUNYAC - Brooklyn Coast 2 Coast - CNU CC Ill and Wisc - Illinois Wesleyan CSAC - Cedar Crest Commonwealth Coast - Endicott Empire 8 - St. John Fisher GNAC - Johnson and Wales Heartland - Transylvania Landmark - Juniata Liberty - Clarkson Little East - UMass Boston Mass State - Framingham Michigan Intercol - Calvin MAC Commonwealth - Eastern MAC Freedom - Stevens Midwest - Cornell Minnesota Intercol - Gustavus Adolphus NECC - Eastern Nazerene NESCAC - Bowdoin NEWMAC - MIT NJAC - Rowan North Atlantic - Maine Maritime North Coast - Wittenberg Northern Athletics - Aurora Northwest - Whitworth Ohio Athletic - Ohio Northern ODAC Wash and Lee Presidents' - Westminster Skyline - USMMA Southern Athletic - Berry SCIAC - CMS Southern Collegiate - Trinity St. Louis Intercol - Greenville SUNYAC - Cortland United East - Gallaudet UAA - NYU Upper Midwest - Northwestern USA South - Southern Virginia Wisconsin Intercol - Wisc Eau Claire My Pool C Predictions (please take with a grain of salt...first time doing this): Region 1: Wesleyan, Tufts, Middlebury Region 2: Babson, Springfield, Coast Guard Region 3: RIT Region 4: None Region 5: Susquehanna, Haverford, Scranton, Stevenson Region 6: Emory Region 7: Hope, Otterbein, Denison, Muskingum Region 8: Whitewater Region 9: Bethel Region 10: Southwestern (TX), Colorado First 4 out: Amherst, Stevens Point, Chicago, Messiah Like I said, first time trying this... |
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Post by noreaster on Nov 7, 2021 22:11:55 GMT -5
Ricky Nelson has gone public with his 20 uwoshvball.wordpress.com/I agree with 17 of them. I don't see how Amherst gets in. Their SOS was .542 the other day and that is virtually a dead number. A winning % of .761 isn't that great, and their 5 ranked wins includes Williams (R1, #6), Emerson (R2, #6), and Smith (R2, #7) which I don't see carrying much weight. Meanwhile that loss to Hamilton isn't just and unranked team, its a below .500 team. A win over Wesleyan is nice but I don't think that alone does enough to get them in. After that I think you have 6 teams for 3 spots. The blog has UW Oshkosh and Southwestern UW Oshkosh 19-12 (.612) with last weeks SOS of .583 probably gone up slightly this week. Record vs ranked appears to be 4-6. Beating Pomona (R10, #5) Stevens Point (R8, #3), Chicago (R8, #4), and St. Olaf (R9, # 6). They lost to CMS (R10, #1), Whitewater (R8, #1), Gustavus Adolphus (R9, #3), Concordia Wisconsin (R8, #9) and twice to Eau Claire (R8, #2), which are not bad losses, however they also lost to unranked LaCrosse (split), Augsburg, and Carthage, as well as sub-.500 teams St. Catherines, Cal Lutheran and Wheaton. That's a lot of baggage. Is it offset by the wins over Stevens Point and Chicago? Southwestern 24-5 (.827) with an SOS last week of .561 which should go up a bit this week. They have good losses, going 1-2 vs Colorado (R10, #3) and 0-3 vs Trinity (R10, #2), which helps. But the only ranked wins other than Colorado is Aurora (R8, #5), and Carnegie Mellon (R7, #8). Record vs ranked appears to be 3-5. Other candidates include Birmingham Southern 19-10 (.655) with an SOS of .595 that probably didn't change much. They are 1-2 vs Berry (R7, #1) and have other ranked wins over Randolph-Macon (R7, #5), Washington and Lee (R7, #7 or 8) Virginia Wesleyan (R7, #9). They have some respectable losses - Hopkins (R6, #1) and Emory (R7, #2) and they have ranked losses to Mary Hardin-Baylor (R10, #6) and Muskingum (R7#7), but also unranked losses to Covenent, and a bad weekend vs Centre, Hendrix and a sub-.500 loss to Sewanee. Stevenson 26-6 (.813) with an SOS of .587 which probably went up slightly. They have ranked wins over Haverford (R5, #3), Stockton (twice) (R4, #5), Coast Guard (R2, #4), Messiah (R6, #8), Manhattanville (R3, #8), and Virginia Wesleyan (R6, #9). They have mostly good losses to Hopkins, Mary Washington and Eastern twice - and one sub-.500 loss to Cabrini who is in the tournament. 7-4 vs ranked looks good though 3 of those were opening weekend. Springfield 22-7 (.710) with an SOS of .566 which should tick up. They have ranked wins over Babson x 2, Tufts, Endicott, Coast Guard, Williams, Smith, Emerson - all wins we've seen before but they have more of them. They have ranked losses to MIT (x2), Emerson (split), Middlebury, but then 3 unranked losses in WPI, Clark and Sub-.500 Brandeis (eww). Babson at 22-7 (.710) with an SOS of .611. They beat Coast Guard, Williams, MIT (R2, #1), Plymouth, and Smith. They lost to Springfield x2, Trinity (Tx), Susquehanna (R5, #3), Stevens (R4, #2), Middlebury and Endicott (R2, #5). And I'll throw in Ithaca at 16-12 (.571) but with a monster SOS of .651. They have ranked wins over Cortland (R3, #2), Randolph-Macon (R6, #5), Clarkson (R3, #6), and Christopher Newport (R6, #3). St. Lawrence just beat RIT so if they get ranked that gives them one more. They have 12 losses, all ranked, most of them high (Juniata x2, Bowdoin, RIT, NYU, Hopkins, etc). And for the conspiracy theorists, the Ithaca coach is on the committee. Am I overlooking another candidate? Who are the 3 teams you would pick? |
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Post by d3follower on Nov 7, 2021 23:01:32 GMT -5
With not much separating teams for the last spot, Amherst's wins combo of Wesleyan/Middlebury could be the best thing out there.
Oshkosh is 5-7 vs regionally ranked.
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Post by ned3vball on Nov 8, 2021 6:04:54 GMT -5
Here are my 20 picks. I made 2 changes to the Nov 3rd rankings. I moved Springfield ahead of Babson, and I moved Mary Hardin-Baylor ahead of Pomona-Pitzer. Why on the second one? Just a gut feeling and years of listening. Man can not live by spreadsheets alone.(probably a huge mistake). I ran 20 scenarios and these 20 schools were all picked 70% or more of the time(11-100%, 4-95%, 1-90%, 2-80%, 1-75%, 1-70%). From there it was a sharp drop all the way down to 45% for the next school. 20 picks in order by estimated round picked:Hope Wisconsin-Whitewater Emory Colorado College Wisconsin-Stevens Point Chicago Susquehanna Bethel University Wesleyan University (CT) Denison Tufts Otterbein Southwestern Mary Hardin-Baylor RIT Springfield Muskingum Wisconsin-Oshkosh Middlebury Earlham the next 4 schools in the 20%-45% range: Concordia(WI), Haverford, Scranton, Stevenson the 9 left at the table: Amherst, Babson, Ithaca, Montclair State, Haverford, Birmingham-Southern, Carnegie Mellon, St. Olaf, Pomona-Pitzer I agreed on 17 of 20 with D3vbwest. I had MHB, RIT, and Earlham. He has Haverford, Scranton, and Stevenson. Geez, I'm the one taking a flyer on MHB! I also was 17 of 20 with Ricky Nelson. My MHB, Earlham, and Springfield. Versus his Amherst, Haverford, and Scranton. |
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Post by ned3vball on Nov 8, 2021 6:38:20 GMT -5
With not much separating teams for the last spot, Amherst's wins combo of Wesleyan/Middlebury could be the best thing out there. Oshkosh is 5-7 vs regionally ranked. Oshkosh's wins over Chicago and Stevens Point trump Amherst's wins over Midd and Wesleyan. |
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Post by ned3vball on Nov 8, 2021 6:45:42 GMT -5
My Pool C Predictions (please take with a grain of salt...first time doing this): Region 1: Wesleyan, Tufts, Middlebury Region 2: Babson, Springfield, Coast Guard Region 3: RIT Region 4: None Region 5: Susquehanna, Haverford, Scranton, Stevenson Region 6: Emory Region 7: Hope, Otterbein, Denison, Muskingum Region 8: Whitewater Region 9: Bethel Region 10: Southwestern (TX), Colorado First 4 out: Amherst, Stevens Point, Chicago, Messiah Like I said, first time trying this... A fellow New Englander I am guessing. I like the spirit, but Babson and Coast Guard over Stevens Point and Chicago is just crazy talk! Stevens Point and Chicago are both 100% sure things. Both will be picked by round 5 or 6. |
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Post by ned3vball on Nov 8, 2021 7:36:25 GMT -5
Ricky Nelson has gone public with his 20 uwoshvball.wordpress.com/I agree with 17 of them. I don't see how Amherst gets in. Their SOS was .542 the other day and that is virtually a dead number. A winning % of .761 isn't that great, and their 5 ranked wins includes Williams (R1, #6), Emerson (R2, #6), and Smith (R2, #7) which I don't see carrying much weight. Meanwhile that loss to Hamilton isn't just and unranked team, its a below .500 team. A win over Wesleyan is nice but I don't think that alone does enough to get them in. After that I think you have 6 teams for 3 spots. The blog has UW Oshkosh and Southwestern UW Oshkosh 19-12 (.612) with last weeks SOS of .583 probably gone up slightly this week. Record vs ranked appears to be 4-6. Beating Pomona (R10, #5) Stevens Point (R8, #3), Chicago (R8, #4), and St. Olaf (R9, # 6). They lost to CMS (R10, #1), Whitewater (R8, #1), Gustavus Adolphus (R9, #3), Concordia Wisconsin (R8, #9) and twice to Eau Claire (R8, #2), which are not bad losses, however they also lost to unranked LaCrosse (split), Augsburg, and Carthage, as well as sub-.500 teams St. Catherines, Cal Lutheran and Wheaton. That's a lot of baggage. Is it offset by the wins over Stevens Point and Chicago? Southwestern 24-5 (.827) with an SOS last week of .561 which should go up a bit this week. They have good losses, going 1-2 vs Colorado (R10, #3) and 0-3 vs Trinity (R10, #2), which helps. But the only ranked wins other than Colorado is Aurora (R8, #5), and Carnegie Mellon (R7, #8). Record vs ranked appears to be 3-5. Other candidates include Birmingham Southern 19-10 (.655) with an SOS of .595 that probably didn't change much. They are 1-2 vs Berry (R7, #1) and have other ranked wins over Randolph-Macon (R7, #5), Washington and Lee (R7, #7 or 8) Virginia Wesleyan (R7, #9). They have some respectable losses - Hopkins (R6, #1) and Emory (R7, #2) and they have ranked losses to Mary Hardin-Baylor (R10, #6) and Muskingum (R7#7), but also unranked losses to Covenent, and a bad weekend vs Centre, Hendrix and a sub-.500 loss to Sewanee. Stevenson 26-6 (.813) with an SOS of .587 which probably went up slightly. They have ranked wins over Haverford (R5, #3), Stockton (twice) (R4, #5), Coast Guard (R2, #4), Messiah (R6, #8), Manhattanville (R3, #8), and Virginia Wesleyan (R6, #9). They have mostly good losses to Hopkins, Mary Washington and Eastern twice - and one sub-.500 loss to Cabrini who is in the tournament. 7-4 vs ranked looks good though 3 of those were opening weekend. Springfield 22-7 (.710) with an SOS of .566 which should tick up. They have ranked wins over Babson x 2, Tufts, Endicott, Coast Guard, Williams, Smith, Emerson - all wins we've seen before but they have more of them. They have ranked losses to MIT (x2), Emerson (split), Middlebury, but then 3 unranked losses in WPI, Clark and Sub-.500 Brandeis (eww). Babson at 22-7 (.710) with an SOS of .611. They beat Coast Guard, Williams, MIT (R2, #1), Plymouth, and Smith. They lost to Springfield x2, Trinity (Tx), Susquehanna (R5, #3), Stevens (R4, #2), Middlebury and Endicott (R2, #5). And I'll throw in Ithaca at 16-12 (.571) but with a monster SOS of .651. They have ranked wins over Cortland (R3, #2), Randolph-Macon (R6, #5), Clarkson (R3, #6), and Christopher Newport (R6, #3). St. Lawrence just beat RIT so if they get ranked that gives them one more. They have 12 losses, all ranked, most of them high (Juniata x2, Bowdoin, RIT, NYU, Hopkins, etc). And for the conspiracy theorists, the Ithaca coach is on the committee. Am I overlooking another candidate? Who are the 3 teams you would pick? Babson no. Ithaca no. Stevenson might never get to the table. so then Oshkosh, Southwestern, and Springfield. I think Birmingham-southern is better than Springfield but my spreadsheets keep taking Springfield. I focus more on wins, who did you beat, but my rating sheet does penalize for bad losses(teams outside the top 100). |
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